The Daily Ticker: EP6: David Trainer, New Constructs. A deeper look into earnings.
Release Date: 04/13/2023
Episode 18: Most Traders Chase Entries. The Winners Master This Instead.
Stock Trading Pro
In this "Stock Trading Pro" podcast episode, host Pete Renzulli argues that successful trading depends on mastering probability, risk/reward ratios, and position sizing - rather than finding perfect entry signals. He demonstrates that a trader with a 40% win rate and 1:3 risk/reward ratio will outperform one with 60% wins but 1:1 risk/reward, emphasizing that mathematical discipline trumps prediction accuracy. The key principles include tracking actual win rates, maintaining strict stop-loss discipline at predetermined 1R levels, and risking only 1-2% per trade through proper position...
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Episode 17: Navigating Late-Stage Market Rallies
Stock Trading Pro
Episode 17: Navigating Late-Stage Market RalliesProven Strategies for Cautious Bulls, Sector Picks, and Options Trading Summary Navigating the late-stage market cycle: How to stay cautiously bullish while avoiding potential pitfalls Mastering the art of chart-reading: Discover why respecting technicals is crucial for trading success, no matter your opinions Traders vs. Investors: Uncover the surprising differences in how they approach the market and what you can learn from each The mysterious bond-stock connection: How the 10-year Treasury yield influences the stock...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 16: Succeeding Despite Adversity
Stock Trading Pro
How to embrace the right mindset to succeed despite challenges that might seem like adversity but are actually the right lessons at the right time. Pete Renzulli | Stock Trading Pro https://stocktradingpro.com/invite Visit our YouTube channel for training. Be sure to subscribe. https://www.youtube.com/c/StockTradingPro?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Me on Twitter: I. Introduction A. Market is set to reach all-time highs B. Importance of reducing position size 1. Been talking about for weeks 2. Critical when market is not clearly...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 14- Coaching Call Recap: Trade Management
Stock Trading Pro
Introduction Importance of understanding normal stock behavior Emphasizing the need to trade based on probable outcomes Importance of Volume Identifying institutional attention Using volume to determine potential stock movement Tracking unusual circumstances in a journal Analysis of Stock Behavior Utilizing average true range and average volume Understanding the significance of these metrics Accumulation and Distribution Patterns Explaining the concept of accumulation and distribution Recognizing the relationship between price action and volume Conclusion ...
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The Daily Ticker: EP14: The AI Stocks Bubble
Stock Trading Pro
In today's episode of The Daily Ticker we discuss the bubble in AI stocks and whether or not it's too late to buy or if the party is just getting started. Is this a stock story for the ages or just another algorithm fueled mania? "Is this time different?" We discuss why that's an expensive belief. We welcome back David Trainer of Other topics include the laughable posts on social media by traders blaming the talking heads for missing the tech rally. We review the tape reading concept of "less bearish but not yet bullish" and show the sector rotation unfolding in healthcare stocks. We...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 13-DIS or NFLX, Who has better cash flow? With David Trainer
Stock Trading Pro
David Trainer from joins us today to discuss cash flow, margins and optimistic expectations. I think today's podcast will open your eyes to the difference between cash flow and sales. Bill Ackman has famously said that If so, why are some stocks with negative cash flow considered valuable? DIS stock is currently $91 per share. NFLX sits at $363 per share. The stock market has voted, and Netflix has the higher number. But is a stock priced at 3X the competition always a better investment? What should we consider before deciding a stock is undervalued? Today we discuss business models,...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 12-Live Trading Replay
Stock Trading Pro
If you've ever wondered how exciting it is to be a professional trader, this is your behind the scenes access to our Stock Trading Pro community. A full sixty minutes of trading, stock picks, sector rotation, market analysis and motivation. You'l hear a deep dive into properly using the market internals and how we build arguments for profitable trades. NOTICE: This episode will only be available to the public for until the end of May 2023 The #QQQ made new 52 week highs on this day (5-18-23 and it turned into a glorious day to make money. Very proud of our community. In this episode...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 11-How Successful People Think. Mastermind Recap.
Stock Trading Pro
The Daily Ticker: EP 11-How Successful People Think. Mastermind Recap. Today's podcast goes behind the scenes of my recent mastermind event in West Palm Beach FL. These events are for high achievers to share what's working and why. A huge part of the discussion key is taking action on the how. Strategy, tactics and the reasons why they work give you a path, but without action the information is worthless. Taking action in the face of uncertainty, and dealing with adversity is a skill. And today you'll learn exactly how to add these important steps to your trading goals. We dive into the...
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The Daily Ticker: EP 10-AAPL & NVDA Growth Potential, With David Trainer
Stock Trading Pro
On today's episode of the Daily Ticker David Trainer breaks down the current stock price of both AAPL and NVDA to determine if buying these great companies at current levels makes for a good investment. When this podcast was recorded (5-3-23) AAPL was near all-time highs and scheduled to report the next day. And on April 18, 2023, NVDA received two upgrades and a price target raise of 100% by HSBC. (See article below). David reviews optimistic scenarios, and likely scenarios for both companies. It's fascinating to see the New Constructs analytics , the raw numbers (based on historical bests...
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The Daily Ticker: EP9: Tesla & Netflix Earnings – David Trainer
Stock Trading Pro
In today's episode of the Daily Ticker David Trainer, CEO Of breaks down the expectations for Tesla, Netflix and IBM. Each company reported earnings this week. David reviews how New Constructs analytics calculates several scenarios for future growth of each company using the current stock price and his Reverse DCF models. Netflix and Tesla have some work to do in order to justify the current price levels. But to start the discussion we thought it would be fun to review the concept of GAP, Growth Appreciation Period. Gap is a fascinating topic that considers the expected duration a...
info_outlineToday's episode of The Daily Ticker Podcast welcomes David Trainer of New Constructs to bring a deeper analytical look at stocks and a longer term view of the markets.
David also discusses the major difference between "economic earnings" and the typical GAAP earnings that most investors are seduced into and the expensive problem it creates.
Episode Topics:
- Sector rotation: Out of tech and into healthcare.
- Macro trends at S&P 500 and sector breakdowns.
- David's take on Financial contagion. Is it over? Will this lead to a credit crunch?
- Bank earnings coming up. Any solid companies to like and why?
- Tesla reported solid delivery numbers but lowered prices, typically not a good sign for margins. The market seems to not like the news.
- A review of Tesla's stock price and what it implies about future growth.
- David looks at the financials of two other auto manufacturer stocks that look interesting, and possibly undervalued.
New Constructs
https://www.newconstructs.com/
"Core Earnings contains information about future performance that is incremental to Street Earnings."
HBS & MIT Sloan professors
Episode Downloads
1. Tesla Update: How This Stock’s Outrageous Valuation Could Destroy All Zombie Stocks
https://www.newconstructs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/TeslaUpdate_2022_14_2022-1.pdf
2. Latest report on JPMorgan
https://www.newconstructs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/LongIdea_UpdateJPM.pdf
3. Macro Research: Economic Earnings vs GAAP Earnings Across the Entire Market & All Sectors
https://www.newconstructs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/NC2000_SectorEconomicEarningsVsGAAPEarnings4Q22.pdf
4. Macro Research: Price vs Economic Book Value Trends for the S&P 500 and All Sectors
https://www.newconstructs.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/SP500_SectorPEBVEconomicBookValue_4Q22.pdf
Society of Intelligent Investors
https://www.newconstructs.com/society/
Pete Renzulli | Stock Trading Pro
https://stocktradingpro.com/invite
Visit our YouTube channel for training. Be sure to subscribe. https://www.youtube.com/c/StockTradingPro
Follow Me on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/PeteRenzulli
Contact:
[email protected]
Disclaimer:
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