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ITPM Flash Ep86 A Slippery Slope

ITPM Podcast

Release Date: 08/14/2025

ITPM Flash Ep98 Trading the K-Shaped Economy show art ITPM Flash Ep98 Trading the K-Shaped Economy

ITPM Podcast

ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   The K-shaped economy is widening — and markets are still pricing only the winners. In this episode, Ed breaks down why the AI-driven data-center supercycle has become a macro force, propping up growth, earnings, and asset prices while masking deepening stress in the real economy. With the top 10% now driving half of all discretionary spending, the system is increasingly dependent on rising asset values rather than wage growth.   Ed argues the real risk isn’t inflation...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Apparel stocks have been left behind as consumer preferences shift and discretionary spending remains under pressure. Philip Klein turns to VF Corporation ($VFC), a former market leader whose shares collapsed from triple digits as brand missteps, rising debt, and weakening demand hit the business.   He walks through what went wrong — from the overpaid Supreme acquisition to Vans losing relevance — and what has started to change under new CEO Bracken Darrell. With...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Volatility is rising, speculative names have already been hit, and Ben Berggreen shifts the focus to a new weak spot: consumer discretionary. With sentiment collapsing, unemployment ticking higher, and holiday spending under pressure, several stocks look exposed.   Ben highlights Ulta Beauty ($ULTA) — a company facing slowing growth, margin pressure, and its first loss of market share — yet still trading near the top of its multi-year range. With earnings in early...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Jason McDonald takes a deep dive into the US dollar, current FX positioning, and the macro forces that could drive a rotation in risk assets.   Jason walks through multi-year charts of the trade-weighted dollar, investor positioning, and the key rate differentials that drive FX markets. He then connects the macro outlook directly to equity risk assets, explaining which companies benefit from a strong dollar ($HD, $TJX, $DG) and which...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   The world is going electric faster than you think — but not just for passenger cars.   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Philip Klein presents Microvast ($MVST) — a U.S.-based advanced battery company powering the commercial EV revolution.   While Tesla and Rivian dominate headlines, the commercial EV space is growing even faster — and Microvast is solving its biggest bottleneck: charging speed. With batteries that charge to 80% in 10 minutes, a...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Slowing job creation and stagnant wages make Cintas ($CTAS) uniformly stretched.   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Edward Shek presents a short idea on Cintas ($CTAS) — the U.S. market leader in workplace uniforms and hygiene services. While Cintas has delivered years of steady growth and trades at premium valuations, Ed argues the story is uniformly stretched. With job creation slowing, wage growth stagnating, and little evidence of a broad cyclical recovery,...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW!   Defense stocks are booming in 2025 — and Huntington Ingalls ($HII) might be the biggest winner of them all.   In this episode of ITPM Flash, Dieter Plas presents a long idea on Huntington Ingalls Industries ($HII) — America’s largest military shipbuilder and a cornerstone of U.S. defense infrastructure. With rising geopolitical tensions, a $50B+ backlog, and new post-COVID contracts that restore pricing power and margins, Dieter explains why HII offers...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW! In this episode Anthony Iser is looking past the noisy macro backdrop and backing a proven roll-up model in the fragmented building materials sector. Serial dealmaker and CEO Brad Jacobs has injected over $1B of his own capital in to QXO and is executing the same acquisition strategy that’s delivered spectacular returns in the past. With the first deal already bedding in, $2B of fresh funding raised, and Wall Street only just initiating coverage, the stock looks primed for a...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW! In this episode Ben Berggreen revisits his June long play on Unity Software — with the underlying now up nearly 80% — before turning to a fresh small-cap tech idea: Ondas Holdings. With its mix of government-backed networking contracts and fast-growing autonomous drone business, Ondas offers a speculative but exciting growth story despite cash burn and dilution risks. Ben walks through the macro backdrop around the FOMC meeting, the company’s improving earnings profile, and how...

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ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW! In this episode, Edward Shek revisits the SaaS de-rating theme before shifting focus to a stealth data center trade in Chemours (CC). Despite years of “tough love” as a low-growth cyclical, the stock is 50% off the summer lows and now has three clear catalysts in refrigeration, cost savings, and legal overhangs. The real excitement, however, lies in next-gen liquid cooling, where CC’s Opteon technology has just hit commercial qualification with Samsung — the SSD market leader....

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More Episodes

ITPM Flash provides insight into what professional traders are thinking about in the markets RIGHT NOW! In this episode, Ben Berggreen breaks down a high-conviction short opportunity in the energy space, triggered by a sudden shift in ISM sector data and weakening fundamentals in major oilfield service companies. Focusing on Schlumberger, he outlines a bearish calendar put spread targeting downside into earnings, with a 3:1 reward-to-risk profile. Ben also explores a broader macro angle, noting softening crude oil positioning among large speculators and offering an alternative, simpler XLE put play to capture a September–October market pullback. Both setups aim to combine macro, fundamental, and technical alignment for maximum edge.

 

ITPM Flash Episode 86 A Slippery Slope with Ben Berggreen || Filmed 11-Aug-2025, Uploaded 14-Aug-2025 ||