333: Freddie Mac Economist Reveals Connection with Mortgage Debt & GDP; What Every Homeowner Must Know!
Release Date: 01/08/2024
361: Trump's Big Beautiful Bill: Revolutionizing Real Estate Investing and Saving on Taxes
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason presents Travis King, CEO of Realm, a real estate investor collective, focusing on the "Big Beautiful Bill" and its positive implications for real estate investors. They discuss specific provisions like accelerated depreciation and the permanent grandfathering of Opportunity Zones, highlighting their role in attracting capital back into the market. They explore broader real estate trends, including interest rates, the "lock-in effect" on housing supply, and the importance of cost segregation for tax benefits. The conversation also touches on replacement costs, the inelasticity of housing...
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360: The Humble Alpha: Finding Your True Identity & Redefining Leadership with Steven Kuhn
The Commercial Investing Show
This interview delves into Steven Kuhn's "Humble Alpha" concept, focusing on internal strength and authenticity. Kuhn emphasizes discovering one's true identity through self-reflection and external feedback, culminating in a two-word moniker. He champions certainty and "HIT" principles (honesty, integrity, transparency) as foundations for leadership. Kuhn's experience includes working with figures like Andrea Bocelli and Olivia Newton-John, facilitating their business optimization. 1 He stresses seizing opportunities by expanding awareness and connecting existing skills across different...
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359: Immigration and Trump Policies- Securing America's Future with Richard Duncan
The Commercial Investing Show
Richard Duncan explores the potential benefits of a U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund, advocating for increased government investment in key industries like AI and biotechnology. Duncan argues this strategy could significantly boost economic growth, enhance national security by countering China's technological dominance, and generate substantial returns for the American public through strategic investments in promising companies. While acknowledging concerns about government intervention and potential for cronyism, Duncan proposes a model where the fund would primarily operate through private sector...
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358: Fractional Real Estate Investing for Only $250 with Alex Blackwood
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason and Alex Blackwood discuss the current state of the DC housing market, focusing on the impact of low mortgage rates, the challenges of housing affordability, and the potential for a widening wealth gap between homeowners and renters. They also explored the impact of the pandemic on the real estate market, the potential benefits of Trump's policies on the economy, and the importance of building wealth through real estate. Additionally, they introduced Mogul, a platform that allows anyone to invest in real estate with a $250 minimum, providing flexibility and access to markets like Houston...
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357: Unlocking Opportunity: Investing in the Changing Landscape of Commercial Real Estate with Paul Moore
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason and Paul Moore delve into the current state of commercial real estate, focusing on multifamily, office, RV and mobile home markets. They discuss the rise of rescue capital, which assists struggling deals, particularly in multifamily, where many properties are overpriced. They explore how office markets may never fully recover due to remote work trends and pandemic-induced lifestyle changes. They also touch on the impact of struggling office portfolios on banks, revealing a potential contagion effect. Overall, they suggest a nuanced understanding of the commercial real estate landscape is...
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356: Geopolitical Instability and Real Estate: How the U.S. Stands Out with Joe Brown
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if war remains profitable. They also discussed the philosophy of ‘packaged commodities’ investment, arguing that investing in real estate with subsidized financing and tax benefits can be more profitable than investing in commodities directly. ...
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355: Trump 2.0, Trade Wars, and the Future of the Dollar with Charles Goyette
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason and Charles Goyette discuss the current political climate, the implications of tariffs and trade wars, and the potential for significant changes in government spending and taxation. They also explored the impact of technology on the economy, the concept of currency competition, and the potential for a global financial crisis due to increasing national debt, inflation, and interest rates. The conversation concluded with a discussion on the potential for a global financial crisis and the need for regulatory reform to boost American businesses. #Economics #Inflation #TradeWars #Tariffs...
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354: Immigration and Trump Policies- Securing America's Future with Richard Duncan
The Commercial Investing Show
Richard Duncan explores the potential benefits of a U.S. Sovereign Wealth Fund, advocating for increased government investment in key industries like AI and biotechnology. Duncan argues this strategy could significantly boost economic growth, enhance national security by countering China's technological dominance, and generate substantial returns for the American public through strategic investments in promising companies. While acknowledging concerns about government intervention and potential for cronyism, Duncan proposes a model where the fund would primarily operate through private sector...
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353: Navigating the Housing Market: Rising Interest Rates, Refinancing, Emerging Markets and Institutional Investors with Robert Helms
The Commercial Investing Show
Jason and Robert Helms discuss the recent increase in mortgage refinancing activity and the ongoing housing shortage, its impact on the real estate market, and potential solutions for affordable housing. They also explore emerging real estate opportunities, such as investing in high-demand, low-supply markets and the potential of parking lots as an investment opportunity. Lastly, they examined the role of institutional investors in the real estate market, their growth, and their benefits to smaller players in the market. #therealestateguys #RealEstate #Refinancing #MortgageRates #HousingMarket...
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352: You Won't Believe How Trump's Policy Affects Your Wallet with Prof. David Collum
The Commercial Investing Show
Is Trump's America First policy the solution to the rising inflation in the US? Today, we dive into the details of Trump's economic approach and examine whether his America First policy is effective in combating inflation. From tariffs on foreign goods to tax cuts, we analyze the impact of Trump's policies on the US economy and explore whether they are helping to reduce inflation. Join Jason and Prof. David Collum as they explore the complexities of Trump's America First policy and its effects on the US economy. https://x.com/DavidBCollum #EmpoweredInvesting #RealEstateInvesting...
info_outlineJason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties.
Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market’s dynamics.
#RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis
Key Takeaways:
Jason’s editorial
1:28 Introducing Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac
1:46 Chart: Household real estate value and mortgage debt as percent of GDP
4:43 FireYourManager.com
5:41 RocketHomes Chart: Median sold price by bedroom count
Len Kiefer interview
8:33 The view from 30,000 feet
11:24 Charts: Spike in mortgage rates made it very expensive for homeowners to move
13:25 Chart: Historically low rates in previous years means there is no Refi incentive given today’s rates
14:47 Chart: Homeowners locked into low mortgage rates are content to remain in their current homes
20:53 Market is starting to thaw
22:34 Chart: Due to savings from fixed mortgages, household spending may be less sensitive to financial conditions
27:30 Chart: Housing demand robust on favorable Age demographics of FTHBs
31:53 Chart: The U.S. faces a massive undersupply of housing
34:40 Chart: Strong demand from FTHBs and low supply led to a surge in entry-level home prices
38:32 Higher housing costs are contributing to more young adults living at home with their parents
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