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Bridging the Gap between Climate Science and Risk Management

Climate Risk Podcast

Release Date: 11/30/2023

From the Archives: Revisiting the Tail Risks from Climate Change show art From the Archives: Revisiting the Tail Risks from Climate Change

Climate Risk Podcast

In this special episode, revisit this conversation with Prof. Tim Benton, as we remind ourselves of the devastating potential of the tail risks from climate change. Our regular listeners will know that we usually to take a break from the podcast in August. But every once in a while, in this fast-moving field of climate and sustainability, it’s helpful to pause and reflect on where we’ve been, what we’ve learned, and how far we’ve come. That’s why we’re re-releasing this episode from the archives, and revisiting a conversation that’s just as relevant today - if not more so -...

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Resilience and Retreat: What Insurability Tells Us About Climate Risk show art Resilience and Retreat: What Insurability Tells Us About Climate Risk

Climate Risk Podcast

Hear from Rowan Douglas CBE, CEO of Climate Risk and Resilience at Howden Group, as we explore the vital role of insurance in the climate transition. When we talk about climate resilience, insurance often flies under the radar. But it’s one of the oldest and most powerful tools we have for managing risk: pooling resources, spreading losses, and crucially, sending signals about where risk is growing too great to bear. That’s why in this episode, we explore the vital and evolving role of insurance in supporting climate resilience. We discuss: How insurance acts as both a safety net for...

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Greening the Games: How Paris 2024 Delivered on Climate Ambition show art Greening the Games: How Paris 2024 Delivered on Climate Ambition

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Hear from Georgina Grenon, Director of Environmental Excellence for the Paris 2024 Olympic and Paralympic Games, as we explore what it truly means to put sustainability first. Turning climate ambition into reality is a complicated process. Sustainability often requires systemic change, which is precisely why it can be so challenging. That’s why in this episode, we’re hoping to inspire and encourage our audience with the story of the greening of one of the largest and most watched events in the world: the Olympic and Paralympic Games. We explore: How clear targets and innovative...

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Why Food System Disruption Is the New Normal show art Why Food System Disruption Is the New Normal

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Hear from Stephanie Race, Founder & CEO of Earth Analytics Group, as we dive into the connections between physical climate risk, the global food supply chain, and systemic financial risk. As climate impacts intensify - from wildfires to water scarcity - these risks are no longer distant. They’re material, and they’re here to stay. This is most evident in our food system, where disrupted crop yields, shifting growing regions, and stressed supply chains are becoming the new normal.  That’s why in this episode, we explore the vital and often overlooked links between climate...

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Beyond 1.5°C: How to Think About Our New Climate Reality show art Beyond 1.5°C: How to Think About Our New Climate Reality

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Hear from Laurie Laybourn, Executive Director of the Strategic Climate Risk Initiative, as we explore how climate risks change in a 1.5°C world. As we look increasingly certain to breach 1.5 degrees of warming, we are entering an era defined not just by extreme weather and policy uncertainty, but also by cascading disruptions, systemic instability, and the potential for tipping points in both the environment and society. That’s why in this episode, we take a hard look at how our understanding of climate risk needs to evolve. We explore: Why traditional climate risk frameworks may be...

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How to Make an Impact: Secrets to Climate Startup Success show art How to Make an Impact: Secrets to Climate Startup Success

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Hear from Alyssa Gilbert, Director of Innovation at the Grantham Institute of Climate Change and the Environment, as we dive into the climate startup ecosystem. Innovation can provide powerful responses to environmental risks, from AI tools predicting the spread of wildfires in real time, to seaweed-based packaging replacing plastic at mass scale. But in fact, innovation means more than just inventing new technologies – it also means changing the ways we do business today, and helping connect these solutions with the people who can best make use of them. That’s why in today’s episode,...

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Nine Limits, Six Breached: The Planetary Boundaries Crisis Explained show art Nine Limits, Six Breached: The Planetary Boundaries Crisis Explained

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Hear from Dr. Levke Caeser of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, as we dive into the planetary boundaries framework and the risks of overstepping the limits of earth systems. Planetary boundaries are the biological and physical limits that define a “safe operating space” for humanity on Earth. But today, many of these limits – including those related to land, freshwater, climate, and biodiversity – have been dangerously exceeded. As a result, we’re now entering uncharted territory. So in today’s episode, we’ll be exploring the consequences of breaching these...

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Flawed Models, Fragile Systems: The Risks in Energy & Food Policy show art Flawed Models, Fragile Systems: The Risks in Energy & Food Policy

Climate Risk Podcast

Hear from Prof. Aled Jones, Director of the Global Sustainability Institute at Anglia Ruskin University, as we dive into the role of models in shaping policy, and particularly their weaknesses.  Models are not neutral – they reflect the assumptions, values, and agendas of those that create and use them. Using the energy system as an example, models can (and have been) used to protect the status quo. In part, this is because many of the models are based on the notions of ‘equilibrium’ and so they simply can’t cope with major structural changes, such as the current energy...

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Beyond Climate: A Risk Professionals’ Guide to the Biodiversity COPs show art Beyond Climate: A Risk Professionals’ Guide to the Biodiversity COPs

Climate Risk Podcast

Hear from Eva Zabey, CEO of Business for Nature, as we dive into the complex landscape of environmental diplomacy, and the role of business in halting and reversing biodiversity loss. We know that our economies depend on nature. But with biodiversity loss and climate change both putting pressure on ecosystems, businesses and financial institutions are facing increasing risks. In recognition of this, there is action on the policy front, and with global biodiversity agreements taking shape, the question isn’t whether firms should act – but how they can do so effectively. That’s why in...

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The CSRD Effect: How Regulation is Elevating Nature Risk show art The CSRD Effect: How Regulation is Elevating Nature Risk

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Hear from Sebastian Leape, CEO of Natcap, as we explore how regulation such as the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) is pushing nature risk to the top of firms’ sustainability agendas. At GARP, we’ve been benchmarking financial firms’ climate and nature risk management capabilities since 2019, and we see that nature is lagging climate risk by several years. But things are changing, and part of that change is driven by new regulations – such as the EU’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive or CSRD – where firms are being asked to report on a range of...

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More Episodes

Hear from David Schimel and Pooja Khosla of Entelligent, as we explore the intersection of climate science and risk management.

For over 30 years, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC, has reported on the future physical impacts of climate change, based on the best available science. But these predictions have tended to underplay the likelihood of extreme risks. This is in part because scientists have focused more on the centre of the distribution rather than the extremes, which is likely to have been in part a reaction against an increasingly politicised level of scrutiny.

However, for risk professionals, the tails of the distribution are of particular importance. They also need also to think about the nature of the transition, which will depend on a number of factors, such as technological improvements and policy changes. Here, we have also seen systematic errors – for example, just consider the errors in forecasting the cost of solar energy.

So in today’s episode, we’ll take a closer look at the balance of these errors on the physical and transition side.  We’ll explore the intersection of climate science and risk management, including:

  • How the politicization of climate change has shaped how climate scientists communicate its risks and opportunities.
  • The challenge of translating climate science into actionable financial risk data; and
  • How ignoring the less likely impacts of climate change can lead to greater losses and missed opportunities.


To find out more about the Sustainability and Climate Risk (SCR®) Certificate, follow this link: https://www.garp.org/scr

For more information on climate risk, visit GARP’s Global Sustainability and Climate Risk Resource Center: https://www.garp.org/sustainability-climate

If you have any questions, thoughts, or feedback regarding this podcast series, we would love to hear from you at: [email protected]


Links from today’s discussion:

-          Entelligent homepage: https://www.entelligent.com/

-          Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s Fourth Assessment Report: https://www.ipcc.ch/assessment-report/ar4/

-          NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory: https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/

-          Article: Do Two Climate Wrongs Make a Right? By David Schimel and Charles Miller: https://www.entelligent.com/news-and-perspective/do-two-climate-wrongs-make-a-right/

Speakers' Bios

David Schimel, Co-Founder and Chairman of the Board at Entelligent, and Senior Research Scientist at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory

Dave is the Co-Founder and Chairman of Entelligent, and a Senior Research Scientist at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. He has a 30-plus-year career working in top research positions and leadership roles in carbon cycle climate interactions and global climate modelling. Dave was a Convening Lead Author for the IPCC's Fourth Assessment Report, for which it was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007. In 2012, he was named a Fellow of the Ecological Society of America. 

Pooja Khosla, Chief Innovation Office, Entelligent

Pooja is the Chief Innovation Officer of Entelligent, and along with Dave, invented the company’s patented Smart Climate® technology. A data scientist and econometrician, Pooja’s 15-year career has focused on predictive modelling, microfinance, and the design of investment tools.  She has a Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Colorado Boulder, and speaks and writes extensively on climate risk and investment.