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E151: WW3 risk, War with Iran?, 4.9% GDP, startup failures growing, new Speaker & more

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

Release Date: 10/27/2023

Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal show art Massive Somali Fraud in Minnesota with Nick Shirley, California Asset Seizure, $20B Groq-Nvidia Deal

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! Nick Shirley joins the show to discuss his recent investigation on potential daycare fraud in Minnesota (3:32) Nick's background, how he got into investigative reporting and YouTube, independence, finding this story (16:36) Why this fraud story is resonating, why the national press initially avoided it (30:08) Future plans, California, possible Al-Shabaab connection, how high up does Minnesota's fraud go? (49:15) What the scale of fraud means for America, Minnesota's future, potential patronage scheme (1:09:06) CA's wealth tax: normalizing the seizure of private property...

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All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special show art All-In x Kill Tony: A Hilarious Holiday Special

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Intro! (2:47) Tony Hinchcliffe roasts the Besties (15:01) Interview: Kill Tony success, MSG rally, origin story, free speech in Europe (36:03) The Besties play Kill Tony! (50:14) The 2025 Bestie Awards: Business, Politics, Tech, and more Thanks to our partners for making this happen! IREN: OKX: Google Cloud: Follow Tony: Follow the besties:  Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit:

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Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026 show art Scott Bessent: Fixing the Fed, Tariffs for National Security, Solving Affordability in 2026

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent joins the show (0:55) Recapping 2025 and the state of the economy (3:13) Tariffs: Leverage, legal challenges, implementation (15:20) Affordability: inflation, BLS data, interest rates (23:00) The Fed: biggest mistakes, how we got a 15 year asset bubble, rate cycle, appetite for US debt, Fed Chair candidates (42:44) Focus on Main Street, taking equity stakes in American companies (50:40) Tax cuts, Trump accounts, economic legacy Follow Secretary Bessent: Referenced in the show: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on...

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Bernie Sanders: Stop All AI, China's EUV Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026? show art Bernie Sanders: Stop All AI, China's EUV Breakthrough, Inflation Down, Golden Age in 2026?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:19) Bernie Sanders calls for AI datacenter moratorium, how to solve the negative perception of AI (17:15) Anti-AI astroturfing: Is the AI sentiment manufactured by special interests? (32:39) Economy: Unemployment, jobs, inflation, are we primed for a "Golden Age" or not? (51:44) Dog Corner! (59:56) China's major AI breakthrough: lithography, impact on the AI race? (1:19:43) Are the rest of the Besties moving to Texas? Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced...

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Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs. Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes show art Tucker Carlson: Rise of Nick Fuentes, Paramount vs. Netflix, Anti-AI Sentiment, Hottest Takes

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Tucker joins the besties! (4:11) Paramount vs Netflix: bidding war over Warner Bros Discovery (25:40) What's behind the rise of Nick Fuentes and America First? (49:13) Understanding the Anti-AI sentiment (1:21:52) Tucker in 20: Venezuela, Midterm issues, fall of Europe, Qatar, Charlie Kirk investigation, leaving NATO, supporting Israel Follow Tucker: Check out Battalion Metals: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show:

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OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line? show art OpenAI's Code Red, Sacks vs New York Times, New Poverty Line?

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros (0:12) OpenAI declares "Code Red" as competitors eat away ChatGPT market share (28:14) David Sacks vs. New York Times (51:24) New poverty line, America's slow descent into socialism Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show: Sacks's AI waiver: Sacks's Crypto waiver:

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Molly’s Game Uncensored: The Truth Behind the World’s Most Infamous Poker Game show art Molly’s Game Uncensored: The Truth Behind the World’s Most Infamous Poker Game

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Molly Bloom joins the besties live in Las Vegas! (1:48) Did Jason actually play in "Molly's Game"? (3:23) Molly's background, starting the game, getting strong-armed by a famous actor, getting stiffed for $250K and losing the game (16:54) Moving the game to NYC, mob involvement, legal troubles, writing her memoir and making the movie (31:10) Best celebrity poker players, high-stakes poker archetypes, and more (34:31) Sales coaching advice Thanks to Oracle! Join Oracle AI Experience to discover how Oracle is your partner for accelerating your AI journey. Follow Molly: Follow the...

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Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom show art Epstein Files Fallout, Nvidia Risks, Burry's Bad Bet, Google's Breakthrough, Tether's Boom

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros LIVE from The Venetian Las Vegas (1:13) Epstein Files breakdown (10:06) Biggest Epstein questions: where did his money come from? (14:44) Tether's booming business (23:50) Michael Burry vs. Friedberg, Nvidia's blowout quarter and risks for 2026 (35:25) Google's Gemini 3 and TPU breakthrough (42:51) Investing your own money vs. LP capital, why Friedberg returned as a CEO (48:57) Alan Keating joins the show to talk poker strategy, thriving in chaos, risk psychology Special thanks to The Venetian Las Vegas for hosting us!: Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!: Follow...

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Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth show art Home Affordability Crisis, Palantir's Advantage, Big Short on AI, H-1B Abuse, Solar Storm Hits Earth

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Michael Burry's big short against AI (12:00) Why Palantir is so richly valued vs other tech companies (20:07) Home affordability crisis: Mortgage innovation, building, top priorities to win mid-terms (36:18) H-1B debate flares up again after Trump's comments on Fox News (42:37) Science Corner: Solar storms, coronal mass ejection, risks (51:14) Rich Americans fleeing "the great confiscation"   Join us at the All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.com/events   Follow the besties:  https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg...

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Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option show art Does OpenAI Need a Bailout? Mamdani Wins, Socialism Rising, Filibuster Nuclear Option

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Brad Gerstner joins the show! (0:49) OpenAI's rough week: Altman's controversial comments on BG2, CFO's "federal backstop" faux pas, clarifications (18:33) Why Jensen Huang said “China is going to win the AI race.”; the need for a federal framework on AI (30:39) OpenAI's strengths and headwinds: breakout product, trust issues, competition, betting on the AI supercycle (36:47) Holiday party announcement! allin.com/events for tickets (39:19) State of the market, consumer is cracking, need for domestic/"main street" wins, is Trump losing the middle class? (1:05:58) Zohran wins NYC,...

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More Episodes

(0:00) Bestie intros!

(1:16) WW3 risk, is WSJ trying to escalate US vs Iran?

(22:02) Nuclear risks

(33:28) Best case scenarios for de-escalation

(40:34) Murky macro picture: Main Street disconnects from Wall Street, startup shutdowns, challenged returns

(1:09:14) Cruise robotaxi accident update

(1:12:59) Hurricane Otis's rapid progression and the second-order effects on US coastal communities

(1:24:47) Jason reflects on his time in the Middle East

(1:31:09) New House Speaker and Trump case update

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://linktr.ee/calacanis

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow the pod:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/09/28/world/europe/russia-ukraine-war-map-front-line.html

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/us-israel-gaza-ground-invasion.html

https://unherd.com/2023/10/republican-hawks-now-want-a-war-with-iran/

https://www.latimes.com/nation/la-oe-heilbrunn-iran-framework-republican-neocon-response-20150403-story.html

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/oct/09/no-evidence-yet-of-iran-link-to-hamas-attack-says-israeli-military

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/blinken-says-no-direct-evidence-iran-was-involved-hamas-attack-israel-rcna120110

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/hamas-fighters-trained-in-iran-before-oct-7-attacks-e2a8dbb9

https://www.reuters.com/article/israel-palestinians-usa-senator-idAFS8N3BG0A6

https://www.wsj.com/articles/bidens-red-line-moment-with-iran-9e1bbf5a

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iran-israel-hamas-strike-planning-bbe07b25

https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/iranian-backed-militias-mount-new-wave-of-attacks-as-u-s-supports-israel-d51364d4

https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/ukrainian-counteroffensive-pierces-main-russian-defensive-line-in-southeast-9441e204

https://www.cnn.com/2023/07/07/politics/joe-biden-cluster-munitions-ukraine/index.html

https://nypost.com/2023/10/15/biden-insists-us-can-tend-to-both-ukraine-and-israel-at-the-same-time

https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/Nuclearweaponswhohaswhat

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1717049864180379761

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/world/middleeast/erdogan-turkey-hamas-israel.html

https://jordantimes.com/opinion/daoud-kuttab/king-abdullah-calls-peace-immediate-stoppage-war-gaza

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2023-10/gdp3q23_adv.pdf

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1716608344264470868

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fddce62ff-33dd-4a38-a659-25e192825c29_1250x630.png

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CART:NASDAQ

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/KVYO:NYSE

https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/bank-americas-unrealized-losses-securities-rose-1316-bln-2023-10-17

https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/24/dmv-immediately-suspends-cruises-robotaxi-permit-in-california

https://getcruise.com/news/blog/2023/a-detailed-review-of-the-recent-sf-hit-and-run-incident

https://www.politico.com/newsletters/politico-nightly/2023/10/25/mike-johnson-is-a-social-conservatives-social-conservative-00123619

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/25/democrats-opposition-mike-johnson-house-speaker-00123624

https://www.nytimes.com/2023/10/25/us/politics/mike-johnson-house-speaker.html

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9017431/Farting-sound-heard-twice-Rudy-Giulianis-voter-fraud-hearing-Michigan.html

https://thosenerdygirls.org/can-farts-spread-covid