loader from loading.io

Why Did They Really Close Schools?

We Are Not Saved

Release Date: 01/06/2025

The Rules of the Game - That Game Being Massive Naval Combat Between Great Powers show art The Rules of the Game - That Game Being Massive Naval Combat Between Great Powers

We Are Not Saved

The Rules of the Game: Jutland and British Naval Command By: Andrew Gordon Published: 1996 708 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? An incredibly detailed examination of the battle of Jutland, combined with an equally detailed history of naval command, and its failings in the lead up to the battle.   What's the author's angle? Gordon’s target is excessive signalling. And he’s written a very long book to demonstrate just how bad it was.  Who should read this book? You have to be pretty committed to WWI naval history or military minutia before this is the book you should be...

info_outline
Cheap Sex - Marketplaces and Those Who Have Given Up on Shopping show art Cheap Sex - Marketplaces and Those Who Have Given Up on Shopping

We Are Not Saved

Cheap Sex: The Transformation of Men, Marriage, and Monogamy By: Mark Regnerus Published: 2017 280 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? A data-driven look at the modern dating and “hook-up” culture. As you can tell from the title, he argues that sex has become cheap, not so much in dollars and cents, but in the level of commitment it requires. He points to three reasons for this change: the pill, porn, and dating apps.  What's the author's angle? As I was reading this book, I was trying to remember where I had heard the name Regnerus before. It took me a while to get around to...

info_outline
The Gulag Archipelago [Volume 3] - True Freedom show art The Gulag Archipelago [Volume 3] - True Freedom

We Are Not Saved

The Gulag Archipelago [Volume 3]: An Experiment in Literary Investigation (1918-1956) By: Aleksandr Solzhenitsyn Published: 1973 608 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? The final piece of Solzhenitsyn’s amazing, depressing, baffling, chilling, frightening, absurd, terrible, cold, weighty chronicle of the Soviet gulags. This part includes the period after his release which, by itself, could be a fantastic guide to simple contentment. What's the author's angle? I found it interesting how much of this book concerned just preserving the notes he’s made and all of the material which will...

info_outline
Everything Is Tuberculosis - Well Not Everything, But More Than You Suspect show art Everything Is Tuberculosis - Well Not Everything, But More Than You Suspect

We Are Not Saved

Everything Is Tuberculosis: The History and Persistence of Our Deadliest Infection By: John Green Published: 2025 208 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? The ubiquity of tuberculosis (wait, did I just restate the title?) especially outside of the US. And its prevalence despite the fact that a cure is available. What's the author's angle? Green was already interested in global health when he met Henry, a young man with tuberculosis (TB) in Sierra Leone, literally on the way out of the country. Green was so affected by Henry and his plight that it eventually led him to completely change his...

info_outline
Gerontocracy as a Supernormal Stimulus show art Gerontocracy as a Supernormal Stimulus

We Are Not Saved

Biden was just the tip of the iceberg...

info_outline
Forgotten Victory - Maybe the British Were Lions Led By Lions? show art Forgotten Victory - Maybe the British Were Lions Led By Lions?

We Are Not Saved

Everything you know about WWI is wrong! Okay... maybe not everything, but some things definitely. Forgotten Victory: The First World War: Myths and Realities By: Gary Sheffield Published: 2001 318 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? An apologetic work directed at British leadership during WWI. It refutes the claim that the British Army was composed of “lions led by donkeys”, and instead lays out a case for increasing competence, the necessity of offensives, and a string of victories in 1918. What's the author's angle? Sheffield is a noted member of the revisionist school. He wants to...

info_outline
Crisis Zone - What Did I Just Read? show art Crisis Zone - What Did I Just Read?

We Are Not Saved

Forbes magazine, the bastion of conservative American business journalism, called it "a filth-spattered lens of depravity and dysfunction". Crisis Zone By: Simon Hanselmann Published: 2021 296 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? A very non-traditional household navigates the pandemic using violence and porn production.  Who should read this book? I would not recommend this book to anyone. It is without a doubt the grossest, crudest work I have ever read. Though Forbes reviewed it and said: In the deluxe and beautifully designed Fantagraphics edition, Crisis Zone ends up looking like...

info_outline
Noticing An Essential Reader (1973-2023) - Sailer, Not As Scary as You Think show art Noticing An Essential Reader (1973-2023) - Sailer, Not As Scary as You Think

We Are Not Saved

By: Published: 2024 458 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? A collection of essays from Steve Sailer covering immigration, culture war stuff, and human biodiversity. What's the author's angle? For some, Sailer is a horrible right-wing racist. For others he’s a data-driven contrarian. I mostly fall in the latter camp. Also whatever you think of his opinions, his tone is exceptionally mild. He’s not a fire-breather. Who should read this book? If you’ve been following Sailer forever there’s nothing especially new here. Even if you haven’t previously read all of the included essays...

info_outline
Collapse of Complex Societies How Long Do We Have Left? show art Collapse of Complex Societies How Long Do We Have Left?

We Are Not Saved

By: Published: 1988 262 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? A new (at the time) theory for the collapse of societies based on declining marginal returns to complexity. What's the author's angle? This is a book definitely written in opposition to previous theories (think , , etc.) many of which Tainter rejects as overly moralistic. Who should read this book? If you’re interested in how the United States will end (and I can’t imagine how you’re not) this is a great book. Specific thoughts: Okay so this is how collapse happens. Can it be stopped?  

info_outline
[Review] Apple in China - Is China Playing a Longer Game Than the US? show art [Review] Apple in China - Is China Playing a Longer Game Than the US?

We Are Not Saved

By: Published: 2025 448 Pages Briefly, what is this book about? How Apple went all in on China, not merely moving manufacturing there, but also educating their companies in, and co-developing with them, numerous advanced manufacturing techniques. These techniques then spread all throughout China. As such, Apple, far more than any other company, enabled China’s rise to be the world’s most sophisticated manufacturer. In effect they imported a super-charged industrial policy for China. This was bad enough, but the eventual result was that Apple is now utterly dependent on a capricious...

info_outline
 
More Episodes

Exactly five years ago, China identified a “novel coronavirus” and the world was introduced to the term “wet market”. In the time since then arguments continue to rage about the source of the virus, the measures that were taken, and the vaccines that were created.

In the midst of all these arguments, everyone seems to agree on one thing: extended school closures were a bad idea. It’s very easy to continue on from that to assume the harms of such closures were obvious from the very beginning—that they happened only because we were blinded by fear. Some people don’t go quite so far, but nevertheless argue that such closures were implemented hastily and without much consideration. But consider this quote from the Michael Lewis book Premonition on the role of disease modeling:

The graph illustrated the effects on a disease of various crude strategies: isolating the ill; quarantining entire households when they had a sick person in them; socially distancing adults; giving people antiviral drugs; and so on. Each of the crude strategies had some slight effect, but none by itself made much of a dent, and certainly none had the ability to halt the pandemic by driving the disease’s reproductive rate below 1. One intervention was not like the others, however: when you closed schools and put social distance between kids, the flu-like disease fell off a cliff. (The model defined “social distance” not as zero contact but as a 60 percent reduction in kids’ social interaction.) “I said, ‘Holy shit!’ ” said Carter. “Nothing big happens until you close the schools. It’s not like anything else. It’s like a phase change. It’s nonlinear. It’s like when water temperature goes from thirty-three to thirty-two. When it goes from thirty-four to thirty-three, it’s no big deal; one degree colder and it turns to ice.