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Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear Era

Horns of a Dilemma

Release Date: 01/07/2026

Navigating a World Adrift with Shivshankar Menon show art Navigating a World Adrift with Shivshankar Menon

Horns of a Dilemma

We host Shivshankar Menon to discuss his recent article, Menon, the former national security advisor to the Indian prime minister, examines the historical rarity of stable world orders and the dangers of contemporary nostalgia for a perceived "golden age" of stability. The conversation explores the tension between a globalized economy and fragmented local politics, questioning whether the current distribution of power can support a formal international order. Menon characterizes the present era as a "world adrift" and argues that progress often emerges from such periods of political disorder....

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The Principle of Distinction in the Autonomous Age show art The Principle of Distinction in the Autonomous Age

Horns of a Dilemma

Nathan Wood, author of speaks on the principle of distinction in an age of autonomous warfare. He argues that while some concerns about these technologies are valid, we must move beyond general debates to address the specific legal and operational realities of concrete systems. Our conversation explores how the US military can utilize these advancements while maintaining a fundamental, felt sense of human responsibility. Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest Producer: Jordan Morning

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Ensuring US Military Readiness in the Indo-Pacific show art Ensuring US Military Readiness in the Indo-Pacific

Horns of a Dilemma

Eyck Freymann and Harry Halem, co-authors of join us to cover a range of topics, including US–China military balance, defense procurement, and the critical need for aligned industrial capacity, technological R&D, and military doctrine. Through historical models, potential reforms, and the importance of logistics and innovation, this episode offers a comprehensive look at how the US can strategically deter China into the 2030s. Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest Producer: Jordan Morning 

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US Military Primacy and Alliance Resilience show art US Military Primacy and Alliance Resilience

Horns of a Dilemma

We speak with Bence Nemeth from King's College London about his article, The discussion covers the historical context, theoretical framework, and potential scenarios that could unfold if US military primacy were to decline. Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest Producer: Jordan Morning

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Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear Era show art Conventional Options Theory in the New Nuclear Era

Horns of a Dilemma

Tyler Bowen from the US Naval War College joins us to discuss his recent TNSR article We discuss the renewed interest in nuclear deterrence given recent global security developments such as Russia's war in Ukraine and China's nuclear expansion. The conversation also explores the challenges and frameworks, particularly Bowen's "conventional options theory," key historical case studies involving nuclear crises, and their lessons for modern policymakers.

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The Art and Science of Grand Strategy show art The Art and Science of Grand Strategy

Horns of a Dilemma

Dr. Marina Henke, a professor at the Hertie School in Berlin and visiting professor at SAIS Johns Hopkins, discusses the motivations for writing her article inspired by Germany's strategic reorientation post-Russia's invasion of Ukraine. She delves into the definition of grand strategy, its critical components, real-world applications, and the importance of continuous strategic updates. The discussion also critiques common flaws in recent grand strategy documents and emphasizes the essential role of public engagement in strategic discourse. Hosts: Sheena Chestnut Greitens and Ryan Vest...

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Trade, Technology, & the US–Korea Alliance: A Conversation with Ambassador Kang show art Trade, Technology, & the US–Korea Alliance: A Conversation with Ambassador Kang

Horns of a Dilemma

Sheena Chestnut Greitens sat down with Ambassador Kang Kyung-wha, the Republic of Korea’s ambassador to the United States. Recorded before a live audience at The University of Texas at Austin on December 3, the conversation explores the deepening alignment between Seoul and Washington. Ambassador Kang and Dr. Greitens discuss the implementation of the recent $350 billion Korean government-led investment in the United States, focusing on seven key sectors including shipbuilding, semiconductors, and nuclear energy. The discussion addresses the challenges of workforce training and visa policy...

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The Democratization of Violence in the Greater Middle East show art The Democratization of Violence in the Greater Middle East

Horns of a Dilemma

Dr. Carter Malkasian joins us to explore how the "democratization of violence"—driven by the availability of assault rifles and explosives—empowered non-state actors and challenged state authority throughout the Cold War. The conversation also addresses the role of Islam in legitimizing non-state violence and how foreign intervention accelerated these trends. Malkasian's latest article, is featured in TNSR Volume 9, Issue 1.

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AI Policy & Hostage Recovery with the Former Deputy Assistant to the President show art AI Policy & Hostage Recovery with the Former Deputy Assistant to the President

Horns of a Dilemma

Dr. Joshua Geltzer, former Deputy Assistant to the President and Legal Advisor to the National Security Council, shares his extensive experience on two crucial topics: artificial intelligence in national security and the evolving policies surrounding hostage recovery. He offers an in-depth look into both the potential and challenges of AI and the heart-wrenching yet vital efforts in recovering American hostages and detainees.

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Cold War Lessons for Export Controls Against China show art Cold War Lessons for Export Controls Against China

Horns of a Dilemma

We sit down with Dartmouth national security scholars Jennifer Lind and Michael Mastanduno as they compare Cold War export control strategies with modern attempts to limit China's access to sensitive US technologies. They delve into three key lessons from the historical CoCom regime, discuss the evolving technological competition with China, and reflect on the feasibility of current US policies. Their article is featured in TNSR Volume 8, Issue 4.

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More Episodes

Tyler Bowen from the US Naval War College joins us to discuss his recent TNSR article "Threading the Needle: The Logic of Conventional Coercion in Nuclear Crises."

We discuss the renewed interest in nuclear deterrence given recent global security developments such as Russia's war in Ukraine and China's nuclear expansion. The conversation also explores the challenges and frameworks, particularly Bowen's "conventional options theory," key historical case studies involving nuclear crises, and their lessons for modern policymakers.