U.S. BSL CLO Markets Roars Back To Life In 2024, With Cautious Optimism For Leveraged Finance
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After two years of muted issuance, the U.S. BSL #CLO market has roared back to life, with about $165 billion in issuance to date. We’re joined by CLO Sector Lead Stephen Anderberg to discuss what’s driving this active market (e.g., benign credit outlook and continuing strong demand for high-quality floating-rate assets), where we think the market will end up at the end of the year, and the status of refinancings and resets, specifically. Leveraged Finance Sector Lead Minesh Patel also joins us to discuss the factors driving our generally positive view of Corporate credit performance over...
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Update On The Covered Bond Markets For Norway, Finland, And Netherlands
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We’re joined by analyst Casper Andersen to provide updates on the Norwegian, Finnish, and Dutch covered bonds markets, and Icelandic jurisdictional support. We discuss the current housing markets and economic growth for Norway, Finland, and Netherlands and the impact on their respective covered bond markets. We also discuss issuance demand and trends in the Dutch covered bond market and revisions to certain jurisdictional support assessments in our criteria (specifically Iceland). Related Articles:
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Introducing Our “ABS Frontiers” Article Series
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For our first episode in 2024, our host, Tom Schopflocher, is joined by Cian Chandler, S&P Global Ratings’ Global Structured Finance Chief Analytical Officer, to introduce our “ABS Frontiers” article series. Throughout this year, these informative commentaries will explore sectors that are somewhat “out of the ordinary,” which, in addition to being interesting and possibly not broadly understood by the market, show potential for growth in origination and securitization. Some asset classes we’ve published on so far include C-PACE, music royalties, private credit funds, and...
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France And Germany Lead The Covered Bond Issuance Rebound
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In 2022, European covered bond issuance reached levels unseen since 2011, with the French and German markets leading the way. We're joined by analysts Denitsa Carouget and Casper Andersen to discuss both of those markets. We provide overviews of both French and German covered bond markets, including relevant legal frameworks and recent market developments. We also go into how both markets are performing in “higher-for-longer” interest rate environments and discuss our forward-looking outlooks. Related Articles:
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Back In The Office? Uneven Global Sector Recovery
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We're joined by analyst Ana Lai and co-host Jim Manzi to discuss the global office sector’s uneven recovery post-pandemic. We dive into the vacancy rates in different regions around the world, pricing trends for the office sector in a higher-for-longer" interest rate environment, and office performance in relation to the CMBS market. We also discuss distributions of North American REIT debt maturities across commercial real estate sectors, especially for the office sector, and what that means for the market. Finally, we touch on our outlook for the U.S. office market going forward. Related...
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A Comparative Overview Of U.S. And European BSL CLOs
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Analysts Daniel Hu, Rebecca Mun, and Abhijit Pawar join us to discuss U.S. and European BSL CLOs. First, we give a recap of a CLO panel at a recent S&P Global Ratings-hosted European Structured Finance conference, "Navigating Challenges; Seeking Opportunities," where amendments and extensions were a focus. We then deep dive into a comparative overview of U.S. and European BSL CLOs, going into specific similarities and nuances between CLOs from both markets.
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The First 'AAA (sf)' Rating Assigned To Chinese Consumer Finance ABS
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On July 28, 2023, S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'AAA (sf)' rating to the class A notes of Anyihua 2023 Phase III Personal Consumption Loan Asset Backed Securities, the first 'AAA (sf)' rating assigned by an international ratings agency to a securitization transaction in China backed by consumer finance assets. Analyst Andrea Lin joins up to discuss the analysis that went behind rating this transaction. We also discuss our outlook for China's consumer loan ABS sector as a whole.
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Covered Bonds Could Ease The Pain In European Commercial Real Estate
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We're joined by credit analysts Casper Andersen to discuss how covered bonds could ease the pain in European commercial real estate (CRE), which has been struggling with inflation and rising interest rates. First, we go into the price trends of different CRE segments. We touch on covered bond rating performance. Finally, we talk about the potential for covered bond funding, which varies significantly depending on the covered bond issuer and jurisdiction, and green covered bonds, which may offer a potential source for further CRE funding.
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Covered Bonds Take On Rising Pressures In Sweden, Norway, and Finland
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We're joined by credit analysts Andrew South and Casper Andersen to discuss covered bonds in Sweden, Norway, and Finland. Sweden has been experiencing rapidly rising consumer prices at a rate not seen in decades. Norway and Finland have been facing rising interest rates, which has had a dampening effect on property price. We talk about how the covered bond markets in all three jurisdictions have been faring under these conditions.
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Inside Global ABCP: Issuance Trends, Impact Of Recent Banking Events, And Alternative Financing Arrangements
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We're joined by credit analysts Dev Vithani, Joshua Saunders, and Maxime Pontois to discuss some of the alternative financing arrangements that are on an uptick in the asset-backed commercial paper (ABCP) sectors in U.S. and EMEA and how they support issuance growth. We also discuss the impact of the recent events in the banking sector on the U.S. and EMEA ABCP markets. And finally, we go into our expectations for global issuance totals for this year.
info_outlineOur host, Jim Manzi, is joined by U.S. CLO sector lead Stephen Anderberg, Director Daniel Hu, and research analyst Evan Gunter to do a deep dive into the history of U.S. CLO defaults. Of the 16,000+ CLO tranches that we have rated since the mid-late 1990s, there have been 50 that defaulted. We go over some notable observations and trends (e.g., rating categories, timings, etc.) in our historical data. We also discuss how we look at current tranches that are candidates for a potential default, and what a typical "path to default" might look like.
Related Article - CLO Spotlight: U.S. CLO Defaults As Of March 17, 2022