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The Ryder Report April 2021

Hotspotting

Release Date: 04/14/2021

Melbourne Property Growth show art Melbourne Property Growth

Hotspotting

There are numerous reasons why we think Melbourne and Victoria is worthy of consideration by property investors, notwithstanding the concerted efforts by the state government and some local councils to force investors to sell up and get as far away from Victoria as possible. Melbourne and Victoria are underpinned by one of the nation’s strongest state economies, according to CommSec’s State of the States report, and there has been a notable uplift in sales activity since the start of 2024, pointing to elevated price growth as the year unfolds. But perhaps the most compelling evidence,...

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First-Home Buyers vs. Investors in the Property Market show art First-Home Buyers vs. Investors in the Property Market

Hotspotting

Media loves the storyline that first-home buyers are competing with wealthy investors for properties – and losing because investors apparently have a huge advantage. Like so much that’s written and spoken in news media about the housing market, it’s a work of fiction. The polar opposite is, in fact, the truth. The biggest competition for first-home buyers in the market is not investors, but home buyers other than first-time buyers. The largest cohort in the market, at any point in time, is home buyers who already own a home, have equity in that home and are upgrading – or, in some...

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Location Reports: Your Real Estate Game-Changer! show art Location Reports: Your Real Estate Game-Changer!

Hotspotting

If you want to sell real estate, very often the greatest selling point is the location. If the location has  … a strong diverse economy creating jobs,  a steadily growing population with strong increases projected well into the future, good existing amenities and a significant spend on new infrastructure … then it has many of the credentials for capital growth. The problem for many real estate professionals - in taking advantage of growth factors like that in their location- is accessing all the key information, analysing it and then presenting it in a way that’s easily...

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Webinar Replay - Why Melbourne Makes More Sense Than Perth show art Webinar Replay - Why Melbourne Makes More Sense Than Perth

Hotspotting

Want to get into a key market BEFORE prices start to take off? Feel that you may have missed the boat with media favourite Perth? In many ways, the answers to these questions are the essence of smart investing. Most property investors are herd animals, diving into markets when they read that prices have risen 15% or 20% in the past year – or 50% in the past three years.  Buying in such a market means you are likely buying at – or after – the peak of the market. The smart money would have been there 2-3 years ago – and is now focused on places that are early in the growth cycle....

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Interviews with the 1% - Arjun Paliwal of InvestorKit show art Interviews with the 1% - Arjun Paliwal of InvestorKit

Hotspotting

Are you ready to take your investment journey to the next level? Look no further, because we have exciting news to share with you! We are thrilled to announce our new Hotspotting pre-recorded interviews with some of the top 1% of Australian investors who own 5 or more properties. As you may know, in the 2020-2021 financial year, only 0.87% of investors in Australia owned 5 or more investment properties. But what do these successful investors know that the majority don't? We have sat down with a number of them to get exclusive insights into their strategies, tips, and personal journeys. Our...

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Real Estate Influence on RBA show art Real Estate Influence on RBA

Hotspotting

Part of the obsession by economists with interest rates as the only thing that matters in the housing market is the notion that the Reserve Bank spends a large amount of time discussing the housing market before deciding what to do about interest rates. As with so many things, economists are wrong about that. One of the most popular definitions of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting a different result. My own definition of insanity is the average Australian economist discussing real estate. In essence, those two definitions are essentially the same thing....

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First Home Buyer Activity show art First Home Buyer Activity

Hotspotting

If you tune into news media regularly, it’s easy to form the view that the prospect of young Australians buying real estate is remote, if not impossible. There are daily headlines telling us that it takes 10 or 15 years to save a deposit, or that most young Australians have given up on home ownership and that young adults are doomed to a life-time of renting. As is so often the case with mainstream media and their love of negative sensation, the reality is quite different. First home buyers are highly active in markets across Australia. But first, let’s look at some of headlines with which...

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Home Building Costs show art Home Building Costs

Hotspotting

Want to know why housing affordability is so poor in this country?   The answer, in simple terms, is because the cost of building new houses is so high – ridiculously, obscenely high.   The cost of building the typical house in Australia has risen 53% in the past three years – and it now costs close to half a million dollars to build that home.   And that’s just the cost of the house. It doesn’t include the price of the land.   Who’s to blame for this situation?   Primarily, overwhelmingly, it’s government. Politicians and bureaucrats.   They keep...

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Regional vs. City Growth show art Regional vs. City Growth

Hotspotting

We’re constantly asked at Hotspotting whether it’s better to invest in the regions or the capital cities – and whether you get higher capital growth in the outer-ring suburbs of our cities or the so-called prime inner-city locations. Now, there’s no definitive answer to questions like that, because there are so many different scenarios to consider – and, at the end of the day, it comes down to the performance of individual local markets and you simply cannot generalise. But, based on the evidence of where the highest capital growth has occurred in the past four years, I would have to...

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Victorian Markets show art Victorian Markets

Hotspotting

The smart money in real estate buys in key markets BEFORE prices start to take off. The essence of smart investing is NOT buying in over-heated markets like Perth but targeting locations that have the credentials for long-term growth but are currently at a low point in the cycle. And right now, the location that meets those criteria better than most is Victoria, particularly Melbourne. Most property investors are herd animals, diving into markets when they read that prices have risen 15% or 20% in the past year – or 50% in the past three years. Buying in such a market means you are likely...

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More Episodes

One of the best ways to analyse and understand the nationwide real estate boom that’s currently sweeping Australia is to read Hotspotting’s bi-monthly newsletter, The Ryder Report.

This is a 25-page report which covers events and topics relevant to all corners of Australia.

And in this new April 2021 edition I explore some of the core issues, including the likely impact if the Reserve Bank changes its mind and decides to lift the official interest rate.

There’s a lot of media speculation about whether or not the RBA will lift the cash rate – despite its repeated statements that it won’t change the rate until 2024 at the earliest – and what the likely impact would be if it did so.

One of the reasons why economists and journalists are so fixated on the possible impact of an interest rate rise is because they think that low interest rates are the cause of the boom.

But they’re wrong. It’s not. There are multiple strong reasons why we have this strong nationwide upcycle.

I have 15 dot points on my list of growth drivers and in this edition of The Ryder Report I list those reasons.

Also in this edition of The Ryder Report, we publish excerpts of a report written by the man I regard as Australia’s best real estate research analyst, Simon Pressley of Propertyology.

He says that Australia has the best conditions for capital growth in 15-20 years and that it’s likely that property values will double in this five-year growth phase.

And there’s a whole lot more in this edition of The Ryder Report.

We analyse prices, we refute recent examples of media misinformation, we highlight specific growth markets, we provide special tips for investors, and we provide a state-by-state review of all the major events and issues in residential property across the nation.

So make sure you get your copy of the April edition of The Ryder Report, to ensure that you are fully-informed about the great Australian real estate boom.