30 - GameStop stock investment post-mortem (2017-2019)
Release Date: 06/08/2019
137 - Expand Your Time Horizon
The DIY Investing Podcast
Want Investing Research Directly to your Inbox? Sign-up for my Free Substack: Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Delayed Gratification Time Horizon Personal Responsbility Compounding
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136 - Selling Stocks for Value Investors (Part 1: Strategy Matters)
The DIY Investing Podcast
Want Investing Research Directly to your Inbox? Sign-up for my Free Substack: Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Second-Order Effects Mean Reversion Factor Investing Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline Selling Series A lot of time is spent on buying stocks. Yet, almost just as important, if not more is knowing when to...
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135 - Investing in the Face of Uncertainty
The DIY Investing Podcast
Want Investing Research Directly to your Inbox? Sign-up for my Free Substack: Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Second-Order Effects Mean Reversion Factor Investing Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline Today’s podcast will focus on a single precept: You can’t predict the future First and Second Order Effects ...
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134 - Dollar Cost Averaging into Individual Stocks
The DIY Investing Podcast
Want Investing Research Directly to your Inbox? Sign-up for my Free Substack: Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Look-Through Earnings Dollar Cost Averaging Earnings Yield Opportunity Cost Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel:
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133 - How to Solve the Dead Money Problem?
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Dead Money Opportunity Cost Time is Money Intrinsic Value Compounding Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline The Dead Money Problem and Solution “If you remember only one thing today: Time is Money” What is Dead Money? Any asset you own that is not growing intrinsic value...
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132 - Is it better to pay management fees or performance fees?
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Incentives Skin-in-the-Game Accredited vs non-Accredited Investors Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline Key Concepts for thinking about compensating a Portfolio Manager Management Fees Management Fees are priced a percentage of the assets under management. A 1% management...
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131 - How to choose an Investment Manager?
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Opportunity Cost Alpha Superpower of Incentives Competitive Advantages Process vs Results Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline Key Concepts for selecting a Portfolio Manager Choosing an investment manager is a lot like choosing a stock Don’t invest in anything you don’t understand...
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130 - How to invest during a crisis?
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Stress Testing Time Horizon Stoicism Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Show Outline The full show notes for this episode are available at Key Concepts for Investing during a Crisis Stress Testing - Bankruptcy Risk? Goal: Survive Stress test businesses not stocks Focus on Fundamentals ...
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129 - What is the role of a Catalyst in Value Investing?
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Catalyst Activation Energy Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Support the Podcast on Patreon This is a podcast supported by listeners like you. If you’d like to support this podcast and help me to continue creating great investing content, please consider becoming a Patron at . Show Outline...
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128 - Key Investing Ratios: P/E, P/S, ROA, ROE, Gross Margin
The DIY Investing Podcast
Mental Models discussed in this podcast: Investing Ratios Break Points Please review and rate the podcast If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a rating and review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience. Follow me on Twitter and YouTube Twitter Handle: YouTube Channel: Support the Podcast on Patreon This is a podcast supported by listeners like you. If you’d like to support this podcast and help me to continue creating great investing content, please consider becoming a Patron at . Show...
info_outlineMental Models discussed in this podcast:
- Zero Based Thinking
- Resulting
- Check out Annie Duke's book "Thinking in Bets" to learn more
- Skin in the Game
- Check out Nassim Taleb's book "Skin in the Game" to learn more
Please review and rate the podcast
If you enjoyed this podcast and found it helpful, please consider leaving me a review. Your feedback helps me to improve the podcast and grow the show's audience.
Support the Podcast on Patreon
This is a podcast supported by listeners like you. If you’d like to support this podcast and help me to continue creating great investing content, please consider becoming a Patron at DIYInvesting.org/Patron.
You can find out more information by listening to episode 11 of this podcast.
GameStop Stock Investment Post-mortem - Show Outline
The full show notes for this episode are available at https://www.diyinvesting.org/Episode30
Initial Buy Thesis
- Dividend yield exceeds 10%
- Dividend is sustainable
- Check out Episode 5 of the podcast to learn more
Investment Results
- Loss of 50-55% of the principal invested in GameStop stock
Investment Process
- Was my Buy Thesis correct?
- Root Cause of my Investment mistakes
- Was my Sell Thesis correct?
- I did not sell solely because the dividend was eliminated
- Free cash flow from declining businesses ought to be distributed to shareholders
Conclusion
- My bad process led to bad results in this case
- Could have been better or worse
Lessons Learned
Investment Rules
- Never buy a retail company with declining revenue
- Never buy a physical retail company with debt on its balance sheet (If they lease their locations)
- Do not hold onto a stock once you know your investment thesis is wrong
- Prioritize investing in companies where management has skin in the game
Red Flags
- A combination of large stock price declines without insider buying or stock buybacks
- Non-investors you talk to think the company will be a bad investment