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2456: 42 Macro: Interest Rate Realities and the Federal Reserve Strategy

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Release Date: 08/05/2026

2460: 2021 SMART Goals! 5-Year Investment Plan show art 2460: 2021 SMART Goals! 5-Year Investment Plan

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

This Flashback Friday is from episode 1630, published last January 4, 2021. New Year, New Goals, Same proven asset class! Jason Hartman invites you to celebrate with him another fantastic year of prosperity for all real estate investors practicing some of Hartman’s proven investment techniques. Following the celebration, we must look for the “what next” plan or goal. How do you build your goals? Do you write them down? Do you create realistically achievable goals?  Contest:   Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN   _______________________________________________________________...

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2459: The Hartman Risk Evaluator- Reducing Downside Risk Through Land to Improvement Ratios show art 2459: The Hartman Risk Evaluator- Reducing Downside Risk Through Land to Improvement Ratios

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Jason provides an overview of real estate investment strategies aimed at maximizing returns while minimizing potential losses. He introduces the Hartman risk evaluator and the Land to Improvement (LTI) ratio as essential tools for making conservative, informed financial decisions. Listeners are encouraged to utilize Property Tracker software to analyze metrics such as inflation-induced debt destruction and the significant tax advantages of cost segregation. Additionally, he highlights new financing options, including 40-year terms and low-down-payment loans for both domestic and international...

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2458: Direct Investment vs. The Pitfalls of Real Estate Passive Investing with Michael Zuber show art 2458: Direct Investment vs. The Pitfalls of Real Estate Passive Investing with Michael Zuber

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Real estate experts Michael Zuber and Jason Hartman analyze common reasons why aspiring investors fail to achieve success. They argue that direct ownership is superior to passive syndications because it prevents investors from being exploited by dishonest or incompetent managers. They emphasize finding a "middle path" between over-analyzing data and being recklessly impulsive, suggesting that true wealth requires a decade-long commitment rather than a "shooting star" mentality. To succeed, individuals must focus their capital on a specific asset class while maintaining geographic diversity...

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2457 FBF: Harvey Silverglate – How the Feds Target the Innocent with Author of ‘ Three Felonies A Day’ show art 2457 FBF: Harvey Silverglate – How the Feds Target the Innocent with Author of ‘ Three Felonies A Day’

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

This Flashback Friday is from episode 472 published last February 5, 2015. In today's Creating Wealth intro, Jason invites his real estate counselor, Sara, on the show. Sara is excited about the Chicago real estate market. She is seeing some movement there as well as client interest. She also gives a friendly reminder to the Creating Wealth audience to make sure you do your due diligence with your income property to avoid any hassles and headaches.  Jason gets right into the show today with his guest, Harvey Silverglate. Harvey Silverglate is an attorney, writer, and advocate for civil...

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2456: 42 Macro: Interest Rate Realities and the Federal Reserve Strategy show art 2456: 42 Macro: Interest Rate Realities and the Federal Reserve Strategy

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Jason features Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, who provides a sophisticated analysis of the current economic landscape and its impact on interest rates. Dale argues that investors expecting mortgage rates to decline significantly will be disappointed, as structural shifts in global savings and a move toward easier monetary policy may perversely drive long-term yields higher. He introduces the concept of "play action pass" to describe a Federal Reserve that might briefly tighten rates to gain credibility before pivoting to a dovish stance by late 2026. The discussion also explores...

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2455: Repricing Risk: Why Higher Rates are Triggering the Commercial Domino Effect with Michael Zuber show art 2455: Repricing Risk: Why Higher Rates are Triggering the Commercial Domino Effect with Michael Zuber

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Michael and Jason discuss a potential surge in mortgage rates to 7.5%, a shift they believe will severely impact housing affordability and market transactions. They predict that while high rates hurt flippers and wholesalers, "buy and hold" investors can benefit from rising rents and less competition from buyers. They highlight a brewing commercial real estate crisis, specifically in office and multi-family sectors, where a lack of liquidity may force massive foreclosures. Despite these challenges, Jason views single-family rentals as a...

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This Flashback Friday is from episode 1649 published last February 17, 2021. Jason Hartman tees up an interview with Dan Amerman about the home being an investment. But before that, are the wind turbines helping or just blowing smoke? Currently, they’re frozen. What has “the tolerant” tastelessly said about Rush Limbaugh’s passing?  Wealth is created with compound interest, making your dollar work for you. Dan Amerman talks with Jason Hartman about understanding, The Homeowner Wealth Formula. Dan says, “one way at looking at the mortgage is that it’s a short against...

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2453: The Delisting Dilemma and the $500,000 Equity Trap: Why Homeowners Refuse to Sell with Rick Sharga show art 2453: The Delisting Dilemma and the $500,000 Equity Trap: Why Homeowners Refuse to Sell with Rick Sharga

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Rick Sharga, founder of CJ Patrick Company, discusses current housing market conditions and economic trends. Rick explains that despite mortgage rates tripling since the pandemic, the housing market has shown resilience with 49 consecutive months of year-over-year price increases, though sales volume remains down for three years. He noted that while affordability remains a challenge with a $40,000 wage gap for median-income buyers, recent data shows pending sales and mortgage purchase applications running ahead of last year, suggesting pent-up demand may soon drive market recovery. Rick...

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2452: Housing Obsolescence and the Supply Crisis: Navigating the Market Until the Mid-2040s with Michael Zuber show art 2452: Housing Obsolescence and the Supply Crisis: Navigating the Market Until the Mid-2040s with Michael Zuber

Creating Wealth Real Estate Investing with Jason Hartman

Real estate experts Jason Hartman and Michael Zuber examines current demographic trends and their long-term impact on the housing market. They argue that while birth rates are declining, factors like migration and increased longevity maintain demand, suggesting a major supply shift won't occur until the mid-2040s. They emphasize the massive wealth gap between homeowners and renters, noting that owning property remains the most effective way to build net worth. Furthermore, they highlight how inflation acts as a beneficial tool for investors by eroding the real value of mortgage debt....

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2451 FBF: Jawad Mian – Global Macro & Middle East investments, Stray Reflections show art 2451 FBF: Jawad Mian – Global Macro & Middle East investments, Stray Reflections

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This Flashback Friday is from episode 646 published last March 15, 2016. If you are using microeconomics to plan for your future you may be ready to sell your assets and buy a “Preppers guide to self-sustainability”. But, if you take a step back and look at the bigger picture of macroeconomics you will see that it’s an amazing time to be alive. Jason’s guest Jawad Mian says “the key is to watch the disruption”. Manufacturing may be at an all time low but the services provided by Silicon Valley and the tech industry will offset any economic loss with growth, just in different terms....

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Jason features Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, who provides a sophisticated analysis of the current economic landscape and its impact on interest rates. Dale argues that investors expecting mortgage rates to decline significantly will be disappointed, as structural shifts in global savings and a move toward easier monetary policy may perversely drive long-term yields higher. He introduces the concept of "play action pass" to describe a Federal Reserve that might briefly tighten rates to gain credibility before pivoting to a dovish stance by late 2026. The discussion also explores geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and new leadership at the Fed, suggesting these factors contribute to a regime of persistent inflation. Ultimately, Dale emphasizes that housing affordability will remain a long-term challenge due to a global capital shortage and the Fed's changing strategy.

 

Key Takeaways:

Jason's editorial

0:00 Regardless of the environment

3:44 US single-family rental vacancy rate

5:32 Cost Segregation on the proforma in PropertyTracker.com

7:33 Home Equity Investment EquityLiberation.com

11:30 Speak to your Investment Counselors 1-800-Hartman Ext. 2

12:22 A note on housing inventory and affordability

 

Darius Dale interview

15:58 Wall Street risk management

18:23 Interest rates will eventually break the LOCK-IN effect

26:45 The 'non-plan' of Kevin Warsh

31:50 What do you mean "interest rates"

33:54 Timing and the mortgage rates

39:21 The Trump factor

43:01 War and Wages

48:44 Housing Affordability

55:39 Conclusion and Accessibility of Research

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