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Trading Justice 583: Navigating Uncertainty

Trading Justice

Release Date: 06/16/2024

Labor Market Mirage: Cracks in Jobs, Pressure on the Fed show art Labor Market Mirage: Cracks in Jobs, Pressure on the Fed

Trading Justice

This week on the Trading Justice Podcast, the brothers break down the weakest jobs report since 2020 and what it means for the market. With payrolls adding just +22,000 in August vs. +75,000 expected, revisions going negative, and confidence slipping, the labor market is flashing real warning signs.   We cover the Top 5 Reasons Corporations Aren’t Hiring — from high rates and weak demand to the rise of AI — and ask the hard questions: - Is AI the real driver behind the hiring freeze?  - What does this mean for Fed policy and future rate cuts? - Can the White House and Fed...

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September Seasonality | Nvidia Earnings Impact | Jobs Report Scenarios show art September Seasonality | Nvidia Earnings Impact | Jobs Report Scenarios

Trading Justice

The Justice brothers are back from Labor Day and dive into one of the biggest catalysts of the year: the unemployment report. From “bad news is good news” to “good news is bad news,” they map out all four possible outcomes and how each could impact bonds, equities, and the dollar. They also review RSP, small-caps, and the Dow to see if breadth can keep strengthening the bull case. The discussion then shifts to China’s AI surge—Alibaba’s blowout growth, a domestic chip launch aimed at Nvidia, and DeepSeek’s disruptive “Sputnik moment.” Add in September’s seasonal...

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Powell Opens the Door: Rate Cuts & Market Confirmation show art Powell Opens the Door: Rate Cuts & Market Confirmation

Trading Justice

This week, the Justice brothers dive deep into Jerome Powell’s Jackson Hole speech and what it means for the future of monetary policy. Is the Fed finally ready to cut rates—or is Powell once again too cautious, earning the nickname “Too Late Powell”? Matt and Mark break down Powell’s dovish tone, the shift from inflation risk to labor market fragility, and how traders should interpret the Fed’s pivot back to flexible inflation targeting. Then, the conversation moves into one of the most important technical developments of the year: multiple-time frame breakouts across the Dow,...

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Jackson Hole: Broad Market Breakout? show art Jackson Hole: Broad Market Breakout?

Trading Justice

This episode of the Trading Justice Podcast takes a look at Jackson Hole and the recent broad market breakout. The discussion blends market analysis with lighthearted banter, including a debate over who’s the bigger bear, while highlighting key chart patterns and trends that traders should be watching. Listeners will also hear insights from the Tackle Trading community and how broader economic signals are shaping market sentiment.

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Trading Justice: The Magnificent Few show art Trading Justice: The Magnificent Few

Trading Justice

Today on the Trading Justice Podcast, we’re talking about “The Magnificent Few” — those mega-cap giants propping up the market while more and more stocks start showing breakdown patterns. With CPI numbers dropping tomorrow, we’ll dig into what this market split means and how the gap might widen even further. Plus, we’re firing up a fresh round of Stock It or Drop It and answering your trading questions along the way.

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Breakout or Bust: Is AI Enough? show art Breakout or Bust: Is AI Enough?

Trading Justice

The market is pushing all-time highs, but what’s really driving this move — and can it sustain? In this episode, Matt and Mark Justice dive deep into the catalysts that could fuel and support a true breakout, including fiscal tailwinds, a shifting Fed stance, and an upcoming earnings cycle. But the real star of the show? AI.  The brothers break down the top 10 narratives powering the AI trade that’s putting the market on its back — from Nvidia’s renewed dominance to Broadcom’s chip surge, Meta’s $15B AGI moonshot, and Oracle’s emerging role as the AI cloud backbone. They...

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Chairman of the Fence: Powell’s Paralysis show art Chairman of the Fence: Powell’s Paralysis

Trading Justice

This week, the Justice brothers are back and diving deep into one of the most important questions facing markets today: What exactly is the Fed so scared of? Following this week’s FOMC meeting, Mark and Matt Justice break down Jerome Powell’s latest comments, dissect the Fed's cautious tone, and explore whether Powell has earned the nickname “Too Late Powell.” Are they being overly cautious—or are they seeing something the market isn’t? In addition to the macro deep dive, the boys bring the heat in “Stock In and Drop It,” breaking down setups and news around major names like...

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Markets and Missiles: How War Really Moves Money show art Markets and Missiles: How War Really Moves Money

Trading Justice

In this explosive episode of the Trading Justice podcast, brothers Mark and Matt Justice unpack the potential financial fallout from Israel’s recent strike on Iran. What happens to markets when missiles fly? The conversation dives deep into the economic and geopolitical ramifications of the attack, exploring the potential paths of escalation and drawing key parallels to April 2024’s Israel-Iran conflict and Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine. With oil spiking, what might this mean for inflation—and the Fed's next move? The brothers debate whether Powell’s recent caution can hold in...

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Addicted to Debt – The System on Trial show art Addicted to Debt – The System on Trial

Trading Justice

In this episode of the Trading Justice podcast, Matt Justice takes us on a powerful journey through economic history to reveal how we've become Addicted to Debt. From the roots of Keynesian economics to the evolution of today’s financial system, Matt explores how policy choices and structural shifts have created an economy that disproportionately rewards the top while leaving others behind. This isn’t about blaming parties or politicians—it's about putting the system itself on trial. What are the market consequences of this debt addiction? And more importantly, what are the potential...

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Trade War Risks Rise | NVDA Earnings Recap | Top Stocks to Watch show art Trade War Risks Rise | NVDA Earnings Recap | Top Stocks to Watch

Trading Justice

In this episode of Trading Justice, we break down the latest twists in the ongoing trade war, including new legal developments that are adding fresh complexity to the tariff landscape. What do they mean for markets, and what paths lie ahead? We also dive deep into Nvidia’s earnings, with Matt analyzing both the bullish highlights and red flags in what many see as the most important report of the season. We round out the show with this week’s Top 5 stock stories and a lively round of “Stock It or Drop It,” where Matt gives his long-term takes on names like Tesla, Apple, and AMD. Another...

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More Episodes

Welcome to episode 583 of the Trading Justice podcast where the Justice brothers break down the low breadth in the market. A lot is being made in recent weeks of the gap between the “haves” and “have nots” as big-cap tech leads the market. There is certainly a wide gap between the cap-weighted index (SPY) versus the equally weighted index (RSP). However, what does this signify? A lot of commentary points to this being a sign of a weak market with only a few stocks leading but what do the Justice boys think? Their analysis might surprise you but certainly will leave you illuminated! What is the trade they are most excited for next? The Justice boys analyze the whole topic from A to Z. The market may have bad breadth lately but we have the mouthwash to make it feel crisp and clean so sit back and enjoy another fantastic episode of the Trading Justice podcast!