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Gold Still Leads Commodities in Risk-Reward, Says Adrian Day

In it to Win it

Release Date: 03/11/2026

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More Episodes

Adrian Day, founder of Adrian Day Asset Management, joins the discussion to share his outlook on global markets, commodities, and the macro forces shaping resource investing.

πŸ‘‰ Adrian Day

πŸ“© Substack

πŸ‘‰ Technical Analysis Video Series

Recording Date 3-10-2026. The conversation covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, how markets typically react to conflict, and why commodities such as gold and oil often move ahead of major geopolitical events through a β€œbuy the rumor, sell the news” dynamic. Day also discusses the current positioning of energy markets, explaining why oil stocks had already rallied prior to recent conflict risks and how supply disruptions, shipping routes, and global liquidity needs can influence commodity prices.

Adrian also explores the outlook for major commodities including gold, silver, copper, uranium, and agricultural markets. Day explains why he believes gold offers the strongest risk-reward profile due to central bank buying and limited retail participation, while copper remains attractive because of long-term supply shortages tied to electrification and infrastructure demand. Additional topics include mining costs driven by energy prices, the impact of commodity currencies such as the Canadian and Australian dollar, farmland and agriculture investments, and the broader outlook for commodity markets heading into 2026.

 

Key Insights in this episode

βœ… Geopolitical events often push gold and oil prices higher before the actual conflict occurs.
βœ… Gold’s recent moves are driven more by the U.S. dollar and liquidity than by war itself.
βœ… Oil stocks had already risen before tensions because companies were buying back shares and paying strong dividends.
βœ… Diesel and energy prices are the biggest cost factors for mining companies.
βœ… Gold remains attractive due to strong central bank demand and limited retail participation.
βœ… Copper is bullish long term because global supply may not meet future demand.
βœ… Uranium is still a long-term opportunity but may need pullbacks before new entries.

 

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Chapters

00:40 Adrian Day is Back on the show!
01:23 Global Markets and Geopolitical Outlook
04:49 Gold Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News
07:41 Gold Liquidity and Oil Stock Moves
10:35 Oil Stock Strategy and Covered Calls
11:57 Oil ETF (XLE) and Market Positioning
15:23 Outlook for Agricultural Commodities
19:15 Energy Costs and Mining Profitability
23:13 Commodity Currencies and Mining Costs
23:59 B2Gold Company Outlook
26:39 Top Commodity Picks for 2026
30:07 Gold Price Floor Analysis
31:10 Silver Outlook and Demand Drivers
32:04 China Demand and Precious Metals Flows
33:09 Copper Price Floor Outlook
34:00 Uranium Long-Term Investment Case
34:23 Closing Remarks & Where to Follow Adrian Day

 

DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.

WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.

AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.

##Gold #Silver #Copper #Uranium #Oil #NaturalGas #Commodities #MiningStocks #ResourceInvesting #MacroEconomics #GoldMarket #CopperDemand #EnergyMarkets #Inflation #CentralBanks #PreciousMetals #CommodityInvesting #MiningSector #MarketOutlook #Investing #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt