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Iran's Once in a Lifetime Moment

Arms Control Wonk

Release Date: 04/17/2024

A Pod of Dynamite show art A Pod of Dynamite

Arms Control Wonk

Jeffrey and Scott watched the new Kathryn Bigelow movie "House of Dynamite" and they both have opinions. The crew talks through both the artistic choices as well as the wonky details. "House of Dynamite" is an interesting take on missile defense and decisionmaking that doesn't quite commit enough to any philosophical or strategic camp, but ultimately may be the lens through which a lot of non-wonks view or interact with missile defenses, conceptually, as we move towards a potential major expansion of US missile defenses.  We should do a watch party. Support us over at !

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A Return to Nuclear Testing show art A Return to Nuclear Testing

Arms Control Wonk

Donald Trump directed "the Department of War to start testing our Nuclear Weapons on an equal basis" with other countries.  The Department of War doesn't test nuclear weapons, the Department of Energy does all the time in lots of different ways.  Some people worried this meant a return to explosive testing, others seemed to think it was about delivery systems.  Subsequent statements by the Vice President and the Secretary of Defense didn't clarify things. Aaron and Jeffrey sit down to try to make some sense of it all.   Support us over at !

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Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes show art Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes

Arms Control Wonk

Alex Ward and others at the Wall Street Journal reported on the details of a Pentagon review process that has halted Ukraine's ability to conduct long-range strikes into Russia with ATACMs, Storm Shadow and other systems that need US targeting data. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what we already knew, what we didn't, and what it all mean. Hint: Allies should stand up their own targeting capabilities.   Watch the video episode ! Support us over at !

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Fly Burevestnik Fly! show art Fly Burevestnik Fly!

Arms Control Wonk

The Slack channel noticed that Russia was gearing up to test the SSC-X-9 Skyfall nuclear-powered cruise missile (aka Burevestnik), which Jeffrey and co. confirmed with satellite images. Reuters picked it up, noting how awkward all this was coming, as it did, just as Putin flew to Alaska to meet with Donald Trump. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about the OSINT and the political implications. Watch the video episode ! Support us over at !

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Iran’s Pathway to the Bomb show art Iran’s Pathway to the Bomb

Arms Control Wonk

Aaron and Jeffrey finally deconflict their schedules to talk about the outcome of the Israeli-Iranian war, Iran’s pathway back to the bomb, and why they’re both irritated with the “fix it or nix it crowd.” Support us over at !

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Israel Strikes Iran show art Israel Strikes Iran

Arms Control Wonk

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest new from Iran, where Israel has been launching strike on leadership, nuclear, and missile targets. Support us over at !

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The Pahalgam Panic show art The Pahalgam Panic

Arms Control Wonk

In what seems like clockwork, India and Pakistan fought an “almost war” recently, prompting concerns about the risk of nuclear war. Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to talk about the crisis, the meaning of deterrence, and how it worked during this recent flare up.   Watch the video pod over on ! Support us over at !

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Don't Say JCPOA show art Don't Say JCPOA

Arms Control Wonk

The Trump administration appears to be willing to return to the JCPOA, so long as you do not call it the JCPOA. Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest back and forth with Iran and what’s at stake with the return to nuclear negotiations. Watch the video pod over on  Support us over at !

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Brilliant Swarms show art Brilliant Swarms

Arms Control Wonk

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down for their first video podcast to discuss the cost of Brilliant Swarm, the name du moment of Brilliant Pebbles, aka space based missile defense.  Watch the video pod over on  Support us over at !

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Orbital Collisions show art Orbital Collisions

Arms Control Wonk

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest news about anti-satellite warfare and why bumping and grinding in the cosmos is back en vogue.   Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

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More Episodes

And you may find yourself not complying with the IAEA

And you may find yourself in a war in another part of the world

And you may find yourself making a metaphor about an automobile

And you may find yourself enriching your uranium stocks, and building reactors

And you may ask yourself "Well, how did I get here?" 

 

Letting the days go by, politics will hold you down 

Letting the days go by, heavy water underground 

Into Fordow again, maybe to Isfahan

Once in a lifetime, realignment all around

 

Same as it ever was, Same as it ever was

 

Jeffrey and Aaron go through the current state of play in Iranian politics (just prior to its massive missile strike on Israel), particularly around the nuclear program and what the bomb genuinely means for security and Iranian internal politics, and review how we got here over the past 20 years of Arms Control Wonkery.

 

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!