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2024 United States Sentencing Guideline Amendments: A Front Row Seat to the Kabuki Theatre

Set For Sentencing

Release Date: 11/25/2024

Maxwell's Silver Hammer (PART II): Transfer to Minimum Camp & Sentencing Post Mortem show art Maxwell's Silver Hammer (PART II): Transfer to Minimum Camp & Sentencing Post Mortem

Set For Sentencing

In Part II of our deep dive into the Ghislaine Maxwell case, we begin with BOP Prison consultant, Walter Pavlo of prisonology.com to talk about her transfer to a minimum security camp.  Then, we resume with  Mark Allenbaugh of sentencingstats.com for one of our famous "sentencing post-mortems" to see what we can learn from Maxwell's sentencing proceeding.    IN THIS EPISODE: Maxwell's unprecedented transfer to a minimum camp; Cheers for the government for understanding the power of narrative lies in the specifics; Cheers to the defense for creating a theme (Epstein’s...

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Maxwell's Silver Hammer:  Part I show art Maxwell's Silver Hammer: Part I

Set For Sentencing

The saga of Jeffrey Epstein is ongoing and ever-present in the news.  And there are powerful lessons to be learned.  But the talking heads are mostly just spinning their wheels.  So, if you're seeking some straight talk and inside scoop about all of it, you've come to the right place.   This is a 2-part episode, as there is much ground to cover.  The title, of course, is an homage to the great Beatles song.  But in truth, Ms. Maxwell does indeed wield a hammer.  The Trump folks want to use it to do damage control and she's looking to dig a tunnel out of...

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Set For Sentencing

An independent judiciary is the cornerstone of a healthy democracy. But judges are under attack.  Therefore, we must stand the post and protect judges from intimidation, unlawful prosecution, incredulous calls to impeach, or worse. And, when it comes to federal criminal sentencing, judicial independence is also crucial to the fair administration of justice.   But judicial independence has been undermined for decades by adherence to the stringent, dehumanizing, US sentencing guidelines. Since 2005, these guidelines have been discretionary, yet many judges and lawyers continue to...

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For My Enemies, the Law: The Return of Kilmar Abrego-Garcia show art For My Enemies, the Law: The Return of Kilmar Abrego-Garcia

Set For Sentencing

The Trump administration stated that Kilmar Abrego-Garcia would never return to US soil. But they just back-tracked and brought him back.  Unfortunately he now faces federal prosecution under a new indictment for conspiracy and alien smuggling.  The bigger problem is the govt. has gone to great lengths to wage an extra-judicial smear campaign against him, with a variety of other horrendous allegations. It remains to be seen whether this indictment represents a genuine pursuit of justice or is influenced by political motives. IN THIS EPISODE: The many red flags in the Indictment and...

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Due Process Denied (PART II):  Kilmar Abrego-Garcia and the Due Process Denied (PART II): Kilmar Abrego-Garcia and the "Great Replacement"

Set For Sentencing

In understanding the current administration's draconian deportation policies, nothing makes sense except in the light of white supremacy.  The underlying animating force of these policies, openly stated by Tom Homan during a white house press conference, is "the great replacement theory".  Propagated by white nationalist, white supremacist fascists, operating in and out of government, it's a lie that has resulted in depraved acts of racist and antisemitic violence (See Southern Poverty Law Center link below).    Sadly, the DHS, ICE, and other federal agencies have become...

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Due Process Denied: Kilmar Abrego-Garcia (PART ONE) show art Due Process Denied: Kilmar Abrego-Garcia (PART ONE)

Set For Sentencing

America might have moved on from Kilmar Abrego-Garcia, but we have not. So, ask yourself:  What happens when the U.S. government indefinitely sentences someone to a foreign prison without any due process and no one stops them? In this episode (part 1 of 2), I appear on Justin Yentes's podcast "Truth Be Found" to discuss the implications of this case.  Justin is an amazing criminal investigator, whom I've worked with in the past, especially on capital matters.  We were also joined by former gang member, now consultant, Angel Garcia, to pull back the curtain and talk about about...

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George Santos Sentencing Post-Mortem show art George Santos Sentencing Post-Mortem

Set For Sentencing

On Friday, April 25, George Santos learned his fate, at his fraud sentencing in federal court. He had two years since his indictment to walk the walk, demonstrate extreme remorse and acceptance, and take meaningful steps to address the problems that got him here and convince a judge he wouldn’t make the same mistakes again. But the government painted him as an unrepentant fraudster who was bound to reoffend, and the judge agreed, giving him a sentence at the very high-end of the guidelines. Therefore, Mark Allenbaugh and I went live on YouTube to conduct one of our world-famous “sentencing...

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Seismic Shift:  Big Changes to the Sentencing Guidelines & the Country show art Seismic Shift: Big Changes to the Sentencing Guidelines & the Country

Set For Sentencing

Although we often complain about the sentencing guidelines, this week, I find myself thankful that we still live in a country that has courts and due process, in the federal criminal courts.  At least for now.  So today, we celebrate the death of guideline departures, lament the death of due process in immigration, and worry for the future of this democracy. That's why we start off talking about the plight of Kilmar Garcia-Abrego, a person lawfully in this country who was abducted by brownshirt immigration thugs and stolen away in the night to a concentration camp in El...

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Reign of Terror:  Tesla, Luigi Mangione, & Beyond show art Reign of Terror: Tesla, Luigi Mangione, & Beyond

Set For Sentencing

I'm back. I've been in hibernation for the last couple of months, basically paralyzed by what can only be described as a rapid descent into authoritarian hell.  In his seminal work, "On Tyranny", Timothy Snyder warns:  "Listen for dangerous words. Be alert to the use of the words extremism and terrorism. Be alive to the fatal notions of emergency and exception. Be angry about the treacherous use of patriotic vocabulary."  So, today's podcast is brought to you by the letter "T" for "terrorism". The government is going to great lengths to brand anyone who dares question the...

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Anchor's Aweigh:  New Policies and New Proposed Guidelines Find Us Unmoored in 2025 show art Anchor's Aweigh: New Policies and New Proposed Guidelines Find Us Unmoored in 2025

Set For Sentencing

I call this episode “Anchor’s Aweigh” for two reasons.  First, there is a potential seismic shift in federal sentencing coming, which would go far to eliminate what we call the dreaded “anchoring effect” of the draconian and deeply dysfunctional sentencing guidelines. If this passes, it will likely be the biggest change in guideline sentencing since Booker was decided twenty years ago. The other reason for the title is because the achor’s up on the new ship of state, and anyone paying attention should feel deeply unmoored.  The vessel is powering through...

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More Episodes

On November 1, several amendments to the United States Sentencing Guidelines took effect. Some of these changes are significant, offering advantages to the defense, while others are less beneficial.

However, ultimately, this process amounts to nothing more than "Kabuki Theatre," meaning the tortured guideline applications become merely performative, because 18 U.S.C. § 3553, enables discerning judges to overlook the sentencing recommendations provided by the guidelines.

Thus, it is crucial to be informed about these amendments to argue effectively whether and how they should be considered in the final analysis.

 

IN THIS EPISODE: 

  • Some eye-popping facts and stats after forty years of guideline sentencing;
  • Relevant conduct amendment to now exclude acquitted conduct (but it comes with a big but…)
  • Possibility that new litigation may void the Kisor fix because of commission overreach by overriding congress and/or resolving circuit splits;  
  • The “Kisor” work-around to fix the intended loss issue under the fraud guideline;
  • The implication and larger application of the Kisor workaround – i.e., support for the argument that for other guidelines, if it’s in the commentary, it doesn’t count;
  • Clarification of the new Zero Point Offender provisions (ZPO) to deny eligibility for anyone who gets an upward role adjustment;
  • And, perhaps the one bright spot, adding a potential downward departure for “youthful offenders” (mid-20’s or less);
  • Practice tips for navigating the  new guidelines provisions;
  • Information on reaching out to the commission for future proposed guideline amendments.

 

LINKS: 

United States Sentencing Guidelines online:  https://guidelines.ussc.gov/apex/r/ussc_apex/guidelinesapp/home

 

My new Album!  The guidelines are 40 years old, which is also when I picked up my first guitar.  So, yes, I had to give a shameless plug for my first rock record, "One Good Thing", which is available everywhere you stream your music!  Music is another creative outlet that keeps me sane and quiets my brain:   https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=OLAK5uy_kyVV0Qs1xMGqXQYZlzHzBgUlA7A35aENI

 

FAREWELL 2024!!!!

This will be the last new episode of 2024.  As always, I wanted to thank you for listening, constributing, liking, subscribing and spreading the word about Set for Sentencing.  We have been going strong for over two years now, and the show was recently ranked #7 among the 35 “must-follow” Criminal Defense podcasts in 2024, via Feedspot (35 Best Criminal Defense Podcasts You Must Follow in 2024). 

So, per a tradition I started in 2023, I’ll be taking the rest of the year off!  The remaining episodes of the year will be re-broadcasts of either other podcasts I have appeared on or some earlier episodes I adore and may have been overlooked when the audience was smaller.  

2025 will be a wild ride, and we’ll be right here with you, buckled up and ready to roll.   Until then, I’m grateful for all of it, and I hope you find some peace, light and love as the year winds down.