The Short and Long Term Risks of the Current Stock Market and Economy
Your Personal Bank
Ferenc shares the short and long term risks to the current stock market and the overall economy. Short-term: - AI Bubble - Extreme valuations (all-time highs) - Extreme concentration in a few tech stocks - Nvidia: about half of sales from only 3 companies Long-term: - Higher bond yields caused by government debt and stubborn inflation - Increased borrowing costs - Generally bad for stock and real estate valuations How do you take advantage of future...
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Is the AI Bubble Starting to Burst?
Your Personal Bank
Ferenc discusses the parallels between the current tech stock market bubble and the dot-com era, emphasizing the risks of overvaluation and potential corrections. He recounts a listener's 100% return on tech stocks and warns of the dangers of not locking in gains. Ferenc highlights the MIT study showing 95% of companies saw no return on AI investments, and the potential for a severe market correction. He also addresses the Federal Reserve's new inflation target and the implications for interest rates. Ferenc advises on risk management strategies, including annuities and cash value insurance,...
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Is the AI Bubble Starting to Burst?
Your Personal Bank
A recent MIT study found that 95% of companies have received no benefit from generative Artificial Intelligence (AI). Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, recently warned of an AI bubble. Altman compared the current AI frenzy and the 1990's dotcom bubble when company valuations spike dramatically before crashing. The poster child of the dotcom craze was Pets.com. It was backed by Amazon. Pets.com reached a valuation of $410 million before going bankrupt about a year later. CoreWeave is an AI company backed by Nvidia. After the MIT study, its stock dropped 33%....
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The S&P500 has Hit the Highest Valuations in History!
Your Personal Bank
Regardless of how you measure the S&P500, it is at the highest levels in history. The current valuations are higher than 1929 and 1999. The S&P500 Price to Sales Ratio has hit 3.2, the highest level ever recorded. The top 10% largest companies account for 76% of the US total equity market. This is a new all-time record. The top 10 companies in the S&P500 are nearly 40% of the total S&P500 valuation. They also account for nearly all of the gains over the past couple of years. The remaining 490 companies in the S&P500 have declined in...
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The Buffet Indicator Has Hit 2x Standard Deviation for the 3rd Time Since 1950
Your Personal Bank
The Buffett Indicator is a measure of the total market capitalization of publicly traded companies to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Warren Buffett called it "probably the best single measure of where valuations stand at any given moment". The Buffett Indicator has hit 2 times standard deviation for the 3rd time since 1950. Two times standard deviation is double the average value. This means the overall stock market is double the average value. Previously, the Buffett Indicator hit this level in 1969 and 2000. Both times the stock market had...
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The Trade Deals Give Reasons for Optimism Yet the Transition will Likely Create Volatility
Your Personal Bank
Trump has Announced Several Astounding Trade Deals The terms on the recent trade deals are very favorable for the United States. - Japan: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, $550 billion joint-venture investment, 90% profit to US. - South Korea: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, open market to US, $350 billion investment in US. - European Union: 15% tariff, no tariff for US products, $750 billion US energy purchase, $650 billion investment in the US. The...
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There are Significant Tax Opportunities Due to the Big, Beautiful Bill
Your Personal Bank
Ferenc cuts through the noise and politics and continues to share significant tax opportunities for many people due to the Big, Beautiful Bill that is now passed as law. The US government's lack of financial responsibility creates an opportunity. This is the "Golden Era" of fixed assets. The best rates in 40+ years! Insured with guarantees. - Your Personal Bank policies are insured, with guarantees, income tax-free, highly liquid, and likely to increase returns for the next 5-10 years due to higher bond yields. - Fixed Index...
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Economists Created a Model of the US Economy using NASA Computers. The Model Crashed Due to the Federal Debt.
Your Personal Bank
Some leading economists and mathematicians built a computer model of the US economy to run various scenarios. Because this was such a big math problem, they used thousands of NASA and Amazon computers. The computers were unable to create a working model because of the rising debt. Us Government Debt is currently over $36 Trillion. The increasing interest on the debt is unsustainable. The computers projected interest on the debt would consume one-third of all tax revenues within a decade. In 20 years, interest on the debt was estimated to be about 80% of tax revenue. With the...
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The Big, Beautiful Bill has Passed. What is in it? How Will it Affect Your Money?
Your Personal Bank
There is a lot of confusing info regarding the Big Beautiful Bill. Forget the noise or the politics. What are the facts on some of the key aspects? No Tax on Tips: up to $25,000 of tip income is tax-free plus your standard deduction of $15,750 for singles, $31,500 for married filing jointly. Social Security Tax: Social Security Administration estimates 88% of seniors will no longer pay taxes on Social Security benefits. - $24,000: average Social Security benefit - $15,750: standard deduction for singles - ...
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Brigham Blackham Interview, host of the Levelin' Up Podcast
Your Personal Bank
Brigham Blackham empowers top leaders through the art of storytelling. With a background in teaching Mandarin and theater, he combines his expertise in communication and leadership to help entrepreneurs elevate their stories and drive impact through personal & professional development. As host of the Levelin' Up Podcast, Brigham focuses on building relationships that foster collaborative capitalism—unlocking growth through meaningful connections and shared success. He is a master connector to help you identify the ideal resources to take your life & business to the next...
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Ishan Patel was also a national finalist for Ernst and Young Entrepreneur of the Year.
Out of 1,100 nominated businesses, he placed top 40 in the nation and top 5 of all emerging businesses.