4-13-26 The S&P 500 Rally: What Comes Next?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 04/13/2026
5-13-26 Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are now approaching seven straight weeks of gains in one of the strongest buying stampedes since 1950. While bullish momentum, earnings growth, and corporate buybacks continue to support higher prices, markets are becoming increasingly stretched above long-term moving averages. We discuss why sharp advances like this often lead to short-term pullbacks, where key support levels may emerge, and why those corrections can create stronger opportunities for investors later in the year. Is this the start of a larger correction, or just a healthy pause before the next move higher? Watch...
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5-12-26 Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Should you pay off debt, invest more in your 401(k), or do both? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn walk through five real-world financial decisions that millions of Americans face every year. Using new Vanguard research and simple math, we break down how to prioritize credit cards, mortgages, student loans, retirement savings, and employer matches to maximize long-term wealth. We also discuss why the mathematically correct answer is not always the emotionally correct one, and how personal priorities, risk tolerance, and peace of mind factor into financial planning. Key topics include: 0:00 -...
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5-12-26 Tech Rally Risk Is Rising | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Technology stocks continue to dominate the market as XLK and momentum-driven trades surge higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly narrow. Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Energy, and Materials are lagging badly while Technology pulls the broader indexes higher. In today's pre-market update, we examine the growing divergence between Technology and the rest of the market, why overbought momentum conditions matter, and how concentrated rallies can create hidden risks for investors. We also discuss sector rotation, portfolio diversification, and why maintaining exposure to lagging...
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5-11-26 Commodity Supercycle - Bull Market Killer?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is the commodity supercycle the next great investment opportunity, or the biggest threat to the current bull market? Lance Roberts breaks down the growing Wall Street narrative that commodities are entering a multi-year boom driven by deglobalization, underinvestment in energy and metals, AI infrastructure demand, and concerns over long-term dollar dominance. But there’s a major problem with the thesis: commodity spikes are inflationary, inflation destroys demand, and higher commodity prices often strengthen the U.S. dollar instead of weakening it. We examine the reflexivity problem,...
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5-11-26 Iran Headlines Rattle Markets | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are reacting to renewed Iran tensions as oil prices rise and stock futures weaken. Energy stocks are leading while the Mag-7 trades lower, but the bigger concern may be how stretched markets have become after weeks of relentless gains. This “Bull Stampede” rally has pushed sentiment back to extreme bullishness, volatility remains very low, and markets are now heavily extended above long-term trends. History suggests these setups often lead to fast reversions, with 3% to 5% pullbacks arriving quickly once a catalyst appears. Will it come from Iran, inflation data, or the Trump-Xi...
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5-8-26 Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Are annuities only for retirees, or can they play a role in building long-term financial security at any age? Richard Rosso & Jonathan "Smarty" McCarty break down the myths, costs, benefits, and risks of annuities, and how guaranteed income fits into a retirement strategy. We discuss how annuities can serve as bond substitutes, why fees vary so widely, how sales structures impact costs, and how to determine whether an annuity fits your personal retirement goals. Most importantly, we explore how to create a rules-based approach to guaranteed income that matches your lifestyle, risk...
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5-7-26 Semiconductors: Bubble or Bust?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the market higher as the AI boom drives massive capital spending, soaring valuations, and relentless momentum in names like Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom, and TSMC. But are investors witnessing the next great technology revolution, or the early stages of another market bubble? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine the semiconductor trade from both sides: Explosive AI demand, data center growth, and earnings momentum versus stretched valuations, narrowing market breadth, and growing concentration risk inside the S&P 500 and NASDAQ. Key topics include:...
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5-7-26 How Markets Ignore the Fear | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
For four years, investors have been told the next crash was right around the corner. Russia-Ukraine, inflation at 9%, Fed rate hikes, Silicon Valley Bank, tariffs, AI fears, Iran tensions, and endless recession warnings all fueled bearish headlines. Yet despite every crisis narrative, the market has doubled from the October 2022 lows. This morning, we break down why markets continue to climb in the face of nonstop fear narratives, and what actually matters for long-term market direction: earnings growth and forward expectations. We also review the technical backdrop, including the MACD...
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5-6-26 Q&A Wednesday - What's Your Biggest Concern?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
It’s Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff are taking your questions live from the YouTube chatroom. From markets at all-time highs and rising pullback risk, to Fed policy, rates, and portfolio positioning, we’re breaking down what matters most right now. With stocks extended, volume thinning out, and momentum showing signs of fatigue, is this a healthy pause or the start of a correction? What should investors and traders be doing right here? Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Rally, Oil Plunges 4:05 - AI Trade is Back - but watch for reversal 7:52 -...
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5-6-26 AI Rally Nears Exhaustion | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets continue pushing to new all-time highs as AI stocks lead the rally higher, but momentum and money flow signals are beginning to weaken beneath the surface. While the bullish trend remains intact, overbought conditions are building and a near-term pullback or consolidation would not be surprising. Lance Roberts reviews why slowing money flows matter, what history says about momentum-driven rallies, and why patience, profit-taking, and risk management still matter even in strong markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive...
info_outlineThe S&P 500 just surged 8.2% off its March lows—reclaiming key technical levels and sitting within striking distance of all-time highs. But is this the start of a sustained move higher, or just a reflexive rally before another pullback?
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down what drove the rally—from extreme bearish sentiment and a volatility reset, to easing geopolitical tensions—and why those factors matter for investors right now. We also examine the critical technical signals, including the reclaiming of the 200-day moving average, and what history suggests about forward returns after similar setups.
Key topics include:
0:00 - INTRO
1:08 - Is the Correction Over?
4:50 - When Markets Are Correcting...
8:39 - Earnings Season Commences
10:12 - Now is the Time to Rebalance Risk
16:37 - Lance's U.K. Vacation
21:09 - Big Rally Last Week - What Happens Next - Factors to Watch
26:43 - Bull Case vs Bear Case
30:00 - Lance's Investor Guidelines
33:09 - Markets Feel Worse Than They Are
36:08 - The Southpark Market
40:09 - Why You Should Be Buying the Crash
42:07 - What Everyone Knows...
44:12 - Nothing Stays Static
47:03 - The Hard Part of Investing
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
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Watch our previous show, "What To Do After You Inherit Money,"
https://youtube.com/live/PfgdqYStb70
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Back Above 200-DMA?" is here:
https://youtu.be/_JrTG3hB_co
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"S&P 500 Outlook: The 8.2% Rally & What Comes Next."
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sp-500-outlook-the-8-2-rally-what-comes-next/
"Oil Shock: Will The Fed Intervene"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/oil-shock-will-the-fed-intervene-part-2/
"The South Park Investment Curse"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/lets-knock-on-wood/
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Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/
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