Brannin McBee (Core Weave) on Greening the Grid, the Texas Meltdown, and Bitcoin Mining (EP.183)
On The Brink with Castle Island
Release Date: 02/22/2021
On The Brink with Castle Island
Matt and Nic are back with more news and deals. In this episode: Why the Coldcard hack is worse than some major exchange and DeFi hacks What the Coldcard hack told us about the need for open weight models Is self custody over? MSTR sells more Bitcoin An FBI agent steals $1m in crypto NY state sues Kalshi Ethereum considers another change to issuance Ethereum needs to resist the urge to change monetary policy ai16z’s Eliza winds down the merit of reading sci fi The cofounder of Sui leaves for Anthropic Will Anthropic keep the discoveries to themselves? The WSJ gets it wrong on Clarity ...
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Matt and Nic are back for another week of news and deals. In this episode: What the novel Hyperion tells us about AI doom Situational Awareness liquidates most of its public book after a sharp AI selloff Will Leo have a second act? Why has AI been selling off? Over 1000 BTC stored in Coldcard wallets were stolen due to bad entropy Where does self-custody go from here? What happened with Coldcard? Political winds are shifting against crypto as midterms loom Strategy continues to strengthen its balance sheet with MSTR common sales An ice cream shop in CA is hedging the weather with Kalshi...
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Nic and Matt are back for another week of news and deals. In this episode: The Fat Model Thesis Are OAI and Anthropic in real trouble with Kimi? The Bitcoin Security Consortium is announced to tackle quantum risk Galaxy announces their Quantum Readiness Initiative Clarity is beleaguered in Washington Polymarket and Kalshi keep feuding The SEC settles with Coinbase over Gensler’s lost text messages We uncover some new documents revealing that Genesis inadvertently kicked off the UST depeg Jack Mallers leaves the XXI Capital DAT Movement Labs declares bankruptcy BitMEX finally winds...
info_outlineOn The Brink with Castle Island
Matt and Nic are back with the deals and news of the week. In this episode: Nic licks his World Cup wounds Do Bitcoin Treasury strategies make sense? Trying to make sense of Saylor’s “bitcoin rating” Trump’s teleprompter operator has been trading on what Trump is going to say in his speeches Why do people keep insider trading on prediction markets? Clarity Act odds are trickling down Strategy shores up their balance sheet Is the Bitcoin cycle finally turning? Stripe bids for Paypal The AI DeFi apocalypse didn’t happen Kathy Hochul’s AI datacenter moratorium Why is Anthropic...
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Matt and Nic are back with another week of news and deals. In this episode: Strategy sells $216m worth of BTC Where does Strategy go from here with STRC? Kalshi’s case faces the ban of sports contracts in NY TeraWulf signs a massive lease with Anthropic BonkDAO’s legal hack Vanguard hires a head of digital assets Kraken wins arbitration against Mazars for de-auditing them in 2022 Vitalik lays out a new four year plan Polymarket’s 5 minute BTC markets are being manipulated Content mentioned:
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Matt and Nic are back with another week of news and deals. In this episode: Saylor releases Strategy’s “Digital Credit Capital Framework” MSTR stabilizes for now though STRC is still discounted Is Saylor transitioning MSTR into a Bitcoin hedge fund? Is Strategy doing anything tricky with their mNAV calculation The OpenUSD consortium is announced Is the Tether and Circle duopoly broken? Can stablecoin consortiums work? What could cause OpenUSD to fail? Trump's 2025 diclosures include a lot of crypto Binance leaves the EU for now The K-pop DAT ends its digital asset...
info_outlineOn The Brink with Castle Island
Matt and Nic are back for another week of news and deals. In this episode: Our recording snafu STRC's depeg explained Saylor's path forward Why Strategy's issue is the converts Polymarket's questionable marketing Trump's Quantum EOs
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Matt and Nic are back for a week of news and deals. In this episode: The Tartan Army takes over Boston Europeans are shocked that American infrastructure works STRC falls into the low $80s STRC’s liquidation cascade mechanics What are Saylor’s options now? Is the US right to put the brakes on Fable? Will open weight models puncture the AI boom? Are we living in a vulnerable world? Kristin Gillebrand’s son raises $30m for a perps exchange Make sure your tokenized equity provider has the equity Why aren’t publishers doing pay per content Content mentioned: Nick Bostrom, ...
info_outlineOn The Brink with Castle Island
Matt and Nic are back with a new week of news and deals. In this episode: Spanish soccer club Osasuna hedges their relegation on Kalshi Strategy shocks people by buying the dip Is Strategy sacrificing MSTR to save STRC? Saylor bolsters his cash position What factors are dragging on the BTC price? Zcash fixes a scary inflation bug SBF formally applies for a Presidential pardon The CFTC proposes banning a subset of prediction market contracts Polymarket thinks that Kalshi is spying on them European fans in America for the World Cup are discovering Buc-ees The DATs are struggling Hester...
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Wyatt sits down with Omid Malekan, a Professor at Columbia Business School, author of several books, and "Explainer-in-Chief" of blockchain technology. In this episode, Wyatt and Omid discuss: Why do stablecoins carry a persisent sense of being "dangerous" or "ungovernable? Are stablecoins truly private money? How do we define private money? Who owns our current banking and payment systems? Why do banks vocally oppose stablecoins? Who will own and control digital money networks? Are blockchains the right medium for digital finance over the long term? Is digital trust a problem?
info_outlineCore Weave chief strategy officer and former energy trader Brannin McBee joins the show to talk about the grid meltdown in Texas and the impact of renewables on the grid. In this episode:
- Brannin's history in energy trading and energy analytics
- How his firm survived a 95% collapse in the price of natural gas – and how that presaged his work in the crypto space
- How Brannin's firm Core Weave alternates between mining ETH and monetizing GPUs through high-performance compute
- How wholesale power trading works – and how it provides valuable informational signals to the grid
- How the US grid is arranged – and how the energy mix has changed in the last decade
- How coal has been marginalized in the last decade through natural gas and renewables
- Why energy is not globally fungible
- Why forecasting wind is so difficult – and how that complicates including wind into the grid
- How renewables trade off reliability against carbon impact
- How increasing the share of wind and solar destabilizing the grid
- Why increasing units of wind requires new units of gas on the grid
- The confluence of causes behind the Texas grid failure last week
- How Core Weave selected their location on the grid – and how they took political risk into account
- How much energy Bitcoin consumes – and where that stands relative to the energy consumption of the US
- How flaring natural gas to mine Bitcoin works – and whether it's economical
- Does Bitcoin work as a load balancer for grids?
- Can you compare Bitcoin's footprint to that of entire countries?