Money On The Nose Podcast
A weekly horse racing podcast focusing on handicapping, betting, weekend previews and recaps.
info_outline 2021 Kentucky Oaks Day Selections 04/30/2021
2021 Kentucky Oaks Day Selections In this episode I give my selections for the 13 race card on Kentucky Oaks day at Churchill Downs. At the end I go over my selections for the Turf Classic and Kentucky Derby for those who are interested in playing the Oaks/Derby Double or the Oaks/Turf Classic/Derby Pick 3. Below you'll see the time stamps for each stakes race so you can easily jump to the race you would like to hear. Thanks for listening! Race 6 - Alysheba Stakes - 14:55 Race 7 - Edgewood Stakes - 18:55 Race 8 - La Troienne - 21:25 Race 9 - Eight Belles - 24:17 Race 10 - Twin Spires Turf Sprint - 28:53 Race 11 - Kentucky Oaks - 31:31 Oaks/Derby Double - 49:40 Oaks/Turf Classic/Derby Pick 3 - 51:35
info_outline The Importance of a Ranking System and Record Keeping 04/28/2021
The Importance of a Ranking System and Record Keeping In this episode I discuss the importance of developing a ranking system for races and keeping records to give you an understanding of how well you handicap. Not only should you be considering how often your A horse wins, but what about your B horse - how often do they win or run second? Developing a good ranking system and keeping detailed records will help you understand your win percentages and allow you to see what are good races to play and what races you should skip. Thanks for listening!
info_outline Takeout, Value & Rebates 04/13/2021
Takeout, Value & Rebates This spring I am starting a series of episodes that will focus on the logistics of beating the game. I'll discuss everything from jockeys to algorithms, money management and a ranking system. In the first episode of this series, I discuss the importance of understanding how much the track takeout impacts you, the importance of finding value and how rebates can help offset the track takeout. I give real examples of takeout and the math behind it from actual races and use those as a catalyst to talk about why the game is so hard to beat. Beating the game encompasses a lot of topics, but it starts with fully understanding how much the track takeout costs you over the long run.
info_outline Breeders' Cup Saturday: Selections & Thoughts 11/07/2020
Breeders' Cup Saturday: Selections & Thoughts Happy Breeders' Cup Saturday! In this episode I go over my prescratch selections for the Saturday Breeders Cup Races at Keeneland. I give my thoughts on where there is value and how I am going to try to maximize that value in my bets. Thanks for listening!
info_outline Planning Your Breeders' Cup Day 10/25/2020
Planning Your Breeders' Cup Day There are very few days each year in racing that offer full fields and inflated pools, but the Breeders' Cup races are among these days. With so many betting options and horses to handicap it can be a little overwhelming trying to figure out your best plays. In this episode, I talk about the importance of letting your handicapping uncover your plays based on where you find value. Finding value is much easier on these big days than just another Saturday at your favorite track. Planning your day around this value will give you a much better path to success than just continuing to play your favorite bet.
info_outline 2020 Black Eyed Susan & Preakness Recap 10/10/2020
2020 Black Eyed Susan & Preakness Recap In this episode I recap my thoughts from the Black Eyed Susan and Preakness races at Pimlico. From a confident ride on Preakness winner Swiss Skydiver to horses that didn't run their best or get a good ride, all of these things are important to consider as we move towards the Breeders' Cup in November.
info_outline The Importance of Keeping a Journal for the Breeders' Cup 10/10/2020
The Importance of Keeping a Journal for the Breeders' Cup In this episode I look at the importance of keeping a journal leading up to the Breeder's Cup. It's a practice I started several years back that has been invaluable as I begin to handicap the Breeders' Cup each year. From workouts and previous races to clocker reports and comments, it will help you organize and retain important bits of data that might be otherwise lost. I go over how I organize it and what type of data entries I make into the journal, as well as how it has helped me in the past.
info_outline My Introduction into the Game and Handicapping 10/10/2020
My Introduction into the Game and Handicapping In this first episode, I give my background into the game of horse racing. I talk about how I got started handicapping and how that has evolved over the years from hours spent paper handicapping to looking at stats and writing algorithms. It's a game I love and look forward to lots of conversations about its many aspects.