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The Upgrade: Episode 28: Material Shifts In Key Credit Stats Drove Downgrades To 'B-' And 'CCC'

CLOs Uncovered

Release Date: 06/16/2023

Colisee’s Credit Profile & Performance Trends show art Colisee’s Credit Profile & Performance Trends

CLOs Uncovered

In this episode, Hina and Sandeep are joined by Remi Bringuier to take a closer look at Colisee’s credit profile. We break down the most recent performance data, walk through our rationale for CCC rating category, and spotlight the key credit factors and trends we’re monitoring closely. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into corporate credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings' regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to. Related article: 

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Examining Babilou’s Credit Profile show art Examining Babilou’s Credit Profile

CLOs Uncovered

Hina and Sandeep are joined by Alphee Roumens to provide a granular view of Babilou’s credit Profile; the latest performance trends, discuss our rationale behind the CCC rating category, and highlight key areas we're monitoring closely. Our goal is to equip market participants with deeper, forward-looking insight into multi-asset class -Corporate Credits, CLOs, Leveraged Finance Deals through our regular podcast series. Each episode explores key credit features, sector-specific risks, and evolving trends we’re seeing across the deals we cover. Related Article:

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Infragroup show art Infragroup

CLOs Uncovered

Leveraged Finance & CLOs Uncovered Podcast: The story behind Infragroup’s positive outlook. Hina and Sandeep are joined by Christopher Ewert to discuss Infragroup’s strong operating performance, our current outlook for the company, and the areas we are closely monitoring. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into corporate credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to.   to view the related...

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Story Behind Cerba-Chrome Holdco SAS show art Story Behind Cerba-Chrome Holdco SAS

CLOs Uncovered

Hina and Sandeep discuss Cerba with Remi Bringuier, discussing our current expectations for the company's performance and the areas we are closely monitoring. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into Corporate Credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to.

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What's New For CLOs? show art What's New For CLOs?

CLOs Uncovered

After the summer break, Hina and Sandeep are joined by John Finn to discuss our recent Structured Finance conference, new features in CLO documentation, recent CLO performance, and future challenges faced by the market. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into Corporate Credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed to.

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Story Behind Ardagh Group And Its Debt Restructuring Risk show art Story Behind Ardagh Group And Its Debt Restructuring Risk

CLOs Uncovered

Series 6, Episode 5: Before we all break for summer, Hina & Sandeep discuss Ardagh Group with Desiree Menjivar over an in-depth analysis of Ardagh’s recent rating action and insights into the key factors shaping the company's performance, and the areas we are closely monitoring.

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How Does ASDA, Bellis Finco PLC’s, Rating Stack Up show art How Does ASDA, Bellis Finco PLC’s, Rating Stack Up

CLOs Uncovered

Leveraged Finance & CLOs Uncovered Podcast: How ASDA’s Parent, Bellis Finco PLC, compares with other food retailers in a highly competitive UK landscape. Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Raquel on credit fundamentals of Asda and its recent refinancing and S&P’s expectation for a future trajectory. Our aim is to provide market participants with further advanced analytical insight into Corporate Credits, CLOs and Leveraged Finance deals, with S&P Global Ratings regular podcast, based on key features we’re seeing in corporate credits and sectors that CLOs are exposed...

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The Credit Fundamentals of Merlin show art The Credit Fundamentals of Merlin

CLOs Uncovered

In our latest episode, Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Alphee Roumens on how Merlin continued to access capital markets to finance further growth and focus on its evolution post covid era and the areas we closely monitor.

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Uncovering Our Insights On Altice France Following It’s Recent Rating Action show art Uncovering Our Insights On Altice France Following It’s Recent Rating Action

CLOs Uncovered

Hina & Sandeep discuss Altice France with Justine Miquee over an in-depth analysis of Altice France's recent rating action and insights into the key factors shaping the company's performance, and the areas we are closely monitoring.

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How NordAnglia (Bach Finance) Continues To Access Capital Markets show art How NordAnglia (Bach Finance) Continues To Access Capital Markets

CLOs Uncovered

Series 6, Episode 1: Hina & Sandeep have a discussion with Raquel on credit fundamentals of Nord Anglia and despite raising $600 million term loan add-on, it is able to preserve its ratings, though reducing our recovery estimate for its senior secured debt.

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More Episodes

In this discussion, Minesh Patel, the US sector lead of Leveraged Finance at S&P Global Ratings, teams up with the Director of Leveraged Finance, Hanna Zhang, to explore the key insights presented in Hanna's latest commentary, titled "U.S. Leveraged Finance Q1 2023 Update: Ch-Ch-Ch-Changes -- Material Shifts In Key Credit Stats Drove Downgrades To 'B-' And 'CCC', And Upgrades To 'B-'."

Key takeaways from the article include:

  • Within 12 months leading to a rating action, higher debt service costs and slower profit growth were often the leading factors in downgrades to 'B-' and the 'CCC' category (CCC+/CCC/CCC-).
  • Median leverage for companies downgraded to the 'CCC' category rose to 15.5x as EBITDA all but dried up. It was 8x for entities rated 'B-'.
  • We estimate that roughly 37% of 'B' rated issuers employ interest rate hedges. Interest rate sensitivity for 'B-' rated companies is much higher, with roughly 19% employing hedges and 90% floating-rate debt exposure.
  • Speculative-grade borrowers may be returning to cash preservation, but 2022 was loaded with shareholder rewards and heavy working capital investment for companies rated 'B+' and higher.
  • Issues with recovery expectations within the 50%-70% range account for two-thirds of total new issuance in the first quarter of 2023, although average recovery expectations remain near the low end of the post-2017 average. 

The commentary to the related article:

https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research/articles/230504-leveraged-finance-u-s-leveraged-finance-q1-2023-update-ch-ch-ch-changes-material-shifts-in-key-credit-st-12711927

The hyperlink to the interactive dashboard.

https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/research-insights/sector-intelligence/interactives/us-leveraged-finance-q1-2023