52 - The Acquirer's Multiple with author Tobias Carlisle (Interactive Book Review)
Release Date: 12/01/2019
The DIY Investing Podcast
Both momentum investing and value investing provide excess returns. This episode outlines how I plan to profit from both forms in my investing process. Specifically, price and business momentum will be added to value investing. The use of price momentum should limit my losses when mistakes are made. Meanwhile, by analyzing business momentum I am likely to reduce the probability of making mistakes.
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The process of researching stocks requires a significant amount of time investment. You should optimize the time you spend researching by focusing on three questions: Cheap? Good? Safe? You should be able to answer in ten hours or less.
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In this episode, I discuss the coffee can portfolio approach to investing. This investing strategy involves never selling a stock once it is bought. Therefore, you must seek high-quality companies with long runways for growth and high returns on capital.
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In this episode, I outline my top investing goals for the new year. I aim to identify 2 new companies worth buying and my goal is to attain a 20%+ annual return for 2021. I also cover process-based goals relating to how to go about investing research. Finally, I would like to pass the Series 65 exam so that I can begin managing money for outside clients.
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Many value investors lack a clear strategy on when to sell stocks in their portfolio. This decision ought to be based on opportunity cost, potential investment mistakes, intrinsic value, and return differential between old and new companies.
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An investment is any investment operation that utilizes a margin of safety, provides an adequate return of 10% or more, earns that return from fundamental cash flows, is a positive-sum game, and bounded by a range of prices and terms.
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Terminal Value is the net present value of all future cash flows discounted back to a specific year in the future. Intrinsic value is fixed, but your estimate of intrinsic value will change over time.
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The Deflation Myth has been accepted primarily because economists have used false assumptions in their analysis and because debtors, namely world governments, tend to hold massive political and cultural power. It is in their best interest to convince you that deflation is bad so that they can inflate away their debts. Yet, most investors are harmed more by inflation than they would be by deflation.
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Be conservative when valuing companies. Don't give managers credit where they don't deserve it. Enterprise value should only be used when companies hold debt. Yet, you should only buy companies with net cash.
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The best way to identify good stock ideas is to copy a watchlist of investors you trust and respect. Their best ideas can form a strong foundation for your watchlist.
info_outlineBook: The Acquirer's Multiple by Tobias Carlisle
If you enjoyed this podcast episode and would like to learn more about Deep Value Investing, consider purchasing the book through one of the following affiliate links.
- Available at Amazon for Kindle
- Available at Audible as an Audiobook
- Available at Amazon as a Paperback
Thank you for your support.
How to connect with Tobias Carlisle
- Follow his work on Twitter: @Greenbackd
- Tobias Carlisle's Website:
- AcquirersMultiple.com
- His website includes a Free Deep Value Stock Screener
- Tobias Carlisle's ETF:
- https://acquirersfund.com/
- Ticker: ZIG
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You can find out more information by listening to episode 11 of this podcast.
Show Outline: Interview with Tobias Carlisle
The full show notes for this episode are available at https://www.diyinvesting.org/Episode52
Book: The Acquirer's Multiple (Interactive Review with Author)
- Deep Value Investing
- Is Deep Value only a good strategy when control situations are viable?
- Activists benefit deep value investors beyond themselves
- Mid-Cap Stocks are a prime market because of so many activists
- Negative Enterprise Value Stocks – Great portfolio for investors without liquidity restrictions
- The Acquirer’s Multiple: EV / Operating Earnings
- A multiple of 10 or less or a 10% earnings yield is a good target
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- How could Mean Reversion fail or stop working? (Key Deep Value Assumption)
- Can Business Analysis be learned? (And is it even worth it?)
- What value does a portfolio manager provide over a computer in the deep value space?
- Tobias’s ETF: ZIG (‘ZIG when the market zags’)