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A Conversation with Paul Gruenwald: Global Economic Trends and China's Role

Look Forward

Release Date: 07/24/2024

India Forward: Navigating Global Shocks and Energy Security show art India Forward: Navigating Global Shocks and Energy Security

Look Forward

In this episode of the Look Forward podcast, S&P Global experts Deepa Kumar and Gauri Jauhar examine how the Middle East conflict is stress-testing India’s economy through energy dependence, trade exposure, remittances, currency pressure, inflation, and geopolitical balancing. They discuss why this shock is more multi-layered than past crises and how India’s resilience is being challenged even as government support, infrastructure spending, and private-sector cost absorption continue to provide buffers. The conversation also explores how India is using the crisis to accelerate...

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Inflection Points: Is it a New Energy World? | Look Forward Ep. 34 show art Inflection Points: Is it a New Energy World? | Look Forward Ep. 34

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In this episode of the Look Forward podcast, host Naki Mendoza speaks with Daniel Yergin, vice chair of S&P Global Energy, founder and chair of CERAWeek, and Pulitzer Prize-winning author of The Prize, The Quest, and The New Map. Together, they examine a volatile moment for global energy, shaped by conflict in the Middle East, the Strait of Hormuz disruption, shifting supply chains, and renewed focus on energy security. More Look Forward:

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Partner Perspectives: Precision in a Shifting Bond Landscape show art Partner Perspectives: Precision in a Shifting Bond Landscape

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In this episode of Partner Perspectives, a special miniseries within the Look Forward podcast, host Molly Mintz explores the rapid evolution and enduring resilience of global fixed income markets. Drawing on S&P Global and Vanguard’s joint research, , the conversation examines how geopolitical disruption, technological innovation, and  new market innovations and infrastructure are transforming the bond market for issuers, investors, and portfolio managers alike.  Alexandre Birry of S&P Global Ratings provides the macro-credit perspective, explaining that...

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Partner Perspectives: Decoding Concentration Risk, Index Design, and the Next Era of Choice show art Partner Perspectives: Decoding Concentration Risk, Index Design, and the Next Era of Choice

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In this episode of Partner Perspectives, a special miniseries within the Look Forward podcast, the conversation explores one of the most foundational yet rapidly evolving forces in modern investing: indexing. Drawing on S&P Global and Vanguard’s joint research, , this episode examines how market concentration, changing corporate leadership, and expanding index tools are reshaping the way investors access markets and build portfolios.  Tim Edwards of S&P Dow Jones Indices opens with a historical perspective on U.S. equity concentration—noting that by mid-2025...

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Partner Perspectives:  Inside the Forces Driving Resilience and Expansion in Private Markets | Look Forward Ep. 31 show art Partner Perspectives: Inside the Forces Driving Resilience and Expansion in Private Markets | Look Forward Ep. 31

Look Forward

In this premiere episode of Partner Perspectives, a special miniseries within the Look Forward podcast, host Molly Mintz examines how private markets are reshaping capital formation, portfolio construction, and long-term investment strategy. Drawing on S&P Global and Vanguard’s joint research, , this conversation explores why companies are staying private longer, how private equity has expanded in scale and influence, and what today’s higher-rate environment means for returns and risk.  Vanguard’s Bill Stout outlines an optimistic but measured view on private...

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Middle East Tensions: Power, Pressure Points, and Pathways | Look Forward Ep. 30 show art Middle East Tensions: Power, Pressure Points, and Pathways | Look Forward Ep. 30

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In this episode of the Look Forward podcast, host Aries Poon is joined by Carlos Pascual, Head of Geopolitics and International Affairs at S&P Global’s Energy Division, to examine the Middle East conflict through a wider geopolitical lens. Drawing on decades of experience in diplomacy, energy security, and international affairs, Carlos explains why this crisis matters far beyond the region.

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Middle East Tensions: Global growth, inflation, and risk | Look Forward Ep. 29 show art Middle East Tensions: Global growth, inflation, and risk | Look Forward Ep. 29

Look Forward

In this episode of Look Forward, host Aries Poon discusses the macroeconomic implications of the Middle East conflict with Paul Gruenwald, Global Chief Economist at S&P Global Ratings. Paul explains how the crisis has evolved through three stages, flow shock, supply shock, and market shock—with the current focus on physical shortages and depleted buffer stocks, especially in energy-importing countries with limited resilience. He highlights that the conflict has neutralized earlier growth tailwinds, increasing downside risks and complicating the policy landscape...

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Post-CERAWeek: Power, Policy and the Electrotech Age | Look Forward Ep. 28 show art Post-CERAWeek: Power, Policy and the Electrotech Age | Look Forward Ep. 28

Look Forward

Energy has moved back to the center of corporate strategy and public policy—and AI is a major reason why. In this episode of the Look Forward Podcast from S&P Global, host Aries Poon is joined by S&P Global experts Aneesh Prabhu, Ashutosh Singh, and Raoul LeBlanc to discuss the fast-changing energy reality now confronting utilities, investors, and governments. Related Research: More Look Forward:

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Digital Euro: Strategic Autonomy, Bank Deposit Risk, and What a Retail CBDC Really Means | Look Forward Ep. 27 show art Digital Euro: Strategic Autonomy, Bank Deposit Risk, and What a Retail CBDC Really Means | Look Forward Ep. 27

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The European Central Bank has entered the preparation phase for a digital euro—and political momentum is building toward a potential launch before 2030. In this episode, host Aries is joined by Cihan Duran (Ratings) and Shuchita Shukla (Market Intelligence) to break down what the digital euro is (and isn’t), why EU policymakers are prioritizing it now, and what it could mean for payments, consumers, banks, and financial stability.

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Power, Data, and Policy: How Technology Is Rewiring Geopolitics in the Age of Agility | Look Forward Podcast Ep. 26 show art Power, Data, and Policy: How Technology Is Rewiring Geopolitics in the Age of Agility | Look Forward Podcast Ep. 26

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In this episode of the Look Forward Podcast from S&P Global, host Aries Poon speaks with Natznet Tesfay, Global Head of Analysis at S&P Global Market Intelligence, about how technology is becoming the decisive game changer in geopolitics as we approach 2026. They explore why geopolitics has shifted from sporadic shocks to a constant operating condition, and how traditional stabilizers like frictionless trade, predictable regulation, and cheap capital are becoming “unmoored.” Natznet explains S&P Global’s concept of the “age of agility” and why policy itself is now a major...

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More Episodes

In this episode, Nathan sits down with friend of the podcast Paul Grunewald, the Global Chief Economist for S&P Global Ratings, who shares his thoughts on the global macroeconomic picture and the specific economic landscape in China.

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Credits:

  • Host/Author: Nathan Hunt
  • Producer/Editor: Patrick Moroney
  • Published With Assistance From: Kyle May, Kurt Burger, Camille McManus

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