4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 04/23/2024
5-21-24 Will Ethereum ETF Sustain Market Rally?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The big debate in the SEC is whether Ethereum will be granted permisison to launch an ETF, a la Bitcoin, which would have the potential to boost Ethereum stock prices. Ethereum had a large jump on Monday in anticipation of the decision, which is about 75% probable the SEC will vote to approve. If, for some reason, the SEC does not allow the launch, the current market rally could be short-lived. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast:...
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5-20-24 Disinflation Remains The Bigger Risk
The Real Investment Show Podcast
NVDIA & Fed speakers are in the spotlight this week; stock buyback are running higher than normal. The risk of recession; when will the Fed cut rates? Durable Goods are in deflation; Services are seeing higher inflation, tied to discretionary spending. Markets finish previous week at all time highs; when will they pull back? Wathcing for a bullish cross of the 20- and 50-DMA. AI can now lie and cheat; bad economic news is good news; the majority of earnings growth is coming from ten stocks; the impact of retail sales, debt ratios, and falling consumer spending. The connection between...
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5-20-24 Markets are Prepared for a Bullish Cross
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets finished last week on a positive note after hitting all-time highs. The question will be whether or not we get a bit of a pullback: Markets are very over bought on a short-term basis, and still on a buy signal. So, for the short-term there does not seem to be a lot of downside risk. We're watching for a correction back towards the 50-DMA (which is sitting near the 20-DMA). The 20-DMA will likely execute a bullish cross over the 50-DMA in the next day or so. A pullback towards support would be very healthy for markets. Markets are not concerned about big headlines rooted in...
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5-17-24 How Long Will You Live?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Houston hit with tornadic storms; everything is going up: Stocks, Bonds, Gold...The Crypto Proposition: Brokers are like lemmings. Every investment is a story: Tech & Cryptocurrency; wrapping rules around your portfolios. The danger of over-confidence. Investing perspective is important. Avoid investing based on politics; the psychology of investing. Should you get out of the market? Baseball cards, G.I. Joe's, and Mortuary Museum: Planning for how long you'll live. Using life expectancy in portfolio & retirement planning. Social Security is longevity insurance. (www.livingto100.com)...
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5-16-24 It's a Mistake to Be Entirely Out of Equities
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets hit all-time highs with softer CPI: The biggest contributor was decline in Homeowners' Equivalent Rent. Markets are now anticipating two rate cuts this year. Consumers are showing signs of weakening; hardest hit are Gen-Z & Millennials. Stocks & Bonds rally on weaker CPI; markets are extremely over bought. Look for a re-test of the 50-DMA with market corrective action anticipated. WalMart has decent earnings; consumer spending is what drives the economy. Quality of Employment numbers matter: Full Time vs Part Time Jobs; Why the Government's Employment formula is bogus. How we...
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5-16-24 When Bad Market News is Good News
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Bonds rallied, Stocks rallied, and Gold rallied all across the board, thanks to a weaker than expected CPI Print which suggested the Fed will cut rates at least two times this year. It was a risk-on day. Markets closed the day at their highs; they are extremely over bought at this point, and that would infer that some type of corrective action is in the offing. (Markets are also very deviated from normal ranges of their moving averages.) Remember, in order to have a moving average, you have to have trading above AND below that average over a period of time. Big deviations lead to a re-test of...
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5-14-24 The Bull is Back
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Roaring Kitty is back with resurgence of GameStop stock; the insanity returns. Jerome Powell already knows the CPI numbers for tomorrow: What are markets expecting vs what he will say? Citi Surprise Index showing more signs of economic weakness; evidence the consumer is slowing down. Markets flopped around Monday but earned another green candle. We're expecting a pullback to test the 50-DMA; there is risk in economic data from the lag effect. Markets typically lead the economy by 6 to 9-months. More Coffee talk, living in Europe, and why we don't invest internationally (where can you make the...
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5-14-24 Can Hotter CPI Trigger Correction?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets spent much of Monday flopping around but finishing the day with a green candle. Markets are still overbought and still on a buy signal, so we're expecting correction within a few days: Nothing major, but a healthy pullback to re-test the 50-DMA and alleviate the overbought conditions. The risk in the data is the lag-effect, which could produce a hotter-than-expected CPI print. Most of Wall Street is expecting cooler numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which would put pressure on markets. numbers, but there is not a zero chance of a hotter CPI number, which...
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5-13-24 Bounce Back Ends April Correction
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets' bullish trend continues; no reason to be sitting in cash now. Economic data is proving to be a mixed bag. Consumers' creativity for accessing funds they shouldn't be touching for continued spending. Markets are back to overbought; wait for a pullback to add exposure. What's moving markets: The Fed or AI? When the Fed supplies liquidity, fundamentals take second chair. Fundamentals, however, will save you in a market downturn. Will AI be a game changer? "Ready Player One" is the ultimate outcome of AI. There are now emerging energy concerns for powering AI. Imperative to know what...
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5-13-24 Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets' April correction has created a bounce off support at the 100-DMA, and now markets are retesting March's highs. Markets have been up for eight days straight, and on a solid buy signal, are now back up to "overbought." Markets are likely to struggle for a few days, unable to make much headway higher. The months of June and July should be fairly decent months, given that this is an Election Year. If you're looking to add exposure, we're suggesting waiting until markets provide some kind of a pullback. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent...
info_outlineMarket Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA?
SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come?
SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind
SEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before Retirement
SEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social Security
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Economic Warning From The NFIB"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/
"Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s
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