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Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

Release Date: 08/09/2024

Trump wins! How it happened and what's next show art Trump wins! How it happened and what's next

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) California rejects progressives (1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US Get tickets for The...

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Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election! show art Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats Get notified for the Election Night...

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Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks show art Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: ...

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Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY show art Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show:

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JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024 show art JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55) Fixing the Southern Border (32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in...

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Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey show art Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris? Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: ...

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Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024 show art Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk! (1:23) The Battle of Free Speech (10:24) Potential government efficiency agency (27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (38:27) The 80/20 AI Future (54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Follow Elon: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit:

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In conversation with Mark Cuban show art In conversation with Mark Cuban

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump (1:31:47) Selling a...

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John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024 show art John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit:

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OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war show art OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war

All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show: ...

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More Episodes

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID!

(3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues

(27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"?

(45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position

(55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes

(1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate

Follow the besties:

https://twitter.com/chamath

https://twitter.com/Jason

https://twitter.com/DavidSacks

https://twitter.com/friedberg

Follow on X:

https://twitter.com/theallinpod

Follow on Instagram:

https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod

Follow on TikTok:

https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod

Follow on LinkedIn:

https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod

Intro Music Credit:

https://rb.gy/tppkzl

https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg

Intro Video Credit:

https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect

Referenced in the show:

https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8

https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate

https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained

https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan

https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22

https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316

https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html

https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE

https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ

https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ

https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087

https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves

https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ

https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling

https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764

https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474

https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates

https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice

https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852

https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143

https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html

https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291