Asbury Research's Kosar: Market gets defensive amid rising macro uncertainty
Release Date: 02/25/2026
Money Life with Chuck Jaffe
Steve Laipply, global co-head of Fixed Income ETFs for , says that with fixed-income yields staying high and with evolving tools in new funds, investors have a generational opportunity to generate solid real returns and, more importantly, a solid income stream. BlackRock today released a new paper on current fixed-income opportunities, and Laipply discusses laddering bond ETFs with different maturities versus holding more general short-, intermediate and long-term funds, as well as the benefits of adding different types of fixed-income funds, including private credit and more....
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While much of the focus on artificial intelligence has been on how it will improve productivity, economist , author of “AI Economics: How Technology Transforms Jobs, Markets, Life and Our Culture,” says that many impacts that are just starting to be seen will be at least as revolutionary. Shiller says, for example, tha expects an end or near end to pop-up ads and Internet advertising, expects books to be free and much more. He also discusses the continuing challenges of AI integration and whether investors have seen the true financial winners yet. After a week in which Nvidia...
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Kevin Steuer, managing partner at , says the stock market's rally after the initial peace talks over the War in Iran got a bit ahead of itself, and he's now expecting the market to hover — without facing much downside pressure — awaiting more resolution and clarity. He's heavily in cash at this point — the most cash he has held by percentage since the Covid crisis — and is looking at defensive, inflation-oriented plays while he waits for a signal that the rally is back on. David Gutierrez, vice president at Liberty Street Advisors — which runs the — says that private markets are...
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, chief executive officer at Dynamic Economic Strategy, says he expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates steady, leaving mortgage rates stuck at 6%-plus and in an environment with the 10-year Treasury rising slightly. Silvia points out that the central bank is not going to be frantic about 3% inflation and reducing it to the 2% target level, but he says that investors and retirees will suffer from that higher inflation, creating more of a retirement-savings struggle. Courtney Werning, principal at and the 2027 president-elect for the Public Investors Advocate Bar...
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Lance Cannon, portfolio manager at , says in the Market Call that he is looking for transformational small companies that can benefit from changing trends in key industries, which has included artificial-intelligence stocks heavily as his funds produced stellar results in recent years. But Cannon says that looking for those companies means finding businesses that will not wind up on the wrong end of AI developments themselves, where a current flash will turn into a future crash. Allison Hadley, an analyst at Digital Third Coast, discusses research she did for Howdy.com looking at . Following...
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Dana Samuelson, founder and president of , says gold investors shouldn't expect the rally in metals to resume at the pace it set last year — when gold was up over 60% — but he does believe that the fundamentals that were in place for that rally will drive gold back up once concerns over war and inflation are a little less prominent. He sees the metal hitting $6,000 in 12 to 18 months, and says he'd be buying in dips now. Thomas Raymond, founding partner at , says he's staying patient while war gets resolved, because backstopping the economy and the markets are a $7 trillion...
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Ron Sanchez, chief investment officer at , says in "The Big Interview" that solid fundamentals from both the top down and the bottom up should make it that earnings can drive the stock market higher once there is resolution in Iran, where war has been creating problems that could make for a volatile and bumpy few months. He expects higher inflation to be temporary, but thinks conditions are solid enough for a strong rebound once the market feels confident that there is resolution, noting that bounce-backs tend to be solid and strong after geopolitical conflicts end. That makes for...
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D.R. Barton Jr., director of market research for the , says he expects the market to continue its recovery through one more burst higher that lasts into the summer, but after that he is seeing "a bouncy, sideways market" with heightened volatility, swings reaching 20% up or down in a quarter. He is looking for "inflation-hedging names" for whatever happens coming out of the current cease-fire in the war in Iran, noting that he expects inflation to dampen the economy and the market for the remainder of the year. Isaac Wakszol, chief executive officer at , says investors need to guard against...
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Gabe Diederich, portfolio manager at , says that long-term indicators for inflation haven't moved much, which is good news for bond investors interested in capturing steady income for the long haul. He says in the Big Interview that he expects the Federal Reserve to wait on rate changes — so long as the economy and labor market remains stable — until there is more clarity and certainty in the numbers. Diederich says that fundamentals for bonds across the spectrum look solid, but he says "There's a great story for the tax advantage of municipal bonds," and that investors should look to take...
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Dave Sekera, chief U.S. market strategist at , says that the beating that technology stocks have taken has made the sector ideal for patient investors hunting bargains. He says technology as a sector is now trading at a 20% discount to the firm's composite of fair values, and there have only been two other times since 2010 when tech has been that undervalued. As a result, he's looking at some big-name companies — including a few Magnificent Seven stocks and some beaten-down software names — as buys now. Author discusses his new book, “Good Money: Six Steps to Building a Financial Life...
info_outlineJohn Kosar, chief market strategist at Asbury Research, says money managers are moving from the market's racehorses to its sure-footed burros, saying it's a sign of "the very late stages of an up move or the beginning stages of the market starting to roll over." Kosar says the market has some room to correct and stay in bull market territory, but he thinks investors want to be cautious here until the rotation is complete. "I'm not saying doom and gloom and we';re done for the year," Kosar says, "but if you want to put on more risk ... this is a lousy place to do it." He's expecting a 5 to 7 percent move down, at which point the market will be much more attractive.
In the Market Call, deep-value investor Michael Campagna, co-founder and senior investment analyst at Moerus Capital Management, discusses how the high levels of domestic stocks have him more interested in international investments, but he is finding plenty of opportunities around the globe,including, surprisingly, some that are derivative plays from the artificial-intelligence boom.
Plus, Chuck discusses the parts of Tuesday's State of the Union address that had him scratching his head about math and political processes, and digs into statements that were made about inflation, tariffs, Social Security, the level of promised foreign investments into the United States, the scope of fraud in government programs and more.