The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.

4-17-25 Powell Rekindles Trump Feud 04/17/2025

4-17-25 Powell Rekindles Trump Feud Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their potential to exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth has reignited tensions between Powell and Trump, reminiscent of their earlier disputes during President Trump's first term. UnitedHealthCare is struggling with Medicare and Medicaid costs; drug stocks are part of a sector rotation story that includes weight loss pills and clinical trials; Lance and Michael discuss the relative relevance of the Dow vs the S&P, sector rotations, and the danger of listening too closely to negative narratives in the media. SEG-1: Options Expirations to Generate Market Volatility SEG-2: Powell vs Trump: Liquidity Problems SEG-3: The Saga of UnitedHealthCare SEG-4: Dealing with the Dow vs S&P: Sector Rotations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mt6uvwuEjCQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Swaps And Basis Trades Warn Of Mounting Liquidity Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/swaps-and-basis-trades-warn-of-mounting-liquidity-problems/ “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpVsPowell #FederalReserve #InterestRates #Election2025 #MonetaryPolicy #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketLow #TariffImpact #JeromePowell #DonaldTrump #FederalReserve #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36206910

4-17-25 Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low? 04/17/2025

4-17-25 Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low? Markets are trying to recover from recent lows, and we're on a short-term buy signal; markets are not really over bought quite yet. More consolidation would not be surprising, particularly with the "Death Cross" of the 50-DMA with the 200-DMA. There is cause for caution here, because, historically, the majority of the time (outside of a recessionary event-driven market), the "Death Cross" is most commonly associated with market lows than at the beginning of a corrective cycle. Unless there is a recession or a credit-related event in the markets, these tend to be fairly short-lived: Generally three- to four-months. It does provide overhead resistance, and suggests markets will remain consolidating for a time. Don't get caught up in negative headines; these things are usually not as bearish as the financial media would have you believe. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QBl6GOYthE8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Frontrunning Tariffs Boosts Economic Activity" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/frontrunning-tariffs-boosts-economic-activity/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLow #EconomicActivity #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36205265

4-16-25 A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession 04/16/2025

4-16-25 A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation; what if the US and China reach an accord? Defining Bear Markets vs Corrections; what to do to prepare for Recessions; what comes next, after tariffs? Is now the best time to take RMD's, or wait until EOY? Tariffs are "The Art of the Deal." Charitable ways to take RMD's. Donuts, 8-Balls, & Tax Planning: strategies for buying & selling; the danger of being overly negative. SEG-1: Recession Risk Rises SEG-2: When the Death Cross Occurs SEG-3: Bear Market vs Correction - How to Prepare for Recession SEG-4: Strategies for Buying and Selling Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X8jmA-coFbo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: “Curb Your Enthusiasm” In 2025" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/curb-your-enthusiasm-in-2025/ "The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "It's Tax Day!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #TariffImpact #RecessionReady #FinancialPlanning #EconomicDownturn #MoneyTips #RecessionProof #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36189580

4-16-25 DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation 04/16/2025

4-16-25 DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation Markets will open a little weaker this morning: Tariffs have not gone away, and Nvidia says it will take a $5-Billion charge on an AI chip they can ship overseas because of the ban. Still, Nvidia continues to outperform the market. The bigger news headlines will be about "The Death Cross" of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA, which will provide more aggressive overhead resistance for stock prices as they try to recover. Basically what this indicates is a continuation of market consolidation in a corrective period. "Death Cross!" does not mean the next financial crisis is imminent. There are two types of Corrective Markets: Event-driven and Construct-driven, or shorter-term vs longer-term. Tariffs are the current event, and markets will price-in the effects. These tend to last about 90-days. Constructive-driven corrections are triggered by credit issues or meltdowns like the Dot-com Crisis, and typically take up to 18-months to complete. Markets are currently in a cycle where bases are being formed, and the corrective process is nearly concluded. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9A7En3WnClw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DeathCross #MarketConsolidation #CorrectiveCycle #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36187105

4-15-25 It's Tax Day! 04/15/2025

4-15-25 It's Tax Day! It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today... There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), have we passed the markets' low? How the US Dollar is dealing with pressure. Last-minute tax tips include HSA advice, and shwat diversification is not. Treasury Sec'y Scott Bessent and Bond Market turmoil: Is it beginning to taper? Will there be a battle between the Treasury and the Fed? Lance and Jonathan review HSA's and 72-T rules & penalties. Volatility in the market: There's nothing really wrong. Portfolio management mistakes: You don't really make money until you sell. Everything reverts to the mean; how markets work; dealing with loss avoidance; what goes up must come down. SEG-1: Have We Passed the Market Low? SEG-2: Last Minutes Tax Day Tips SEG-3a: More Tax Tips: HSA's & 72-T's SEG-3b: Volatility in the Market - Why Hedge? SEG-4: You Don't Make Money Until You Sell Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dYhGAfYYmZk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Dollar Under Pressure," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2025 #TaxTips #IRSDeadline #LastMinuteTaxes #FileYourTaxes #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36151920

4-15-25 The Dollar Under Pressure 04/15/2025

4-15-25 The Dollar Under Pressure Nobody wants the dollar? Is it really the end of the word as we know it?? While the Dollar has certainly had a decline, going from 110 to 99 on the US Dollar Index. However, things must be placed properly in context: Looking at a 20-yar chart, it is clear that the Dollar is NOT declining, despite recent, short term dips. The Dollar has basically been consolidating ever since 2022. Yes, the Dollar could go lower from here; 91 on the Index is certainly possible in a retest of a long term moving average. But that would still be well within the bullish trend. What we're witnessing now is not surprising, given the dynamics imposed by the tariffs. Currency is basically nothing but a measure of international trade, and most countries store their reserve assets in US Dollars by buying US Treasuries, gold, or US stocks. Countries concerned about the impact of tariffs on their economy are pulling their reserve assets out of dollars and back into their own currencies. That's the rotation that's been going on. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_C0sBBJ9EPE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Dollar And Inflation: Don’t Believe The Hype" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollar-and-inflation-dont-believe-the-hype/ ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #InternationalTrade #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36151115

4-14-25 Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet 04/14/2025

4-14-25 Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet Are we heading toward a recession in 2025? In this episode, Lance Roberts explores why yield curve inversions and widening credit spreads suggest the risk isn’t over yet, what the bond market is telling investors, and how these indicators have predicted past recessions and what it could mean for your portfolio. Lance covers: * The Tariff impact on Apple * The mistake of confusing trade deficits with tariffs * Markets' relief rally * Tariffs paused not likely to return * Yield curve inversion and economic signals * Credit spreads and financial stress * Implications for the stock and bond markets * The Fed's hands are not tied * The dark side of NAFTA SEG-1: After Moratorium, Will Tariffs Return? SEG-2a: Bill Maher & Donald Trump SEG-2b: The Importance of Yield Spreads SEG-3: The Fed's hands Are Not Tied SEG-4: YouTube Bans & The Dark Side of NAFTA Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qp7qlAhspWQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yield-spreads-suggest-the-risk-isnt-over-yet/ "Basis Trade Sent Yields Soaring – Is It A Warning?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/basis-trade-sent-yields-soaring-is-it-a-warning/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Get Tariff Relief," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ToBQdtd1Ydg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion " https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YieldSpreads #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #YieldCurve2025 #RecessionSignals #BondMarketWatch #CreditSpreads #EconomicRisk #FederalReserve #NAFTA #BillMaher #DonaldTrump #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36128840

4-14-25 Markets Get Tariff Relief 04/14/2025

4-11-25 The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion 04/11/2025

4-11-25 The Best Tariff Tactic May Be a Roth Conversion Quarterly reporting season is upon us, with JP Morgan setting the tone for earnings, as the tariff tango with China continues; how are advisors handling the turmoil? Consumer front loading pulling forward future demand will lead to economic irregularities later. Richard and Matt discuss dealing effectively during corrections and taking advantage of tax efficiencies; creating a "loss bank;" paying taxes means you're making money. cutting through the headlines and the negative influence of social media; the evolution of work in America: Where did all the jobs go? Rich and Matt point out the value of having a financial plan in place during tumultuous times like these; dealing with the psychological shift that comes with retirement; the opportunity for Roth conversions; making"Tikie-Tokies." The Social Security tax torpedo and The Retirees First Act; Rich & Matt discuss taxing Socia lSecurity and the three forms of US taxation; Yellen vs Greenspan. SEG-1: JP Morgan Sets Tone for Earnings Season SEG-2: Managing Money Effectively During Corrections SEG-3: The Value of a Financial Plan in Times Like These SEG-4: The Social Security Tax Torpedo Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Cp4VjyYxIGg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Monster Rally or market Bottom?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RothConversion #TaxStrategy #RetirementPlanning #TariffImpact #StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36097830

4-10-25 Monster Rally or market Bottom? 04/10/2025

4-10-25 Monster Rally or market Bottom? What really happened behind the scenes as President Trump seemingly performed an about-face on tariffs, sending markets zooming on Wednesday: Markets enjoyed their 3rd best performance since WW-2, erasing all the losses since tariffs were first announced last week. Lance reviews the Basis Trade terror, not tariffs, that caused the turn about. The correction cycle is likely not over, however; markets are challenging resistance. Lance reviews what RIA bought and sold. Lance and Michael discuss how we avoid the next financial crash, and the impact of leverage on the Basis Trade. Where do we go from here? Dealing with Bond Risk. Tariffs add pressure to the economy, and the goal is to lower inflation and interest rates to better manage excessive debt. What is the Fed likely to do next? The market is based on moral hazard; there's too much debt, and too much leverage. Should hedge funds be limited on amount of leverage? Looking at the 3rd largest day on Wall Street since WW-2: Nobody talks about the ten-worst days in the market;don't be impulsive: Use rules to guide portfolio moves. SEG-1: Markets Erase Losses SEG-2: The Impact of Leverage on Basis Trade SEG-3: The Whole Market is Based on Moral Hazard SEG-4: Nobody Talks About the Ten Worst Days in the Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GpK9eML4BM4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trumps Economic Revolution: Unraveling A Blessing And A Curse" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-economic-revolution-unraveling-a-blessing-and-a-curse/ "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Reverse All Losses," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JLHne8xJaHs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Liquidity Cracks" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket2025 #MarketRally #InvestingInsights #BullOrBear #FinancialTalk #MarketLosses #MarketGains #LossReversal #CorrectiveCycle #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36084925

4-10-25 Markets Reverse All Losses 04/10/2025

4-9-25 Liquidity Cracks 04/09/2025

4-9-25 Liquidity Cracks China retaliates to Trump's retaliation to China's tit-for-tat response to tariffs; downward pressure continues as markets trying to recalibrate with a moving tariff target; there are cracks appearing in the treasury market from the basis trade; what will the Fed do? Lance explains the latest gyrations in markets and the sharp rise in bond yields. Basis trade explained; appears to be at 20X leverage: Is someone getting margin calls and liquidating? Tariffs are not the issue here; will the Fed step in? Wall Mart reports earnings, but cannot provide guidance until tariff trouble is resolved. How much money does it take to move markets one-point? Slowing economy = less demand = high unemployment. It's going to get worse before it gets better. There is an alarming trend of 401k early withdrawals; "leakage" has been a problem for a while. Lance and Danny examine the eruption in the bond market; don't over react. The VIX has spiked, but is moderating. What will the Fed do? The best tariff trade is the Roth conversion. SEG-1: Tit-for-tat on Tariffs SEG-2: What is the Basis Trade? SEG-3: It's Going to Get Worse Before It Gets Better SEG-4: Eruption in the Bond Market Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oo_zfOuvXVw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2705s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Yields Belie Market Instability," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Rally; What's Next?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LiquidityCrisis #MarketVolatility #FinancialStress #CreditCrunch #FedWatch #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36071210

4-9-25 Yields Belie Market Instability 04/09/2025

4-9-25 Yields Belie Market Instability Markets rallied 4% Tuesday morning on false hopes of a 90-day delay in tariff impositions, then reverse course and gave up all the gains, finishing in the red. There as good news in that markets did not take out previous lows. Markets are now trying to form support at the 61.8% retracement level. Markets are deeply over sold.Markets remain under pressure as the turmoil continuies. There is a lot of panic selling, partcularly in ETF's, which only exacerbates the sell off. Bond yields have been rising sharply as a function of the Basis Trade, which looks like we're getting liquidation evens in hedge funds, and mmargin calls, as well. The jump in yields doesn't have anything to do with inflation or tariffs; this is a functino of market instability. We suspect, if the basis trade doesn't settle down, the Fed will be forced to intervene on some level to stabilize financial markets. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pnT6n_NY_tY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondYields #MarketInstability #BasisTrade #ETF #Liquidity #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36066475

4-8-25 Markets Rally; What's Next? 04/08/2025

4-8-25 Markets Rally; What's Next? Markets jumped on a false report of a 90-day wait on tariffs, and took investors on a roller-coaster ride Monday.ance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore the possibilities, plus why should shouldn't even LOOK at your portfolio right now...also, is a recession coming? That is the billion-dollar question investors now face. One gauge to help us answer the question is corporate bond yield spreads. When the yield differential between corporate bond yields and risk-free Treasury bonds widens significantly, it signals that bond investors are taking a risk-averse stance. Simply, they are pricing higher odds of corporate defaults, typical when economic growth slows, especially during recessionary periods. Lance and Jonathan also cover more tariff talk, and Lance's preferred path, a brief interlude (but no spoilers) about Taylor Sheridan's "1923" finale episode (there is a connection), and a review of the Five Laws of Stupidity (link is provided below). SEG-1: Earnings Season Reconvenes SEG-2: The Two Camps of Investors SEG-3: What Credit Spreads are Telling Us SEG-4: Five Laws of Stupidity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aLv00PZtAHM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Stupidity And The 5-Laws Not To Follow" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/stupidity-and-the-5-laws-not-to-follow/ "Corporate Yield Spreads Start To Widen" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/daily-market-commentary/ "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Are Markets Ready to Rally?," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GxKBXB4s4Vg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketRally #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingInsights #FinanceNews #EconomicTrends #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36054940

4-8-25 Are Markets Ready to Rally? 04/08/2025

4-7-25 The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear 04/07/2025

4-7-25 The Market Crash - Hope in the Fear Are markets close to a short-term bottom? The response to the unexpected magnitude of tariffs creates pain and anxiety, as markets reprice valuations and trade negotiations begin. Some markets suspend short-selling; US markets are over-sold; bonds are doing well; the Fed is expected to cut rates five times. Lance discusses markets' hope and fear (charts); lessons investors can learn from the Coog's vs Duke (Lance's wife is not amused). Wall Street will find a narrative to rally markets, and then sell. A look at our Fear/Greed indicator (and how it differs from others'); probabilities vs possibilities, the risk range report. Looking for a reflex rally now; what we're going to do. SEG-1: Markets Respond to Tariffs SEG-2: Markets' Hope & Fear SEG-3: Coogs vs Duke: Dealing with the Unexpected SEG-4: Probabilities & Possibilities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zUFhH72D1T4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Market Crash – Hope In The Fear" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-market-crash-a-set-up-for-a-rally/ "The “Liberation Day” Tariffs Crash The Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-liberation-day-tariffs-crash-the-market/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPQ16u0rgr0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCrash2025 #FearAndFinance #InvestingInUncertainty #FinancialCrisis #HopeInTheCrash #EarningsImpact #TariffEffect #MarketAnalysis #InvestorInsight #TradeWar2025 #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36037435

-7-25 Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom 04/07/2025

-7-25 Markets Are Fishing for a Bottom Markets are starting to respond to the tariff war, with some exchanges banning short-selling for a period (Thai Stock Exchange Bans Short-Selling from 4/8 - 4/11) as worry grows about the magnitude of tariffs. Don't forget, there ARE "circuit breakers" in place, and markets will just shut down if things get out of control. Markets are very over sold on multiple levels. We're currently sitting at about 50% retracement as of Friday's close, and this morning will challenge the 62% retracement. Normally, between 50 and 60% retracement is where markets typically find their bottom. Markets are very over sold on a relative strength basis, and very over sold on a momentum basis (which is not surprising); markets are at levels where they push extremes. Bond, on the other hand, are very over bought, and have been working well through all the turmoil. Now might be a good time to take profits if you're trading bonds. What ever rally we get will likely be short=lived. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VPQ16u0rgr0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBottom #TariffWar #BondMarket #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36035630

4-4-25 Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions? 04/04/2025

4-4-25 Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions? Markets scuttled over 5% following President Trump's initial reveal of intended tariffs on trading partners he says have been trading unfairly with the U.S. The fallout continues today, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty examine Tariffs and Retirement Planning, the rise of protectionism vs globalism, and how tariffs affect the economy. Bonds are playing an important role in a 60/40 portfolio, and here are some possible Retirement Portfolio Strategies for the rest of 2025. Rich and Jonathan also discuss Market Volatility and Retirement and the Trade War's Impact on Investments. Does this week's market rout provide buying opportunities? It's unwise to completely ignore your portfolio, just as it is dangerous to execute knee-jerk changes in response to news headlines. Rich & Jonathan also discuss the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, which they believe will either sunset or drastically change. SEG-1: Markets Get a Tariffic Headache SEG-2: Bonds Are Doing Their Job in a 60/40 Portfolio SEG-3: Will Tariff Troubles Cause Retirement Plan Revisions? SEG-4: Looking at the Mega Roth Option Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump's Puzzle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/ "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets' Tariff Tizzy" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #MarketVolatility #TradeWar2025 #FinancialFreedom #TradeTensions2025 #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/36008075

4-3-25 Markets' Tariff Tizzy 04/03/2025

4-3-25 Markets' Tariff Tizzy President Donald Trump's tariff terrors were revealed Wednesday afternoon, and markets were not enthused. At all. The worse than expected tariff rates are the highest ever. Trade policy is still uncertain, however, as the tariffs are seen as a negotiating tactic, and subject to revision. But this makes it difficult for companies to re-calculate forward looking estimates of earnings. And as the ripple effects of higher expenses are felt in the economy, the risk of recession rises. Lance takes a break to extol his wife's virtues as a basketball savant; Lance and Michael discuss the likely Fed response to higher tariffs and slower economic growth, review a chart of the VIX (more volatility on the way), and emphasize the importance of context and perspective before reacting to the tariffs' effects. Markets are not not red or blue; disallow political influences when making investment decisions. Lance and Michael reveal the silver lining behind the tariffs' effects; narratives will drive markets for the next few weeks until fresher economic data is seen. With the imposition of these tariffs, will Trump be emboldened to talk tax cuts? SEG-1: Trump Tariffs: Worse Than Expected SEG-2: The Risk of Recession Rises SEG-3a: Mrs. Roberts Basketball Savant SEG-3b: What Will Fed's Response to Tariffs Be? SEG-4: The Bad News/Good News About Tariffs Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump's Puzzle" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/ "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradeTensions2025 #MarketVolatility #TariffTalk #GlobalMarkets #EconomicUpdate #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #TariffTerror #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35990830

4-3-25 EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror 04/03/2025

4-3-25 EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror The U.S. Tariff Rate just increased dramatically; this is the worst-case scenario. The new tariffs are stacked on top of previously-existing tariffs. These will have to be dealt with by both manufacturers and consumers: The question is whether or not the cost of the tariffs can be passed on to the consumer. This WILL drastically change companies' forward earnings estimates, which have been very elevated and needed to come down; this will do that. Markets price on what future expectations will be...and this does not leave much upside for markets this year. There will be lots of volatility, lots of trading ranges, but not a lot of upside. In fact, we may well have already seen the upside for the year. The silver lining here may be that these tariffs ARE the worst-case scenario, and there is time before they go into effect (in which time, they could be adjusted as countries respond.) We would be cautious about selling during this sell-off. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35990180

4-2-25 Liberation Day - What Does It Mean for You? 04/02/2025

4-2-25 Liberation Day - What Does It Mean for You? Liberation Day arrives: Clarity about tariffs should help markets. What will be the impact on economic growth: Will consumers pay higher prices or choose alternatives? There are too many variables to calculate the true economic impact. Market performance this year is all about diversification of assets within portfolios...and what's working this year may not work next year. Avoid complacency! Before the bell, downside risk still remains. RIP, Val Kilmer. Today is "Liberation Day" (from what?) Have markets already priced-in the effects? This is a difficult market to hedge: Do you bet on the Mag-7 or the other 493? The best thing to do today is...nothing. The truth about tariffs: Foreign nations have been charging the US tariffs all along (40% of US Corporate profits come from exports); Trump just wants to equalize the playing field. The unknown variable is Consumer Choice: No one knows what folks will choose to purchase. Lance looks at interest rates, what drives them, and where they're likely going. Tariffs do lead to slower economic growth, but current economic data does not support bear porn. Increased costs = reduced demand. Inflation expectations are parsed by political proclivities. SEG-1: Liberation Day: Downside Risks Remain SEG-2: Liberation from What? SEG-3: The Truth About Tariffs SEG-4: Where Are Interest Rates Going - What are the Drivers? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kkazRwbURU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2402s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/ "Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risks to Markets Remain," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZ06pEvG38E&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TradeTariffs #LiberationDay2025 #USChinaTrade #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #DownsideRisk #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35976590

4-2-25 Downside Risks to Markets Remain 04/02/2025

4-1-25 Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues 04/01/2025

4-1-25 Failure At The 200-DMA – Correction Continues Investors must remember that we're coming off two years of exceptional market returns, and that market corrections must be viewed in their proper context...and expected. Lance discusses the positive and negative impact of Mag-7 stocks on markets due to their weighting; meanwhile, the First Quarter has ended with institutional buyers acting in the final minutes of Monday's trading day, boosting stocks to a less than 1% gain at the close. Markets give signals, but context is needed. Corrections are generally buying opportunities. Lance shares a tale of his wife's candy stash and an example of her "largesse" in sharing same; plus a spoiler alert fo the 1923 TV series. How should investors act after a correction? So far, there are no signals indicating a shift from bullish to bearish trends. Lance and Jonathan discuss what "reducing exposure" in a portfolio really means, and lessons learned from 2008. Commentary on BlackRock's Larry Fink (a.k.a Darth Vader) plans to open private investing to Main Street investors, and why it's a horrible idea. Why is Hooters filing for bankruptcy? We keep abreast of the story. SEG-1: Keep Market Corrections in Context SEG-2: Corrections are Buying Opportunities SEG-3a: Christina's Hoard & 1923 Spoiler Alert SEG-3b: Lessons from 2008: What Reducing Exposure Really Means SEG-4: Blackrock's Making Private Markets Public Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ao2ScUuK-Oo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2722s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Teeter over Tariffs," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMynEDDoNhY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?"" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #StockMarketCorrection #200DMA #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketInsights #InvestSmart #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35961195

4-1-25 Markets Teeter over Tariffs 04/01/2025

4-1-25 Markets Teeter over Tariffs Institutions waiting until the very last minute to balance portfolios, pulling markets up to barely eke out a gain for the day. The action kept markets intact, although still over sold. And in all the market turmoil, a negative divergence is developing in both relative strength and momentum: Market uncertainty over tariffs, and whatever Liberation Day" means will certainly temper traders today. Lance describes Fibonacci retracement on pull backs and extensions. There is a level of support markets will try to bounce off of. The question for today: Can Markets hold support at that level? If not, a break of support will likely next test the 5400 level. If tariffs are revealed to be more brutal than expected tomorrow, the decline in the market could be more severe. If less so, markets could have a really big rally. If you want to short the market, you could be terribly wrong...or terribly right. Don't be overly aggressive today; just wait. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WMynEDDoNhY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Tariffs #LiberationDay #MarketCorrection #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #MarketLows #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35958360

3-31-25 Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?" 03/31/2025

3-31-25 Saleable Rally or "Buy the Dip?" There are no discernable signs of economic stress...yet, bu tconsumers are concerned about wages and job security. The question begging to be asked: When is the Fed going to step in (Fed purview: Employment and price stability...AND by extension, consumer confidence). How will markets react to Liberation Day (4/2)? Corporate buy backs will resume 3rd week of April. Markets pulled back on Friday (mimicking four similar pull backs last year.) Make no changes just yet; wait for the next market bounce. Can corporations pass along the expense of increased tariffs? When will the Fed act? Goldman is cutting its earnings expectations for 2025, and valuations are beginning to fall. Lance explains the relevance of Consumer Confidence to PCE, which contributes 70% of GDP. A decline in Consumer Confidence results in a decline in PCE...and earnings. Turmoil in the markets: Don't panic; this, too, shall pass. Tariffs are a tax corporations pay; consumer choice is a big factor: choose to not buy, or purchase for less elsewhere. Market declines have nothing to do with tariffs; tariffs are not a black swan event. Lance shares about the Roberts' blended family, and how he's making his kids independent in the face of a report showing 50% of parents are supporting their adult children in some fashion. SEG-1: How Might Markets React to Liberation Day? SEG-2: When Will the Fed Act? SEG-3: Tariffs Are Not a Black Swan Event SEG-4: When Parents Support Adult Children Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Sell Before the Bounce ," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y8cfmIcojDI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BuyTheDip #StockMarket2025 #InvestingStrategies #BullTrapOrBreakout #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketRally #MarketBounce #200DMA #MarketSupport #Tariffs #BlackSwan #CorporateEarnings #ConsumerConfidence #PCE #GDP #FinancialResponsibility #MarketLows#InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35935825

3-31-25 Don't Sell Before the Bounce 03/31/2025

3-28-25 Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings? 03/28/2025

3-28-25 Will Healthcare Expenses Outpace Your Retirement Savings? Richard Rosso and Matthew Doyle discuss rising healthcare costs and their impact on retirement healthcare planning: What would happen if you were to outlive retirement savings...and how to successfully initiate financial planning for medical expenses so you can better manage healthcare inflation in your retirement years. There's also conversation about Tariff Terror and the markets' dislike for uncertainty; what would a Spam tariff look like? Bond pricing and the viability of tariffs if the economy continues to weaken; Seniors living along is on the rise: "Un-partnered." Is America going the way of Japan demographically? Richard's concept for a retirement "village:" Dead Ends. How technology helps Seniors age in place (FiveWishes.org) Richard & Matt discuss Gene Hackman's estate and financial/estate planning foibles of the rich & famous; estimating healthcare expenses in retirement (Richard's birthday is this weekend: What Medicare package will he choose?) The value of nutrition in retirement. SEG-1: Tariff Terror & Market Uncertainty SEG-2: Bond Pricing & Tariff Talk SEG-3a: Candid Coffee preview SEG-3b: Seniors Living Alone SEG-4a: Gene Hackman's Estate SEG-4b: Estimating Healthcare Costs in Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEvPkwCQ3GY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=31s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Economic Forecasts Diverge," https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HealthcareCosts #RetirementPlanning #FinancialWellness #MedicalExpenses #MoneyMatters #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35908750

3-27-25 When Economic Forecasts Diverge 03/27/2025

3-27-25 When Economic Forecasts Diverge Tariff talk is giving markets a fit, unable to price equities or make reasonable earnings estimates amidst the on-again, off-again tariff threats. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow economic forecasting tool predicts an imminent recession, which is fueling investor angst. However, the New York and St. Louis Feds’ Nowcast economic forecasts predict continued economic growth in the first quarter. Confused? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the GDPNow and Nowcast models to understand the recent forecast divergences. How do these affect economic forecasts for 2025? How do they align with recession predictions vs growth outlook and the Federal Reserve interest rate outlook? What should investors do when presented with conflicting economic indicators, and how should you factor-in market uncertainty analysis? Also a look at the impact of Gold on the trade deficit, and a look at the Debt Ceiling and X-Date. SEG-1: Tariff Talk & Sentiment Shift SEG-2: Bear Porn Nirvana SEG-3: GDP Now & Nowcast Divergencies SEG-4a: Impact of Gold on Trade Deficit SEG-4b: The Debt Ceiling and X-Date Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qizvC5xxIX0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1409s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Tariff Talk Tatters Traders," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Risk of Recession Rising?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EconomicForecasts #GDPNow #Nowcast #MarketOutlook2025 #RecessionOrRecovery #InvestingInUncertainty #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35889380

3-26-25 Tariff Talk Tatters Traders 03/27/2025

3-26-25 Tariff Talk Tatters Traders Markets sold off Wednesday ahead of 25% tariff impositions on foreign-made automobiles, and the uncertainty of other on-again, off-again tariff talk. Markets failed at the 200-DMA and the media alarms sounded! Take caution about reacting to headlines and any market action driven by the news; give it a day or so to confirm whether that break was valid or not. There is rising trend channel coming up off the bottom. The short, saleable rally we saw may be all that we get, so be cautious! We are still in the end of the quarter period, which concludes on Monday; there may still be some buying to be done. We are still on a buy signal, and relative strength is improving. Wednesday was not a good day, technically, for the S&P; but for the Russell 2000, things were worse. And while earnings expectations for the S&P 500 are optimistic, for Mid- and Small-cap companies, they are absolutely flat, with no expectations for growth. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vNacMxVvnQA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TariffTalk #AutomobileTariffs #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #Recession #20DMA #50DMA #200DMA #SP500 #Russell2000 #MovingAverage #ReduceRisk #TakeProfits #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35887515

3-26-25 Is the Risk of Recession Rising? 03/26/2025

3-26-25 Is the Risk of Recession Rising? Is the risk of recession rising? Consumer sentiment is flagging following last week's market correction. Investors cannot dismiss sentiment and money flows. Everything that drives the market gets down to earnings. The next round of earnings reports will commence in a couple of weeks. It appears the Dollar has bottomed, and markets are setting up for a rally short term. Lance and Danny address misinformation about recession vs stagflation; there does not yet appear to be evidence of recession, but markets are pretty good predictors. Lance addresses the hard realities of losses, and the quickest way to solve them is to accept them and move on. No one is going to swoop in and save you. A discussion on investor psychology, telling the truth about what you really want. SEG-1: Is the Risk of Recession Rising? SEG-2: Recession vs Stagflation? SEG-3: The Hard Reality of Accepting Losses SEG-4: Investor Psychology and Realistic Expectations Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- REGISTER FOR OUR NEXT CANDID COFFEE (3/29/25) HERE: https://streamyard.com/watch/Gy68mipYram2 ------- Watch today's full show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uLfl-tzH17k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1984s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is The Correction Over?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/is-the-correction-over/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "From Correction to Rally," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6GspLUM6fA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Rally On1" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gmp6NjUIwoM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Recession2025 #EconomicOutlook #MarketRisk #FinancialTalk #InvestingInsights #StockMarketRally #BullMarket #InvestingTips #MarketTrends #FinancePodcast #MarketRally #MarketSellOff #MarketCorrection #MarketBottom #MarketVolatility #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #StockMarketUpdate #MarketCorrection #Investing2025 #Tesla #Savanna Bananas #FinancialNews #EconomicOutlook #FinanceTalk #InvestingTrends #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing /episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/35872735

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