The Griff Report

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The Griff Report - College Football Edition 2025 Kickoff 08/09/2025

The Griff Report - College Football Edition 2025 Kickoff College Football Kickoff Early consensus on the Irish but I’m not sure I would worry about that too much… Rewind to last year, Carson Beck was at Georgia and got hurt right before the tournament in the SEC Championship game. He had to still prepare or even one more had to prepare his backup to be prepared. The question is does he give himself the same advice he gave his backup in falling short to the Irish and with that being part of his last bit at Georgia does he feel like that injury stopped Georgia from worst case scenario an epic title game if not another business as usual for the SEC Title-Machine. I would say between that preparation and the full summer to prepare for ND week 1 he may be about to raise questions as to him being better than number 1 pick Cam Ward who just departed from the “U”. A huge lead in the all-time series for the Irish but the last 6 games played in Miami have been big wins for Canes including the last Catholics vs. Convicts. The Irish return a soon to be NFL Stars cast at Wide Receiver and Tight End.Carr the QB change but they don’t have a proven starter in a ruckus enviroment however even the Canes supporters seem to think that Carr will move the Irish vertically all day long. This Canes team has a weakness from last season they have attempted to address in the form of the transfer portal, a new D coordinator, and we saw last year some of these Canes games can get high scoring. Cal VT Louisville Duke Iowa State and Syracuse where they allowed 30 + points and with the possibilities of facing a future NFL All-Pro team in the like 6 main Irish receivers I would expect the money is on the Irish for the expectation of them going over 30 thus making Carson Beck have to figure out how much that UGA defense is different from the Miami defense. The feeling is that there is unknowns for Beck coming off injury and a completely new group of receivers. ND is loaded on defense as well but the lose Al Golden to the NFL the Defensive Coordinator, that may have some impact as honestly we don’t know if its the Canes who try to run to the mall more because the strength of the team is the offensive line. We may see stars come from no where on the Miami Receiver Corps just as we saw Cam Ward and the portal is the way Cristobal is building the program. The key may be keeping the Irish offensive on the sideline and we know Beck knows how to manage a run heavy game plan from his days at Georgia and keeping Notre Dame under their team total is where the pendulum swings, if they do that then they will have a great chance to win, inasmuch as the Irish defense is tough and has played these run heavy styles in some big games where they had more proven quarterbacks. The number for ND looks to be about 28.5-30 for their team total. My pick here is the offensive line, the proven QB, with a full cast of new receivers, they have been replaying the U on ESPN or something because my pick is an upset or at least a cover on a small number as I feel like Miami has to want to run the ball and Beck should’ve just studied this defense last year at UGA though injured. Last 7 in the series playing in Miami went the Canes way. Expecting 30 point on the road in game one from a guy they bring up instead transfer in at QB. ND 31 Miami 30 IO ST VS. KSTATE OVER 49.5 IO ST +134 FRESNO OV 51.5 VS KANSAS KANSAS +14 LOOK ML UPSET how many week 0 upsets the past few years? A lot, so I’m fishing and wishing but that money line underdog is where I play popcorn sometimes. STAN V HAWAII OVER 55.5 I like the Cardinals as slight underdogs. ECU NCSTATE UNDER 56.5 NEVADA PENNST UNDER 60 MARSHALL UGA UNDER 55 COASTAL V UVA UNDER 57.5 MISSISSIPPI UNDER 62.5 VA TECH VS SO CAR OVER 45.5 UNC VS TCU UNDER 59 TEXAS ML – NEW QB BUT AT HOME IN HORSESHOE VS. ARCH MANNING Pick of the opening week for a game I will probably be cool with watching even though betting against the Buckeyes at the SHU can be a formula for the worst three hours in sports the wrong end of a blowout. Texas has been playoff team last two years and couldn’t get it done in those big games where they had there chances. Is Arch and Texas going to win the SEC? will this game even matter to them? Ohio state loaded on defense but the new unexperienced QB at least has the home crowd. I’ll take the Longhorns here money line. /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/37741865

The Griff Report - Pro Baseball Edition - May 8th 2025 05/08/2025

The Griff Report - Pro Baseball Edition - May 8th 2025 MLB Back from trying to figure out whom is calling me by making the worst prank calls ever and then seeing who is following me because they will be spewing their perverted lies… I thought when you have a catfish you’re supposed to set the hook. Enough about my schizophrenic hallucinations or the MK Ultra meets a vindictive bogus RICO investigation designed to end me in the mental health ward for not knowing what they thought I should. Speaking of the mental health ward, Dean Kramer has a 15.4 ERA vs. Minnesota in two appearances. They look to avoid the sweep here but face the Twins again for a three game set next week in Baltimore. I’ll take the Twins based on the pitching stat knowing that Kramer is a good pitcher and he will be seeking a better performance against a team that has had his number in two meeting thus far. Texas has already taken the season series with the Red Sox, Leiter who has beaten the Red Sox already once in this young season and career but had a rough time out on the mound in his last start as Seattle touched him 13-1. Another young starter on the Red Sox side as Bellos is 2-1 vs. Texas in his young career. At 9 Iook at the pitching matchup and have to consider that under. With one game now of seeing Leiter how many times does it take for the team scouting and batters to get into the the Rangers starter? He only allowed 1 run in 5 innings, and with Bryan Bellos stats I lean to the under 9 here. I also think the Red Sox should win but that would still lose the season matchup as it is 4-2 Texas entering todays game. Detroit, Detroit can they pull the double header as they have now jumped out in the Central to what some of us were waiting for and then they got some postseason clutch in last year and now they have rode the momentum. It’s a long season in Denver but they will get wins whenever they come up. Try to balance this thing where you can get a unit and get the fuck out the way or do you look at a parlay? Not for me because yesterday it was 8-6, and Detroit while they are 23-13 the Tigers are 10-10 on the road. The likely better way may be to avoid the consensus and hope the 7th win of the season is somewhere around for the Rockies? Tough call and I may jump in live bet or pass right here. Reds are down 1-2 in the series in Atlanta. This pitching matchup has both teams with young pitching who both I was able to find one appearance, no decisions for either hurler vs. today’s opponent. The Braves may very well win and they are dangerous at any time, but Lodolo has been excellent every other start, shutting out opponents in 3 games this year, with the “bad” start coming in his last outing vs. the Nationals. With the Reds ability to hit the ball this season 6th in the NL that may very likely be the key to game as the Braves are 5-2 record in games where they don’t allow a home run. Atlanta under .500 but posting an 11-6 record where the games start at 7:20. The Reds? they are over .500 on the road at 10-9 while .500 ball is been the pace thus far for the Red legs. The consensus squarely on the Braves but with Schwellenbach at 1-3 for the year I see the Reds as having a 50% chance to win the game and paying out +175 and that is what you need to know, wager at your own risk or don’t. This has been The Griff Report, As always best of luck and enjoy your Thursday /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/36489610

The Griff Report- Sweet 16 2025 03/26/2025

The Griff Report- Sweet 16 2025 NCAA Sweet 16 Duke ML 99% 43k vs Arizona – Don’t fall into following these huge money line consensus favorites. The Blue Devils are leading the tournament in margin of victory. You may look live bet here but if your headstrong on the Duke side then just lay the number where you get your bet at. Duke has been the one man show and if that show gets slowed then it happens in the tournament. 78 % of the bets on Duke laying that -9.5 points here. I would recommend waiting because Arizona isn’t going to be blown out from the tip off, they have the talent to beat Duke but those balls have to bounce their way. Duke has been a second half team like in the ACC Championship where they just take off at half time. Bama 88% ML 17k 90% over 176 – Look for a high scoring matchup here Alabama made the run last year with the same unit of guys but this BYU bunch is no slouch and is capable of surprising some people but at -5.5 is where my pick is the Tide have been covering a lot, 70 % consensus on the Tide -5.5, play around and get a better number if you want but if this thing goes one way then its gone. Arkansas 49 ML +205 – The most amazing thing about this spread is that Arkansas just played so well vs. St. Johns but the books are still giving all that respect to Texas Tech, who now I have laid my eyes on them in the madness and see they are playing really good. The Line Tech -5.5 and for me the pick is Arkansas as they played their game, their size is a defensive nightmare for opponents. I’ll take the points here with 54% consensus on the Razorbacks. Florida 99%ML 51k -7 Well the Gators are now such favorites that has is 8-2 ATS neutral court, 26-10 ATS for the season, but is 0-2 ATS in the NCAA tournament. I like the momentum of the Maryland squad after the step and buzzer beater. These tournament games get tough and there are upsets no matter how many people bet the other side. I’ll take Maryland +7 however 88% on the Gators here. Auburn 95% 35k ML – Beware this Michigan team, I was impressed with their entire finish in taking my ten bucks vs. Texas A&M. They have the size with Goldin and you have to deal with the pick and roll he is threat to score or hit the free throw line every time. We will see how Auburn handles the pressure on them to win. I’ll take the other “Big Blue” +8.5 and see how that fares. Mississippi +148ML 45% This one is where I like to see the SEC team but this is probably an MSU win. They beat the shit outta UNC so they can play with anyone, they won at Arkansas too. 53% Michigan St -3.5 Houston 95% ML Hou -8 Its Purdue now against Houston and with this one with the extra prep time the betters are taking Houston -8. For me I’m actually hoping for an upset in this game because I’m a UK Fan. 78% on the Cougars -8, but Painter has had his teams getting better with his tournament prep for teams. I’ll take the underdog and fade the consensus again. Houston 3-5-1 ATS Neutral I’ll take Purdue +8 Kentucky 29% ML +154 – Possibly the best two game from UK this year their two wins vs. Tennessee. Can they beat them three in a row? I’ll take UK this may just be a matchup that favors the /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/35863215

The Griff Report - NCAA Round of 32 Saturday 03/22/2025

The Griff Report - NCAA Round of 32 Saturday Arkansas vs St. John’s – Calipari vs. Pitino, but this one seems like a game where Pitino would be in the white suit with red handkerchief and change it at halftime. Arkansas was a team with little concern for early season loses as the unity and cohesiveness built as the year went on. They have the size to match up with anyone, and while I did initially pick St. Johns for the Final Four, I see this game as even match weighted to the Hogs for Davis and the importance of having the best point guard on the floor. I’ll take the points and enjoy a good game, no I wouldn’t be surprised to see St. Johns cover on free throws but I’m taking the points knowing this is a heavyweight battle. The only concern for Auburn tonight in Lexington is they only one twice this year at Rupp before that they hadn’t since 1980’s, but they have the 3 point defense. In fact the Blue Jays have Big East Defensive POY 4 years in row. With the big spread here I look at the UNDER but see the bookmaker already weighted it slightly down at 149.5. I haven’t done well this year on the opening round but there have been many distractions so don’t worry about those first days. I would expect get a better number live bet if you want Auburn or take the points if you like Creighton but I think this Auburn team finds a way to win against a dangerous team. My pick here is the UNDER and we will see the rest. UCLA vs. Tennessee I see the total here is set for a Rick Barnes defensive classic. Couple that with Zeigler being now spent most of his life in Knoxville as the millionth year point guard. Couple that with the way the Vols play at Rupp Arena and I’ll try to get the live bet for my side play, but I think they win and cover tonight. Tennessee -5 or -220 money line and even though that could get over I like UNDER 131 as well as the SEC stamps two sweet sixteen slots tonight in Lexington. Gonzaga v Houston – This is contrasting styles as Houston likes the defensive game but the Zags are rolling up and down the floor 2nd in points scored. Its going to be Houston not letting them get clean shots and just setting defensive position where it affects shots, I may have been the goofiest 6 ft 2 center in rec specs they ever saw in youth basketball but they still nightmares of their shots blocked into the stands and once that mentality gets in the its in their mind and they will adjust for that bringing the shooter off where is squared with his eyes on the prize. If they get the defense locked in they will win. Looking at the number they expect this to be a close game for what some consider the favorite in Houston, and I’m gonna say try to get Houston even money on live bet because the Zags are likely to be in this one. Even the outright upset has to be weighed into account because the Zags are a perineal sweet 16 team. These are both great teams from bad leagues so it’s hard to figure how they will go. I picked Houston to make it through but I’ll put Gonzaga +5 and UNDER 140.5 as my picks and its the tournament don’t be surprised if Gonzaga steals the stage as they have done year after year in Few’s tenure, both coaches over 700 wins here, I just have to take into account the Bulldogs NCAA record into factor and think they have a good shot to cover even if they lose with Houston wanting the defensive game. BYU – Wisconsin Watched the Badgers more this year than the Cougars, but this might be a high scoring game, an alarming 90% on the over at 155.5 remember the bookie usually only gives free lunch Monday and Thursday during NFL season. A 1 point spread, pick a side if you want because I’ll leave that alone with the over as the only place I’ll look at. Texas A&M vs. Michigan – While the “OTHER BIG BLUE” did look impressive round 1 look at those Aggie seniors and they have been through a tough SEC so they should be able to not be out “Big Schooled” by the Wolverines. I’ll take A&M -3, or money line. Last one Drake +7.5, I have no idea really here so I just took the underdog. These aren’t teams I get my eyes on much. As always Best of Luck /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/35820650

The Griff Report - NCAA Tournament 03/21/2025

The Griff Report - NCAA Tournament NCAA Tournament Friday Games Duke UNDER 140.5 Its a new era in Chapel Hill and they are loaded with talent and looking to keep the tradition just like Bob Knight handed to Coach K, now John Scheyer is likely to be elite 8 minimum most every season. I shy away from the big spread that Duke will probably cover and take the UNDER 140.5 Florida OVER 153.5 I would have the Gators on a long road to the tournament but since they won the league tournament they may be get ahead of themselves after they blow out these first two teams. I’ll take Florida Over Team Total , OVER 153.5 U CONN -5.5- Last two years UCONN in the NCAA has been 6-0 ATS, this team a step back without top lottery picks but still beware they have literally been unbeatable the past two years. Miss St Watched the Bulldogs a few times this year, they have seniors leaders at guard and Matthews is their leader on the court. Him being able to make a change in the game will be the difference Alabama over Team Total, or -22- The Tide will bounce back big time after getting blown out in the second game of SEC Tournament UK-11.5 – Three Ball is back and all signs point to a likely cover in what could be whatever these guys make it because they have an all new team from last year but no one is talking about UK and they are a 3 seed Xavier was my side but on closer review I’ll go -OVER 160 Memphis +1.5 – This is always a tough game but I’ll take Memphis here Akron+14.5 They run a full 9 to 10 man roster, have scored over 100 five times and looks for open 3s first, but they are undersized against a really good Arizona team. I’ll take the points. Iowa St -15 is either the play or just lay off this game completely. UNC-2 Consensus on Tar Heels plus the senior ball handler so these guys can go to the Final Four and lose Marquette -4 – Another good team from the Big East, they should excel out of their league. Vandy +165 The Commodores are always a team I route for when they aren’t playing UK. They are a danger for the outright upset or take the +4 if you think you need them /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/35801965

The Griff Report -NCAA Tournament First Round 03/20/2025

The Griff Report -NCAA Tournament First Round Clemson -7.5 – A team that went on a run last year and they come back after competing for the ACC this year. This team will either be there or the won’t but I’ll try to get them with a discount live bet however I think they cover the -7.5 Highpoint +9 – Boilermakers 1-5 ATS neutral site and 4-7 non confernce. They miss having Edey put I’m taking High Point and pray it don’t jam. Arkansas V Kansas – I see it all piled on consensus on the Hogs here. Really where else could I go but the points knowing that Kansas has been unfocused waiting on the tournament with some of their guys like Dickinson being the fifth year of eligibility. Arkansas +5 St. Johns -19 It happened Pitino with NIL in NYC and he will be going for a final four at a minimum here, they can be upset but he has these guys ready. Lay the points. Auburn – 32 – Auburn covers if they want to here, and if they don’t want to then they won’t. I’d think they put a beat down after playing a gauntlet in the league. Louisville -2.5 – Even with ACC a bit weaker this year it was good to see that they once again are competing and even blowing some teams out. I’ll take the Cards but what else am I to do since their games come on my local tv somehow. UCLA -5.5 – I like to watch UCLA sometimes but haven’t got to much this year, I think Mick Cronin will have them ready here and they cover on free throws. Woff/Tenn – No Bet Houston – Get used to Houston at the top of college hoops, They play defense as well so maybe take a look at the under here and the bookmaker did as well with the low number of 126.5, still this isn’t where I want my money laying 29 even though its gonna be a blowout. Georgia +6 – The Bulldogs are a tough draw for whoever they got and this years Gonzaga team is a bit less high level talent it seems. However the Zags have a streak of sweet sixteens or something like that and UGA is not a perineal NCAA qualifier. Drake +6 This is just a follow of consensus against a pretty damn good Mizzou team with a hell of a fifth year player from Lexington. But the wagers are on Drake for a reason so I follow even though its not a sure thing. UNC WIL/TX TECH NO BET Michigan -2.5 – Where else can I go even though this San Diego team is obviously expected to be in game with the line being so low. Beware of Michigan here but I can’t pick against them. Texas A&M -7.5 -Consensus on Yale, but A&M still the big favorite here because of all the seniors in the backcourt. This group struggled and I lost a bet when they played at Florida and then when Vandy was in College Station. I would think outside the league this team is right back to one of the toughest and most overlooked teams in a 14 SEC team group. I would definitely not lay the number here as Yale knocked off Auburn last year and is taking its lump of wagers for the outright upset. These are both veteran groups and we should see the number ease on down closer to even as a tight game with be the whole way. BYU-2 – The age and experience here is where I’m on BYU, they lost last year to a Duquesne team that had Lebron give them shoes before the game. They should pull out a win here. Wisconsin -17 – Where else could you go ? Lay off the high number for me all together. They should cover but I’ve seen so many upsets I’m not laying because I havent’ watched the Badgers enough this season. /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/35785045

The Griff Report 12/15/2024

The Griff Report Not since 1965 Thats right the Steelers haven’t won in Philadelphia since 65. 73 % of the money on Pittsburgh consensus. These two have really got up and down the field in the past two matchups with the Eagles getting the 64 points in two matchups. The Steelers 51 in 22 and 20 but with Wilson is this team really ready to line up with a team that was so close to beating those Chiefs a few years ago? I almost never do this but I’m going to lay the number with the Eagles here. Pittsburgh also the heavy consensus money line for the outright upset. It was just last October the Titans did something I call the worst 3 hours in sports. That is put me on the wrong end of a blowout loss. They rang the Bengals to a stunning 27-3 victory. That was Tannehill, that was Joe Burrow 20-30, 165 yards and no TD. That was week 4 last year and we see the Bengals favored in Nashville again. After a few low scoring Bengals wins in row in the series only about a 1 out of last 4 matchups 25% of the Bengals to cover. The total at 46 and really with the Bengals having 9 overs this year its hard to say this is going to be an UNDER, but this is cold weather football and while Will Levis may not league wide as a top 15 QB he has shown why the Titans drafted and then stuck with him during wins like the Houston game. I will probably just go with the Bengals again and put that with the UNDER. I expect the Titans to try to run the ball and play their game plan. The Under is my best pick here even though I know the Bengals are really good on offense and really bad on D. I think the Bengals find a way to win this one but if the Titans were to say sneak a halftime lead then know before you put your dollars there this Titans team is capable of the upset outright, and one can definitely make a mathematical based decision that Tennessee with the points is statistically the best pick. The Chargers are my pick to win the game against Tampa, at -150 money line I either take it there or try my luck getting it even money on live bet. Either way think this is a low scoring one as well but consensus is squarely on the over and that is a number where it can go either way like 27-20 or 23-20 so there it goes. Just the Chargers for me. The night game looks to have the action on the road team and the over, but I expect this to be another December night game and most likely an UNDER play for me. Consensus 62% on the over but I won’t let that deter me. The Seahawks defense is used to seeing SF with the motion, they are at least able to stay in those games and finally got over the hump. This is a different group in Green Bay and playoff style football might be in order tonight as Seattle is in position for Geno Smith to win the division and have a dream run. /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/34455585

The Griff Report - Pro Football Picks 11-28, 11-29, 12-1 11/27/2024

The Griff Report - Pro Football Picks 11-28, 11-29, 12-1 Turkey Day thru Sunday NFL Picks The Lions playing the best I’ve ever seen them in my lifetime as of late. The Bears look to have their bread basket open for a thorough beating but a Quick Look at the head to head in this matchup tells me not so fast. Last year it appears as though the Bears at least had a gameplay last year, with the question being how much of that was Justin Fields? I see the consensus loaded up on the Lions as it has been pretty much every game this year. Knowing the Lions are capable of the blowout is one way of looking at this, but this is Chicago’s third division game in a row, the first two went straight down hill, well they may have covered but that looked really lucky. Therefore it is with great hesitation that I fade consensus and take the points here. 305 Bears +10 Dallas vs NY Giants and as bad as things have been Cooper Rush still has a winning record against everyone not named the Eagles. I’ve been wrong every time I picked Dallas this year but the reign of this matchup has been historically lopsided Dallas made the Daniel Jones era look like a giant mistake. There is still a game here and with the Cowboys having an outside shot at a wildcard, maybe in dream world at least, I still have to say they have had their way with the Giants so is Devito the answer for big blue? I don’t know but there is a still a game and Dallas hasn’t been very good on Turkey Day but I’ll take Dallas over NYG here. 308 Cowboys -3.5ç The likely best game of the day on Thursday features two coaches who worked together under Shanahan in Atlanta and Washington, with McDaniels becoming the 49ers OC. What can be expected is the very thing that makes these offenses very difficult to read pre snap as in the amount of motion as Lafleur calls it ,”the Illusion of complexity” giving nightmares to defenses. Last week the Dolphins used motion on 93.7 percent of their plays beating the Patriots. This is both teams running very similar offenses. The complexity is off that pre snap motion both teams use the pass to the running backs at a very high rate. While the 49ers were maybe the leagues most injury riddled team of the season, the Dolphins had their injuries early and have hit a win streak with Tua playing at an All Pro rate since his return in week 8, they even had their chances in Buffalo but just couldn’t finish the job. This is going be a very entertaining game to watch. Consensus at least for now resides strictly with Lafleur and the Pack 75% of the 175k on the Packers -3, and 91% of the 26k on -175 Packers money line. There is always the weather to worry about this time of year in Wisconsin and with a 60/40 split towards over 47 I’m going to say that is a very well set total number and leave the total alone. These two haven’t met since A Rod was QB in 2022 so this is truly a new matchup. I anticipate at some point someone will feel the same way and take the Dolphins but its really hard as Green Bay is a contender along with Detroit and Philly in the NFC and the Dolphins even with a win a still yet to win in the playoffs. They have won 3 in a row and the spread does give a little room for them to lose 24-23, with the difference being can the Dolphins put together a game winning drive even on the road in November? If they can’t win this game then really is their any point in putting them as having a shot vs. KC, Buffalo, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, or anyone else they might get in the playoffs should they make that jump? I’ll take the points here just to take the points but if they are going to keep this unit in Miami they’ve got to beat someone at some point. Liked it better at 3.5 but it looks like 3. 309 Dolphins +3 Raiders vs. Chiefs – Well why did they keep Antonio Pierce for another year? Well with pretty much this roster he was able to deliver a Christmas Day Miracle for Silver and Black last year as they beat the Chiefs, frustration from Kelce. However they just met in October and it was a 27-20 victory for the Chiefs. With Buffalo on their heels and owning a tie breaker I don’t expect the Chiefs to overlook the Raiders at all. The question is then when is it really just too many points? At 12.5 thats a lot of points and to that I’ll say it’s about a 60% chance the Raiders keep it within the number because the last 10 meetings only 4 would the Chiefs have covered. That being said the Raiders are on a losing streak and is that really where you want to put your hard earned dollars? I would pass on this game but somehow I have always managed a place in my heart for the Raiders which has led me to watch more Chiefs games so I’ll just say this and its a fact the Chiefs are the better team going for the league first 3 peat this year, so their goal has to be get the win without suffering major injuries. Consensus clearly on the Chiefs here, but with 77% of 67k this game is clearly not as attractive the betters as Thanksgiving is. I can’t honestly go with the Raiders here because they have been that bad this year. Their number on the board just like my sons birthday 3-14. 314 Chiefs On to Sunday where things are going to be hard as they have been all year for the Bengals. How many would have said Burrow leads the league in passing, Chase in receiving and the Bengals are at 4-7. Remember how the were just out of sorts early in the year with the contract thing and it really looked like they were in preseason mode still. This offense couldn’t have played two better games and still lost to Baltimore. The Steelers are back to being a powerhouse and still this is the main challenge in the Bengals remaining schedule… beat the Steelers twice, Dallas with a backup QB, then the Titans, Browns and Broncos and you finish coming back from the bye week at 10-7 meaning they would be the hottest team in the league heading into the playoffs. They will surely be favored in at least five of those games barring injury with the finale at Pittsburgh maybe even or them as a slight dog depending on where the division is because if they clinched and can’t advance in the seeding Pittsburgh may be resting players that day. Thats looking ahead but right now Burrow and Chase have done a lot of shit talking about the Bengals being the best in the AFC, they let the Ravens off the hook twice and the Chiefs came back as well so those two have to keep leading by example and the rest of the Bengals have to hold each other accountable and step up. Hopefully they have throughly prepared for the Steelers as they had the bye week. I slide over to the money line even though it’s only -2.5 but this is a very good Steelers team that lines up against them this Sunday. Burrow 3-2 vs Pittsburgh in his starts vs. the Steelers. 466 Bengals -150 Eagles have hit their stride heading into a tough matchup at Baltimore. I think the Eagles end up facing Detroit this year to decide the NFC. Baltimore has had some defensive issues at times this year and the Eagles defensive whoa’s from a season ago appear to have been rectified. Give me the +3 or the money line +122 if your feeling strong, as for me its the eye test and consensus can go where it goes. I’ll take the Eagles. 479 Eagles I look at is the home field advantage still alive in New England? I’ll take the Pats with the points against the dome team coming in favored to play in whatever weather happens in Foxboro Sunday 468 Patriots +3 As always best of luck and enjoy your football week /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/34171255

The Griff Report - Making Fools of Everyone 11/23/2024

NFL 5 Pick - Sunday November 3, 2024 11/03/2024

NFL 5 Pick - Sunday November 3, 2024 Dallas vs. Atlanta, it’s the Cowboys who haven’t met their great expectations but remember two things here 1. Since the only games that mattered last year for DaK and the Cowboys were playoff games then really when they slide into a wild card then the only games that will matter for them is playoff games again. 2. Kirk Cousins is 2-9 for his career vs. Dallas. There used to be less room for error but with the expanded season now it’ll be when they are able to see what Zeke has left in the tank or whoever else can step up and tote the rock that this team then will be able to ease up the defense and control the clock but they at least have the pieces. Maybe they all need to put in their mouth guards and try to knock each other out then they will build some trust amongst the guys. Money line 459 Cowboys +155 The Chargers have the type of team where they feel like they are better than the record. Not even sure who is starting QB for the Browns anymore and that might be a good thing longterm. I know there is a risk of the game looking like it did in Pittsburgh but there was injury questions at QB heading into that game and they will have some learning experiences but I’d be surprised if this game is one of those. I’ll take LA. 453 Chargers This is one of those games where the Bengals are favored by way too much, especially with Higgins possibly out, but historically the Bengals have won 4 or 5 since 2015 against the Raiders, all four wins have been by a TD or more. The Raiders have the defensive mastermind who it will be up to him to figure out how to stop the Bengals because if they get rollin then its gonna be a long day. The Raiders have the patched up offensive line and Minshew but when he was in Indy last year it went 34-14 Bengals. The Eagles when they have Brown healthy are just capable of doing what they did last week, so it was tied before things went that way and you know that game isn’t being replayed today so you can lay the -7 or piddle around and hope for a live bet because they may cover or not but this is a game the Bengals are supposed to win. 464 Bengals -7 Goff 5-2 vs. The Packers. Lions have won 3 of 4 vs. Green Bay the past two seasons. I’ll let that be that I’m taking the Lions here knowing that this is a tough division game while they may win it is against another playoff team from last year that looks poised to land in a wild card so you at least know your in for a game before you lay your money 473 Lions -138 The Head to Head record is so lopsided the Bills way in the matchup all I can say when the games go that way with one side dominating and receiving the type of gamblers who know that stat so they raise the line to a place where the Bills may win and the Bills Mafia gamblers get cut short by the number. I look to that pile of money and say this is division football in November give me under. 458 Dolphins Bills UNDER /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/33761292

NCAA Football 10-12-2024 The Griff Report 10/12/2024

So you made a bad bet, or was it God just wouldn't let you profit today? 10/06/2024

NCAAF OCTOBER 5 2024 10/05/2024

Thursday & Friday Night Football - October 3 and 4 th 10/03/2024

Thursday & Friday Night Football - October 3 and 4 th Thursday & Friday Night Football Two teams that are moving up as far as where their ceilings are for expectations for this year face off in an NFC South matchup. Tampa Bay fans can now legit start to ask what’s the difference between the Goat and Mayfield? Because with the guys they still have at receiver they are a threat if they can find that consistency because they have to be the favorite to win the South right now. For Atlanta with Cousins at QB, and the defense has played well its really about what pace are they playing, because you can have a high powered offense and still play a lot of unders, just like in the Chiefs, Eagles and Steelers games this year, but this matchup would’ve gone over the total of 43.5 the last 8 times these two have played in Atlanta, the lower scoring matches have been in Tampa. That being said pick #1 here is the over 43.5 . The side play is really a toss up and you’ve got to know that going in if you choose to put your money on it. As for me I’ll lean towards the home team and follow a few dollars with ATL on the money line -127, where your saying its only -1.5, and we haven’t really seen much of a close game getting clipped by a half a point but sometimes in the NFL thats your margin for error and you never know when the one point win on a Younghoe Koo kick could be reality. 301: NFL: Buccaneers over 43½ 302: NFL: Falcons -122 NCAAF – If you like to just have action on every game or you’re just a college fan there are two games, but I really don’t know enough to make an informed opinion. Follow consensus if you want I’m not sure how much it means with these non-power conference teams 304: CFB: Troy+13½ 306: CFB: UTEP +10-108 Friday Night NCAAF Only one game I’ll weigh in on and it’s been a year where Oregon has been trying to make the Big Ten look not so tough. Michigan State getting 3 touchdowns and a field goal and I have seen them play a few times and they weren’t the greatest but they are turning the ball over at an alarming rate. IF they cut the turnovers down then they have a decent shot to cover. The Ducks and Dillion Gabriel have the talent to win the league and this one is predicted to be a beat down. I’ll take the points and see if it’s enough because keeping it close may be all the Spartans can really hope for unless they are able to cause take aways. 311: CFB: Michigan State +23½-108 /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/33315202

9-28 College Football 09/28/2024

College Football September 21, 2024 09/20/2024

College Football September 21, 2024 A different week in college football than what we have seen thus far, with the SEC playing their choice of non conference door mats for the most part, the ones playing league games feature a Florida team who has been unable to bring things together getting beat and beat bad last week, and in week 1 they just looked unable to compete with Miami. Same thing on the Mississippi State side who has just been demolished early in games vs. Arizona State and Toledo. Not sure what to really think here as the Gators are -6 on the road. Someone is going to get a conference win and with Napier on the hot seat I will take Florida with little confidence. Might as well go with a total play also maybe with uncertainty all around I’ll give you a pick but I won’t put a dollar on this game personally because I just havent’ seen it. Consensus is Florida -6 and over 58, but with the Bulldogs expected to try to run the ball via 3 man committee I don’t trust it. -Pass on this unless you are just a fan of one of these schools On down the line to Arkansas vs. Auburn – These two aren’t the top of the league either but I’ve at least watched the Hogs play vs. Ok. St. and they managed to barely cover when they should have won. I also saw a bit of Cal beating Auburn and really all that is out the window because the division may be gone but this is an SEC West clash. Auburn has won 2 of 3 in the matchup and this has been where the Tigers bounce off a lot of points in margin of victory. Yea Petrino may have something to turn things back the hogs way as 92% of the consensus is on the visiting Razorbacks. The total not receiving much action but Auburn has put up 113 in the last 3 vs. Arkansas. So I have no idea how these two are going to change the way things have gone the past few matchups. I’ll take the over 56 even with early consensus 84 % under, I’ll also say hold up on Auburn just getting steam rolled here and take Auburn with 8% consensus only right now -140 because even with all the action on the Razorbacks the bookmaker still has Auburn hanging on installed favorite for the matchup. Auburn -140 , Auburn over Team Total, Arkansas/Auburn OVER 56. A quick walk through some of my other SEC picks LSU -22 Tennessee -7 OVER 56.5 Ole Miss Over Team Total/ GASO-OleMISS OVER 67 Kentucky UNDER 42 South Carolina UNDER 42 Dog Day Afternoon? These are in my opinion the best ones and you may want to try money line on these underdogs if your into that sort of thing. Rutgers +3.5 Baylor +2 Navy +9.5 BYU+6.5 James Madison +10.5 Kansas +2 Wyoming +7 Western Kentucky +2 Purdue +4 Georgia Tech +10.5 What else now? Well we got some action in BC vs. Mich St. where O’brien has the Eagles playing well. The action at consensus sees BC-6.5 and UNDER 45 winning by a landslide, but remember folks this thing is a real game not an election. FSU looking for their first win against California where the Noles are -140. At least DJ has played QB last year vs. this Cal team. Michigan host USC – The question here is how good is Michigan at stopping those wide receivers? UM pass defense is 98th in the nation and this is a group with NFL talent. Maybe not the same way that Texas went in and won because the Wolverines should be able to run here and try to shorten the game. Consensus has UNDER 44 and the visitors leaving with a cover but the Big House is a difficult place to win at. Out of that list I’ll sit down and see where I feel comfortable putting the actual wager on. As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday of college football! /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/33138012

Griff Report - Friday 13th, NFL Week 2 - F*ck Consensus 09/14/2024

Griff Report - Friday 13th, NFL Week 2 - F*ck Consensus Top of board seeing all the money on the Ravens, hosting the Raiders. What did we learn from week 1? The Ravens are still getting warmed up as they looked like they were rehearsing for a game in January but it wasn’t game day yet, but it was week 1 of the NFL with the expanded season. What the Raiders did was put their chips on a defensive mastermind who has the brains of G-men taking down the goat in the Super Bowl. This is one where I’m gonna say my pick but your looking and saying only 9% consensus on the Raiders that can’t be right Griff. Well head to head last time was a Raiders win, and I have to believe in house that the Raiders believe Minshew is capable of getting them to postseason or you gotta draft someone which they didn’t. Wait there more Minshew II just beat the Ravens a year ago in Baltimore with a less respected group of receivers. F the consensus… Give me the Raiders and points, Raiders over Team Total! 263 Raiders-Ravens Over Over 263 Raiders Oh no Griff don’t pick them no one thinks they are going to win! Once again, the world saw how bad the Giants are in truth last week but that must’ve not been their day or those horrible uniforms made everyone want to say you guys are playing like Michigan except thats a college team and you might be in for loss against Georgia. This week they get their most favorable matchup of the year… the Commanders. New QB for Washington and he might look like a star playing at home but wait the Giants are 3-0-1 against Washington the last four matchups. I believe the Giants may take advantage of the rookie here and I’m gonna just hope they play better or the coach may be someone else’s coach next year. 281 Giants Are the Bengals still in preseason mode? Looks like no Higgins and no way they are gonna be able to bobble the ball that much and win in almost any game this year. They had the fumble when they were about to score more dropped passes and just an overall un-cohesiveness that implied to me watching the whole game that they are not concerned about winning week 1. This thing is going to have be a marathon for the Bengals so it’ll be how they finish, maybe how good Burrow learns to do that Peyton Manning let the defense get in pass defense and then audible your blockers routine and run where your can go hat vs hat routine. Right now? The Chiefs looked like world beaters, won only 2 of 5 vs. the Bengals with current QBs and the KC defense has been best in the league when they are locked in. Can anyone else step up when they double Chase? If so the Bengals win maybe cover. For me I’ll slide on to the total and think both teams want sustained drives and not a lot of full steam ahead hits for a hundred plays so I’ll go with the under but wait consensus is 97% on the over 48 here. F- Consensus give me the Bengals and I’m not touching the whatever number your holding fool. At least Burrow has better history against this team and maybe this thing turns into a shoot-out and at that point anything can happen. Consensus on the Chiefs, but me I got my Bengals wool jacket and I’ll take the 6 points. 285 Bengals Well Rodgers and Jets got gut the jab jab gut punch routine at the hands of the 49ers week 1. This week they actually have a shot to win. I’ll leave it at that, I’m on the Jets money line here and if that don’t work I’ll double it back until Rodgers pilots the Jets to victory no matter how many games that routine takes. Plus remember the Titans last trip to NYC to face the Jets? Take the points and hope you don’t get clipped in the fight and end up wishing you would’ve just laid the odds instead of the number. 279 Jets , -3.5 if your feeling lucky Where do you go historically or just with a gut instinct in the Steelers vs. Broncos. It’s been a long time since Pittsburgh has won in Denver, not since 2009. One for the guys in yellow? How about 24-6 for Tomlin vs rookie QBs. Who’s at QB now thats Fields I believe or we would have another story line with Wilson vs. Denver. Fields lost last year vs. Denver but it really wasn’t his fault, he threw for 28 of 35 9+ yards per for 335 yards 4 TD and 1 INT. If he does anywhere close to that then he has a much better run game and defense to back him this year. I won’t recommend laying the number here either, slide on over to the money line because this could be an under here as well and who thought the Steelers start 2-0, well we will see. 287 Steelers If you need more picks than that you might want to seek professional help… and I mean that literally because if you don’t have the right stats you might as well just throw your money away. As Always best of luck and enjoy your Sunday! /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/33050032

The Griff Report- Friday the 13th - September My Way 09/13/2024

The Griff Report- Friday the 13th - September My Way Well folks I’m back despite the bohemian tactics of the masonic demotic slaves to spread deception as a weapon hoping they would keep me stressing, maybe I’m the best one because the lord is where I get my blessings with gift here goes the next one. It’s been a mediocre start for the perennial powerhouse with the returning QB as it took 3 quarters past before the tide swept in last week. A slightly bigger opponent in an unfamiliar environment this week as Alabama heads to Camp Randall to face their beloved Badgers. The line -16.5 a huge number one of the likes has never been covered in modern era football handicapping, the 3rd time they have been a double digit home underdog since 2005, both the others were to Ohio State. Does that mean the Badgers are a sure thing? Not according the betting community, the consensus rolling in on Bama 79% or it is before the Saturday public money. The Badgers may still have the offensive line to win against Western Michigan and South Dakota, but four quarters against the Tide and what is sure to be four quarter run attack. What does that mean for the betting on the game? Wisconsin will likely hang on like a man getting beat trying to slow down the arms to stop the damage early which may lead to a live bet opportunity on the Tide laying less that the 16.5, but that run attack doesn’t slow down and try to get away from the feeble attempt at wrist control it pushes forward grabs you by the eye sockets and beats your head into the wall. Look for a live bet if you have time to sit down and enjoy the game, but my pick is the only thing upset will be Wisky fans as the Tide Rolls in and sweeps out taking some confidence from the faithful. 115 Alabama Coach Kelly has been beating on the tables this year because his team was in position but maybe the best wide receiver group in college football was just so good that it left everyone saying , “did you see that !” in the opener. While I was in for the worst three hours in sports last week as South Carolina came in to Lexington and put a three hour beat down on the Wildcats, I watched every minute despite having every other 3:30 game correct. This here is a different matchup for both teams, the LSU defense will have to contain an athletic quarterback Saturday in Sellers and a senior running back Sanders. The Tigers have only beaten twice ever by the Gamecocks, 19-2-1 all-time for LSU in the matchup. Consensus 58% only a slight margin for LSU as what happened recently is in the minds of the public. This is still a freshman QB against what could still be a playoff team because in the format how you finish and play in your league will be weighed in heavily. Once again if you have time to sit and watch the you can probably get that perfect bet live time, but my I’m picking the irishman to have the eye of the tiger locked in for their SEC opener. 125 LSU Speaking of the Irish and a team that just needs to finish strong to make the playoffs, the entire football world was shocked last week as NIU went to South Bend and stole that “Easy Money” from Irish backers. This week it’s Purdue, one of the longest most historical rivalries in the state of Indiana and college football as a whole. Consensus still has faith in ND here by a 2-1 margin on the road in West Lafayette. Last week a group of seniors ready to fight to the death for Northern Illinois, this Purdue team with Hudson Card at QB but the questions come from the receivers but this is an Air Raid offense not the Huskies run attack that shortened last weeks game. An injured non throwing shoulder for Leonard may make him less likely to take off on designed qb runs to limit the number of hits he takes, he is also dead last among power four signal callers thus far. Can the Boilermakers pull the upset? Are the Irish really not as good as fans thought? Purdue 13-26-2 all time at home vs. the Irish. Purdue may hang around but when I look at the head to head record I see a long list of ND victories from the last Purdue win in 2007, two 3 point wins for the Irish, a few 7-10 point wins and a few 14-16 point wins as its now 8 in row for ND in the series. Do you wait on the live bet or do the Irish come out fired up? Either way my pick is 149 Notre Dame Central Florida head to Amon G. Stadium to face TCU in a game sure to have a lot ra ra for both sides. A million points? Well the total at 63 is probably a tight one with no advantage on either side. A one point spread for the home team favored but not by the typical “home field number of -3” This one I picked just incase anyone should read or hear it down at the real FSU where I attend, “Full Sail University” campus in Orlando also with UCF. The game on Fox and my pick here is the visiting UCF Knights, with 55% consensus in agreement 187 Central Florida To my birthplace here where I’ll just give the info because my Wildcats are up against it. Vanda”Griff” had a rough three hours last week as UK was just stuck on 6 points all afternoon as the Wildcats just couldn’t keep him protected. As a Wildcat fan traditionally this a rough go vs. UGA having the last UK win in 2009, last year things went 51-13 Georgia and since Smart has been at the helm its been a one way street. One interesting note and I’m not quite sure who has the advantage from the situation of Brock Vandagriff coming from Georgia because he wasn’t going to get any playing time down there. He has a lot to prove on one hand, but how well does the UGA staff know him and what he’s good at as well as any tendencies they could possibly exploit? The -22 point line has 91% of the early consensus on the Bulldogs, hometown websites like Sea of Blue treating the Wildcats like Rodney Dangerfield picking that big win for the visitors. Wait just a minute tho, last year Georgia went 4-5 ATS in conference, 1-3 as an away team. Just about 10 points has decided the last four matchups in Lexington. Tell these fair weather fans that these Wildcats will have to feed off the energy the put in the ether, so get your tickets, or fire up your grill Saturday night as the college football world will have its eyes on the number 1 ranked team and their visit to the bluegrass state. We’ll see maybe Georgia overlooks this UK team and maybe Vandagriff has something to prove to his old team. I’ll take my beating with the Cats here and just leave it at that. 190 Kentucky Best of the rest and Griff’s Dogs? Here they go: Texas -35 Oregon State +16 Central Michigan +20 U Mass +5 Sam Houston -5 Indiana -money line Florida State -6.5 Florida +4.5 Pitt +2 Tulane +13 Utah State +20 Mississippi St-10.5 Ole Miss OVER TEAM TOTAL SDSU/CAL UNDER 48 BC +15.5 I’ll be back soon with NFL Games for Saturday, As always best of luck and enjoy your Saturday /episode/index/show/a342f52d-eacc-4bed-9383-0deebad641ee/id/33044932