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Anna Raytcheva on Trading Regime Changes, Reflation and Crypto

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Release Date: 07/30/2021

Boris Vladimirov on Reverse Goldilocks, Central Bank Credibility, and Market Winners show art Boris Vladimirov on Reverse Goldilocks, Central Bank Credibility, and Market Winners

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Boris is one of the top macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress and Brevan Howard. In this podcast, we discuss: 1. What is reverse goldilocks? 2. The challenge of the current regime. 3. What gives central banks credibility? 4. Views on China

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Marc is author of Net Interest – a leading weekly newsletter on the world of finance. Marc spent ten years at leading hedge fund Lansdowne Partners, where he was a partner and portfolio manager. In this podcast we discuss: 1. How to predict financial crises. 2. Can banks rebrand themselves as fintech? 3. What are the key fintech trends. 4. Is the crypto challenge to finance real? 5. What is the state of sell-side research?

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Anas Alhajji On the Energy Outlook, Climate Change and Arctic Oil show art Anas Alhajji On the Energy Outlook, Climate Change and Arctic Oil

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This episode is sponsored by Masterworks.

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Richard Muirhead On VC Investing, Picking Winners and Web 3.0 show art Richard Muirhead On VC Investing, Picking Winners and Web 3.0

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Richard is a co-founder and Managing Partner at Fabric Ventures – a VC fund adapting the early, technical, and patient approach of venture capital to investing in Web 3.0 and decentralised data networks. In this podcast we discuss: 1. Starting companies versus investing. 2. What makes start-ups and their founders successful. 3. What returns should one expect in VC. 4. What is the Open Economy and Web 3.0. 5. Centralisation vs decentralisation

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David has over 30 years’ experience of managing risk across global markets. David is the CIO of Singapore-based Convex strategies - which focuses on risk management including protecting against dislocations in asset markets. He currently sits on the Monetary Authority of Singapore Markets Committee (SFEMC). In this podcast we discuss: 1. The confusion between measuring risk and managing risk. 2. What is convexity. 4. The role of central banks in shifting equity-bond correlations.

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Todd Edgar On Managing Money, China and Advice from Paul Tudor Jones show art Todd Edgar On Managing Money, China and Advice from Paul Tudor Jones

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Todd Edgar has over 28 years’ experience in financial markets. He has spent the last 2 years as CIO of Atreaus Family, a family office, allocating capital to equities, rates, commodities, FX, Crypto and real estate. In this podcast we discuss: 1 Challenges of running a hedge fund. 2 How have markets changed since the global financial crisis (2008). 3 Are commodities in a new supercycle? 4 How to think about inflation. 5 Views on crypto markets.

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David Woo On Persistence Of COVID, Stagflation, and Political Taboos show art David Woo On Persistence Of COVID, Stagflation, and Political Taboos

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

David is the author of the blog, David Woo Unbound. Before that, he was Head of Global Rates, FX and EM Fixed Income Strategy & Economics Research at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research. David has a Ph.D. in economics from Columbia University. In this podcast we discuss: 1. The impact of globalization on inequality. 2. Why Trump was right on vaccine vs COVID elimination. 3. Return to stagflation. 4. The fundamental shifts in US-China relations. 5. China tech policy is what Biden wishes he could do.

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Nikhil Shamapant On Ethereum to $150,000, Triple Halving and NFTs show art Nikhil Shamapant On Ethereum to $150,000, Triple Halving and NFTs

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Nikhil recently published an influential investment report titled ‘Ethereum, The Triple Halving’, and has been researching cryptocurrencies and the Ethereum ecosystem since 2020. He then completed his medical school at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai. In this podcast we discuss: 1. Key differences between Bitcoin and Ethereum. 2. The selling pressure of miners on Bitcoin. 3. Base case price target for Ethereum of $30,000-$50,000. 4. Future of NFT and the metaverse.

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In this episode, I talk with Saeed Amen. He is the founder of Cuemacro, which provides investors with quant research and analysis. Over the past fifteen years, Saeed has developed systematic trading strategies at major investment banks, including Lehman Brothers and Nomura. 1. Types of trading models, including trend-following and carry. 2. Whether certain strategies are becoming too crowded. 3. Examples of alpha models like trading month-end flows. 4. Types of alternative data.

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Alberto is Head of Global Credit strategies and Portfolio Manager of the Algebris Global Credit Opportunities fund, a global strategy investing in bonds, credit and equities. Prior to Algebris, Alberto was Managing Director and Head of Global Macro Credit Research at RBS (2011-2016). His team was top ranked in Institutional Investor’s All-Europe Fixed Income survey for Investment Grade, High Yield Research and Fixed Income Strategy, for four years running.

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This episode is supported by private equity platform Moonfare.

Anna founded Sonya Capital Management in December 2016. Prior to that, Anna spent over twenty years at Citigroup, where she oversaw a multi-billion dollar balance sheet and large teams of traders as the Head of the Strategic Trading Desk, Co-Head of Risk Treasury and Head of the Agency MBS trading desk. Anna traded through eight central bank tightening and easing cycles and a few financial crises, such as the Asian financial crisis, the Dot-com bubble and the Global Financial crisis. When she left Citigroup, the WSJ featured her as ‘Citigroup's last proprietary trader’. She graduated with honours from Princeton University with a degree in Mathematics. In this podcast we discuss:

  1. Difference between trading on the sell-side versus at own fund
  2. Framework used to invest in markets
  3. How to use flow information to validate views
  4. The value of machine learning
  5. How to identify market regime changes
  6. The impact of risk transfers on market volatility
  7. How bubbles can be rational
  8. The difference between high-frequency trading and macro
  9. Views on the current reflation theme
  10. Two major risks: US tax changes and China decoupling
  11. Market to watch - yen
  12. Views on crypto markets
  13. Books that influenced Anna: The Second Machine Age (Brynjolfsson, Mcafee), Thinking, Fast and Slow (Kahneman)