Iran's Breaking Point, Trump's Greenland Acquisition, and Solving Energy Costs
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Release Date: 01/17/2026
All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Bestie intros: Travis Kalanick joins the show! (0:42) Mamdani taxes the rich: new pied-à-terre tax coming to NYC (11:23) OpenAI's identity crisis: Leaked memo, enterprise pivot, Anhropic valuation flip (27:28) Big Tech's compute dominance: How will this impact frontier labs? (33:53) Allbirds stock up over 400% on AI pivot, and what's behind the datacenter disaster? (54:37) The Price is Wrong: Name That Overvalued Startup ROUND 1 (59:23) Eric Swalwell drops out of CA governor race and resigns from Congress: Who knew what and when? Impact of the Democratic Machine (1:10:31) State of...
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(0:00) Bestie intros: Brad Gerstner joins the show! (4:22) Anthropic blocks Mythos release for security concerns: serious or marketing stunt? (24:07) Are OpenAI and Anthropic trying to kill OpenClaw? Does Anthropic already have market dominance in AI coding? (42:20) Anthropic $30B run rate, fastest revenue ramp ever, the TAM for intelligence (58:01) Major vibe shift: Anthropic ripping, OpenAI reeling (1:10:12) Iran War: Ceasefire, Israel's influence, market impact Apply for Summit 2026: Follow Brad: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on...
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(0:00) Jason intros PA Governor Josh Shapiro (1:40) Shapiro's blueprint for PA: pro-growth, pro-freedom, less red tape, prosecuting fraud (13:05) Wealth tax debate, what Dems are getting wrong on business (20:17) 2024 Democratic collapse, future of the party, socialist wing (38:12) How Congress has become "pathetic," political corruption (47:18) Antisemitism, Netanyahu's failures, and the chaos of the Iran War Follow Gov. Shapiro: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit:
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(0:00) Friedberg Intros Palantir’s Shyam Sankar and Anduril’s Trae Stephens (0:56) Palantir Origins: CIA Analyst Joins 20-Person Startup (2:54) War, Deterrence & Silicon Valley's Defense Tech Taboo (8:39) US vs China: Drone Gap, Shipbuilding & 2027 Taiwan Threat (12:27) Anduril's Arsenal-1 Factory & Fixing US Munitions Supply Chain (41:48) Autonomous Weapons, AI Decision-Making & Future of War (47:15) Anthropic vs Pentagon: Ethics of AI in Combat (50:39) Palantir Surveillance State Claims (55:57) Anti-Defense Culture Origins: Vietnam, Snowden & Foreign Influence Axon.ai...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:12) SpaceX IPO, the economic opportunity of space: a new industrial frontier (21:00) 2026 IPO explosion, OpenAI down round? (36:33) Iran War costs, fertilizer crisis, downstream impacts (49:58) Trump's Iran messaging problems, Bondi out, why the US is in Iran (1:04:18) Quantum Bitcoin hack possibilities, how crypto should react Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show:
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(0:00) Bestie intros!: Friedberg for Governor of California? (2:25) Anthropic's generational run (15:45) OpenAI: getting focused or panic mode? (36:56) AI valuation impacts, moats, and disruption (43:58) Liquidity speaker announcements, the 100x AI moment (50:35) Two landmark social media verdicts against Meta (1:12:46) Sacks and Friedberg join PCAST! Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit: Referenced in the show:
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(0:00) David Friedberg intros Bryan Johnson (0:54) Why Bryan Johnson did 5-MeO-DMT (12:56) What brain scans actually show (18:36) Psychosis, bad trips, and life-altering decisions (26:23) The next frontier: organoids and gene therapy (33:26) GLP-1s, abundance, and human optimization (35:35) The longevity drug nobody's talking about? Thanks to our partner for making this happen! The Pod by Eight Sleep cools your bed to 55°F and uses Autopilot to optimize your sleep, all night. Use code ALLIN at for up to $350 off. Follow Bryan: Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: ...
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(0:00) Intro live from Nvidia GTC (0:37) CoreWeave CEO, Michael Intrator (32:58) Perplexity CEO, Aravind Srinivas (1:07:11) Mistral CEO, Arthur Mensch (1:18:57) IREN CEO, Daniel Roberts Our episode is sponsored by the New York Stock Exchange - a modern marketplace and exchange for building the future. It all happens at the NYSE - Follow the besties: Follow on X: Follow on Instagram: Follow on TikTok: Follow on LinkedIn: Intro Music Credit: Intro Video Credit:
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(0:00) Matt Mahan: Why He's Running for Governor (1:51) How California Went From Bad to Worse (12:05) Public Sector Unions & Lobbying in Sacramento (19:05) California's Housing Crisis: Regulation & Fees (34:52) California Energy Crisis: Gas Taxes & Green Policy (43:57) The $1 Trillion Pension Time Bomb (1:02:37) Trump, Tariffs & the Rise of Dangerous Populism (1:09:14) Immigration Reform: ICE & the Path to Legal Status Follow Matt Mahan: Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks...
info_outlineAll-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
(0:00) Jensen Huang joins the show! (0:26) Acquiring Groq and the inference explosion (8:53) Decision making at the world's most valuable company (10:47) Physical AI's $50T market, OpenClaw's future, the new operating system for modern AI computing (16:38) AI's PR crisis, refuting doomer narratives, Anthropic's comms mistakes (20:48) Revenue capacity, token allocation for employees, Karpathy's autoresearch, agentic future (30:50) Open source, global diffusion, Iran/Taiwan supply chain impact (39:45) Self-driving platform, facing competition from active customers, responding to growth slowdown...
info_outline(0:00) Bestie intros!
(4:18) Iran's breaking point: regime change coming?
(14:28) Solving energy prices: Microsoft first hyperscaler to "pay its own way" and subsidize residential electric costs
(31:18) OpenAI's compute deal with Cerebras, the renaissance in decode silicon
(35:09) Billionaire backlash in California: Wealth Tax exodus
(56:13) Greenland acquisition: Why it's crucial
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Intro Video Credit
Referenced in the show:
https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-january-31
https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-iranian-regime-fall-by-the-end-of-2026
https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0364
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115884759090137876
https://www.ft.com/content/3f392c9b-c07d-42f5-b000-0a7347ad1ec0
https://x.com/chamath/status/2011486582386106387
https://x.com/friedberg/status/2011703965143220457
https://x.com/chamath/status/2011197387830935777
https://polymarket.com/event/will-trump-acquire-greenland-before-2027