The Commercial Investing Show
MHPListings Podcast
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270: Rating America's Presidents, An America-First Look at Who Is Best, Who Is Overrated, and Who Was A Disaster by Robert Spencer
11/21/2020
270: Rating America's Presidents, An America-First Look at Who Is Best, Who Is Overrated, and Who Was A Disaster by Robert Spencer
Jason Hartman is joined today by Robert Spencer, author of . This book is a non-partisan analysis of the US President's performance in office. Jason and Robert discuss sociological changes in the US and harsh rhetoric from either party. Will the US re-elect Trump, if so, will he be the last Republican President? Key Takeaways: [1:40] This is not a republican or democratic book; this book is America First! [3:00] Are the left "for the people" or for big government? [8:00] "With the truth about history, we can reclaim the public discourse." -Spencer [14:20] If Trump wins reelection, where will the US be in 4 years? [16:25] Will Trump be the last Republican President? [20:00] Rating US Presidents, example: Woodrow Wilson. [23:00] One of the recipes for being a good US President is…? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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269: Modern Wealth Building Formula by Ken Van Liew
11/14/2020
269: Modern Wealth Building Formula by Ken Van Liew
Jason Hartman talks with author, Ken Van Liew, to find out what has changed in wealth building in modern times. Ken and Jason talk about investment opportunities away from high-density cities. They also discuss a few commercial real estate sectors, including converting commercial to residential, what might come of malls, and growth in the need for self-storage. Books: Key Takeaways: [1:45] What’s different about ‘modern wealth building’? [6:30] To Ken, what are your thoughts on the shift of Americans away from high-density cities? [8:30] What commercial property can convert to residential? [13:30] What are we going to do with malls? [15:45] How will self-storage fair? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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268: COVID-19 Economic Impact David Sussman, Valcor Worldwide
11/05/2020
268: COVID-19 Economic Impact David Sussman, Valcor Worldwide
David Sussman, Founder and CEO of Valcor Worldwide joins Jason Hartman in discussing insights into what is going on with small-medium sized business, real estate, and the impact of COVID-19. David suggests that mainstream media has narrowed its focus on Coronavirus and the 2020 election; meanwhile, it hasn’t covered much to any of the potential economic tsunamis we face. Like lungs, our economy breathes in and out, and we are a few years late to our regularly scheduled recession. Key Takeaways: [2:45] The mainstream media can only focus on one or two top stories at a time, the pandemic, and the 2020 election. David predicts a possible economic tsunami headed our way, a story the media cannot currently focus on. [6:10] Warehouses and industrial real estate spaces are increasing. [8:45] 67% of employees in the country rely upon the 32 million small US businesses. [13:00] Small retail is dying, especially in bluer states. [16:45] What kind of financing is available to small businesses (2020)? [19:00] What are merchant cash advances? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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267: Foreclosure Crisis or Not? Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac
10/30/2020
267: Foreclosure Crisis or Not? Rick Sharga, RealtyTrac
Rick Sharga, Executive Vice President of Marketing at RealtyTrac, talks with Jason Hartman about forbearances and foreclosures. Does one lead to the other, and how will this differ from the great recession? How has COVID-19 changed how millennials approach renting vs. buying? Rick Sharga also distinguishes between foreclosures and opportunities. Rick also gives an excellent insight into every sector of what he thinks is to be expected in the commercial real estate market. Key Takeaways: [1:00] Everyone is asking, "is Covid going to cause a housing crash?" [2:00] Covid has not slowed down the housing market even a little bit. [3:45] The pandemic accelerated millennials' trend to stop as urban renters and move to a place of homeownership. [10:30] The 2006 median price home was $650 more expensive than the median price home today, adjusted for interest rates and inflation. [12:00] Rick distinguishes between foreclosures and opportunities. [18:00] Will 3 million in forbearance programs end up in foreclosures? [21:00] What happens when all of these loans come out of forbearance? [26:45] Discussing California's new law that the institutional buyer cannot buy foreclosures. [28:45] We already see a higher number of commercial foreclosure properties popping up. [30:00] Rick breaks down his expectations for each sector of the commercial real estate environment. [33:30] One of the most significant shortages in housing is in the low price tiers. Here's why. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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266: Advanced Tax Strategies for Savvy Investors by Amanda Han & Matthew MacFarland
10/28/2020
266: Advanced Tax Strategies for Savvy Investors by Amanda Han & Matthew MacFarland
Clear some confusion about tax strategy, and gain some added tricks of the trade by listening to this interview. Jason Hartman talks with Amanda Han and Matthew MacFarland, authors of . Tax laws can change every year, so it’s crucial to take advantage of them as soon as you can. Learn what most investors forget to do for some of the best write-offs. Key Takeaways: [2:30] Excited to have advanced tax strategy with a focus on RE [3:00] Will we lose the 1031-Exchange with Biden in office? [8:10] Many RE investment property owners overpay on taxes because they do not view themselves as a business when it comes to their taxes. [13:40] How do I take more deprecation sooner than later, with a cost segregation study? [20:20] How do you prepare to take unlimited deductions, regardless of income - by qualifying as a real estate professional? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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265: Former Senior VP of Community Lending at Fannie Mae & National Low Income Housing Coalition NLIHC Barry Zigas
10/23/2020
265: Former Senior VP of Community Lending at Fannie Mae & National Low Income Housing Coalition NLIHC Barry Zigas
Jason Hartman talks with Barry Zigas, Senior Fellow at Consumer Federation of America. Barry shares a brief, descriptive history lesson on how Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac came to be. Barry and Jason discuss the low and middle-income housing crisis and what factors contribute to homeownership rates. Barry Zigas joins Jason Hartman to discuss student loans compared to home loans. Is this similar to a problem we’ve seen in the recent past? How does the shortage of affordable new homes drive inflation? Key Takeaways: [1:00] Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were both created by acts of congress. [4:30] Is the Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac mission to increase homeownership? [6:20] Let’s talk about global home ownership comparisons. [11:00] What factors contribute to homeownership rates? [12:15] There’s still discrimination in the mortgage markets. [14:30] Redlining is a term defined as a percentage of non-white people living in a community. [16:45] How much of the community reinvestment act is to blame for the great recession? [21:00] Student loans compared to home loans, is this a perpetual problem? [24:00] There’s a tremendous shortage of affordable new homes to buy, which is part of what’s driving inflation. [27:20] San Francisco, what caused its high prices throughout history, and will that change from COVID-19? [34:00] COVID-19 has employment implications, which will translate to housing implications. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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264: iBuyer, Property Radar & Foreclosure Radar, Sean O’Toole
10/21/2020
264: iBuyer, Property Radar & Foreclosure Radar, Sean O’Toole
Sean O'Toole joins Jason Hartman today to discuss the next foreclosure crisis? Will it happen, or where will it happen? Sean O'Toole shares his thoughts on the re-ruralization of America. They also discuss Property Radar and the data they’ve uncovered. Where does inflation go? Are we, the U.S.A., more susceptible to the boom or bust outcome because we are the reserve currency of the world? What is iBuyer, and is it any good? Key Takeaways: [4:30] We're not expecting a foreclosure crisis as we saw in the recession. [7:30] "I don't think we'll get back to that price drop. Price drops require a motivated seller." [10:10] Is this the re-ruralization of America? [13:30] Is this a black swan or a white swan event? (2016) [18:00] The inflation always goes to asset price inflation versus consumer inflation. [20:00] Does the U.S. being the reserve currency of the world make us more “boom and bust?” [21:00] Is modern monetary theory, MMT, a fantasy? [26:45] What is Property Radar researching? [31:00] What is iBuyer? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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263: Manhattan Apts. Pandemic Housing Prices, Ari Rastegar, COVID Real Estate Outlook
10/16/2020
263: Manhattan Apts. Pandemic Housing Prices, Ari Rastegar, COVID Real Estate Outlook
Ari Rastegar, the founder of Rastegar Property Company, joins Jason Hartman today to share his insights on investing in many sectors, with a particular emphasis on multi-family housing. Will retail and commercial suffer indefinitely, or will this all pass? If you put in the work, 2020 is an incredible opportunity to invest. Key Takeaways: [1:15] Discussing rent collection issues and eviction moratoriums, but during COVID-19, 90% and more of rent was still being collected. [3:45] In the single-family space, we’re seeing a surging of home prices. [8:00] In regards to shadow-demand, the majority of US young adults live with their parents. [12:10] California and New York are the ‘land of the flee,’ and Texas is the ‘land of the free.’ [15:00] Q2 sales of Manhattan apartments down by 54% [19:20] Risk controls in the sub-prime market have been put into place to protect the residential side of recession effects. [20:00] Retail and commercial will suffer longer. [21:15] Ari believes that work-from-home is entirely unsustainable. [26:10] “People are going to miss opportunity because opportunity shows up in overalls.” -Edison Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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262: Nominal Confusion, FedNow, Capital Formation, and Dynastic Wealth, Lynette Zang
10/09/2020
262: Nominal Confusion, FedNow, Capital Formation, and Dynastic Wealth, Lynette Zang
Jason Hartman interviews Lynette Zang, Chief Market Analyst at ITM Trading, about everything monetary policy. Opening with one of Lynette’s favorite charts shared from the FRED, Federal Reserve Education Department, Lynette, and Jason guide us through a discussion to clear up nominal confusion. Zang shares recent developments with FedNow and how this will affect the individual. Jason asks Lynette what she recommends we should do to protect ourselves? Lynette expresses her confidence in gold and why this is one of the three central pillars of dynastic wealth. As well, Jason and Lynette discuss inflation, the how and why of its existence, and how it’s controlled. Key Takeaways: [2:30] Looking at one of Lynette’s favorite charts from the FRED, Federal Reserve Education Department. [3:45] Fiat literal translation: government decree. [6:00] Nominal confusion; ‘they’ knew that people do not understand inflation and that they marry the legal money of the state because inflation causes nominal confusion. [9:00] What is a total financial reset? [11:10] The FedNow is about you, the individual, having an account directly linked to the Federal Reserve. [13:45] The basis of wealth is capital formation. You’ve got to save in order to invest. [19:00] What is Gavi, The Vaccine Alliance? [27:00] Whenever you hear the term nominal, you must understand that the truth is being hidden. [28:30] What should we be doing to protect ourselves? [29:10] Dynastic wealth is real estate, rare metals, and gold money. [31:40] Gold acts as wealth storage, holding its value over time. [33:55] Inflation is an invisible way for the government to tax you more. [35:40] Real estate inside of a reset faces two issues. [37:30] There is almost no such thing as a free and clear property? [43:30] How do negative interest rates work/exist? [51:40] What does it mean when the LIBOR goes away? Websites: ITMTrading.com 1-800-HARTMAN
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261: Market Crash Predictions, California Climate Policy, Crypto History, Bitcoin & Mark Moss
09/30/2020
261: Market Crash Predictions, California Climate Policy, Crypto History, Bitcoin & Mark Moss
Investor, entrepreneur, and Crypto Expert, Mark Moss, returns to the show today discussing what's happening in Mexico compared to California? Moss, a California resident, shares some aspects of California that are proving problematic moving forward. Will these bills in motion and aggressive attempts to combat climate change cause a California market crash? “Every problem boils down to the money,” says Mark Moss. Mark Moss talks with Jason Hartman about his feelings on bitcoin and why it might be the most favorable currency, even over the dollar. This talk includes a quick history lesson sharing one aspect of currency evolution. As well, what will happen when the stimulus ends? Key Takeaways: Mark Moss [2:00] Why is that the power stays on in Mexico, but not in California? [5:00] California is leading the charge on fighting back against climate change. [8:30] And what do experts say about the cause of the fire? [13:00] With California's chaos and the four bills in working order that could affect real estate, what will happen with the California real estate market? [15:30] Will there be a real estate crash in 2021? [17:10] Mark speaks about one market misconception. [18:30] The markets; stock, real estate, gold, etc., have become disconnected. [20:00] What happens when the stimulus ends? [22:30] How will this change cryptocurrency, like bitcoin? [25:15] What makes bitcoin superior to gold or the dollar? [26:45] A history lesson on African cowrie/aggry beads. [28:40] “If the people understood the banking system, there would be a revolution overnight.” Henry Ford Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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Special Announcement: Pandemic Investing Summit
09/26/2020
Special Announcement: Pandemic Investing Summit
Zoom Virtual Event: October 17th, 2020 Early Bird Admission: Get Instant access to Jason Hartman’s newest report, you'll learn… The modified square root shaped recovery Understanding the rare economic malady of supply/demand shock Generational PTSD and what it means to you & society The six lifestyle mega-trends that will change the world forever And much much more!
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260: Loneliness Epidemic & THE LIFE YOU WERE BORN TO LIVE, Finding Purpose by Dan Millman
09/25/2020
260: Loneliness Epidemic & THE LIFE YOU WERE BORN TO LIVE, Finding Purpose by Dan Millman
Dan Millman, author of , is here to discuss the loneliness epidemic as well as his recent book. The question that surrounds this discussion is, "What do I want to look back on five years from now, when this is behind us?" Dan and Jason discuss the challenges of constraints but the creativity that comes from it. How will people cope with the loneliness epidemic? Key Takeaways: [0:00] Guest Dan Millman [2:45] How will people cope with the loneliness epidemic? Will coronavirus impact our interaction with technology in a positive way? [5:00] There’s a huge difference between not being able to eat, and choosing not to eat. [8:00] Constraints breed creativity. [11:00] Athlete’s understand the law of presence. [15:15] Are we spiritually weight lifting now? [17:45] Being at home, and less stimulated, is tuning up our RAS, reticular activating system. [19:45] “Right now humanity is going through a transformation and no one promised that it will always be pleasant.” -Millman [24:00] What do I want to look back on five or ten years from now? How did I treat this period? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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259: COVID-19 Landlord Chronicles with Matt Faircloth
09/18/2020
259: COVID-19 Landlord Chronicles with Matt Faircloth
Matt Faircloth, of DeRosa Group, and author of Raising Private Capital, joins Jason Hartman today to share some of his stories as a landlord. Find out how Matt went from duplex to 20 units in a garden-style apartment. As well, Matt shares his success with collecting rent while the media was posting about rent strikes. Key Takeaways: Matt Faircloth [1:45] Are rent strikes as bad as the media has made them out to be? [3:50] In many cases, the rent that a tenant pays is not going completely and directly into the landlord's pocket. [6:00] The way in which money is changing makes you have to understand what comes after a trillion. [6:45] How did you take a duplex and turn it into 20 units? [11:00] Because of COVID-19, the innovation and integration of technology with real estate have amplified. [15:00] Will we see a state secede from the union in our lifetime? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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258: Macro-Economic Trends, Debt to GDP, Inflation, Japan George Gammon
09/17/2020
258: Macro-Economic Trends, Debt to GDP, Inflation, Japan George Gammon
George Gammon joins Jason Hartman remotely from Saint Barthélemy. What's happening with Japan's debt to GDP ratio, and how can the US compare to this? George talks about the change in the savings rate due to Coronavirus and how it is manipulated. George and Jason discuss some ideas that the Fed may not want the common man to understand. As well, is deflation good or bad? Where are interest rates headed, and how can you come up with a prediction for that? Key Takeaways: [1:00] Life in St. Barts, low crime rate, yachts, and more. [7:45] Jason opens the discussion on Japanonomics. [8:55] The US deficit just this year will be the same as the total amount of debt accumulated from 1776 to 2000. [12:00] George talks on trades surplus. [17:00] How did Coronavirus change the US savings rate? [20:00] How has the savings rate been manipulated based on IRS' estimates.'? [21:15] What is it that the Fed, or the powers that be, don't want us to know? [21:29] Is deflation good or bad? [24:00] Who 'owns' the Fed? [29:30] In a truly free market, one is always trying to create a product that has more value than the money in your pocket. [30:30] Where do you think these interest rates are going? [33:00] George discusses using the Fisher equation to determine interest rates in the future. [38:00] Is inflation necessary? [44:30] Be prepared or you're going to be a victim [48:55] What is Rebel Capitalist Pro? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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257: AMERICA, What Went Wrong? The Crisis Deepens, James B. Steele, Pulitzer Prize & George Polk Winner
09/11/2020
257: AMERICA, What Went Wrong? The Crisis Deepens, James B. Steele, Pulitzer Prize & George Polk Winner
He is one of the most famous economic investigative journalists of all time, Jason Hartman interviews James B. Steel. Jason ask James about the decimated middle class, how did we get here, and how can we get out? As well, James touches on health care and the American dream, and how to make the middle class viable again. Book: The newest book, America What Went Wrong, the Crisis Deepens Key Takeaways: [0:45] The middle class has been decimated, without a real dollar raise in four decades. How can this be? [5:00] Discussing how the median income is behind pace. [9:30] The free market has been wonderful for this country but it cannot solve this problem we’re in. [13:00] How could health care be solved? [17:00] Who are the global money men? [18:00] Is there hope for the American dream? [21:15] The solution; what is the foundation that makes the middle class viable again? Websites:
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256: National Right to Work Committee Mark Mix
09/09/2020
256: National Right to Work Committee Mark Mix
There is nothing fair about forcing a person to join a labor union in order to have a job. Jason Hartman interviews Mark Mix, President of the National Right to Work Committee, as they discuss the impact of labor unions in the economy. Key Takeaways: [1:40] In some states, you are forced to join a union if you want a job. [2:00] Mark explains what it means to have a Right to Work in one of the 27 Right To Work states. [5:15] Is there still a need for labor unions in the workplace in the US? [10:00] Employment growth has been higher in the right to work states versus forced-unionism states. [18:15] Simply put, the right to work states give power back to the worker instead of the union official. [21:50] Generally, how much are union dues? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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255: Inflated, How Money & Debt Built the American Dream by R. Christopher Whalen
09/04/2020
255: Inflated, How Money & Debt Built the American Dream by R. Christopher Whalen
Jason interviews Chairman of Whalen Global Advisors LLC, R. Christopher Whalen. Whalen speaks on location changes of people and businesses due to Coronavirus. Not only are business locations changing, but companies have been forced to move away from the “old way” of doing business and finally adapting to innovations in technology and communication. Whalen also gives a glimpse into his recent book and discusses the fed’s strategy to steer clear of deflationary times. Will we see consequences from the creation of money and bailouts? Books: by R. Christopher Whalen Key Takeaways: [2:00] Not only are people leaving big cities, like NYC, because of COVID-19, but large companies are also looking to move so that they can relocate their people. [4:30] Coronavirus has forced businesses to move out of “the old way.” [8:50] A brief history of banking, from Abraham Lincoln to present. [11:20] Before the creation of The Fed, J.P. Morgan was essentially the central bank. [13:00] Whalen breaks down how he differentiates between inflated as he puts it and inflation. [18:15] Will we see any consequences from the creation of money and bailouts? [19:00] Quantitative Easing: central banks buy government bonds or other financial assets to inject money into the economy to expand its activity. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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254: CARES Act, HEROS Act Stimulus with Julio Gonzalez
09/02/2020
254: CARES Act, HEROS Act Stimulus with Julio Gonzalez
Jason Hartman talks with Julio Gonzalez, founder of Engineered Tax Services, a licensed engineering firm that focuses on tax benefits at federal, state, and local levels. Julio’s expertise on tax credits gives us a different perspective on where the economy is headed. Today, Jason and Julio discuss property reuse for affordable housing and redistribution centers. Julio shares knowledge about tax credits from selling air rights to 5G infrastructure. Key Takeaways: Julio Gonzalez [3:00] Is there a chance to see property reuse like hotels shifting to affordable housing? [4:00] Many REITs are trying to redesign shopping centers into redistribution centers. [9:00] It’s hard to make predictions about where the economy will be without any history of vaccinating 7 billion people. [11:15] There are twenty tax credits associated with investing and real estate at the federal level. [13:00] The government is incentivizing 5G infrastructure as a tax credit. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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253: Leslie Appleton-Young, Chief Economist of the California Association of Realtors CAR
08/28/2020
253: Leslie Appleton-Young, Chief Economist of the California Association of Realtors CAR
Jason Hartman speaks with Leslie Appleton-Young, vice-president and chief economist for the California Association of Realtors. Leslie brings several charts and graphs to the conversation to share some staggering movement in California's real estate. In January, 2020 was shaping up to be a knock out year, but due to the Coronavirus pandemic, we are now looking at best for a quick recovery. Leslie and Jason draw correlations between the 2008 recession and recovery to the recent, seemingly, self-imposed recession. As well, Leslie shares data to support buyer/seller trends as emotions shift from the COVID-19 impact. The question continues to go unanswered, how will malls, retail space, and hotels change post coronavirus? Key Takeaways: [7:30] Jason and Leslie discuss predictions based on the Q2 hit in 2020, ranging from a 25% - 42% decline. [9:00] The buy-side of real estate is doing well, likely because of record low interest rates, more space needed for home offices, and more space desired in quarantine times. [15:30] In January, the 2020 expectation was to be a great year based on some standard metrics. [16:20] We have not had a breakout market since the 2008 recession due to income and affordability restraints. [19:00] The virus and the government's response are two major contributing factors to set the tone for sellers and the recovery of the real estate market. [20:15] What is the general tone of California, are people staying or going? [24:45] We've seen a considerable adaptation of technology in the real estate industry. [30:00] Buyers feel a sense of urgency without expecting deals, while sellers are reluctant to lower their prices. [35:30] Jason and Leslie discuss the lack of supply and the building restrictions as one of the leading causes for a reduced amount of new homes being built. [38:00] How could malls, retail space, and hotels change into residential units for affordable housing, senior centers, or homeless shelters? [40:30] What shape will the recovery take on? V, square root, swoosh, or W? [43:00] The work-from-home order will likely be huge for housing. Websites:
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252: 1,000 Years of Global Financial Data with Bryan Taylor
08/27/2020
252: 1,000 Years of Global Financial Data with Bryan Taylor
Dr. Bryan Taylor joins Jason Hartman as they rewind the clock 1,000 years to look at the history of interest rates and housing costs. The bubonic plague and the Spanish Flu have both had an impact on economics. How does this relate to Coronavirus? Living in urban areas has historically been out of necessity. Currently, technological advances have taken away the demand for living in highly populated areas. Taylor and Hartman discuss the change in housing costs as influenced by the bubonic plague 800 years ago, but how reliable is this information? Key Takeaways: [2:00] Are interest rates the lowest they’ve ever been in history? [3:20] Government debt explained based on the influences surrounding World War II [4:20] Did Paul Volcker make the right moves? [5:30] Are interest rates too low? What’s the fallout? [8:30] Prices are being controlled mainly by a lack of demand. [12:00] Flashback 102 years to the Spanish Flu, what happened economically? [16:00] Are we to face a repeat of the roaring ’20s? [20:00] Technology has solved the necessity of living in urban areas. [21:15] During the bubonic plague, 1/3 third of the population was wiped out, while the houses remained, causing the most significant housing price drop in history. [25:25] How reliable is 800-year-old data? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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251: Mortgage Interest Rates 1.99, How Much More Can I Borrow?
08/21/2020
251: Mortgage Interest Rates 1.99, How Much More Can I Borrow?
How much more can I borrow with interest rates this low? Jason Hartman shares some great news about mortgage rates and takes you through some strategy to take advantage of them. This investment discourse is built on United Wholesale Mortgage (UWM) announcing today that they are rolling our a loan program that offers mortgage rates as low as 1.99%. Key Takeaways: [1:10] Mortgage interest rates: UWM announced today that it’s rolling out a loan program that offers mortgage rates as low as 1.99% [8:00] What if you could only get a 10-year mortgage? [15:30] Mortgage hypotheticals: How much can I borrow today? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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250: The Devil Inside the Beltway, Shocking US Government's Surveillance, Twitter Removes Trump's George Floyd Michael Daugherty, The Justice Society
08/14/2020
250: The Devil Inside the Beltway, Shocking US Government's Surveillance, Twitter Removes Trump's George Floyd Michael Daugherty, The Justice Society
Michael Daugherty joins Jason Hartman to reveal the corruption behind the system. It's a cycle of corruption for keeping safe amid the storm known as D.C. Michael shares his experience beating extortion only to be left hanging for the government. As well, Daugherty shares what he means "the trap that congress laid." Key Takeaways: [1:15] The government has unlimited resources, prosecutors, and budgets, and none of 'us' have that. [3:00] The dangers of academics like Woodrow Wilson. [5:00] Michael Daugherty's story, from extortion to government. [9:30] Your enemy today will be your friend tomorrow, the cycle of corruption in DC [13:30] Section 5 of the FTC Act: The trap that congress laid. [16:15] What's Twitter's rational from removing Trump's video tribute to George Floyd? [18:00] You can burn a house down in 3 seconds, you can't build it back as fast. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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249: Brian Adams - Inflation, Commercial Real Estate, Demographics
08/08/2020
249: Brian Adams - Inflation, Commercial Real Estate, Demographics
Founder of Excelsior Capital, Brian Adams joins Jason Hartman today to discuss everything from millennials moving to the suburbs to the office market and how it’s changing post-pandemic. Public transportation is likely to continue its trend downward as the car will regain popularity in need for social distancing and health. Key Takeaways: [2:30] Millennials, it’s not all Brooklynn bars and avocado toast, now they are trending towards suburban areas. [7:00] Speaking on the logistical challenges of a vaccine for COVID-19 [9:15] What do you see for the office property market? [11:30] Suburban offices have a better chance of surviving the pandemic than high-density urban areas. [14:15] Companies moving more towards mothership and hub and spoke models. [15:15] Are any new deals going on in the office market? [16:00] How far through this pandemic do you think we are? [17:20] The fed and congress have been flooding the capital market system with liquidity. [21:45] Will the development of tech push non-techies into a need for UBI? [22:25] Discussing office reuse. [25:45] Inflation will more than likely hit back. [27:00] While the supply chain might be lacking, the price of construction seems to be substantially lower. Websites: LinkedIn: Brian C. Adams 1-800-HARTMAN
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248: China’s Global Trust Post-Pandemic, Brendan Ahern
07/31/2020
248: China’s Global Trust Post-Pandemic, Brendan Ahern
What are the relations with China looking like for the US and for the rest of the globe? Brendan Ahern of the blog updates Jason Hartman on what he sees with China’s economy. Brendan touches on China’s ability to re-establish trust moving forward and how they might change from being such a largely export dependent country. Key Takeaways: [1:30] Where is China now, in regards to reopening? [3:15] How will China re-establish trust moving forward? [6:15] How have the trade negotiations changed before and after COVID-19? [9:45] “Even investing has become politicized” [13:45] China realized that being very export dependent made them susceptible to downturns. [20:30] Tourism has stopped, and not just in Hong Kong. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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247: Inflation Sectors & Rent Collection
07/24/2020
247: Inflation Sectors & Rent Collection
Nobody wants to live in high-density areas anymore. It’s gone beyond the fear of coronavirus. Investment counselor, Doug, talks with Jason about Inflation, Inflation, Inflation. As well, Doug and Jason discuss the middle-class fiction. What is happening to our middle-class, and how can we learn to create wealth? Finally, rent is due, and residential tenants are paying, but are commercial real estate landlords having the same good fortune through pandemic times? Everyone is working from home, and most people are enjoying it. Key Takeaways: [2:30] Nobody wants to live in high-density areas anymore. It’s more than just coronavirus urging persons to move to suburban areas. [5:00] We are watching the ultimate collapse of the “middle-class fiction.” [9:30] The whole middle class is being hollowed out. [12:45] Rent stability seems to be almost on par with previous years. [16:00] Commercial tenants are having a much bigger problem paying rent when compared to residential tenants. [20:00] Inflation, Inflation, Inflation. [26:45] If you give the government unlimited authority to deal with the climate, it won’t fix the climate. Instead, you’ll have an authoritarian government with an equal or worse climate. [31:30] People can work remotely, and they like it! Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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246: Capitalism's Crisis Deepens, Global Economic Meltdown by Dr. Richard D. Wolff
07/22/2020
246: Capitalism's Crisis Deepens, Global Economic Meltdown by Dr. Richard D. Wolff
Dr. Richard D. Wolff, professor of economics and author of , joins Jason Hartman today, discussing the global economic meltdown. Wolff shares his interpretation of marxism and why he believes that is has been poorly applied. As well, Hartman and Wolff discuss capitalism in America, the perception and the reality. Wolff and Hartman discuss the disproportionate pay between CEO and workers. The CEO to worker compensation ratio has changed dramatically. Wolff states that a cooperative/directorship might work using the example of The Mondragon Corporation. Key Takeaways: [2:15] Was Karl Marx's ideas applied wrong? [8:45] "A liberal and a marxist are not the same things." [10:30] What is a Marxist? [12:45] Capitalism didn't make the break from fatalism and slavery that it thought it did. [16:45] Did any country have genuine pure marxism? [20:30] "There's a reason that a very small number of people are capitalists (entrepreneur) and a very large number of people are workers" - Wolff [20:45] How do we solve the issue of disproportionate pay between boss/worker, redistribution? [24:00] How would a company run with a representative republic, cooperative, or directorship? [25:10] Successful Co-op, The Mondragon Corporation. [31:45] What is the Yellow Vests Movement? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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245: Commercial Real Estate & Covid-19 with Josh Simon, Simon CRE
07/17/2020
245: Commercial Real Estate & Covid-19 with Josh Simon, Simon CRE
Jason Hartman talks with Josh Simon, distinguishing different types of commercial real estate, and how they were affected by Coronavirus. Most of the media was publishing that commercial real estate is suffering, but it's important to distinguish what kind. Commercial spaces have shifted from experiential to essential, but most successful companies are making adjustments along the way. New York and California, and similar high-density areas are having trouble enforcing social distancing. How will this affect possible migrations away from densely populated areas and the commercial property surrounding? As these changes are made, and commercial spaces are being reused, what kind of zoning problems might come up? Key Takeaways: [3:45] While the news has published what they call disaster in retail spaces, Josh Simon clarifies exactly which retail areas are struggling the most. [5:15] Commercial space has mainly moved from experiential to essential. [11:25] The grocery store will likely get smaller over time, with the center store's needs shrinking. [13:45] Discussing the trend of businesses adapting to the drive-thru, curbside and to-go services. [17:30] Discussing Commercial real estate stats for rent collection. [23:45] How will New York and California, or any other high-density area, enforce social distancing? [28:35] How will specialized asset classes do through Coronavirus, like self-storage? [30:00] Are we going to see zoning issues turning some of these commercial spaces into alternative uses? Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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244: Gold & Dollar Milkshake Brent Johnson, Santiago Capital
07/15/2020
244: Gold & Dollar Milkshake Brent Johnson, Santiago Capital
What is the “dollar milkshake theory”? Brent Johnson joins Jason Hartman to share his ideas and concepts on macroeconomics. Particularly, what’s the strength of the U.S. dollar, and how does it compare to gold and other currencies? Brent also shares his thoughts on modern monetary theory and the possibility of its presence in the future, and potential problems. Brent Johnson also discusses the broad term currency as it pertains to gold, the U.S. dollar, and many other currencies around the world. Brent shares his views on gold and the role it plays. As well, Brent and Jason discuss what is needed for money to be loaned into existence. Key Takeaways: [2:00] Dollar milkshake theory. [4:00] Discussing MMT Modern Monetary Theory [5:30] Until a new system is designed, there is no place to go, other than the U.S. dollar. [9:10] Does MMT work or is a pipe-dream? [12:35] Let’s talk about gold and the role it plays. [19:00] Because money is loaned into existence, you need monetary velocity or credit expansion to be taking place. [22:00] What about military tensions? [26:45] How delicate is our economy that corporate giants need bailouts as bad as family-owned restaurants? Websites: twitter: @santiagoaufund
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243: Harry Dent Rants, Coronavirus Cover-Up, China Peaked
07/11/2020
243: Harry Dent Rants, Coronavirus Cover-Up, China Peaked
Jason Hartman with guest, Harry Dent, for the rant of the year! “This is a bubble that is waiting to pop,” says Dent as he opens up about the Coronavirus just being a cover for some underlying economic issues. “This is much worse than a debt-bubble; it’s a financial asset bubble.” Harry speaks on his thoughts about gold, cryptocurrency, and inflation. Specifically, asset vs. consumer inflation. What causes inflation? What’s to be expected in the future when it comes to commercial real estate? What will happen to the once sought after McMansions? Key Takeaways: [1:30] This is a bubble that was waiting to pop, and Coronavirus was just the cover. [2:00] All of this money printing does not stop the virus. [6:00] There is no going back to normal after 25% of restaurants, and some areas closed down. [12:45] China has already hit its peak. They’re going to have trouble keeping up with India. [14:30] What is Harry Dent’s opinion on cryptocurrency, bitcoin? [17:45] Gold correlates with one thing, inflation. [19:30] Money printing doesn’t necessarily cause inflation. [20:30] What does cause inflation? [23:15] Asset vs. consumer inflation, that’s the bubble. [25:00] This is way worse than the debt bubble; this is a financial asset bubble. [29:30] Commercial real estate and McMansions will collapse while the 3/2 will go on to thrive. [35:00] The first billionaires were born of the great depression. Websites:
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242: The Dao of Capital, Investing in a Distorted World by Mark Spitznagel
07/04/2020
242: The Dao of Capital, Investing in a Distorted World by Mark Spitznagel
Position or Profit? Position yourself for the rise of suburbia. With several contributing factors for people migrating away from mid-rise and high-rise condos, suburbia looks better and better. Jason Hartman shares real estate investing strategies that have proven effective for decades. However, current events have made these strategies more appealing. Investment Counselor, Doug, shares supporting investment tips based on the book, The Dao of Capital by Mark Spitznagel. Books: Key Takeaways: [1:00] Investment Counselor, Doug [1:30] Discussing, The Dao of Capital, Investing in a Distorted World, Mark Spitznagel [3:00] Instead of focusing on profit, focus on your position. [7:00] Discussing strategies like searching for weak companies [11:00] When you have population migrations it puts upward pressure on both price and rents [14:30] The demand for sub 250k homes goes up, as 2.3 million potentially leave mid and high-rise condos. [20:00] Dollar-cost averaging, the Spitznagel way. [22:00] Timing the market, people often forget to calculate the cash that they lose by waiting. [24:00] People buy a house because the payment is affordable, not the price. Websites: 1-800-HARTMAN
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