Doug Casey's $10,000 Bet: Trump Won't Finish His Term
Doug Casey's Take
War Expands, Trump’s Security Fears, and the Case for Commodities as AI Accelerates The speakers discuss the ongoing war and recent reports of Trump appearing fearful, citing images of him golfing behind concertina wire with air-defense systems and an earlier escape in a catering vehicle, alongside a $10,000 bet that he will not finish his term. They warn of potential Iranian retaliation and domestic blowback, arguing MANPADS and simple, hobby-like drones could be used against U.S. targets, and note a pattern of attacks on energy infrastructure, including Libyan oil facilities. They advocate...
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Special Guest: Colonel Douglas Macgregor
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Find Col. Douglas MacGregor at and No Existential Threat from China/Russia—America’s Real Crisis Is Internal In a wide-ranging discussion, Col. Douglas MacGregor argues there are no existential military threats to the United States from China or Russia, contending the most serious dangers come from instability and organized crime in Mexico and the Caribbean Basin, weakened social cohesion, mass migration, and loss of American identity. He criticizes U.S. and NATO leadership over Ukraine, predicts Russia will ultimately defeat Ukraine, and calls Ukraine a...
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The Camp of the Saints
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan’s The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain’s small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci’s Senate testimony, Rand Paul’s questioning,...
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The Camp of the Saints
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Ceuta Migrant Surge, Fauci Senate Testimony, DEI in Nolan’s The Odyssey, and Escalation Toward World War III Matt and Doug discuss a sudden influx of about 49,000 Moroccans into Spain’s small enclave of Ceuta, questioning how the territory can house and feed them, whether NGOs and Moroccan authorities facilitated the crossing, and how Spain or the EU could respond given asylum rules and limited enforcement. They compare the event to past mass-migration episodes in Europe and the U.S. The conversation shifts to Anthony Fauci’s Senate testimony, Rand Paul’s questioning,...
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The Saudi Nuke Deal, Section 219, and the "Golden Age"
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Doug and Matt discuss headlines and subscriber questions, starting with a survey claiming 30% of Americans admit to shoplifting and what that says about social trust, morality, and societal decline. They talk about New York’s worsening conditions, Trump’s announced Saudi nuclear deal and subsequent reversal, and a House-passed NDAA provision (Section 219) calling for deeper US-Israel military/intelligence integration, which they argue signals late-stage empire and foreign influence via AIPAC. They critique Trump’s “golden age” claims, note rising yields and escalating...
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Trump's Price Tag
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Matt and Doug discuss a proposed Trump “$1 gold coin,” calling it inappropriate for a sitting president and a sign of “end-stage empire,” comparing it to Rome’s shift to leaders’ faces on coinage. They also cover a plan to sell early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts for $100,000/month amid allegations of stock front-running, plus a $500,000-entry private D.C. club tied to Trump’s son as legalized influence peddling. The conversation shifts to escalating U.S.-Iran conflict risks, possible boots-on-the-ground odds, Israel’s role, parallels to Iraq/WMD claims,...
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Looming Economic Cataclysm
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at The hosts discuss Trump saying an Iran MOU is “over” after reported attacks on ships in the Strait of Hormuz area, a major U.S. strike, and Iranian retaliation against U.S. bases in Bahrain and Kuwait, while noting uncertainty about attribution. They argue markets appear complacent despite the potential for a severe real-economy shock from disrupted oil flows, SPR drawdowns, and possible wider chokepoint closures (Hormuz, Bab el-Mandab). The conversation covers Iran’s internal backlash after Khamenei’s death and the likelihood of escalation, plus spillover risks from...
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“Dangerous and Capable of Almost Any Kind of Stupidity” — Doug Casey on America at 250
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at https://www.CrisisInvesting.com 1976 vs Today: Patriotism, Demographics, Tech, and Subscriber Q&A on Capital Controls, Uranium, Cuba, and Milei On the July 3 observed July 4 holiday, Matt and Doug compare America’s 1976 Bicentennial mood with today, citing major shifts in demographics, a larger population, widening class divides, the decline of manufacturing, and especially computerization and heavy screen time, alongside reduced patriotism and optimism and more political polarization. They discuss changing race relations and immigration, then pivot to subscriber Q&A...
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Doug Casey: “Trump Will Not Fully Serve Out His Term”
Doug Casey's Take
Doug Casey on oil's new floor, the $1.4 billion grift, and why the next president will make Trump look like a moderate Doug made a call on this week's episode that stopped me mid-conversation: he's betting Trump resigns before 2028. Not impeachment. Not the 25th Amendment. Resignation — dressed up, in Doug's telling, with "some nonsensical reason why. Well, time for Vance to get groomed or whatever." And he didn't stop there: "I'd also make book that Melania is going to divorce him." His suspicion? The Melania coin was part of the alimony settlement. You can dismiss that as Doug being Doug....
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Trump’s Peace Deal: “It’s Going to Blow Up”
Doug Casey's Take
Find us at Matt and Doug discuss the proliferation of U.S. holidays, including Juneteenth and Martin Luther King Day, before turning to the opening of Obama’s presidential library and Trump’s competing, highly theatrical library renderings, comparing modern presidential libraries to pyramids and noting Biden’s reported difficulty raising funds. They debate Trump’s showmanship around his birthday and a ceasefire/peace deal they expect won’t hold, citing Iran’s improved position, unresolved issues, disrupted shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and risks to oil prices. They then...
info_outlineMatt and Doug discuss SpaceX’s IPO jumping from 135 to about 171 a share and compare the frenzy to the dotcom era, noting its importance for broader market sentiment and Elon Musk’s reported trillionaire status. They mention reading Peter Thiel’s Zero to One, then pivot to extreme bearish sentiment in gold miners (a bullish index falling from 100 in January to 0 on June 10) and argue this may be a buying opportunity, alongside unloved oil despite ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruptions and prices around $80 WTI/$84 Brent. They cover rising inflation (CPI 4.2%), skepticism about official numbers, and expectations for new Fed chair Kevin Warsh. Subscriber questions include Costa Rica as a destination, tokenized gold’s practicality and redeemability, whether to short markets, Ebola risk to Ivanhoe Mines, China’s reduced oil imports, distrust of Howard Lutnick/Trump-linked trading dynamics, and whether humanoid robotics could extend the AI bull run.
00:00 SpaceX IPO Buzz
01:46 Thiel Book Talk
04:29 Trillion Dollar Math
06:24 Gold Miners Capitulation
09:26 Inflation Fed Outlook
12:47 Paper Fantasy Economy
16:07 Costa Rica Expat Reality
18:38 Central America Picks
20:17 Tokenized Gold Idea
21:07 Tokenized Gold Doubts
21:39 Swiss Gold Token Update
23:43 Shorting Market Timing
25:33 Ivanhoe Ebola Risk
28:36 Oil Prices and China
34:56 Stablecoins and Power Players
37:51 Epstein Files Speculation
39:04 Robots and AI Bubble
41:18 Trump Tweets and Markets
44:13 Weekend Sign Off