The Real Investment Show Podcast
It's a show about life, markets, sweat-equity, and the pursuit of wealth in a capitalist market.
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4-25-24 Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft
04/25/2024
4-25-24 Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft
Lance is Back! What is really happening in Commercial Real Estate: Getting distressed inventories off the books at deep discounts. Market performance recap: Nice bounce off the 100-DMA; PCE coming: What it means & why it's important.Economic strength is keeping inflation high; can it last? After markets' nice sell off, downside risk still remains. Paying attention to economic reports and supply & demand; looking at Q1 GDP estimates; market review: Tesla & Meta: Narratives are fine, but look at the technicals. Bond auction narratives have been all over the place. Lessons for investors from the NFL: Avoid over-confidence. The difference between college & pro ball = retail vs pro investors. "Zig then the others Zag," Warren Sharp. "Groupthink = group stink," Doug Kass. Markets vs headlines; economic data vs polls; the steakhouse crowd vs the pubs; prices are the problem. The wealth gap plays havoc with inflation, which no one can really measure. SEG-1: What's Really Happening in Commercial Real Estate SEG-2: Economic Reports vs Supply & Demand SEG-3: Lessons for Investors from the NFL Draft SEG-4: Steakhouse Crowds, Pubs, and Polls Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f7TjrCiY1s8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Overconfidence In NFL Drafts: A Lesson For Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/overconfidence-in-nfl-drafts-a-lesson-for-investors/ "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CommercialRealEstate #EconomicReports #SupplyAndDemand #NFLDraft #InvestorOverConfidence #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30986023
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4-25-24 Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!
04/25/2024
4-25-24 Downside Risk is Alive and Kicking!
Markets' predicted sell off occurred, and there's still room to the downside. As we've noted, a 5 - 10% correction was very possible because of markets' extreme deviation from the 200-DMA. That gap still must be closed, and to do so will take the market down to about the 4700 level. We've already taken a 5.5% correction to the 100-DMA. Yesterday's impact of META and IBM did not help. Today we'll test support at the 100-DMA: If markets can hold at that point, we're likely going to be through the correction, However, if the market fails at the 100-DMA, it will then drop to test the 200-DMA to completely close that deviation. We're about halfway through the sentiment reversal cycle for the bulls. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QDRSELUUdwY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #DownsideRisk #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30982088
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4-24-24 What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?
04/24/2024
4-24-24 What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like?
Was Lance Roberts eaten by cannibals? (He will return tomorrow!) How Tesla fell out of the Magnificent Seven; Tesla's storage technology vs cheaper Chinese EV's & the future of EV's. The true environmental impact of building EV's. The RIA 8-Ball predictions for PCE. What does realistic retirement look like? The impact of inflation, the Retirement Clock, & you. A discussion on the need for guaranteed income; how Gen-z will retire & the DNA of Super-savers. Educational goals and vocational training. Candid Coffee recap; the public are the best economists. Professional vs Trade careers & new hires' earnings; the impact of AI on personal skills. SEG-1: Tesla Falls off the Magnificent Seven SEG-2: What Does Realistic Retirement Look Like? SEG-3: How Gen-Z will Retire: The DNA of Super-savers SEG-4: Why the Public Are the Best Economists Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nMvKYdHl_Ik&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RealisticRetirement #VocationalEducation #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #MaximizingBenefits #MarriedCouples #Longevity #SpouseConsideration #Viability #Markets #Money #Investing
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4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years
04/23/2024
4-23-24 Five Financial Mistakes to Avoid if You're Retiring Within Five Years
Market Commentary: Are there more declines to come? What is the path forward for 5% Bonds? PCE and more earnings reports coming; How to crossover from accumulation to de-cumulation; topic teases: Keeping more of your inheritance; how to increase your inheritance. How to manage funds qwith legacy intent in mind. The important of financial planning before retirement; what is the rate of return you need? The importance of budgeting; financial mistakes you should avoid within five years of retirement; dealing with the rule changes. Dealing with and planning for Social Security. What is the income threshold for converting from pre-tax to Roth IRA? SEG-1: Market Commentary: Are the more declines to come? SEG-2: How to Manage Funds with Legacy Intent in Mind SEG-3: Five Financial Mistakes You Should Avoid Before Retirement SEG-4: Dealing with & Planning for Social Security Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, & Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xQEosrIqf14&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "We Are Likely Not Done with Correction" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #LegacyFunds #SocialSecurity #FinancialPlanning #FederalReserve #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30951323
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4-22-24 Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”
04/22/2024
4-22-24 Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer”
After six days of market declines, is the Correction done? Election risk scenarios & market volatility; markets do not like uncertainty. PCE preview (the inflation gauge the Fed pays attention to). Markets break the 50-DMA, and are now sitting on the 100-DMA. The unsurprising uptick in inflation and the impact of higher raates; why commodities matter. Higher for longer, for not much longer: Rates must come down; NFIB preview. Hey, what happened to all the Ukraine aid US taxpayers propvided? Inflation is a function of supply & demand; where is the higher demand going to come from? Looking ahead to this week's PCE number, expecting the markets to bounce: Sell into the rally. SEG-1: Is the Correction Done? SEG-2: The Unsurprising Uptick in Inflation SEG-3: Higher for Longer, not much longer SEG-4: Economic Warnings from the NFIB Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LAHAa6I5Qv8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=55s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Economic Warning From The NFIB" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/economic-warning-from-the-nfib/ "Fed Chair Jerome Powell Suggests “Higher For Longer” https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "We Are Not Likely Done with Correction" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InflationAdjustedSales #EconomicPerformance #EconomicWeakness #RetailSales #NFIBConcerns #SmallBusinessSales #EmploymentImpacts #ConsumerSpendingTrends #Markets #Money #Investing
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4-22-24 We Are Not Likely Done with Correction
04/22/2024
4-22-24 We Are Not Likely Done with Correction
Markets have had a complete washout after six straight days of declines. The broke the 20-DMA, took out the 50-DMA, and markets didn't even breathe. As of Friday, we're sitting right on the 100-DMA, as we don't think this correction is yet finished. We do expect a rally up to about 5100, with the potential for another retest of the 100-DMA, and possibly even lower. There is now the possibility of a market rally up to a level of resistance, followed by another leg lower, before this correction is complete. Alternatively, we could have another rally straight up, depending upon how the current earnings season goes. Watch for a little sloppiness over the next few weeks; don't knee-jerk react right away to market moves, and use a rally to sell-into to reduce risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eyAp7xhaf_c&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #MarketSupport #MarketCorrection #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #100-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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4-19-24 Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?
04/19/2024
4-19-24 Did You Pay Your Fair Share of Taxes?
Markets respond to Israel attack on Iran; Procter & Gamble disappoints; markets are in a churning phase. Fed rate decisions & market behaviors. How much do you really need to survive in retirement (What's your number?) Managing expectations, spending habits, and dependency on Social Securituy; the scinece & art of financial planning; retirement realities. The intimate process of deliverying financial plans; Candid Coffee preview. The three phases of retirement: Go-go, Slow-go, & No-go. Real Investment "'Shrooms." Tax Foundation survey: Do you pay your fair share of federal taxes? SEG-1: Markets' Respond to Middle East Tensions SEG-2: How Much Do You Really Need to Reitre? SEG-3: Delivering Financial Plans & Real Investment Shrooms SEG-4: Do You Pay Your Fair Share? Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vA51KE4ECT4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PayingTaxes #FairShareOfTaxes #TaxFoundation #MiddleEastTension #IsraelAttacksIran #FinancialPlanning #ThreePhasesofRetirement #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
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4-18-24 Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?
04/18/2024
4-18-24 Are We On Japan's Path to Stagnation?
Husband Appreciation Day, Mother's Day, cooling Middle East tensions; the is the Fed allowing the system to percolate? Inflation remains sticky. Markets in correction mode; what happens when the 50-DMA breaks? What to do when the market bounces. Is Fd policy tight enough? The market and the Fed are, for once, on the same page. Foreign buyers' participation in auctions is good; markets are too driven by headlines and algorithms. Gen-Z "discoveries" and remakes of '80's movies; commentary on the good music of the late 1900's. Is higher inflation sustainable? The give and take in inflation metrics; CPI is mostly about shelter prices; the problem with CPI data. Caitlin Clark/WNBA pay vs NBA pay: The economics of sports. Where salaries come from, and understanding what's behind the headlines. Retail Sales in Feb vs Mar; full time vs part time jobs; the impact of immigration on employment. SEG-1: The Fed is Allowing the System to Percolate SEG-2: Is Fed Policy Tight Enough? SEG-3: Messing with Movies & Music; Is Higher Inflation Sustainable? SEG-4: NBA vs WNBA & The Economics of Sports Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hOlwvCrHCKM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Are We On Japan's Path Of Stagnation?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/are-we-on-japans-path-of-stagnation/ "Immigration And Its Impact On Employment" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/immigration-and-its-impact-on-employment/ "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansEconomicStagnation #ReflationTrade #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #GenZDiscovery #80sMusic #WNBA #NBA #CaitlinClark #SportsEconomics #Markets #Money #Investing
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4-18-24 Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?
04/18/2024
4-18-24 Do You Buy or Sell Into the Bounce?
Markets are still in a correction mode, and we've been talking about a looming correction since January, with markets continuing to grind higher along the 20-DMA. When the 20-DMA broke, the computer buying algorithms were tripped. Now we're down about 4% from the peak, working off the initial 5% of the correction. (Fibonacci primciple explained here.) After four-straight says of selling, markets are getting over sold, and preparing for a bounce. The question now becomes, whether to buy the bounce, or sell into the bounce? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9gBp0qyKXwo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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4-17-24 How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps
04/17/2024
4-17-24 How to Screw Up Retirement in 12 Easy Steps
Market Recap, Jerome Powell on rate cuts and stickier inflation; commodities on the rise = inflation. The CRB Index correlation with W. Texas Crude; no rate cuts until Fall? Markets break the 50-DMA; might be time to trim and rebalance for risk. Jury Duty and the Reflation Trade; Easter + Spring Break impact on March retail sales were underwhelming, following similar disappointment with February & Valentine's Day sales. How long can "buy-now, pay-later" last? How to screw up your retirement; the only way to wealth is by saving money; investing is for protecting wealth against inflation. The HODL Plan (hold on for dear life); avoid speculation. The demographic line of demarcation in saving for retirement; paying off credit cards, saving 30% of income; fully-fund 401-k. SEG-1: No Rate Cuts Until Fall? SEG-2: Reflation Trade is the New Bullish Theme SEG-3: How to Screw Up Your Retirement SEG-4: Retirement's Demographic Line of Demarcation Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=P2y2E5G1sn4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Reflation Trade Is The New Bullish Narrative" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/reflation-trade-is-the-new-bullish-narrative/ "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ReflationTrade #Retirement #JeromePowell #InterestRateCuts #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
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4-17-24 It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk
04/17/2024
4-17-24 It May Be Time to Rebalance Risk
Markets have broken the 50-DMA, which certainly says we're in the process of correction. We're on a very defined MACD Sell Signal, markets are oversold, and declining; we are expecting a bounce. We're oversold enough for a counter-trend rally, which should take us back to the 50-DMA: That is the point at which you should lighten up some positions, if needed, and do a little rebalancing. This does NOT mean to cut weight in general. Look for opportunities to rebalance risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYegngcRPlM&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30863118
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4-15-24 Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor
04/15/2024
4-15-24 Cracks Appear in the Market's Bullish Armor
Tax Day woes and audit fears; earnings season commences; What are companies saying? No corporate buybacks, removing major buyers of assets; pay attention to companies' guidance. Markets last week failed at 20-DMA, and tested 50-DMA as momentum slowed. Is not the time to sell? Use any bounce to rebalance risk, but avoid any knee-jerk reactions. Could this be a "buy-the-dip moment?" Lance's favorite bowl is like the market: There's a hairline crack. Inflation has been stickier, and higher-for-longer interest rates have been too high for too long. Preview: Tuesday's article on the Reflation Trade; how can every other country in the world have deflation while the U.S. continues to have inflation? Productive debt sv non-productive debt. Get ready for Tax Season impact on the market; more Americans are owing money this year. More IRS Agents = More audits = more returns/refunds delayed. The possibility of escalation in the Middle East; Legos for Adults (AFOL) SEG-1: Tax Day Woes & Earnings Season Starts SEG-2: Could This Be a Buy-the-Dip Moment? SEG-3: Cracks in the Market SEG-4: Tax Day Woes, Middle East Foes, & Adult Legos Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fr7-b1dqWM0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=23s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cracks Appear In The Market’s Bullish Armor" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is Now the Time to Sell?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "How to Deal with Financial Stress" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay #EarningsSeason #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30830908
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4-15-24 Is Now the Time to Sell?
04/15/2024
4-15-24 Is Now the Time to Sell?
Markets last week failed at the 20-DMA, and began to test the 50-DMA as momentum began to slow. The narrow trend channel had begun weakening, and the break in the 20-DMA was the first crack to appear in the market's bullishness. The question now is: Do you Sell? By the time markets have confirmed a sell signal, they're already oversold. Don't forget that we're still in the seasonally strong period of the year, and we're moving into what is likely to be a fairly good earnings season. So don't over-react; use whatever rally we get today or tomorrow to rebalance risk in your portfolio. Move slowly and avoid knee-jerk reactions. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bpOOSOWZewk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #OversoldMarket #RebalancingRisk #BreakTheTrendline #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30827838
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4-12-24 How to Deal with Financial Stress
04/12/2024
4-12-24 How to Deal with Financial Stress
CFP testing results & commentary on professional credentialling; the importance of the Health/Wealth connection; the importance of continuing education (CE); a brief history of JP Morgan and "too big to fail." Inflation is permatory, not transitory. Profit margins are not great because costs are up. Jerome Powell is trying to put out a fire with a water pistol; how many ate cuts now? There is still too much money in the system to really tame inflation. Real Wages have peaked: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" What clients "think" about portfolios is the toughest thing for advisors to manage. If Trump is elected, he will have to deal with the next recession. April is stress-awareness month; why we don't sleep. Rosso's Brooklyn paper route, Candid Coffee preview, & dealing with Financial Stress. Intimidating financial topics: Cryptocurrency, Investing, & Budgets. Cryptocurrency is very speculative, very volatile. Budgets are like financial vegetables. Learning money management & writing your money script; tipping trends; the "Waiting" movie; shy we don't use Door Dash. SEG-1: CFP Test & Credentialing, Importance of Health to Wealth SEG-2: Is this Jerome Powell's "Volker Moment?" SEG-3: Rosso's Paper Route & Dealing w Financial Stress SEG-4: Learning Money Management & Writing Your Money Script Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fmpb8xnN448&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialStress #MoneyScripts #JeromePowell #VolkerMoment #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TransitoryInflation #PermatoryInflation #Cryptocurrency #MoneyManagement #DoorDash #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30797838
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4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?
04/11/2024
4-11-24 Is Inflation Too Hot to Handle?
CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble. SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/ "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30785548
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4-11-24 Will Markets Break the Trendline?
04/11/2024
4-11-24 Will Markets Break the Trendline?
Last year's market rally amid the AI chase and hopefulness for Fed rate cuts tracked right along a narrow channel around the 20-DMA. Then came Summer, and a market correction that hit in October. Markets formed a rounded top during that action, which is what we're beginning to see currently. Markets have operated similarly in a defined range along the 20-DMA and are now developing another rounded-top as the market starts to lose momentum. Theoretically, markets could take out last Thursday's low today...a process that is beginning to confirm a break in the trendline that goes all the way back to last year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BreakTheTrendline #CPI #InflationIsStillHot #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30782178
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4-10-24 Can Social Security Be Saved?
04/10/2024
4-10-24 Can Social Security Be Saved?
It's CPI Day (with m/m inflation clocking in with a .4% increase, and a y/y gain to 3.8%, hotter than expected). Sheila Jackson-Lee's science experiment; the NFIB Survey does not bode well for small businesses:Sentiment falls to a new low based on poor sales. There remains a dichotomy between headline economic news and what's happening behind the scenes. Markets break below the 20-DMA, but regain support. Why what really matters is the data the Fed looks at. Portfolio Spring Cleaning; Five or six ways to save Social Security (but first, a history of SS); the mathematical realities. Why Pensions face the same problems; how to fix it; lock it off. Any viable solution is un-electable. The IPO saga of Truth Social; IPO behaviors. Never buy an IPO out of the gate. DJT still has much to prove. If only you'd invested in Microsoft back then...no one knew. SEG-1: CPI Day, She-jack's Science, Markets Hang on SEG-2: The Data the Fed Looks At SEG-3: Five Ways to Save Social Security SEG-4: The Saga of Truth Social & IPO Behaviors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hang Onto Support...barely" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #HotterInflation #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30766108
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4-10-24 Markets Hang Onto Support...barely
04/10/2024
4-10-24 Markets Hang Onto Support...barely
Markets continue to hang onto support at the 20-DMA by its fingertips. Expectations are for a .3% increase in inflation last month. (There's a mini-scandal swirling over the BLS releasing the data early to a few select banks.) [This report was recorded before the release of inflation numbers, up .3% m/m and up 3.8% y/y.] The change in calculating rent inflation raises the question of whether we're measuring the data or just manipulating it. A weak print will put us back on track of the 20-DMA trendline; a hot print could break support, pushing us towards the 50-DMA. If we get something close to expectations, markets may not do a lot today. Markets are hinging on expectations for rate cuts in June, which a weaker print would suggest will happen. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9K1zTxVBKu0&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CPI #InflationIsStillHot #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30763243
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4-9-24 Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets
04/09/2024
4-9-24 Margin Debt Surges as Bulls Leverage Bets
Some are disappointed the eclipse did not herald the Rapture; markets are holding firm at 20-DMA. NFIB preview vs CEO Confidence; why small business' mood matters. Interest Rates in different states; no change in bullish market trend (why not to knee-jerk react to market); but trend weakness is become more apparent. Consumer confidence vs Valuation (w/charts); why margin debt is like dynamite. Correction is coming, and will feel worse due to greed. The cost of margin debt as rates rise. Earnings Season preview: Are Regional Banks in trouble? Q1 guidance has been lower: What happens if interest rates do not fall? The magic number: $1.4-Million & The Flawed Math of Retirement; why Dave Ramsey is wrong; what realistic rates of return should be; Luxury goods vs S&P; rare whiskey vs colored diamonds. SEG-1: Eclipse Recap, Markets Hold Firm SEG-2: Consumer Confidence vs Valuation SEG-3: The Cost of Margin Debt SEG-4: The Flawed Math of Retirement Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yzMKfkVjs3g&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/ "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Inflation Scare Overblown?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #RetirementMath #DaveRamseyIsWrong #ConsumerConfidence #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30750968
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4-9-24 Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?
04/09/2024
4-9-24 Is the Bullish Trend Weakening?
Our advice to NOT have a knee-jerk reaction to last Thursday's markets dip below the 20-DMA was well founded, as markets were able to hold on to that support. As of this moment, last week's break in the 20-DMA has been negated: There has been no change in the markets' bullish trend. A key clue may be a decline in price momentum, however. What we need to watch for now is a close this week below the 20-DMA, which would confirm this weakness. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Eg2KiRn3wBE&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30750818
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Is the Inflation Scare Overblown? (4/8/24)
04/08/2024
Is the Inflation Scare Overblown? (4/8/24)
Eclipse-mania is out of control. Fed speakers confirm they'll cut rates, but in no rush to do so. Jobs numbers tantalize markets; the impact of immigration on employment. Boomers & Gen-Z plans to splurge on groceries in 2024. Markets takeout the 20-DMA; will the break be confirmed this week? Putting Inflation into proper perspective; the three measures of inflation. The economic basics of Supply & Demand (and their impact on inflation). Your personal inflation is not the same as mine. What markets pay attention to (CPI). How to fix the power grid: Productive vs un-productive debt. Forgiving student loan debt doesn't make the debt go away; taxpayers will shoulder the burden of the unpaid debt. SEG-1: Solar Eclipse Day; Markets Test 20DMA SEG-2: The Three Measures of Inflation SEG-3: Inflation & The Basics of Supply & Demand SEG-4: Debt Issuance & Economic Activity Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kCV8FsVyw_k&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=37s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Are You Really Ready for Tax Day?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #MarketsTest20DMA #ThreeMeasuresofInflation #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30732378
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Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA? (4/8/24)
04/08/2024
Will Markets Confirm a Break of the 20-DMA? (4/8/24)
The mood in the markets for the past few months has been, so long as we're on the 20-DMA, don't worry about it; markets just keep going up. Well...on Thursday, markets took out the 20-DMA, then rallied on Friday to sit right on it. Today's market activity will technically be a test of that support. The 20-DMA has been consistent support for markets ever since the lows of November. So, this week is a "defining moment" for markets: Buybacks are in blackout for the next three weeks. Markets have been setting up for a bit of a decline. If the market closes below that 20-DMA this week, we will have a confirmed break of that support. This will bring the 50-DMA into focus fairly quickly. If, by Friday, markets have not reclaimed the 20-DMA, we're going to see lower prices in the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnA1TqbUguY&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketSupport #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #50DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30729543
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Are You Really Ready for Tax Day? (4/5/24)
04/05/2024
Are You Really Ready for Tax Day? (4/5/24)
Market and economic data preview: How to respond in current environment. The U.S. is still the best house in a bad neighborhood. Fed folks now saying it's possible to have no rate cuts this year. Are you really ready for Tax Day? Danny & Jonathan run through some tips and strategies. The advantages and distinctions of IRA's vs Roth's: Tax liability now or later? What are the odds of taxes going up in the future? How to handle being retired and going back to work. How does this affect RMD's? How to think ahead strategically about taxes in retirement. Rather Roth for younger workers. The advantages of HSA's. How to pay for weddings: Vendors vs gifting; wedding cakes vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary.es vs photos. How to deal with Social Security clawbacks. Market futures, gold, and oil commentary. SEG-1: A Tale of Two Economies: The Have's & Have-not's SEG-2: Are You Really Ready for Tax Day? SEG-3: Back to Work & RMD's SEG-4: How to Pay for Weddings & Deal w Social Security Clawbacks Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFA, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NYfjniJpIkc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TaxDay2024 #SocialSecurityClawbacks #WeddingExpenses #TaxLiablity #TaxesInRetirement #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisruption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
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Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade? (4/4/24)
04/04/2024
Is America Mirroring Japan's Lost Decade? (4/4/24)
In this week's Fedapolooza, Fed spokespersons seem to be growing less hawkish about rates. Inflation is simply a function of supply & demand. There is a high correlation between GDP/CPI and interest rates. When inflation comes down, so will rates. Watching tomorrow's employment report: ADP is a poor predictor of BLS data. The Bernie Madoff trendline remains intact in markets; bullish sentiment is very high; bear sightings on Wall Street are rare. Technical trends of inflation are falling as the economy slows; comparisons of Japanese and U.S. economies; discussion on the economic impact on younger generations. Central Bank dominance: Control of markets destroys capitalism. Capitalism is eroding. Discussion of Capitalism vs Socialism and excessive government intervention: What the public demands. Inflation is the spark for public demand for fiscal support. Transportation and health services costs are up; housing is down (but lagging). 7% inflation was a supply/demand problem, which has been resolved. Supply-side and demand-side are both normalizing. Does the BLS report really matter anymore (because of the way it is calculated)? The "unemployed" can make more working for Uber than on unemployment benefits. Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, and the perfection of the 20-DMA; the saga of the Bernie Madoff whistleblower. Why markets are no longer based on fundamentals. The Madoff Line and the Wealth Gap. SEG-1: This Week's Fedapolooza SEG-2: Japanese Economics: From the Rubble to the Bubble SEG-3: Capitalism vs Socialism & Government Intervention SEG-4: Bernie Madoff, Alan Stanford, & 20-DMA Perfection Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BTNuUiRW5fo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Japans Lost Decades: Are We On The Same Path" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/japans-lost-decades-are-we-on-the-same-path/ "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ecmypMh1FPI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #JapansLostDecade #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketVolatility #MarketComplacency #AlanStanford #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
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The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect (4/4/24)
04/04/2024
The Bernie Madoff Trendline Remains in Effect (4/4/24)
The Bernie Madoff Trendline remains in place: Monday and Tuesday's selloffs were followed by Wednesday's recovery after bouncing off the 20-DMA trendline. The buying algo's kicked in to buy thie dips. Bullish sentiment is very high; there have been few bear sightings on Wall Street, of late. Margin debt is back on the rise, as well, which is also supportive of rising asset prices. Volatility remains extremely low. There is no concern, no risk, and much investor complacency. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=3 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BernieMadoffTrendline #MarketAlgorithms #BullishMarketSentiment #MarginDebtReturns #RisingAssetPrices #MakretVolatility #UnstoppableMarket #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30680068
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Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations (4/3/24)
04/03/2024
Could Powell Eclipse Market Expectations (4/3/24)
The JOLTS survey rate continues to slow, coincident with a slowing economy; interestingly, retail hiring has dropped sharply, despite increased retail demand (another example of divergent indicators). The data might not be as strong as we think. The difference between Fed promises and predictions can be vast. Markets remain in a "perfect" trend channel; what happens when the 20-DMA is broken? Commentary on the coming solar eclipse, and markets' historic behavior following. What matters is what happens for the 12-months after such an event. Correction is coming. Answering emails: Stocks vs Bonds in current environment; managing risk is key. What happens to those in all-cash positions when rates fall? Gold & Silver may be doing very well, but are detached from current market reality; they will correct. Taiwan earthquake effects on semiconductor sector: A potential disruption could be coming. Baltimore bridge disruption. South Korea exports as economic indicator; dental floss & Kroger points: The struggle is real. SEG-1 The Difference Between Fed Promises & Predictions SEG-2: How Stocks Perform Following Eclipses SEG-3: Email Answers: Stocks vs Bonds in Current Environment? SEG-4: Potential Impact of Taiwan Earthquake Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loIQra4zl7Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? " is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Market Corrections Matter More than You Think" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SolarEclipse #TaiwanEarthquake #SupplyChainDisreuption #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30664523
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Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? (4/3/24)
04/03/2024
Is the Markets' Unstoppable Rally Reaching its Conclusion? (4/3/24)
Markets have been in a "perfect trend channel" for months, the top of which runs right along the 20-DMA. Today will be a test of this phenomenon again. Just because we may violate the 20-DMA does not mean to go out and sell everything. The subsequent rally needs to fail, and we need to see a confirmation of a break of the 20-DMA before taking any action. So if, on Friday, we are below the 20-DMA, and fail to get back above it, we will then have a better warning sign of the unstoppable rally potentially petering-out (this will eventually happen; it's just a matter of time). Do not have a kneejerk reaction to the first freak; let it confirm. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZNQ2U7sRi9M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #UnstoppableMarket #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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Market Corrections Matter More than You Think (4/2/24)
04/02/2024
Market Corrections Matter More than You Think (4/2/24)
Markets delivered a post-April Fool's drop, while manufacturing metrics moved back into the expansion zone. Markets have now dropped the chances of a June interest rate cut to 50%; markets continue to trade in a particular range. The April 15 Tax Day bump may not materialize this year with the expiration of previous tax law. Gold is on a catch-up trade; will rotation trades continue? Investor sentiment remains high. The bullishness of Ken Fisher; Gains vs Declines: Market Math explained. The Truth about promised returns vs reality; market math & investor longevity. Markets always revert. No reason not to be bullish now; who expects to be richer in 2024? Gen-Z women are most optimistic. US College Majors with highest un-employment rates: Art History. SEG-1: Markets Drop Chances of Fed Rate Cut to 50% SEG-2: Gains vs Declines: Market Math Explained SEG-3: The Truth About Promised Market Returns SEG-4: Who Expects to Be Richer in 2024? Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-DUOXdv6rOo&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Market Corrections Matter More Than You Think" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/market-corrections-matter-more-than-you-think/ "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump?" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "What to Look for in Q1 Earnings" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketCorrectionsMatter #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
/episode/index/show/lancerobertsshow/id/30646263
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Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump? (4/2/24)
04/02/2024
Will Markets Miss the Tax Day Bump? (4/2/24)
Markets have been trading within a particular range; their ability to break above that range may be impacted by the outcome of April 15, with previous tax laws expiring: More Americans are going to find they owe taxes, meaning less money to invest. Gold has been on a tear over the past month, part of the catch-up trade that commenced around mid-March. We've sen similar rotational behavior in Bitcoin and other assets in defensive sectors (think, Utilities). Will the rotation trade continue in April, moving out of the top seven into the other 493 companies in the S&P? Or will we see a rotation back into growth stocks? The markets remain fairly well-balanced at this point. Sentiment is positive, and household allocations for stocks are at the highest levels since the dot-com crisis. Everyone's bullish; earnings season begins next week, and the speculative mood is getting fairly extreme. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AzLHu1gSp44&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #April15TaxDay #TaxDayBump #SectorRotation #Gold #BitCoin #RealEstate #Utilities #LowMarketVolatility #AllTimeHigh #RiskIsBuilding #MarketComplacency #MarketCorrectionComing #MarketTrendChannel #20-DMA #200-DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing
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What to Look for in Q1 Earnings (4/1/24)
04/01/2024
What to Look for in Q1 Earnings (4/1/24)
PCE Inflation is weaker, yet consumer spending remains robust; the Atlanta Fed is forecasting 2.3% GDP for Q2. Is this period nirvana for the Fed? The Relative Strength Index is stuck at 70. Markets continue a low-volatility advance, seemingly floating higher. The current environment typically leads to market correction. The next round of earnings commences next week; it will be unsurprising that to see a high percentage of companies “beat” Wall Street estimates. (The high beat rate is always the case due to the sharp downward revisions in analysts’ estimates as the reporting period begins.) Are investors paying more for less? California's new $20.hr minimum wage goes into effect today; cast study to come. The realities of the cost of labor; at what point do consumers say, "enough." What are the upper limits of the minimum wage (that was never intended to be a living wage)? SEG-1: Is Now Nirvana for the Fed? SEG-2: Financial Conditions vs Borrowing Conditions SEG-3: ATM Cash & Kids; Are Investors Paying More for Less? SEG-4: California's Higher Minimum Wage vs Economic Reality Hosted by RIA Advisors Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Robert, CIO, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srlOrEXPoTg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=11s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q1 Earnings Season Approaches" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Set for All-time Highs. Again," is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YYuFjLIoi8s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujhW-HlRJGaPa9tDN_GthEg&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "When Financial Conditions Butt Heads With Borrowing Conditions" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RxZpMp64N1Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=12s -------- Register for our next Candid Coffee: https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn ------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Q1EarningsExpectations #LowMarketVolatility #RiskOfMarketCorrection #CaliforniaMinimumWage #IncreasedLaborCosts #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
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