France And Germany Lead The Covered Bond Issuance Rebound
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In 2022, European covered bond issuance reached levels unseen since 2011, with the French and German markets leading the way. We're joined by analysts Denitsa Carouget and Casper Andersen to discuss both of those markets. We provide overviews of both French and German covered bond markets, including relevant legal frameworks and recent market developments. We also go into how both markets are performing in “higher-for-longer” interest rate environments and discuss our forward-looking outlooks. Related Articles:
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Back In The Office? Uneven Global Sector Recovery
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We're joined by analyst Ana Lai and co-host Jim Manzi to discuss the global office sector’s uneven recovery post-pandemic. We dive into the vacancy rates in different regions around the world, pricing trends for the office sector in a higher-for-longer" interest rate environment, and office performance in relation to the CMBS market. We also discuss distributions of North American REIT debt maturities across commercial real estate sectors, especially for the office sector, and what that means for the market. Finally, we touch on our outlook for the U.S. office market going forward. Related...
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A Comparative Overview Of U.S. And European BSL CLOs
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Analysts Daniel Hu, Rebecca Mun, and Abhijit Pawar join us to discuss U.S. and European BSL CLOs. First, we give a recap of a CLO panel at a recent S&P Global Ratings-hosted European Structured Finance conference, "Navigating Challenges; Seeking Opportunities," where amendments and extensions were a focus. We then deep dive into a comparative overview of U.S. and European BSL CLOs, going into specific similarities and nuances between CLOs from both markets.
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The First 'AAA (sf)' Rating Assigned To Chinese Consumer Finance ABS
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On July 28, 2023, S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'AAA (sf)' rating to the class A notes of Anyihua 2023 Phase III Personal Consumption Loan Asset Backed Securities, the first 'AAA (sf)' rating assigned by an international ratings agency to a securitization transaction in China backed by consumer finance assets. Analyst Andrea Lin joins up to discuss the analysis that went behind rating this transaction. We also discuss our outlook for China's consumer loan ABS sector as a whole.
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Covered Bonds Could Ease The Pain In European Commercial Real Estate
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We're joined by credit analysts Casper Andersen to discuss how covered bonds could ease the pain in European commercial real estate (CRE), which has been struggling with inflation and rising interest rates. First, we go into the price trends of different CRE segments. We touch on covered bond rating performance. Finally, we talk about the potential for covered bond funding, which varies significantly depending on the covered bond issuer and jurisdiction, and green covered bonds, which may offer a potential source for further CRE funding.
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Covered Bonds Take On Rising Pressures In Sweden, Norway, and Finland
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We're joined by credit analysts Andrew South and Casper Andersen to discuss covered bonds in Sweden, Norway, and Finland. Sweden has been experiencing rapidly rising consumer prices at a rate not seen in decades. Norway and Finland have been facing rising interest rates, which has had a dampening effect on property price. We talk about how the covered bond markets in all three jurisdictions have been faring under these conditions.
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Inside Global ABCP: Issuance Trends, Impact Of Recent Banking Events, And Alternative Financing Arrangements
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We're joined by credit analysts Dev Vithani, Joshua Saunders, and Maxime Pontois to discuss some of the alternative financing arrangements that are on an uptick in the asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) sectors in U.S. and EMEA and how they support issuance growth. We also discuss the impact of the recent events in the banking sector on the U.S. and EMEA ABCP markets. And finally, we go into our expectations for global issuance totals for this year.
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A Look At Rising U.S. BSL CLO 'CCC' Basket Scenarios And Their Effects On Junior O/C Test Cushions
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We're joined by CLO Sector Lead Stephen Anderberg and credit analyst Daniel Hu to discuss how rising U.S. broadly syndicated loan (BSL) CLO 'CCC' baskets could affect junior overcollateralization (O/C) test cushions. We detail how the mechanics of CLO O/C tests work and why the tests themselves matter. Then we deep dive into the scenario analysis we undertook to look at how the junior O/C test cushions could be affected by various hypothetical scenarios of rising 'CCC' baskets. Related Articles:
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European CMBS In A Rising Rate Environment
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We're joined by Mathias Herzog to discuss how the risk for the commercial real estate (CRE) loans we monitor in European CMBS has shifted to refinancing risk from term risk due to rising interest rates. We touch on default and refinancing risk on some of the loans in our surveillance book that are about to mature, as well as what would happen if a loan defaulted. We also break down the performance outlook of European CMBS deals by sectors.
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China Structured Finance 2023 Outlook
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Our host, Tom Schopflocher, is joined by Hong Kong-based lead analyst Andrea Lin to discuss our 2023 securitization outlook for China. We begin by recapping the broad Structured Finance issuance trends we are seeing in China and what’s driving them. We then go into detail on issuance trends in specific asset classes, such as RMBS, auto ABS, and consumer loan ABS.
info_outlineHost Tom Schopflocher speaks with credit analyst Alastair Bigley on key developments in the European RMBS market for first-quarter 2021. Performance has remained stable overall due to government support, with some deviation by country. Prepayments had started to increase again at the end of last year, but may slow as more borrowers move to fixed-rate products.