DeepSeek Panic, US vs China, OpenAI $40B?, and Doge Delivers with Travis Kalanick and David Sacks
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Release Date: 01/31/2025
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:58) Reacting to Trump targeting China and postponing all other reciprocal tariffs (21:21) Measures for success of tariffs, debating the impact of letting China into the WTO (46:14) Is the US being exploited on trade? Was free trade a mistake? (1:02:01) Recession chances, How the Trump administration gathers information (1:19:39) Future of the Democratic Party, Abundance agenda, DOGE (1:51:00) The Besties recap the debate and Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony Follow Larry: Follow Ezra: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) The Besties welcome Ben Shapiro and Antonio Gracias (1:54) Why Antonio is helping out and what it's like working with DOGE (4:56) DOGE's latest findings: illegal immigration, social security, and more (27:59) Was Biden's open border policy a Dem strategy to expand their voter base? (39:55) Tariffs: Liberation Day chaos, reactions, strategy (55:26) Impact, consequences, and risks for the Trump Administration (1:13:50) How the US can thrive in a high-tariff world (1:31:33) Future US political landscape if the tariff strategy fails (1:42:27) Chamath recaps his best-performing asset of 2025...
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(0:00) Friedberg and Jason are live from Austin! (2:51) How building an audience has impacted the Besties (11:15) Colin & Samir join the Besties! (12:01) Evolution of short-form and long-form content (22:18) Business models for creatives (35:04) Advice to up and coming creators (42:10) Chris Williamson joins the Besties! (50:17) Making it seem effortless (57:47) Monetizing content (1:05:02) Scaling a one-man show (1:19:15) Bryan Johnson joins the Besties! (1:20:13) Spotify’s move to video (1:21:21) Bryan’s Ketamine experience (1:28:03) Creators and value props (1:36:52) Issues with the...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) The Besties welcome Gavin Baker back on the show! (1:20) Nvidia balance sheet questions, CoreWeave IPO, M&A/IPO bounce back (16:22) US vs China in AI: Manus, China building its own Nvidia, and more (28:37) The Administration's endgame for tariffs (53:05) Signalgate: context and fallout (1:09:42) El Salvador deportations Follow Gavin: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show:
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Welcoming Cyan Banister and David Sacks! (3:23) Behind the scenes of the Besties in DC: White House, cabinet interviews, and more (33:00) How M&A will be unleashed, Google buys Wiz for $32B, Tim Walz on Tesla (49:09) Deep dive on Google/Wiz: breakup fee, impact on VC, ROIC, cloud advantage (1:00:28) Treasury vs Fed tension, Bond markets, consumers, deregulation (1:12:57) Space rescue, SpaceX vs China, lunar landing Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Hims: https://www.hims.com | Gemini: iTrustCapital (use code allin): Follow Cyan: Follow the besties: Follow on X: ...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg welcome Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick! (1:10) Howard describes his 30+ year relationship with President Trump and his road from business to politics (14:44) Running Trump's transition team, DOGE origin story, what it's like working for Trump (38:01) Balancing the budget and fixing GDP (52:21) Tariff history and strategy, global trade (1:10:34) Trump Cards, building better government software, AI thoughts (1:22:49) Sovereign Wealth Fund strategy (1:37:16) How his family reacted to his new role Thanks to our partners for making this happen: Gemini: Hims: | ...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Chamath and Friedberg describe their adventures in DC and welcome Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent! (2:12) Scott's background, what drew him to equities, the role of macro investors (7:22) The legendary trade that broke the Bank of England in 1992, and how it relates to Main Street vs Wall Street today (21:30) Scott explains the Trump Administration's economic strategy (32:45) How this administration plans to de-regulate the economy, Fed relationship, re-financing debt (42:06) DOGE, DC grifts, shakeup at the IRS (50:51) Re-engineering social security through the US SWF, how energy...
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(0:00) The Besties intro Andrew Schulz! (3:29) Friedberg hits a quick Science Corner on the future of fertility (9:35) Reacting to Gavin Newsom's new podcast: genius or pandering? (19:36) Tariff experiment so far: risks, communication issues, and more (30:44) Why the American Dream is broken and how to fix it: cracking the housing market, social security reform (55:45) Aligning upside via increased stock market participation (1:11:23) How Andrew blew up in comedy, going direct via YouTube, building a cancel-proof following (1:22:25) State of America, conspiracy obsession, thoughts on Trump and...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) The Besties welcome Joe Lonsdale! (3:51) Jason recaps an eventful week in Washington (8:29) Trump's tariffs: endgame, impact, chaos, master plan (26:25) DOGE, IRA grifting, do campaign contributions need to be capped? (53:42) CoreWeave IPO (1:03:36) Trump 2.0 favoring Main Street over Wall Street, bond market breakdown, re-balancing the economy (1:14:19) State of Ukraine/Russia, the Western alliance, and how techno-optimism plays into the future of defense pacts (1:24:31) GPT-4.5, Grok 3 on X, and the Golden Age of language models (1:33:47) All-In for F1 Miami! (1:37:34) David Sacks...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Bestie intros (1:41) Epstein files first release underwhelms (4:40) Friedberg recaps his experience on Celebrity Jeopardy! (14:22) State of autonomous robots (21:06) Comparing annual reports from Stripe and Adyen; Stripe's network effects, stablecoin infra, and the pace of AI company building (29:12) State of the market: stocks, tariffs, spending bill, the "great reset" (49:07) Trump's Gold Card (56:19) Sophisticated investor test, changing accreditation laws (1:06:57) USPS, Bezos refocuses the WaPo's opinion page Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on...
info_outline(0:00) The Besties intro Travis Kalanick!
(2:11) Travis breaks down the future of food and the state of CloudKitchens
(13:34) Sacks breaks in!
(15:38) DeepSeek panic: What's real, training innovation, China, impact on markets and the AI industry
(50:14) US vs China in AI, the Singapore backdoor
(1:01:51) OpenAI reportedly in talks to raise ~$40B with Masa as the lead investor
(1:10:37) DOGE's first 10 days
(1:25:13) Future of Self Driving: Uber, Waymo, Tesla
(1:38:04) Fed holds rates steady, how DOGE can impact rate cuts
(1:44:17) Fatal DC plane crash
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Intro Music Credit:
Intro Video Credit:
Referenced in the show:
https://github.com/deepseek-ai/DeepSeek-R1/blob/main/DeepSeek_R1.pdf
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/27/nvidia-sheds-almost-600-billion-in-market-cap-biggest-drop-ever.html
https://x.com/shrihacker/status/1884414667503853749
https://x.com/balajis/status/1884975064283812270
https://www.fool.com/earnings/call-transcripts/2025/01/29/meta-platforms-meta-q4-2024
earnings-call-transcri
https://x.com/mrexits/status/1885017400308806121
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/why-distillation-has-become-the-scariest-wordfor-ai-companies-aa146ae3
https://techcrunch.com/2024/12/27/why-deepseeks-new-ai-model-thinks-its-chatgpt
https://x.com/rauchg/status/1875627666113740892
https://www.ft.com/content/a0dfedd1-5255-4fa9-8ccc-1fe01de87ea6
https://x.com/satyanadella/status/1883753899255046301
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox
https://x.com/pitdesi/status/1883192498274873513
https://x.com/rihardjarc/status/1884263865703358726
https://x.com/austen/status/1884444298130674000
https://x.com/america/status/1884372526144598056
https://x.com/DOGE/status/1884396041786524032
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFSD
https://x.com/Jason/status/1884671945800573018
https://abcnews.go.com/538/trump-starts-term-weak-approval-rating/story?id=118146633
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/01/15/cpi-inflation-december-2024-.html