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BIGGEST RISK with Kathy Fetke

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Release Date: 12/17/2019

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Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, Rob Finlay, what is the BIGGEST RISK?   Rob Finlay: So not sure if there's one specific one and just so you know, hopefully, I I can give you one right now, that is top of mind for me, right? Because insurances. Property Insurance is property insurance that has been spoken about and and fortunately, we have people like you that help us, real estate owners get through that through that mess. The one thing that that property insurance people aren't going to help us with is what I see as this great risk is compliance and corporate risk. There is this...

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Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Neal Bawa, what is the BIGGST RISK?   Neal Bawa So I'll give you two risks that affect insurance prices, and all other forms of prices in the United States. So one is a bigger, sort of more, you know, overarching risk. The second one is, is well known to us this. So the first one is climate change, we are continuing to see devastating impacts of climate change in many markets. It is a political, you know, issue where, you know, half of America doesn't want to acknowledge what is happening in markets like Florida and Texas and many other markets, like...

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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, DJ McClure. What is the BIGGEST RISK?   DJ McClure: I think right now, one of the BIGGEST RISK that I see among many is the number of properties that are, you know, approaching a debt restructure, you know, there's a lot of short term bridge that for a lot of properties that's coming due. And so one or two things are going to happen, obviously, they're going to be able to, if they're able to put together the funds to structure a refinance, you know, it's likely going to be into a different loan structure or excuse me a loan program, predominantly, your...

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BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline show art BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross:  I'd like to ask you, Joey Klein, what is the biggest risk?    Joe Kline: Sure. I don't have an insurance related answer. So that's, that's good. I have to say, I do think that your industry is a very fascinating one. And I think if we had more time, I'd love to throw some of these back at you. Because insurance is a very rapidly changing industry over the past couple of years as well. I look, I think that any Anyone, anyone who makes their money solely via Commission has to constantly be thinking about risk. And if you're not, you probably won't be doing it for...

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BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman show art BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman

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J Darrin Gross  0:00   And I'd like to ask you, Jeremy Friedman, what is the BIGGEST RISK?    Jeremy Friedman  0:05   But as we discussed before the call, that's actually the one largest risk item that we that does keep us up at night and that we're working diligently on at the moment is our insurance. And I think it's so this is not to be clear to your listeners, you did not prompt me for that at all this is this is our biggest risk at the moment, as we see it. We being located on the coast, the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and we have several coastal...

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Darrin: [00:00:08] Kathy Fetke, What is the BIGGEST RISK? [00:00:11][3.5]

Kathy: [00:00:14] Well, there are so many, but I would say the BIGGEST RISK is not being educated, which is why it is my mission to help people. Like I said at the beginning, the show to raise the wealth consciousness of the average person and definitely of the average investor because there are so many landmines. Whether you're investing in the stock market or in real estate or in Bitcoin or whatever you're investing in. You've got to really take a deep dive and understand it. We've been sort of trained over the years to not really understand it, but hopefully our financial planner understands it and we hand over our money and hope they do well with it. So we haven't really been taught that it was important for us to understand it. We don't we're not educated and in high school and probably not in college for most people. [00:01:00][45.7]

[00:01:00] So first and foremost, the biggest risk is not understanding what you're investing in. From there, I would say what I'm seeing is a lot of gurus. We're at that stage in the market where people have maybe done fairly well, then maybe they did one deal and it went well because we've been in the market and now they are a guru. I've seen this. They can very easily start a podcast or it's so easy to become sort of a well-known person. Thanks to all social media and the Internet and so forth. So these people now don't have a lot of experience, but they've kind of become this guru, so to speak. I'm seeing every day I get people coming, deals coming on my desk that, you know, hey, we just found a 400 unit apartment building. Do you want to invest in this or do you want to partner with us on it? And I'm not an apartment expert, but I do surround myself with experts. And we just kind of sent two deals yesterday to our apartment guru. He is a real one. He's been doing it for 40 years and he asked 10 questions. And basically they were really bad deals. So he, in fact, owns 10000 doors apartments and and just sold the bottom 10 percent that leased performing the the properties that were just OK. They'd already tried to rent the raise the rents as high as they could go. They'd already done the renovations. There was no more money that could be squeezed out of these properties. So they marketed them and they put them at the most ridiculously low cap rates, the highest price they could. They couldn't even imagine anyone would consider buying these properties. And there was multiple offers over asking price. So they basically sold the bottom 10 percent of their portfolio for the highest price. And they're sitting on cash, waiting for some of these deals to implode. Because there's so many people who just don't know what they're doing in multifamily, but are obsessed with the idea of it, thinking that that's that's the true way to wealth. Which it can be, if you buy right. So to me, that's that's kind of a I'm seeing that pretty commonly today. If you're going to invest in somebody syndication, make sure they have more than 10 years experience or they have someone on the team who does. A wise, wise advisor. Because there are a lot of the highly experienced people are just scratching their heads going. I don't see how this is gonna possibly work out for them.