2005: The Current State and Future of Rental Housing: Exploring COVID-19's Impact, Demand Surge, and Challenges for Affordable Housing with Jay Parsons
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Release Date: 05/29/2023
2304 FBF: Nominal Dollars vs Real Dollars & Understanding Investor Psychology with Investment Counselor Sara
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
This Flashback Friday is from episode 304 published last Mar 6, 2013. Jason talks with investment counselor, Sara, about investor psychology, overcoming obstacles and getting out of our own way. The smoke-and-mirrors propaganda perpetuated by mainstream media (lamestream media as Sarah Palin says) in reporting the new high in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). They almost always fail to distinguish between nominal dollars and real dollars. Jason illustrates how investors have actually lost money in inflation adjusted dollars and how the Dow has to increase a lot more...
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2303: Navigating Today's Real Estate Market: Insights for Investors, The Housing Shortage and Your Investment Opportunities
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Jason talks about the current state of the housing market, emphasizing that there is no housing crash due to the low number of financially distressed homeowners. He shared updated statistics from the US Census Bureau, indicating that 39.8% of homeowners have no mortgage, and 65% have mortgages at or below 4%. Jason also highlighted the oversupply in the high-end market and encouraged potential buyers to reach out to his investment counselors for opportunities. Jason then finishes his talk with Vince of RE social as they discuss the advantages of single-family homes, highlighting their...
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2302 FBF: America's Economic Outlook said John Mauldin Author and Publisher of ‘Thoughts From the Frontline’
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
This Flashback Friday is from episode 298, published last February 4, 2013. On this show, Jason Hartman talks with one of his investment counselors about current events, welcomes a guest caller and also brings to our listening audience the economic outlook from renowned financial expert, John Mauldin. Mauldin discusses “spending rearrangement”, a restructuring of our country’s spending problem and tax code, and how the election outcome influences the direction of that restructuring. The larger the government becomes, the smaller the private sector becomes – not an ideal situation...
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2301: From Speculation to Stability: Building Wealth with Buy & Hold and Self-Management
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Jason discusses real estate investing, highlighting current market conditions where a slight home sales increase is overshadowed by affordability issues due to higher mortgage rates. He argues that the "in irons" market, characterized by modest price appreciation, benefits rental property owners through steady cash flow and increasing rents due to limited buyer activity. He emphasizes real estate as a multidimensional asset and cautions against non-direct investing, citing risks of fraud, incompetence, and excessive management fees, using a Starbucks CEO's compensation as an example. He...
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2300 FBF: Paula White: Donald Trump's Faith Advisor on the President's Deep Faith
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
This Flashback Friday was published last June 17, 2020 on YouTube. Pastor Paula White shares what it is like to advise Donald Trump on faith and explains the President's surprising deep faith that she discovered while working with him for 19 years. Paula gives viewers some advice on how to think about what’s occurring in our world, and to reckon with these new changes. She says that God doesn’t send these difficult times, but that God does allow us to use these times to become stronger and better. Jason points out that while some people are in a decent place, many others are having a...
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2299: Market Reality Check: Housing Trends & Investing Insights, Mortgage Rates, Construction Costs & the Rental Opportunity
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Jason shared the sad news of the passing of his beloved dog, Coco, and discussed the current state of the housing market, highlighting the impact of rising mortgage rates and the challenges faced by the construction industry. He discusses the "perfect storm" impacting real estate: spiking mortgage rates, rising construction costs, labor shortages, and reduced inventory due to aging boomers. These factors signal increasing value for rental property owners. Hartman debunks market crash predictions, like exaggerated Phoenix listing data, emphasizing per capita analysis and sustainable investing....
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2298 FBF: How Income Inequality Can Be Good for Society with Libertarian Legal Scholar Richard Epstein Professor at NYU School of Law
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
This Flashback Friday is from episode 312 published last April 10, 2013. Professor Richard Epstein, pioneering Libertarian legal scholar, joins Jason Hartman to explain how income inequality is good for society, but is very dependent on the methods used to produce the best outcome. The current methods our government are attempting to use are causing job losses, it blocks gains in trade, the need for further public assistance increases, which in turn increases taxes, “yet another implicit drain on voluntary transactions,” Richard illustrates. He provides examples to...
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2297: Housing Market Insights: Navigating a Shifting Landscape of Prices and Affordability and Evolving Buyer Behavior in a Changing Market
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Jason announced changes to the podcast schedule and discussed economic trends, particularly in the housing market. He emphasized the importance of adapting to market realities and taking calculated risks in real estate investment. He also covered various aspects of the current economic landscape, including inflation's impact on housing, mortgage market stability, and the potential for future market shifts. Despite persistent interest rates and prices, some homebuyers are entering the market due to life events, realizing they "can't pause their life." This signals buyer capitulation and...
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2296 FBF: Geopolitical Outlook & Income Property Investing with Bud Conrad Author and Chief Economist of Casey Research
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
This Flashback Friday is from episode 301, published last February 21, 2013. Jason Hartman interviews Bud Conrad, Chief Economist of Casey Research, regarding the geopolitical focal points in our world, funneling these down to how it all affects the United States. Bud mentions the importance of looking at the big picture of what is happening in the world, particularly China becoming the new “mover” in the world, Japan’s apparent desire to destroy its currency, new technology, government overreach, who benefits from inflationary measures and monetary policy, and much more. Author of the...
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2295 Index Insights with Rahul Sen Sharma: Trade, Tariffs, and Market Outlook
Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman
Jason and Rahul Sen Sharma, an expert on indexes from Index (INDXX), discuss global economic shifts, trade wars, and the stock market. His company tracks over $20 billion in index-based assets, aiding companies in creating indexes, ETFs, and funds. He emphasizes focusing on long-term macro trends over daily market noise, highlighting "re-globalization" as a key shift driven by supply chain vulnerabilities and a desire for friendly-shoring and near-shoring. While tariffs may offer short-term benefits to some countries like India and Mexico, the focus should be on transformative trends like EVs,...
info_outlineToday, Jason talks about the importance of focusing on rental yields and overall return on investment rather than speculative appreciation. While rental prices have been decelerating, they are still increasing by over 4% annually. Visit https://www.jasonhartman.com/ for property investment information and a free video on how to read a proforma for real estate investment and check out his social media accounts for shorter real estate investing lessons.
Jason welcomes rental housing economist Jay Parsons for part 1 of today's podcast. Jay serves as Senior Vice President, Chief Economist for RealPage, leading the Economist and Industry Principal teams to provide deep insights on market trends and consumer behaviors. He is a frequent author and speaker on topics affecting multifamily apartments and single-family rentals, including rental housing investment and asset management strategy, rental housing policy issues, risk mitigation and property management.
Jay has been cited in The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg, The Financial Times, The Economist, and The New York Times, and he has appeared on CNBC and BloombergTV. His commentaries have been published by Barron's, the Pension Real Estate Association, the Mortgage Bankers Association, the National Apartment Association, American Banker and GlobeSt.
Jason and Jay discuss the current state and future of rental housing. He highlights the roller coaster nature of the rental market, with a slowdown during the COVID-19 pandemic followed by a surge in demand in 2021. Rent growth has been strong, although it has moderated compared to the previous years. The rental market's performance varies by geography, with some areas experiencing a slowdown while others remain strong.
Jay also discusses the influx of new multi-family inventory in the market, which reached a 50-year high due to strong demand and construction activity. While there may be short-term imbalances between supply and demand, Jay emphasizes the long-term need for more housing supply. He believes that the rental market, including both single-family rentals and multi-family apartments, will continue to experience strong demand due to demographic factors. Millennials and Generation Z are entering the market, and the housing market will benefit from their demand for rental properties.
However, Jay acknowledges the challenge of providing affordable and workforce housing. Most new construction caters to higher-income households, and building affordable housing is easier said than done. The cost of land, labor, and materials, as well as regulatory restrictions, pose significant obstacles to affordable housing development. Nimbyism (Not In My Backyard) attitudes and opposition from neighbors and local governments further complicate the issue. Jay emphasizes the need to bridge the gap between ideals and practical implementation to address the shortage of affordable housing effectively.
Key Takeaways:
Jason's editorial
1:17 Rental rates are going up!
2:41 Watch the video crash course on "How to read a Proforma" on https://www.jasonhartman.com/ and follow me on Instagram and Twitter
4:06 My Europe trip, loosing my luggage and standing up to the corporatocracy!
14:21 Uncertain economic outlook keeps renters where they are, pushing cap rates up
Jay Parson interview
16:11 Welcome Jay Parsons; rental rates are closer to normal
17:41 It's all dependent on geography
20:47 Demographics, household formation age and the demand tailwinds
22:48 Building affordable workforce housing
26:41 So many requirements to build cheap new houses which brings the cost way up
28:00 A little hope from Florida
29:35 Moving up or down the socioeconomic ladder
32:22 The rent to income ratio, tracking apples & oranges
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