Can You Predict Real Estate Market Trends? The 18.6-Year Property Cycle as Explained by Experts
Release Date: 04/07/2024
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info_outlineCan you time the real estate market? Discover the secrets of the 18.6-year property cycle and learn how to predict market trends for successful investments.
Join hosts Brad East and Casey Taylor on "Talk Property To Me" as they demystify the 18.6-year property cycle. Based on the work of Fred Harrison and Phil Anderson, this theory offers a unique lens for analyzing market patterns. Learn about the cycle's phases, historical evidence, and how to leverage this knowledge to make informed real estate decisions.
Prepare for the next market shift! Join our exclusive Facebook group for ongoing support and expert advice on Australian finance and real estate.
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EPISODE IN A GLANCE
00:00 - The 18.6 year real estate cycle theory and its origins from Phil Anderson's book "The Secret Life of Real Estate and Banking." the different phases of the cycle - the first half, mid-cycle slowdown, and second half, with examples of past events triggering the slowdowns.
01:11 - Inspirations & Cycle Start: Discussing inspirations like Fred Harrison's work, pinpointing the start of the current cycle after the GFC recovery, and the mindset for investors.
03:32 - Market Timing: Warnings against trying to precisely time market cycles and identifying potential opportunities to buy according to the theory.
04:48 - Mid-Cycle: Characteristics of the mid-cycle slowdown phase, cities outperforming, factors triggering it, and expected market corrections.
06:52 - Second Half & Peak: Dynamics of the second half rally, cities benefiting, escalating demand/FOMO towards the "winner's curse" peak.
08:44 - Predictions & Australia: Predicted timing of the next major correction, caveats about theories, and characteristics of the Australian property market.
10:23 - Market Influence & Strategies: The importance of residential property to the Australian economy and strategies for preparing portfolios before a correction.
13:37 - Being Proactive & Indicators: Advice on being proactive, market signals like days on market/vendor discounts, and role of interest rates.
ABOUT THE HOSTS
BRAD EAST
Brad East is the Managing Director of Wisebuy Home Loans. Brad is an award-winning mortgage broker and has helped thousands of clients gain finance to purchase properties. Wisebuy Home Loans is the go-to mortgage brokerage for clients wanting out-of-the-box applications approved.
Website → https://wisebuygroup.com.au
LinkedIn → https://www.linkedin.com/in/newcastlemortgagebroker/
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/bradeast_mortgagebroker/
Facebook → https://www.facebook.com/bradeastofficial
CASEY TAYLOR
Casey Taylor is the Managing Director of Taylored Property Welth who specializes in helping clients purchase high-performing investment properties. Casey has a huge amount of knowledge when it comes to property investment and will be sharing this with the listeners.
Website → https://tayloredpropertywealth.com.au
LinkedIn → https://www.linkedin.com/in/wealth-property-buyersagent-investment-financialfreedom/
Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/casey.taylor_tpw_buyersagent/