The Real Investment Show Podcast
It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.
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6-4-26 Single Sector Driving Markets | Before the Bell
06/04/2026
6-4-26 Single Sector Driving Markets | Before the Bell
One Sector Is Driving Everything The S&P 500 continues to make new highs, but the story beneath the surface is far different. Technology and semiconductors have become the dominant force behind market performance, creating a widening gap between the S&P 500 and nearly every other major sector and factor. In today's pre-market update, we compare the S&P 500 to Momentum, Value, Quality, Energy, Healthcare, Utilities, Materials, and Technology. The results reveal just how concentrated market leadership has become and why many diversified portfolios may appear to be lagging despite owning fundamentally strong companies. We also discuss the risks of performance-chasing, why semiconductor stocks have become such a large part of the index, and what investors should expect when market leadership eventually rotates into other sectors. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/mRXYN5YlgdI --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #MarketOutlook
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6-3-26 Q&A Wednesday: Market Momentum Slows
06/03/2026
6-3-26 Q&A Wednesday: Market Momentum Slows
It's Q&A Wednesday, where we tackle your investing, retirement, market, and economic questions live. Today's topics include whether defense and drone companies remain attractive investments, if weak cryptocurrency performance is a warning sign for broader markets, how Kevin Warsh could impact interest rates and financial markets, and what size correction would warrant deploying additional cash. We also discuss investor psychology, risk versus reward for re-entering markets, whether investors need to put money to work immediately, building income-generating portfolios with municipal bonds, reserve currency concerns, opportunities in micro-modular nuclear reactors, SimpleVisor portfolio positioning, the semiconductor gamma squeeze, saving and investing excess income, the true cost of homeownership, and using options strategies to manage portfolio risk. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 6:27 - Market Acceleration is Slowing 11:57 - Looking at Defense/Drone Companies 13:07 - Is the Poor Performance of Cyber Currencies a Harbinger of Things to Come? 18:24 - Will Kevin Warsh Raise Rates (and how will markets react)? 21:22 - How Large a Correction Would Trigger Cash Deploy,ent? 23:38 - The Problem for Most Investors: Psychology 25:59 - The Risk/Reward Proposition for Re-Entry to Markets 28:53 - Do You NEED to Deploy Capital now? 29:40 - The Start Here Page 33:37 - Building Income Generation Portfolio w Muni's 38:44 - Abuse of Role as Primary Holder of World's Reserve Currency 39:34 - Micro-modular Nuclear Reactor Investments 41:14 - SimpleVisor Portfolios 43:40 - How Can Semi's Be a Gamma Squeeze? 46:59 - Saving 50% of Income - Where to send the rest? 49:51 - The Cost of Home Ownership 52:15 - Selling Calls to Buy Puts? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ppkqABinsxs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Need a Breather," here: https://youtu.be/0_dOuwmQFeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure," https://youtu.be/MSj51cpXXg8 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BeforeTheBell
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/41523835
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6-3-26 Markets Need a Breather | Before the Bell
06/03/2026
6-3-26 Markets Need a Breather | Before the Bell
Stocks are now approaching 10 consecutive weeks of gains since the April lows, but the pace of the rally is beginning to slow. While momentum remains positive and markets continue to grind higher, signs of buyer exhaustion are becoming more apparent. In today's Before the Bell, we examine weakening daily advances, narrowing trading ranges, softer volume trends, and the growing gap between prices and key moving averages. We'll discuss why a short-term pullback may be healthy, why the 20-DMA remains important support, and why the 50-DMA could become the next logical downside target if markets take a pause. A correction does not necessarily mean the end of the bull trend. Understanding the difference between a normal pullback and a trend change is critical for investors managing risk in an overbought market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/0_dOuwmQFeY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #TechnicalAnalysis #Investing #BeforeTheBell
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6-2-26 Needs vs. Wants - What Investors Get Wrong
06/02/2026
6-2-26 Needs vs. Wants - What Investors Get Wrong
Investors continue to focus on familiar concerns such as the U.S. dollar, bond yields, oil prices, and geopolitical tensions. But are the biggest risks and opportunities actually hiding in plain sight? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn discuss several important questions facing investors, like what market risks and opportunities may be receiving too little attention right now, and why predicting portfolio returns over the next 12 months is an impossible task, and what investors should focus on instead. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:05 - Software & Maga Cap Tech Carry the market 5:08 - Previous Predictions Come to Pass 11:24 - Making Bad Financial Decisions - The Mini Retirement Trend 17:24 - Frugal Living Habits 22:36 - Business-building & Solo-preneurs 24:24 - Time is Your Greatest Asset 27:12 - Faulty Analyses vs the way it was 29:30 - Wants vs Needs - How Peer Pressure Drives Bad Financial Decisions 30:26 - Youth Sports Expenses & Private Equity 32:00 - The Financial Folly of 'Keeping Up w/the Jones' 35:40 - Scholarship Realities 39:18 - What's It All For? 43:07 - Putting Skin in the Game 45:07 - Kids, Credit Cards & Financial Responsibilities Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/MSj51cpXXg8 ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Software Squeeze Meets Reality," here: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure," https://youtube.com/live/2d6jS369BWM ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Investing #StockMarket #FinancialPlanning #MarketValuations #WealthManagement #SoftwareStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #MarketAnalysis
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/41510130
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6-2-26 Software Squeeze Meets Reality | Before the Bell
06/02/2026
6-2-26 Software Squeeze Meets Reality | Before the Bell
Just a few months ago, software stocks were being written off as AI winners emerged elsewhere. Now, software is leading the market higher as investors scramble back into the sector and mechanical buying fuels a powerful rally. In today's Before the Bell, we examine the recent surge in software and semiconductor stocks, the role of gamma squeezes and momentum-driven buying, and why investors should be cautious about chasing popular narratives. We also review long-term charts that provide critical perspective on market trends, moving averages, and the inevitable process of mean reversion. Key topics include: Why software stocks suddenly became market leaders The impact of mechanical buying and gamma squeezes Lessons from the Semiconductor Index (SMH) How market narratives can quickly change The importance of long-term moving averages Understanding mean reversion and market corrections What investors should watch as momentum accelerates Markets can remain bullish longer than many expect, but history shows that prices eventually reconnect with long-term averages. The challenge is recognizing risk before the crowd does. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/MSj51cpXXg8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SoftwareStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #Investing #MarketAnalysis
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6-1-26 Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure
06/01/2026
6-1-26 Risk Management for Retirees: When to Reduce Exposure
One of the biggest challenges retirees face is balancing the need for portfolio growth with the need to protect hard-earned savings. With markets near record highs, valuations elevated, and investor sentiment increasingly optimistic, when should retirees consider reducing portfolio risk? Lance Roberts discusses the principles of risk management for retirees and why successful investing is often more about protecting capital than maximizing returns. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - End of Quarter - Looking forward to June & July 3:24 - Hurricane Season Fun 4:51 - Easy Market Breeds Investor Complacency - No One Wants Insurance 11:47 - RIA Website Tour 15:42 - Viewer Email: What to Do As Market Correction Approaches? 17:35 - Get Invested! 19:01 - The Most Important Commodity - Time 20:24 - Risk Management is NOT Market Timing 21:22 - What is the Definition of Risk? 25:28 - Risk Management vs Market Timing 30:16 - The Math of Loss 32:00 - The Myths of Investing 34:45 - Investor Psychology 34:45 - Investor Psychology 38:37 - Write Rules Down 40:09 - How to Get Back In Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/2d6jS369BWM ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "Risk Management For Retirees: When To Reduce Exposure:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/risk-management-for-retirees-when-to-reduce-exposure/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Portfolio Insurance Before the Pullback?" here: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY ------- Watch our previous show, "Investor Anxiety, Roth Strategies, and Retirement Reality," https://youtube.com/live/ZL8lA-xHlMs ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #RetirementIncome #FinancialPlanning
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6-1-26 Portfolio Insurance Before the Pullback? | Before the Bell
06/01/2026
6-1-26 Portfolio Insurance Before the Pullback? | Before the Bell
After nine straight weeks of gains, investor optimism is running high, money flows remain elevated, and portfolio protection has become an afterthought. But history suggests that periods of extreme complacency often precede at least a short-term market reset. In this morning's market update, we review the surge in money flows since April, the growing divergence from long-term moving averages, and why markets may be increasingly vulnerable to a pullback. While the bullish trend remains intact, momentum and relative strength indicators are stretched, raising the risk of a reversion toward more normal levels. We discuss practical ways investors can think about portfolio insurance without using complex options strategies. From raising cash levels through profit-taking to utilizing short-term Treasuries, simple hedging approaches can help reduce risk while maintaining market participation. A correction does not have to be severe to feel uncomfortable, especially after an extended advance with very little volatility. Understanding risk management before volatility returns can help investors avoid emotional decisions when markets inevitably pull back. Watch today's update as we discuss market complacency, portfolio hedging, cash as a strategic asset, and why protecting gains can be just as important as generating them. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/N5vR32ESAeY --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrection #PortfolioProtection #RiskManagement #InvestingStrategy #StockMarket
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5-29-26 Investor Anxiety, Roth Strategies, and Retirement Reality
05/29/2026
5-29-26 Investor Anxiety, Roth Strategies, and Retirement Reality
Investors continue wrestling with uncertainty, frustration, and the fear of making the wrong move in today’s market environment. Jon Penn & Sarah Buenger discuss why waiting for the “perfect” entry point often keeps investors sidelined, how hindsight bias and regret aversion impact decision-making, and why investing does not have to be an all-or-nothing approach Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - We Don't Sleep so You Can 4:11 - World of Roth Preview & Market Summary 10:15 - How to Get Money Into Roth 13:39 -The Back Door Roth 17:21 - IRS Strategies & Prorata Rule 18:23 - Regular Roth Conversions 20:34 - Super-loading Roths 24:49 - 457 Limitations 25:22 - Mega-Backdoor Roths 27:01 - Not Every Employer Plan Includes Roth 31:35 - 529 to Roth Conversions 30:32 - When the IRS is Your "Business Partner" 33:28 - Rules of Roth & Preferred Order 35:28 - Strategies for Spousal Contributions 37:25 - When the Roth Maths don't Math 38:56 - Inheritance Tax Efficiency Considerations 41:17 - Tax Considerations & Implications in Roth Conversions 43:47 - Pre-Tax vs After-Tax considerations Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ZL8lA-xHlMs ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far," https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #Investing #RothIRA #FinancialPlanning #StockMarket
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5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?
05/28/2026
5-28-27 Is the Semiconductor Trade Going Too Far?
Semiconductor stocks continue to dominate market leadership as AI spending, data center demand, and investor enthusiasm push valuations higher. But is the semiconductor trade becoming dangerously overcrowded? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine whether the current AI-driven semiconductor boom is sustainable or if markets are entering another phase of excessive speculation. We discuss narrow market breadth, concentration risk inside major indexes, memory chip pricing, Korea’s growing importance in the global semiconductor supply chain, and whether investor optimism is outrunning economic reality. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - End of Quarter prep; Triton Joins $-Trillion Club 5:59 - Market Driver Primarily Technology 12:05 - Semiconductor Commentary 18:01 - 15 Trading Rules info 19:18 - PCE Price Index Preview 23:03 - U.S. Economy Continues to Accelerate 27:27 -How Does Divergence in Oil Prices Resolve? 29:26 - Market Complacency on Resolution in Iran 31:22 - Dispersion Index - Fragile/Stable vs Ripe for Rotation 33:16 - AI Impact on Economy - Bullish vs Bearish cases 35:43 - AI & the Engels Pause 37:45 - What New Jobs Will AI Generate? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/XB3W7awMDZk ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "15 Investing Rules To Win The Long-Game" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/15-investing-rules-to-win-the-long-game/ "AI Productivity And Innovation: Prosperity Or Engels Pause?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ai-productivity-and-innovation-prosperity-or-engels-pause/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers ," https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk #Semiconductors #ArtificialIntelligence #AIStocks
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/41453895
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5-28-26 Tech Rally Risk Rising | Before the Bell
05/28/2026
5-28-26 Tech Rally Risk Rising | Before the Bell
Markets continue to grind higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly dependent on one sector: Technology. While technical trends remain bullish overall, the acceleration in semiconductors and mega-cap tech is creating extreme deviations from long-term moving averages and historical norms. Lance Roberts examines why overbought markets can stay overbought, why narrow market leadership matters, and what history says about parabolic advances in speculative sectors. We also discuss why a 20% correction would not necessarily break the long-term bullish trend, what types of events could trigger a broader reversal, and why risk management becomes critical when momentum accelerates too quickly. We review long-term charts of the S&P 500 and Semiconductors, the growing dependence on Technology leadership, and why investors chasing performance should consider rebalancing and taking profits before volatility returns. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/AVXI7TCayvI --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete," https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #SP500 #MarketRisk
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5-27-26 Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers
05/27/2026
5-27-26 Q&A Wednesday: Real Advisors, Real Answers
Markets, retirement, inflation, taxes, the Fed, portfolio risk, and financial planning — nothing is off limits during this week’s Q&A Wednesday. Lance and Danny answer viewer questions live and break down what matters most to investors right now, from market volatility and interest rates to retirement income strategies and long-term wealth planning. Join the conversation and get straightforward insights from real advisors dealing with real-world financial challenges every day. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:09 - Markets Set New Highs, Iran Talks Continue 5:46 - Markets' Rising on One Sector 9:54 - When Will the Market Correct? 15:16 - Inflation Strategies - What Is Your Goal? 20:54 - What Does "Increasing Equity Exposure for Summer" Look Like? 23:14 - Is Space a Viable Investment? 28:14 - What is the Narrative for Foreign Countries Selling U.S. Debt? 30:20 - Backing Into a Diversification Strategy 32:24 - Focus on the "P" in GDP 34:00 - Why Own Long Bonds? 37:20 - What is Your Reinvestment Risk? 38:46 - How to Protect from Sequence of Returns Risk? 40:48 - What Milton Friedman Really Said Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/zzDZJD0kIeA ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ "SpaceX IPO: Should I Buy It, Or Wait?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/spacex-ipo-should-i-buy-it-or-wait/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Risks," here: https://youtu.be/dO-rDPLZBa8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Why 20% Market Drops Don’t Matter," https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve #QandAWednesday #FinancialPlanning
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5-27-26 Tech Bubble Driving Markets | Before the Bell
05/27/2026
5-27-26 Tech Bubble Driving Markets | Before the Bell
Markets continue pushing to new highs, but the rally is becoming increasingly dependent on one sector: Technology. With XLK and Semiconductor stocks driving the majority of gains, market breadth remains weak beneath the surface. Communications, Financials, Energy, and Materials are telling a very different story than the headline indexes. In today’s Before the Bell, we break down the growing disconnect between Technology and the rest of the market, why diversified portfolios are lagging benchmarks, and how hedge fund positioning in Semiconductors is fueling the momentum chase. We also discuss why this narrow leadership can continue longer than expected, what warning signals to watch for, and how investors should think about risk management heading deeper into summer and the mid-term election cycle. Watch for key support levels, momentum shifts, and changes in market leadership before making aggressive portfolio moves. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/d3dc5rwLp1c?si=Hucvfio_XecJZnXd --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #Semiconductors #StockMarket #MarketBreadth #InvestingStrategy
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5-26-26 Why 20% Market Drops Don’t Matter
05/26/2026
5-26-26 Why 20% Market Drops Don’t Matter
Wall Street still defines a “bear market” as a 20% decline, but does that rule still apply in today’s market environment? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down why traditional definitions of corrections and bear markets may be obsolete after 17 years of Fed intervention, massive liquidity injections, and historically elevated valuations. We also answer one of the biggest questions investors are asking right now: how do you balance staying invested while also remaining defensive? We discuss risk management, position sizing, portfolio hedging, and how investors can recognize when it may be time to become more cautious without abandoning long-term investment discipline. The conversation also covers the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair, how a change in Federal Reserve leadership could impact markets and longer-duration Treasury bonds, and whether slower economic growth remains the most likely long-term outcome. We revisit concerns about market weakness during a Fed transition period and discuss whether the current rally still faces meaningful downside risks. In this episode, we also explain why bond prices decline even when bonds are considered “fixed income,” how rising yields impact individual bond prices, and why investors should avoid emotional reactions to short-term bond volatility. We address growing fears surrounding U.S. debt levels, deficit spending, and debt-to-GDP concerns, while pushing back against the nonstop doom-driven narratives dominating financial media and social platforms. Sometimes the best financial decision is to stop reacting emotionally to headlines and focus on long-term financial planning instead. Finally, we discuss one of the biggest behavioral mistakes investors make during strong bull markets: allowing the “tax tail” to wag the investment dog. We examine strategies for trimming concentrated positions, managing capital gains, utilizing Donor Advised Funds, exploring option collars for risk management, and remembering that paying taxes usually means you made money in the first place. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - Iran Talks & Oil Prices 3:11 - Markets over Bought & Over Extended 7:03 - 20% Market Decline - Reality 12:35 - Sneaky Sneezes & Story Time w Jon 13:30 - Market Declines & Investor Mistakes 15:17 - The Difference Between Losing Gains vs Principle 16:48 - Useless Predictions 20:31 - How We Manage Long Term Risks 22:32 - How Warren Buffett Invests (You're not him) 24:03 - Corrections Are Not Nothin' 26:04 - Where Does Gloom & Doom Come From? 27:24 - If Debt-to-GDP Was a Problem - What the Markets Know 31:00 - Don't Let the Tax Tail Wag the Gains Dog 34:36 - When the Fed Chair Changes... 36:55 - Bond Price Moves vs "Fixed"? 42:31 - The Only Way to Buy Bonds 44:56 - Never Ever Borrow Against Your 401k (again) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Corrections vs. Bear Markets: Why 20% Declines Are Obsolete" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/corrections-vs-bear-markets-why-20-declines-are-obsolete/ ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Narrow Rally Risks," here: https://youtu.be/dO-rDPLZBa8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Parabolic Bubble Brewing - Tom Thornton Interview-2," https://youtube.com/live/s5pdp2zHltg ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve #StockMarket #BearMarket #FederalReserve #Investing #MarketCorrection
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5-26-26 Narrow Rally Risks | Before the Bell
05/26/2026
5-26-26 Narrow Rally Risks | Before the Bell
Markets continue to climb after eight straight weeks of gains, but the rally is becoming increasingly narrow and overextended. AI, semiconductors, and mega-cap technology stocks continue to drive most of the upside while broader market participation weakens beneath the surface. Lance Roberts examines why sharp angles of ascent often lead to stronger reversions back toward long-term support levels, even when momentum remains bullish. We also discuss why overbought conditions alone do not end bull markets, but why slowing momentum, narrow breadth, and excessive concentration risk are worth monitoring as we head into summer. We’ll cover the risks tied to a new Fed Chair transition, upcoming midterm elections, stretched valuations, and why diversified portfolios may continue to lag major indexes dominated by a handful of AI leaders. Plus, why 2026 could become another year where most active money managers underperform benchmark indexes despite solid portfolio construction. Markets may still trend higher, but the risk of sharper pullbacks is growing as leadership narrows and deviations from long-term means continue to widen. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/dO-rDPLZBa8 --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #AIStocks #MarketBreadth #Investing #FederalReserve
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5-25-26 Tom Thornton Interview-2 "Parabolic Bubble Brewing"
05/25/2026
5-25-26 Tom Thornton Interview-2 "Parabolic Bubble Brewing"
Markets finally pulled back after a relentless momentum-driven rally, but history suggests parabolic advances rarely end quietly. Lance Roberts & Tom Thornton break down the growing signs of a speculative bubble forming beneath the surface of the market, from DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals and narrow market breadth to surging semiconductor inflows, Korean market speculation, and rising energy-driven inflation risks. We examine why tech leadership is becoming dangerously concentrated, how crude oil and gasoline prices could reignite CPI pressures, and why the Fed may be effectively finished with rate cuts. We also discuss the “immediate gratification economy,” emerging market weakness, fertilizer and commodity pressures, and the growing disconnect between market optimism and economic reality. Plus, we analyze why investors may want to diversify, take profits while they still can, and rethink the difference between long-term investing and speculative casino behavior. NOTE: This interview was pre-recorded on 5/7/26. 00:00 - Intro 1:20 - Market Correction, as Predicted 4:00 - Parabolic Spikes Have Happened Before 5:53 - There's a Bubble Brewing - Bullish Sentiment (slide) 8:53 - DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals (slide) - what they are 10:54 - What the Signals are Saying (13's) 11:40 - Nasdaq 100 w DeMark Exhaustion Sell Signals 12:25 - Korean Kospi Index - Most Important in the World, next to U.S. 13:38 - GS Data Center & Memory Baskets (slide) 15:25 - SMH Semi's & EWY Korea ETF Inflows (slide) 18:35 - Memory Chip Price Gouge 20:56 - EWY Korean ETF 21:47 - QQQ vs SPX and SMH vs SPX Ratios (slide) 23:08 - Narrow Market Breadth 24:26 - Markets Regurgitate Same News, over and over 25:43 - Paul Tudor Jones: "United States has never been more dependent on the stock market than ever before." 26:41 - XLK Tech vs SPX & RSP Equal Weight vs SPX ratios (slide) 29:13 - Crude Traders are "in a bunker" on fears of Crude Oil draws 30:20 - Crude Oil Prices, Gasoline Prices, and CPI 33:33 - The Fed is Done 34:28 - What if...it's all about timing 36:15 - Are Emerging Markets Losing Their Luster? 38:26 - High Energy Prices' Impact on Consumer Spending into Foreign Markets 38:51 - Living in the Immediate Gratification Economy 39:33 - The Fertilizer Issue 40:43 - Gasoline Prices and the Lag-effect on CPI 42:11 - The Call to Take Profits While You Can 42:56 - Catalyst List: Crude, Bonds, Rates - This is a call to diversify 44:52 - Warren Buffett - Church vs Casino Investing (Why we sold our Berkshire stock) Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/s5pdp2zHltg ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketBubble #Nasdaq #Investing #FederalReserve
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5-22-26 QCD Pros and Cons Explained
05/22/2026
5-22-26 QCD Pros and Cons Explained
Qualified Charitable Distributions, or QCDs, can be one of the most tax-efficient strategies available for retirees with IRA assets. But are they always the right move? Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty break down the pros and cons of QCDs, including how they interact with Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs), adjusted gross income (AGI), Medicare IRMAA surcharges, Social Security taxation, Roth conversions, and estate planning strategies. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Texas Tree Roaches & Market Commentary 4:08 - AI Data Centers & Anti-AI Mentalities & Other Observations 16:23 - How AI Tools Can Help 19:04 - Qualified Charitable Distributions 21:13 - Falling Into the Widows' Trap 23:38 - Age Requirements of QCD's 29:46 - How QCD's Work 31:57 - What is Your Charitable Intent? 34:26 - Looking at QCD Limits 36:31 - "The Process is Clunky" - Ed Slott 41:09 - Who Benefits from QCD's? 43:40 - Dynaminc Learning Series - SimpleVisor Nerd Alert Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/PdNwnrviYnQ?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "The AI Economy Beyond The Hype" https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RetirementPlanning #QCD #Taxes #IRA #FinancialPlanning
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5-21-26 The AI Economy Beyond The Hype
05/21/2026
5-21-26 The AI Economy Beyond The Hype
The AI economy looks unstoppable on the surface, but what is really happening underneath? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz break down the massive surge in AI infrastructure spending, the role of hyperscaler CapEx in driving GDP growth, and whether AI is creating a stronger economy or masking deeper structural weaknesses. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:53 - NVIDIA, AI, & Streamlining Workforce 5:41 - Market Sell Signals and Chances for Summer Correction 10:10 - Weakness in Economic Data is Transitory 14:53 - Oil Price Economic Impact - When Does it Hit? 16:36 - The AI Economy -Beyond the Hype 19:52 - How Will AI-generated Productivity Work Through Economy? 22:33 - Data Center Spending Impact on GDP Growth 26:41 - GDP per Capita per US States vs Internationals 29:40 - Every Economy Has a "K" 31:07 - What AI Can Do For You 32:33 - When Dire Predictions Don't Come True 35:52 - ...this doesn't mean we can't have a recession 37:44 - Points to Ponder from Latest NVIDIA Report 38:47 - Space-X (SPCX) IPO Preview Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The AI Economy: Looking Beyond The Facade Part 1" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-ai-economy-looking-beyond-the-facade-part-1/ "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/TeIhoqBT8dg ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally?" here: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A ------- Watch our previous show, "Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money" https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook #ArtificialIntelligence #AIeconomy #StockMarket #EconomicOutlook #TechnologyStocks
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5-21-26 Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally? | Before the Bell
05/21/2026
5-21-26 Momentum Pause Before Summer Rally? | Before the Bell
Markets triggered a short-term momentum sell signal, but that does not automatically mean a major correction is underway. The bigger question is whether stocks can hold key support at the 20-DMA while working off overbought conditions driven by the recent momentum chase. Oil prices, tensions around the Strait of Hormuz, and rising margin debt are all contributing to increased volatility risk near-term. However, if markets can consolidate through June without breaking key support levels, the setup for a stronger July rally could remain intact. In today's Before the Bell, we discuss why the real correction risk may not emerge until later this Summer, what election uncertainty could mean for August and September markets, and why the 20-DMA is the technical level investors should be watching right now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/oWiPrlAYz5A --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #SP500 #Investing #MarketOutlook
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5-20-26 Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money
05/20/2026
5-20-26 Q&A Wednesday - Straight Talk About Your Money
Markets are hitting new highs while volatility, inflation concerns, interest rates, and geopolitical risks continue to pressure investors. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions about investing, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, market risk, Federal Reserve policy, and the economy. From market momentum and valuation risks to retirement income strategies and financial planning mistakes, this is your opportunity to get straightforward answers without Wall Street spin. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:57 - Markets Trying to Sell-off 6:17 - Market Comparisons 11:19 - Not Reading the News is Better 12:08 - Is TLT a Good Buy Now? 15:40 - What to Do with Cash 16:40 - Can Bond Yields Go Over 5.5%? 19:08 - Will There Be Inflation from SCOTUS Ruling on Trucker Broker Liability? 20:14 - What Would Trigger Differentiation from Standard Correction or Worse? 23:50 - Higher Oil = Higher Treasuries? 28:26 - Space Stocks, Momentum Trading, & Space-X IPO 31:27 - The Roth Conversion Conundrum 33:53 - APLD Positioning & Short Squeeze 36:21 - Correlation of Assets - What to do when trades don't work 40:46 - Microsoft, AI, & Layoffs 41:48 - What is Your Plan for a Market Downturn? 49:14 - Social Security Reform - Raising Minimum Retirement Age? 55:02 - In What Sector will Space-X Be Placed? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ngEmjqsUFTY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Market Decoupling Danger," here: https://youtu.be/uDPuWbEqO-E ------- Watch our previous show, "U.S. - Iran Risks You Cannot Ignore" https://youtube.com/live/YT_BHXcoydw ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Investing #Investing #Retirement #FinancialPlanning #SocialSecurity #SpaceXIPO
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5-20-26 Market Decoupling Danger | Before the Bell
05/20/2026
5-20-26 Market Decoupling Danger | Before the Bell
Markets continue to push higher, but underneath the surface, warning signs are beginning to build. Bullish sentiment and equity exposure among investment managers are near record highs, while market leadership continues to narrow into a smaller group of large-cap stocks. In today’s pre-market update, we examine the growing divergence between the S&P 500 and equal-weighted indexes, the sharp underperformance developing in small-caps, emerging markets, and international equities, and why the strengthening U.S. Dollar is pulling capital back into domestic markets. We also discuss how concentrated leadership often precedes broader market weakness, why summer correction risks are increasing, and the portfolio adjustments we are making as market signals begin to deteriorate beneath the surface. Markets may appear stable on the surface, but the internal decoupling between sectors, styles, and global markets is becoming harder to ignore. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/uDPuWbEqO-E --- Articles mentioned in this report: "The NVDA Earnings Report: Could It Pop The Gamma Bubble?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-nvda-earnings-report-could-it-pop-the-gamma-bubble/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #MarketCorrection #Investing #MarketOutlook
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5-19-26 Bull Market Reality Check | Before the Bell
05/19/2026
5-19-26 Bull Market Reality Check | Before the Bell
Markets have now advanced for seven straight weeks, a historically bullish signal for long-term returns. But short-term risks are starting to build beneath the surface. Momentum is weakening, breadth remains soft, and markets are approaching a potential sell signal as overbought conditions begin to unwind. In this episode, we break down why a pullback toward the 20-DMA — and possibly the 7,000 breakout level — would not be unusual after such a strong rally. We also examine the historical pattern of market corrections following the appointment of a new Fed Chairman, election-year volatility risks, and why investors may want to become more defensive without abandoning the broader bull market outlook. We discuss portfolio positioning, risk management, value versus growth, fixed income opportunities, and why a correction could become the next major buying opportunity later this year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/P4tVvHEqF6k --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #BullMarket #MarketCorrection #FederalReserve #Investing
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5-18-26 Market Leadership is Narrow
05/18/2026
5-18-26 Market Leadership is Narrow
Narrow market leadership is becoming a growing risk for investors heading into the summer months. While the S&P 500 continues pushing near record highs, a small group of mega-cap technology stocks is carrying most of the market higher as broader participation weakens beneath the surface. Lance Roberts breaks down why concentrated leadership matters, what history says about narrow rallies, and why stretched momentum in semiconductors, AI, and mega-cap growth stocks could leave markets vulnerable to sharper volatility ahead. We’ll review the widening gap between cap-weighted and equal-weight indexes, weakening sector participation, and the growing importance of risk management as markets move further above long-term trends. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Strong Earnings Season Continues - Nvidia Prelude 6:01 - Markets Complete 7th Week of Gains 12:01 - Bring Your Kid to Work Day 12:54 - Signs of Market Risk Ahead 15:30 - Market Breadth Has Been Worrisome 17:17 - Market Weighting is Important 19:51 - Narrow Market Leadership History 21:44 - Negative Market Should Be Expected 22:35 - Factors of Risk 24:22 - When Correction Comes... 26:47 - Six Actions You Can Take Now 32:17 - Warren Buffett's Cash 35:24 - The Buffett Indicator: Warren's Calling for a Crash? 36:57 - Two Readings that Matter 41:45 - Why Do You Own Berkshire-Hathaway 43:41 - What Would Warren Buffett Buy (WWWBB)? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Market Leadership Is Narrow, Increasing Summer Risk" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leadership-is-narrow-increasing-market-risk-into-summer/ "Buffett Cash Hoard: Why $397 Billion Sits On The Sidelines" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buffett-cash-hoard-why-373-billion-sits-on-the-sidelines/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/ajQHux6HT7k ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Meets Gravity," here: https://youtu.be/-HT6wtmOzjw ------- Watch our previous show, "What Your Advisor Should Really Do" https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- * REGISTER for our next Dynamic Learning Series presentation, "A SimpleVisor Tutorial," Thursday, June 4, 2025 at Noon: https://streamyard.com/watch/MwairsimgmnS -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook #WarrenBuffett #BerkshireHathaway #MarketRisk #TechnologyStocks #FederalReserve
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5-18-26 Momentum Meets Gravity | Before the Bell
05/18/2026
5-18-26 Momentum Meets Gravity | Before the Bell
Despite Friday’s sell-off, the market just completed its seventh straight week of gains since the April lows. Momentum has turned bullish again, but the speed and angle of this rally are creating growing risks beneath the surface. In today’s pre-market update, we examine why sharp deviations from long-term moving averages matter, how the current rally differs from the 2023–2024 advance, and why correction risk is increasing as markets stretch further above the 200-DMA. We discuss the importance of mean reversion, why extreme momentum can eventually create larger pullbacks, and what kinds of catalysts could trigger a correction this summer — including oil prices, economic data, consumer weakness, or deteriorating earnings expectations. This is not a call to panic or move to cash. It is a discussion about risk management, market structure, and understanding how extended rallies behave historically. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/-HT6wtmOzjw --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketCorrection #Investing #SP500 #MarketOutlook
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5-15-26 What Your Advisor Should Really Do
05/15/2026
5-15-26 What Your Advisor Should Really Do
What should you really expect from a financial advisor? Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary, managing risk, helping with taxes, retirement income, estate planning, and behavioral coaching, or just selling products and chasing performance? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the real role of a financial advisor, what services matter most, how advisors are compensated, and the warning signs investors often miss. We also discuss fiduciary standards, portfolio management, communication expectations, financial planning, and why transparency matters more than promises.. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh (Janet Yellen) & CPI Review 4:18 - Employment Numbers & Data Centers, & Robots Chasing Hogs 6:26 - What Does Your Advisor Do? 10:16 - What Should You Expect? 14:24 - What Are You Getting vs Giving Up? 16:02 - Looking at Taxes on a Continuum 19:35 -Investment Management is Important 20:44 - AI, Robots, and Animatronic Beavers 25:40 - Financial Advisors with Open Minds 27:41 - Fixed-cost vs Fee-based Financial Planning 30:10 - How to Deal with Emotional & Cognitive Biases 34:22 - Math & Movie Voice-overs 36:02 - Fiduciaries Focus on Things You Miss 37:45 - Proper Asset Location 38:14 - Fee Transparency - How advisors get paid 41:20 - Red Flag Warnings When Choosing an Advisor 42:59 - What Annuities Do (and Don't Do) 45:25 - Fee-only vs Fee-based Advisors44;31 - Big Firms vs Small Firms - KYC 47:02 - What Comprehensive Wealth Management Should Look Like 47:54 - Candid Coffee - Financial Organization Made Simple Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Perfect Planning Experiemce" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Inflation Surge Hits Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #Investing #WealthManagement #Fiduciary
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5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?
05/14/2026
5-14-26 Inflation Surge Hits Markets?
Inflation pressures may be heating up again, and markets are beginning to notice. Rising prices can have major consequences for stocks, bonds, interest rates, and Federal Reserve policy. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz discuss why persistent inflation is dangerous for both investors and the economy, how rising yields pressure bond prices, and why higher rates can challenge stock valuations — especially in high-growth and technology sectors. We also examine whether the recent market rally is underestimating the risk of another inflation wave. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 1:04 - Gamma Squeeze & Markets' 7-week Run 5:16 - Market Sectors vs Market Factors 13:34 - Rotations from Semi's to SAAS's? 15:57 - Market Rotations Back to Value? 17:50 - Charting Relative Scores of Market Factors 19:42 - Why Dispersion Matters 20:54 - CPI & Inflation Data - What Does it Tell Us? 23:41 - Gasoline Prices & CPI Calculations 26:58 - Chart Crimes and "Lower" Inflation 29:28 - CPI Today vs 1970's (more chart crime) 31:06 - What Kevin Warsh is Walking Into 33:35 - The Fed's Trap and Consumption Destruction 38:02 - Earnings Revisions Coming from Narrowed Breadth 38:53 - Commentary - Government Spending Impact on Inflation 45:35 - Debt to GDP Ratio - Explain Japan Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Government Debt: Not What The Doom Crowd Thinks It Is:" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/government-debt-not-what-the-doom-crowd-thinks-it-is/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin." https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation #Inflation #Bonds #InterestRates #FederalReserve
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5-14-26 Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation | Before the Bell
05/14/2026
5-14-26 Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation | Before the Bell
Markets remain heavily concentrated in high-beta Momentum trades, especially in Semiconductors and large-cap Growth stocks. But when speculative momentum runs go parabolic, history shows the reversals can be just as sharp. In today’s pre-market update, we break down the difference between market sectors and investment factors, why the Momentum trade has gone vertical since April, and how rotations into Value, Quality, and Fixed Income could begin as investors reduce risk. We’ll also examine why high-beta names could face the biggest downside during a correction, what a retracement in Semiconductors could look like, and why portfolio diversification matters more than ever when markets become this over bought. Are investors chasing performance at exactly the wrong time? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MomentumStocks #Semiconductors #ValueInvesting #MarketRotation
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5-13-26 Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin.
05/13/2026
5-13-26 Q & A Wednesday: Real Answers. No Spin.
Q&A Wednesday is back. Markets are pushing record highs while oil prices surge on renewed Iran and Strait of Hormuz tensions, inflation concerns remain elevated, and the AI trade continues to dominate Wall Street headlines. Investors are also watching the Fed, tariffs, interest rates, retirement risks, taxes, and portfolio positioning as volatility quietly builds beneath the surface. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff answer your questions, live, with straightforward analysis and no spin. Bring your questions about markets, retirement planning, portfolio management, taxes, risk, the economy, or whatever is on your mind. Questions we answered on today's show include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Checks In Higher Than Expected 5:02 - Duration and Velocity of Bullish Stampede 9:47 - Birthday Fishing Present 14:44 - Berkshire Hathaway Exposure to AI 17:30 - Investing Like Warren Buffett 19:12 - Why Aren't Swap Lines "Printing Money Out of Thin Air"? 22:03 - CPI Revisions 25:17 - Deflation in Rents 26:03 - GDP, Inflation, & Yields 27:00 - Hold Long-Dated Bonds or Sell? 28:04 - Are REIT's Over Extended? 29:41 - Should You Average into the S&P? 30:52 - Why is Stock-picking/Diversification So Hard Now? 32:30 - Stock Market Regimes & Asset Allocation 34:41 - CPI Data vs Fixed Income Allocations 41:06 - Church vs Casino Investing 42:03 - Long Term Investor: What's Your Personality? 46:37 - RSP vs SPY in Current Market Condition? 50:44 - What's a Good ETF for a Younger Person to Invest In? 52:34 - Space-X IPO Effects on Markets & Indexes Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/vMLyZ9wZbH8 ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News." here: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 ------- Watch our previous show, "Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions" https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket #QandAWednesday #StockMarket #RetirementPlanning #Investing #AskUsAnything
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5-13-26 Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News | Before the Bell
05/13/2026
5-13-26 Buying Stampede: Good News & Bad News | Before the Bell
Markets are now approaching seven straight weeks of gains in one of the strongest buying stampedes since 1950. While bullish momentum, earnings growth, and corporate buybacks continue to support higher prices, markets are becoming increasingly stretched above long-term moving averages. We discuss why sharp advances like this often lead to short-term pullbacks, where key support levels may emerge, and why those corrections can create stronger opportunities for investors later in the year. Is this the start of a larger correction, or just a healthy pause before the next move higher? Watch today's breakdown of market momentum, overbought conditions, moving averages, and what history suggests could happen next. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/hDeUW-rmwC4 --- Articles mentioned in this report: "Fast Food Falters" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/fast-food-falters/ --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #SP500 #Investing #MarketCorrection #BullMarket
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5-12-26 Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions
05/12/2026
5-12-26 Five Questions for Smarter Money Decisions
Should you pay off debt, invest more in your 401(k), or do both? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn walk through five real-world financial decisions that millions of Americans face every year. Using new Vanguard research and simple math, we break down how to prioritize credit cards, mortgages, student loans, retirement savings, and employer matches to maximize long-term wealth. We also discuss why the mathematically correct answer is not always the emotionally correct one, and how personal priorities, risk tolerance, and peace of mind factor into financial planning. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Six Weeks of Market Advances - What Happens in Week-7?4:36 - Economic Data Review 5:30 - Narrow market Rally Poses Portfolio Risk 10:35 - Birthday Table & Coming Attractions 12:00 - Five Questions to Help You Make Better Financial Decisions 13:45 - Everybody Starts from Scratch 18:20 - Invest or Pay off Debt? 20:54 - Not Everybody Contributes to 401k Plan 25:50 - The Number One Asset is Time 30:21 - Taking a Loan Against Your 401k? (NO!) 32:51 - Margo Has Money Troubles & Other Streaming Treats 35:12 - Inherited Money: Pay Off Mortgage? (NO!) 43:04 - Healthy Debt vs Unhealthy Debt Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "Commodity Supercycle: The Enemy Of The Bull Thesis (Part 1)" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/commodity-supercycle-the-enemy-of-the-bull-thesis-part-1/ "Earnings Estimate Revisions Are Very Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/earnings-estimate-revisions-are-very-optimistic/ "Parabolic Semiconductor Rally Is Pricing In 2028 Already" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/parabolic-semiconductor-rally-is-pricing-in-2028-already/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Tech Rally Risk Is Rising" here: https://youtu.be/RU_xjKIGiDs ------- Watch our previous show, "Annuities: Smart Move or Costly Mistake?" https://youtube.com/live/6Rag3wz8r3k ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk #FinancialPlanning #401k #DebtManagement #RetirementPlanning #PersonalFinance
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5-12-26 Tech Rally Risk Is Rising | Before the Bell
05/12/2026
5-12-26 Tech Rally Risk Is Rising | Before the Bell
Technology stocks continue to dominate the market as XLK and momentum-driven trades surge higher, but the rally is becoming increasingly narrow. Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Energy, and Materials are lagging badly while Technology pulls the broader indexes higher. In today's pre-market update, we examine the growing divergence between Technology and the rest of the market, why overbought momentum conditions matter, and how concentrated rallies can create hidden risks for investors. We also discuss sector rotation, portfolio diversification, and why maintaining exposure to lagging sectors may help hedge against the next correction. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel: https://youtu.be/rZ1lej68NvE --- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ --- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo --- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN --- Subscribe to SimpleVisor : https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new --- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnologyStocks #XLK #StockMarket #Investing #MarketRisk
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