102. The Big Beautiful Bill Is Law – What It Means for Investors
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 102: Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill Is Now Law—Here’s What Investors Need to Know In this episode of Drunk Real Estate, the crew breaks down the newly signed “Big Beautiful Bill”—one of the most impactful pieces of legislation for real estate and economic policy in years. We cover how the bill affects: - Real estate tax breaks and capital gains - Interest rates, debt structure, and investor incentives - 1031 exchanges and passive income strategies - The revived SEC Finder Rule—and how it could finally legalize capital raising referrals without a broker-dealer license Whether...
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101. Trump vs. Powell: Who’s Controlling Interest Rates?
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 101: Trump, Powell & the Housing Market Power Struggle This week on Drunk Real Estate, the crew dives deep into the growing tension between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell as both sides battle over the future of interest rates—and what it means for your mortgage, investments, and the U.S. housing market. We break down: 🏠 How interest rates are shaping the single-family housing market 📉 Powell’s refusal to cut rates (yet)—is he waiting too long? 🇺🇸 Trump’s aggressive push for a 2-point rate drop 📊 Is inflation really under control—or just hiding...
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100. Conspiracy Theories!
Drunk Real Estate
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99. Can the Government Force Interest Rates Lower?
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 99: Bond Buybacks, Job Market Illusions & the Fed’s Standstill This week on Drunk Real Estate, the crew tackles one of the biggest questions in the current economy: Can the government actually bring interest rates down—without the Fed’s help? As the Treasury prepares for its first bond buyback program in over two decades, we unpack what that really means, how it differs from quantitative easing, and whether it’s a sign of quiet panic behind the scenes. We also cover: 📉 Why the recent jobs report may be more illusion than strength 💼 600,000+ workers exiting the labor...
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98. Why the Bond Market Is Rejecting U.S. Debt
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 98: Are We Hitting a Wall? Rising Debt, Bond Market Chaos & the Fed’s Next Move In this week’s episode of Drunk Real Estate, we dive into the growing storm in the debt markets and what it means for real estate investors, the U.S. economy, and interest rates going forward. With U.S. debt exploding past $36 trillion, bond auctions failing, and interest payments projected to hit $1 trillion annually, the crew breaks down what’s really happening behind the headlines—and why the Fed may be nearing a breaking point. We cover: - Moody’s downgrade and its message to investors -...
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97. Empty Ports, Price Surges & a Hidden Recession Signal
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 97: Empty Ships, Soaring Tariffs & the Supply Chain Squeeze This week on Drunk Real Estate, we unpack the economic storm forming at U.S. ports—where incoming ships are arriving nearly empty, and retailers are bracing for a 40% increase in import costs due to new tariffs on Chinese goods. While inflation headlines cool off, the real pressure is building where it matters most: logistics, trade, and the price tags on everything we buy. From shipping slowdowns and job risk at ports to retail panic and the Fed’s silent struggle, this episode connects the dots that most people are...
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96. GDP Down, Rate Cuts Delayed & CRE on Ice – What’s the Fed Waiting For?
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 96: GDP Miss, Fed Paralysis & a Frozen Real Estate Market This week on Drunk Real Estate, we’re diving deep into the Q1 GDP shock, the Fed’s continued delay on rate cuts, and why the commercial real estate market is stalled but not yet crashing. With inflation cooling and employment softening, many expected the Fed to pivot—but Powell seems stuck in neutral. Meanwhile, global trade shifts, delayed refinancing, and rising CRE debt risks are quietly reshaping the economy. - GDP miss: What went wrong—and what it might mean - Why Powell isn’t cutting rates yet, even...
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95. Is the Economy in Reverse? Tariffs, Job Cuts & Trade Trouble
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 95: Tariffs, Layoffs & a Slowing Economy – Are We Already in Trouble? This week on Drunk Real Estate, we unpack the growing signs that the economy might already be in the early stages of a slowdown or recession. From empty shipping ports and declining imports to rising tariffs, inflation pressure, and layoffs, the data is painting a confusing—but concerning—picture. We discuss: 📉 What’s really driving weak GDP projections 🛳️ Why U.S. ports are shockingly empty right now 💼 Where layoffs may be coming next—from trucking to government 🌎 How global trade...
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94. Trump’s Plan to Crash the Dollar? Inside the Mar-a-Lago Accord
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 94: Trump, The Fed & The Mar-a-Lago Accord – Is the Dollar at Risk? In this episode of Drunk Real Estate, we dive into the rising tension between Donald Trump and the Federal Reserve, and the growing speculation about a radical new economic plan—the so-called Mar-a-Lago Accord. Is Trump planning to intentionally weaken the U.S. dollar through tariffs and monetary policy? Can he actually fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell? And what would it mean for the global economy, interest rates, and real estate investors if he does? We cover: 🔹 Trump vs. Powell – can the president legally...
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93. Bond Market Breakdown – Is the Fed Losing Control?
Drunk Real Estate
Episode 93! In this week’s episode of Drunk Real Estate, the team dives into the surging bond yields, collapsing liquidity, and growing fears that the U.S. treasury market is flashing major warning signs. Is China dumping U.S. debt? Are leveraged bond trades putting the global economy at risk? And how will this all impact real estate investors, mortgage rates, and Fed policy? 🔥 In this episode: Why bond yields are rising—even as the market signals weakness Margin calls, liquidity issues, and echoes of 2008 Foreign holdings of U.S. debt: Is China fighting back with treasuries? How...
info_outlineEpisode 98: Are We Hitting a Wall? Rising Debt, Bond Market Chaos & the Fed’s Next Move
In this week’s episode of Drunk Real Estate, we dive into the growing storm in the debt markets and what it means for real estate investors, the U.S. economy, and interest rates going forward.
With U.S. debt exploding past $36 trillion, bond auctions failing, and interest payments projected to hit $1 trillion annually, the crew breaks down what’s really happening behind the headlines—and why the Fed may be nearing a breaking point.
We cover:
- Moody’s downgrade and its message to investors
- Why 20- and 30-year bonds are being rejected by the market
- The Fed’s balance sheet roll-off and its unintended consequences
- Could a debt spiral force the Fed to reverse course on QT?
- Why Japan, Germany & global forces are quietly reshaping bond demand
- What the SOFR curve is telling us about long-term rates
- How all of this ties back to commercial real estate, cap rates, and refinance risk
This episode connects the macro puzzle pieces—from treasury stress to real estate fallout—in the way only Drunk Real Estate can.
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