Kaleidoscopic Credit: Searching for Clarity in an Atypical Credit Cycle
Release Date: 07/06/2022
China: Projections for 2025
All the Credit
Amid global complexities, China's economic outlook presents both challenges and opportunities that are crucial to investment considerations. In this episode of All the Credit®, we weigh possible growth scenarios for China, the impacts of tariffs, private sector confidence, and property sector challenges. We assess the nation’s fiscal strategies, rising social unrest, and geopolitical tensions with the U.S. and Taiwan. PGIM Fixed Income’s Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Shikeb Farooqui, PhD, Lead Asia Economist. Recorded on January 9, 2025.
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High Voltage: Exploring Developments Across the U.S. Electric Grid
All the Credit
Accelerating demand growth for U.S. power has wide ranging investment implications. In this episode of All the Credit®, we explore the complexities surrounding the demand for power generation driven in part by AI advancements and data centers, discussing logistical implications, regulatory challenges, and regional power dynamics. We address the potential role of nuclear energy and the risks for utilities and consumers amid rising power prices. PGIM Fixed Income’s Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research, hosts Michael Haigh, CFA, U.S. Leveraged Loans...
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Crude Realities: Analyzing the Outlook for Oil and Energy Markets
All the Credit
What challenges and opportunities lie ahead for oil markets amid looming oversupply and fluctuating demand? In this episode of All the Credit®, we delve into the outlook of crude oil, exploring supply-demand dynamics, geopolitical risks, and potential impacts from the 2024 U.S. election. We examine various energy subsectors and the financial health of U.S. energy companies. PGIM Fixed Income’s Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Dave Winans, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst.
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Recent Global Elections—from the Ballot Box to Fiscal Policy
All the Credit
As the geopolitical landscape continues to shift in light of recent global election results, the consequential economic effects are becoming a primary focus in the investment sphere. This episode dives into the latest election outcomes in both developed and emerging nations, the growing divide in electorates, and the impact of these elections on fiscal deficits. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income’s Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist, Mehill Marku, Head Geopolitical Analyst, Cathy Hepworth, CFA, Head of Emerging Markets Debt, and host...
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Inflation Shifts and the Bond Market Response
All the Credit
Amid global market volatility and potential economic shifts, understanding inflation's impact on bond markets is pivotal for informed investing. This episode delves further into this topic with a focus on developed markets such as the U.S. and Eurozone, exploring the potential path of rate cuts, the attractiveness of bonds versus cash, and how a reflation scenario could impact investment strategies. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income’s Katharine Neiss, PhD, Deputy Head of Global Economics and Chief European Economist, Robert Tipp, CFA, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of...
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The Business of Bonds with PGIM Fixed Income’s Co-CIO
All the Credit
Bonds are back and with fixed income gaining interest with investors, we’re taking an introspective look at our investment process and how we’re navigating current market dynamics here at PGIM Fixed Income. We touch on our scenario-based approach, investment views, the fixed income opportunity set we see ahead, and what it means for us as we construct portfolios. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income’s Greg Peters, Co-Chief Investment Officer, and host, Brian Barnhurst, CFA, Head of Global Credit Research. Recorded on May 31, 2024.
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Mapping Geopolitics in Emerging Markets
All the Credit
Navigating the volatile landscape of geopolitics and its implications on emerging markets has become critical in this uncertain economic climate. In this episode, we provide an in-depth analysis of the current geopolitical landscape, its profound impact on emerging markets, and the risk factors on our radar. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income’s Cathy Hepworth, CFA, Head of Emerging Markets Debt, Mehill Marku, Lead Geopolitical Analyst, and host, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist. Recorded on April 23, 2024.
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Deconstructing Commercial Real Estate
All the Credit
With significant repricing across all commercial real estate (CRE) sectors, normalizing rent growth, and rising expenses, it’s time to revisit and reassess the CRE space. Get our thoughts on the CRE market today, implications for the banking sector, and risk factors we’re monitoring. This episode features PGIM Fixed Income’s David Jiang, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, Jason Pan, CFA, FSA, Securitized Products Credit Research Analyst, and host, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist. Recorded on March 12, 2024.
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Pulse Check on U.S. Interest Rates
All the Credit
Despite fluctuating post-pandemic interest rates, the U.S. economy has shown unexpected resilience. Contrary to predictions of a possible recession the U.S. economy continues to show signs of economic growth. In this episode of All the Credit®, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, hosts Guillermo Felices, PhD and George Jiranek, CFA, two of PGIM Fixed Income’s global investment strategists, for an analysis of U.S. interest rate fluctuations and their ripple effect on the economy, including responses across sectors, shifts in consumer financial health, and labor market dynamics. Recorded...
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Insurance in an Inflationary Age
All the Credit
In the current climate of rising premiums and inflationary pressures, the insurance industry faces significant challenges. In this episode of All the Credit®, Tom Porcelli, Chief U.S. Economist, and Pinto Suri, U.S. Investment Grade Credit Research Analyst, examine the complexities of the auto and home insurance sectors, challenges facing issuers in the post-pandemic environment, effects on insurers' pricing strategies, implications for CPI, and considerations for investors. Recorded on January 25, 2024.
info_outlineThe current, compressed, and rapidly changing credit cycle, which has experienced dramatic swings in economics, policy, inflation, and corporate fundamentals, has been anything but typical. With a backdrop like this, investors’ and credit analysts’ heads are spinning trying to keep up! In this episode, Janet Crowe and Brian Barnhurst, CFA, PGIM Fixed Income’s Co-Heads of Credit Research, help us see the big picture in the underlying trends in corporate credit fundamentals, from earnings and leverage, to upgrades and downgrades, and more.
Host and Senior Portfolio Manager, Mike Collins, taps into the trio’s collective expertise to help assess how well equipped the corporate bond market is to withstand a potential slowdown. The episode also answers some key questions, including: which industries are likely to be the winners and losers as we move forward?; and where are the risks and opportunities? Find out in this episode of All the Credit®!
Recorded on June 27, 2022.