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BIGGEST RISK with David Sillaman

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Release Date: 10/27/2020

Multifamily Marketplace Data Prices and Distress with Neal Bawa - CRE PN #455 show art Multifamily Marketplace Data Prices and Distress with Neal Bawa - CRE PN #455

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Today my guest is Neal Bawa.  Neal is the founder of Grow Capitis an online multifamily investor education platform, experienced syndicator, developer and his attention to the data has earned him the moniker "The Mad Scientist of Multifamily". And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Neal Bawa about the Upcoming Multifamily Distress in the Marketplace.

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BIGGEST RISK with Neal Bawa show art BIGGEST RISK with Neal Bawa

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Neal Bawa, what is the BIGGST RISK?   Neal Bawa So I'll give you two risks that affect insurance prices, and all other forms of prices in the United States. So one is a bigger, sort of more, you know, overarching risk. The second one is, is well known to us this. So the first one is climate change, we are continuing to see devastating impacts of climate change in many markets. It is a political, you know, issue where, you know, half of America doesn't want to acknowledge what is happening in markets like Florida and Texas and many other markets, like...

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BIGGEST RISK with DJ McClure show art BIGGEST RISK with DJ McClure

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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, DJ McClure. What is the BIGGEST RISK?   DJ McClure: I think right now, one of the BIGGEST RISK that I see among many is the number of properties that are, you know, approaching a debt restructure, you know, there's a lot of short term bridge that for a lot of properties that's coming due. And so one or two things are going to happen, obviously, they're going to be able to, if they're able to put together the funds to structure a refinance, you know, it's likely going to be into a different loan structure or excuse me a loan program, predominantly, your...

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BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline show art BIGGEST RISK with Joey Kline

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross:  I'd like to ask you, Joey Klein, what is the biggest risk?    Joe Kline: Sure. I don't have an insurance related answer. So that's, that's good. I have to say, I do think that your industry is a very fascinating one. And I think if we had more time, I'd love to throw some of these back at you. Because insurance is a very rapidly changing industry over the past couple of years as well. I look, I think that any Anyone, anyone who makes their money solely via Commission has to constantly be thinking about risk. And if you're not, you probably won't be doing it for...

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Today, my guest is Jeremy Friedman. Jeremy is with Stoic Equity Partners. And they have a portfolio of 10 Self Storage Flex Industrial assets in the southeast, totaling $48.8 million assets under management and 500,000 square feet located in Georgia, Mississippi, Florida, Alabama, and Arkansas. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Jeremy Friedman about Why Invest in Flex Industrial Real Estate. 

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BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman show art BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy Friedman

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

J Darrin Gross  0:00   And I'd like to ask you, Jeremy Friedman, what is the BIGGEST RISK?    Jeremy Friedman  0:05   But as we discussed before the call, that's actually the one largest risk item that we that does keep us up at night and that we're working diligently on at the moment is our insurance. And I think it's so this is not to be clear to your listeners, you did not prompt me for that at all this is this is our biggest risk at the moment, as we see it. We being located on the coast, the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and we have several coastal...

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AI Data Scraping for CRE Underwriting with Christian Gore - CRE PN #451 show art AI Data Scraping for CRE Underwriting with Christian Gore - CRE PN #451

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Today, my guest is Christian Gore. Christian is the founder of . And in this industry expert who have orchestrated real estate transactions worth approximately 9.5 billion across the across the United States. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Christian Gore about leveraging AI and Machine Learning or Data Aggregation to make informed decisions about where and why to invest.

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BIGGEST RISK with Christian Gore show art BIGGEST RISK with Christian Gore

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J Darrin Gross  I'd like to ask you, Christian Gore, what is the BIGGEST RISK?   Christian Gore  That's a great question. I would say, generally speaking, I would say geo geo political risk, that, that can significantly kind of affect what the Fed does or doesn't do. Yeah, we've, there's a lot of things going on overseas. I know we were fortunate enough not to kind of have to, you know, be involved with it daily. But there's there's significant geopolitical risks in our view going on right now. That, you know, who knows what, what what can happen, but there's a direct...

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I'd like to ask you, David Sillamon, what is the BIGGEST RISK?

 

David Sillaman  38:47  

I see. Okay, the absolute BIGGEST RISK to the whole program is going to be fraud. Alright? Fraud because these are private by design to be between you and me as individual investors into development, Alright? They're long term in nature, which means that we're not thinking about it every single solitary day. As an investor, we already know going into whatever we're putting our money into long term, years, six years, 10 years because of how every last one of these and it's such a brand new market that, you know, there's no not not a single Opportunity Fund has a major prior performance track record. So taking money in from an investor promising them that we're going to do this, we're going to do that, and then closing up or never even filing the right way to begin with causing, you know, detriment to the investor from a tax standpoint, thinking that here they're deferring and now they've been collecting interest on taxes that are due because the fund never did the right thing. And the people behind the fund made it look so great. That, you know, they took the people's money and ran. And when we look at look back at the history of track record of government programs, I speak truth on this because I built and operated one of the most successful loan modification companies on the East Coast was called Cornerstone group 175 employees, two call centers. I built a multimillion dollar business on the back of a government program once before.   Fraught the proverbial saying of a few bad apples will ruin the entire basket was absolutely true in that program. We heard horror stories that people that you know gave money to companies out in California told don't make your mortgage payments and then ended up losing their houses and the company's closed up shop. That program was very dramatically changed through legislation and strokes of Penn from executives at the White House. This program has an immense amount of propensity for overwhelming overwhelming Change in an amazing way opportunistic way, in America, an amazing way to make a lot of great money. What it lacks because of how it's written, there is no set platform yet. There is no set directory yet. There is no set, hey, this is the proper process and what you need to be able to do when you build one of these things and so that way, all the way down the supply chain, it's transparent and everybody can get into it and know that okay, no matter what, that doesn't exist yet, because this market is a brand new financial market that is penetrating both real estate and business. And within that it has to grow. And it's like a baby right now that's teething. It has the ability to do amazing, and the legislative support behind it is bipartisan. But at the same time, biggest concern would be fraud. The second biggest concern I think that would be to go along with fraud and I briefly touched on it, I think it probably plays into that fraud. The biggest way is right now, as an opportunity fund being private, you've got SEC compliance, you've got, you know, state compliance, blue sky laws plus whatever your corporate entity, you know, is both, you know, registered in and foreign because most of the time, you're gonna have two entities at a corporate level with these, just a lot of this is still the compliance side. And that would be the the second biggest risk, none of them are performing. Proven. And I can't tell you as an investor, hey, listen, you know, this fun is performed at a 10% interest rate of return for the last 10 years. Not a one, I can tell you that, hey, my company has done you know, $50 million in development projects and so you can trust us. But at the end of the day, as an investor, you know, and that's that's the risk is at the moment because there is no centralization on really, you know, what it looks like? You know, from that mass propensity of fraud, and then you couple that with no performance, they're ultra ultra ultra high risk investment vehicles with huge upside potential, but also really high risk up front.