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BIGGEST RISK with Rich Sarkis

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Release Date: 10/06/2020

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BIGGEST RISK with Neal Bawa show art BIGGEST RISK with Neal Bawa

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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Neal Bawa, what is the BIGGST RISK?   Neal Bawa So I'll give you two risks that affect insurance prices, and all other forms of prices in the United States. So one is a bigger, sort of more, you know, overarching risk. The second one is, is well known to us this. So the first one is climate change, we are continuing to see devastating impacts of climate change in many markets. It is a political, you know, issue where, you know, half of America doesn't want to acknowledge what is happening in markets like Florida and Texas and many other markets, like...

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BIGGEST RISK with DJ McClure show art BIGGEST RISK with DJ McClure

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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, DJ McClure. What is the BIGGEST RISK?   DJ McClure: I think right now, one of the BIGGEST RISK that I see among many is the number of properties that are, you know, approaching a debt restructure, you know, there's a lot of short term bridge that for a lot of properties that's coming due. And so one or two things are going to happen, obviously, they're going to be able to, if they're able to put together the funds to structure a refinance, you know, it's likely going to be into a different loan structure or excuse me a loan program, predominantly, your...

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BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline show art BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline

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J Darrin Gross:  I'd like to ask you, Joey Klein, what is the biggest risk?    Joe Kline: Sure. I don't have an insurance related answer. So that's, that's good. I have to say, I do think that your industry is a very fascinating one. And I think if we had more time, I'd love to throw some of these back at you. Because insurance is a very rapidly changing industry over the past couple of years as well. I look, I think that any Anyone, anyone who makes their money solely via Commission has to constantly be thinking about risk. And if you're not, you probably won't be doing it for...

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BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman show art BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman

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J Darrin Gross  0:00   And I'd like to ask you, Jeremy Friedman, what is the BIGGEST RISK?    Jeremy Friedman  0:05   But as we discussed before the call, that's actually the one largest risk item that we that does keep us up at night and that we're working diligently on at the moment is our insurance. And I think it's so this is not to be clear to your listeners, you did not prompt me for that at all this is this is our biggest risk at the moment, as we see it. We being located on the coast, the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and we have several coastal...

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Today, my guest is Christian Gore. Christian is the founder of . And in this industry expert who have orchestrated real estate transactions worth approximately 9.5 billion across the across the United States. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Christian Gore about leveraging AI and Machine Learning or Data Aggregation to make informed decisions about where and why to invest.

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BIGGEST RISK with Christian Gore show art BIGGEST RISK with Christian Gore

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J Darrin Gross  I'd like to ask you, Christian Gore, what is the BIGGEST RISK?   Christian Gore  That's a great question. I would say, generally speaking, I would say geo geo political risk, that, that can significantly kind of affect what the Fed does or doesn't do. Yeah, we've, there's a lot of things going on overseas. I know we were fortunate enough not to kind of have to, you know, be involved with it daily. But there's there's significant geopolitical risks in our view going on right now. That, you know, who knows what, what what can happen, but there's a direct...

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I'd like to ask you, Rich Sarkis, what is the BIGGEST RISK?

 

Rich Sarkis  40:28  

So from my point of view, the BIGGEST RISK right now that folks within our industry have is the risk of complacency, the risk of getting crippled by what's going on with COVID-19 and obviously, the situation is fluid, it's evolving it's it's, to some extent, getting worse in many areas of the country and that is not good news. And there's you know, no real light at the end of the tunnel because yes, there's there's vaccines in flight and therapeutics etc, but nothing really concrete. that's readily available and where we can say, okay, by this date, you know, business as usual, right. And so in the face of such huge and unprecedented uncertainty, the BIGGEST RISK right now for companies and individuals alike is to almost freeze and to not make decisions that they ought to be making.  In our world. That means specifically embracing data technology, information insights, to be able to when things do pick back up beyond the front foot and not get caught, shortchanged, basically.  And to probe a little bit deeper, one of the things that recessions tend to do, right, and you don't know if we've seen the last of the, you know, big dip that we had in March, April, and whether it's a true V, you know, recovery, but there are going to be headwinds, at the very least, and we're even seeing you know, job numbers come back and we're was picking up now because states are having to shut down again, it's going to create some more negative outlook, they're one of the one of the benefits, perversely enough of a of a shock to the economic or financial system is it shines a light on inefficiencies. And whereas when the sun's out and everyone's making, hey, you can sort of throw more bodies at the problem and say all hire more people, and we'll do this do that. When times are tough and belt tightening happens, it's like, well, what are these people doing? Do I really need this? This? This is how we do that. And so when you are critically looking at those inefficiencies, there's this almost this, this cleansing mechanism where you then say, Okay, well what is the most efficient way to do this function or to prospect to risk to assess risks to underwrite to whatever it is to conduct an appraisal? And that's where invariably all roads lead to data technology, systems and machines doing what a lot of folks were doing.  And don't get me wrong, I'm not saying machines will do everything, but it's really the highest best use and making sure that the appraisers, the brokers, the investors, the lenders, the insurance agents are focusing on their highest best use, which is doing bringing their local knowledge, their insights, their judgment. And that's things that are very difficult to train a system to do, right? And let the computers and the machines and the data crunch through all the data and do the dirty work, frankly, right, the 80% of it, and let the people do the 20% of their highest best use. And so the BIGGEST RISK is to not embrace that not realize that there is this huge opportunity ahead of all of us to really sort of shift the paradigm and go to a much more efficient and I believe sustainable, long term outlook for the industry.