Gold Still Leads Commodities in Risk-Reward, Says Adrian Day
Release Date: 03/11/2026
In it to Win it
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Rick Rule returns to break down today’s equity, gold, resource, and speculative markets as they remain strong despite geopolitical tensions, fiscal imbalances, and war in Ukraine. He explains why risk assets continue climbing in a risk-off backdrop and why technological advancement, particularly AI, is broadly beneficial to economic productivity when applied to constrained, high-quality datasets. 👉 📩 📩 👉 Recording Date 2-23-2026. In this episode of In It To Win It, Rule explains how AI can screen global companies for “net-net” opportunities, turning massive...
info_outlineAdrian Day, founder of Adrian Day Asset Management, joins the discussion to share his outlook on global markets, commodities, and the macro forces shaping resource investing.
👉 Adrian Day
đź“© Substack
👉 Technical Analysis Video Series
Recording Date 3-10-2026. The conversation covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, how markets typically react to conflict, and why commodities such as gold and oil often move ahead of major geopolitical events through a “buy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic. Day also discusses the current positioning of energy markets, explaining why oil stocks had already rallied prior to recent conflict risks and how supply disruptions, shipping routes, and global liquidity needs can influence commodity prices.
Adrian also explores the outlook for major commodities including gold, silver, copper, uranium, and agricultural markets. Day explains why he believes gold offers the strongest risk-reward profile due to central bank buying and limited retail participation, while copper remains attractive because of long-term supply shortages tied to electrification and infrastructure demand. Additional topics include mining costs driven by energy prices, the impact of commodity currencies such as the Canadian and Australian dollar, farmland and agriculture investments, and the broader outlook for commodity markets heading into 2026.
Key Insights in this episode
âś… Geopolitical events often push gold and oil prices higher before the actual conflict occurs.
✅ Gold’s recent moves are driven more by the U.S. dollar and liquidity than by war itself.
âś… Oil stocks had already risen before tensions because companies were buying back shares and paying strong dividends.
âś… Diesel and energy prices are the biggest cost factors for mining companies.
âś… Gold remains attractive due to strong central bank demand and limited retail participation.
âś… Copper is bullish long term because global supply may not meet future demand.
âś… Uranium is still a long-term opportunity but may need pullbacks before new entries.
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Chapters
00:40 Adrian Day is Back on the show!
01:23 Global Markets and Geopolitical Outlook
04:49 Gold Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News
07:41 Gold Liquidity and Oil Stock Moves
10:35 Oil Stock Strategy and Covered Calls
11:57 Oil ETF (XLE) and Market Positioning
15:23 Outlook for Agricultural Commodities
19:15 Energy Costs and Mining Profitability
23:13 Commodity Currencies and Mining Costs
23:59 B2Gold Company Outlook
26:39 Top Commodity Picks for 2026
30:07 Gold Price Floor Analysis
31:10 Silver Outlook and Demand Drivers
32:04 China Demand and Precious Metals Flows
33:09 Copper Price Floor Outlook
34:00 Uranium Long-Term Investment Case
34:23 Closing Remarks & Where to Follow Adrian Day
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