The Commercial Investing Show

MHPListings Podcast

355: Trump 2.0, Trade Wars, and the Future of the Dollar with Charles Goyette 01/09/2025

354: Immigration and Trump Policies- Securing America's Future with Richard Duncan 12/12/2024

353: Navigating the Housing Market: Rising Interest Rates, Refinancing, Emerging Markets and Institutional Investors with Robert Helms 11/14/2024

352: You Won't Believe How Trump's Policy Affects Your Wallet with Prof. David Collum 10/10/2024

351: Let's Talk Money: Real-World Financial Advice with Megan Gorman, Author of All the Presidents' Money: How the Men Who Governed America Governed Their Money 09/10/2024

350: Unpacking the Culture War, Gender Roles and Social Responsibility in History with Curt Doolittle 08/10/2024

349: The Collapse of the Dollar's Empire and @MilkshakesPod with Brent Johnson 07/20/2024

348: Digital Currencies & Gov't Control: Navigating Privacy in a Cashless World & Building Resilient Financial Strategies with Catherine Austin Fitts 07/06/2024

347: Market Dynamics: Inventory, Interest Rates, and Buyer Behavior with Sean O'Toole of Property Radar 06/29/2024

347: Market Dynamics: Inventory, Interest Rates, and Buyer Behavior with Sean O'Toole of Property Radar Jason and Sean O'Toole of PropertyRadar.com discuss the current state of the real estate market, focusing on inventory trends, the impact of high interest rates, and the value of real estate over price. They also explore the potential for price drops, the influence of technological advancements on prices, and the challenges of rising housing costs. Lastly, they examine the activities of wholesalers in the real estate market and the ongoing issue of foreclosures, with Sean providing insights on his company's data tracking system and the shift in the market due to a scarcity of available properties. They also discuss the impact of housing inventory levels and credit card debt, noting the importance of adjusting these figures for population growth. O'Toole highlights California's housing crisis, where strict building regulations and NIMBYism hinder affordable housing development. He points out that while modern homes are sturdier, the costs have skyrocketed, making new affordable housing virtually "illegal." O'Toole also explains the shift in the real estate market, where wholesalers are increasingly selling properties directly to consumers rather than investors due to inventory shortages, affecting traditional investment strategies. #RealEstate #HousingMarket #InventoryCrisis #HomePrices #AffordableHousing #HousingShortage #BuildingCodes #CaliforniaHousing #ForeclosureCrisis #RealEstateInvestment #HomeConstruction #HousingPolicy #MarketTrends #RealEstateTips #InvestmentProperties Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/31962462

346: Data Reveals Why the Housing Market is Robust | Mike Simonsen @AltosResearch 06/22/2024

345: Navigating the Dollar Hegemony: Understanding Global Finance Today with with Saleha Mohsin 06/15/2024

344: Behind the Numbers: Insights from Institutional Players on Real Estate Trends with Lance Lambert Part 2 06/08/2024

343: Navigating the Tight Resale Market: Lance Lambert's Expert Analysis on Housing Supply Dynamics Part 1 05/15/2024

342: Tax Talk: Understanding Cost Segregation and Other Key Strategies for Real Estate Investors with CPA Amanda Han 05/08/2024

341: Housing Affordability Crisis and the Impact of the NAR Lawsuit on Real Estate with Rick Sharga 04/25/2024

341: Housing Affordability Crisis and the Impact of the NAR Lawsuit on Real Estate with Rick Sharga Jason welcomes real estate analyst Rick Sharga. Rick discusses the housing market and economic trends. Despite concerns of a crash, he suggests a slow period with modest price increases rather than a downturn. He dismisses crash predictions, highlighting historical data showing home prices generally rise during recessions. Sharga addresses factors like consumer spending, job growth, inflation, and Fed policies influencing mortgage rates. He acknowledges the possibility of a mild recession due to Fed actions but emphasizes it may not significantly impact real estate if inventory remains low and distressed sellers are scarce. Rick also dives into the NAR lawsuit and the current state of the housing market, highlighting mortgage rates near 20-year highs affecting purchase loan applications and pending home sales due to decreased affordability. He anticipates gradual mortgage rate declines attracting more buyers than sellers, likely resulting in increased competition and rising prices. Existing home sales show a 6.5% year-over-year price increase, while new home prices have decreased by 15% from peak levels. Investor purchases remain robust, primarily driven by individual investors rather than institutions. Flipping activity has declined due to pricing challenges, but gross profits are improving, indicating a potential resurgence. #RickSharga #RealEstateTrends #HousingMarket #HomeSales #MortgageRates #NARLawsuit #AffordabilityCrisis #MarketAnalysis #FoxBusinessInsights https://cjpatrick.com/ Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/31757729

340: Speed of Trust- Transforming Transactions into Relationships with Stephen M.R. Covey 04/15/2024

339: Unlocking Opportunity: Investing in the Changing Landscape of Commercial Real Estate with Paul Moore 03/15/2024

338: Socrates AI Model- Unveiling the May 7th Turning Point: Recession, Civil Unrest & International War Ahead? | Martin Armstrong 02/29/2024

337: Retail Renaissance- Return of the Commercial Real Estate Market 02/15/2024

336: Predicting the Next Economic Recession & Revolutionizing Banking with Decentralized Finance | Campbell Harvey 01/30/2024

336: Predicting the Next Economic Recession & Revolutionizing Banking with Decentralized Finance | Campbell Harvey Jason discusses the topic of decentralized finance (defi) and its potential advantages in the cryptocurrency world. He also touches on the issue of the US housing shortage and how it presents opportunities for real estate investors. Additionally, Jason highlights the benefits of joining the “Fire Your Managers” program and announced an upcoming Empowered Investor pro meeting that will host a guest who will present a special “tenant insurance” product. Finally, he invites everyone to join their community to grow their real estate portfolio. Jason then interviews Professor Campbell R. Harvey from Duke University’s Fuqua School of Business and the author of DeFi and the Future of Finance as they talk about the yield curve and Decentralized Finance. Harvey discusses the phenomenon of an inverted yield curve, which has predicted every recession for the last several decades. Harvey expressed his concern about the current inverted yield curve, which has been in place for 12 months, traditionally leading to a recession. Jason and Campbell also discuss the significance of an inverted yield curve and the potential of decentralized finance (defi) in the financial world. They identified problems with the current financial system and the possibility of solutions through DeFi, such as the need for an alternative to the SWIFT system for wire transfers and the ability to store and use value in transactions. With the advent of WEB 3.0 and the decentralization of monetary assets, DeFi is truly set to revolutionize the world in all economic aspects especially finance. Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/28918558

335: Declining Home Sales- What It Means for Investors and Renters with Selma Hepp 01/22/2024

334: Global Economy, Demographic Trends and the Resilience of the US Rental Housing Market 01/15/2024

334: Global Economy, Demographic Trends and the Resilience of the US Rental Housing Market Jason discusses the state of the economy, focusing on the role of the Federal Reserve and potential supply chain issues. He also shared his opinion on the strength of the US dollar and Argentina’s decision to adopt it. Towards the end, Jason addressed the issue of inflation and its steady fall since June of the previous year. He also discussed changes in active inventory across various local real estate markets, comparing it to 2019, and highlighted the importance of inventory in the real estate market. Then Jason and Brian Beaulieu, Chief Economist at ITR Economics, talks about the state of the global economy, particularly in China and Europe and the potential for deflation in the real estate market in the early 2030s, the expected trajectory of inflation and the Federal Reserve’s response to it, and the state of the US housing market. They also highlight the resilience of the real estate market, even in a high-interest-rate environment, and the importance of being unleveraged in the United States and in demographically superior states. #EconomicOutlook #RealEstateInvesting #GlobalEconomicTrends #ChinaEconomicGrowth #DemographicChallenges #Inflation #InterestRates #HousingMarket #Affordability #CulturalShifts Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 1:29 Defeating inflation, US Dollar hegemony and Argentina 4:30 FED- ready for the next crisis 7:08 Local inventory numbers 10:44 Shadow demand vs. shadow supply Brian Beaulieu interview 12:21 Income property- getting the middle class wealthy 14:12 Macro view on a global scale 15:38 Chart: China is weakening and will continue to weaken 16:25 Chart: Historic opportunity- India is the most populous country 18:27 Making the case for deflation in the 2030’s 22:21 Chart: This is only round one of inflation going forward 25:36 Capitulation- buyers will eventually accept less 29:46 How it all relates to the rental housing market Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/29293743

333: Freddie Mac Economist Reveals Connection with Mortgage Debt & GDP; What Every Homeowner Must Know! 01/08/2024

333: Freddie Mac Economist Reveals Connection with Mortgage Debt & GDP; What Every Homeowner Must Know! Jason talks about the importance of understanding the relationship between household real estate value, mortgage debt, and GDP. The presented chart indicates increased equity and decreased mortgage debt as a percentage of GDP, highlighting a more stable housing market. He touches on the benefits of leveraging properties and he analyzes a chart on median sold prices based on bedroom count, revealing significant appreciation in lower-priced properties. Jason welcomes Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac, as they discuss the current state of the real estate market. Despite concerns about rising interest rates, Kiefer highlighted the resilience of the U.S. economy, emphasizing the stability of the housing market throughout 2023. While acknowledging a potential slowdown in consumer spending due to higher rates, Kiefer pointed out that the housing market has seen low transaction volumes and reduced refinance activity, impacting affordability. He also discussed the unique situation of homeowners with ultra-low mortgage rates, estimating the value of their locked-in rates at around $55,000 per borrower. Kiefer predicted a gradual thawing of the market as consumers adapt to the new interest rate environment. He also underscored the importance of considering broader economic factors and demographic trends in understanding the housing market’s dynamics. #RealEstate #HousingMarket #EconomicOutlook #Millennials #HousingMarket #RealEstate #EconomicAnalysis Key Takeaways: Jason’s editorial 1:28 Introducing Len Kiefer, Deputy Chief Economist at Freddie Mac 1:46 Chart: Household real estate value and mortgage debt as percent of GDP 4:43 FireYourManager.com 5:41 RocketHomes Chart: Median sold price by bedroom count Len Kiefer interview 8:33 The view from 30,000 feet 11:24 Charts: Spike in mortgage rates made it very expensive for homeowners to move 13:25 Chart: Historically low rates in previous years means there is no Refi incentive given today’s rates 14:47 Chart: Homeowners locked into low mortgage rates are content to remain in their current homes 20:53 Market is starting to thaw 22:34 Chart: Due to savings from fixed mortgages, household spending may be less sensitive to financial conditions 27:30 Chart: Housing demand robust on favorable Age demographics of FTHBs 31:53 Chart: The U.S. faces a massive undersupply of housing 34:40 Chart: Strong demand from FTHBs and low supply led to a surge in entry-level home prices 38:32 Higher housing costs are contributing to more young adults living at home with their parents For more information visit https://www.freddiemac.com/research Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/29293583

332: 2024 Housing Market Forecast: Why Home Prices Are Set to Soar Despite Challenges 12/30/2023

332: 2024 Housing Market Forecast: Why Home Prices Are Set to Soar Despite Challenges Today Jason talks about “shadow demand” in the housing market. He emphasizes the impact of demographics, particularly the 25 to 34 age group, where about 16% are still living at home, representing untapped demand. With 11 million potential homebuyers in this category, Jason explores the dynamics of supply and demand, debunking predictions of a looming shadow supply. He also touches on factors like low inventory, the influence of baby boomers staying in their homes, and potential wildcards like geopolitical risks affecting the housing market’s trajectory. Then Jason and Bridger finish their conversation as they delve into the housing market, the economy, and financial trends, noting that millennials and Gen Z are gradually entering it, causing a housing inventory shortage. Despite rising interest rates, the market still faces low inventory levels. The conversation shifts to the potential impact on banks due to an inverted yield curve, bond values, and the housing market’s reliance on new construction. They also explore the possibility of a banking crisis and discuss the Fed’s role in managing interest rates. Jason concludes with insights on the strength of the U.S. dollar, the perceived threat of BRICS nations, and the inevitability of central bank digital currencies, raising concerns about financial freedom. #peterschiff #RobertKiyosaki #ShadowDemand #SupplyAndDemand #RealEstate #HousingMarket #Economy #InterestRates #Banking #USDollar #BRICS #CBDC Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/28994753

331: Unveiling the Macro Trends Shaping the Housing Market 12/15/2023

330: Debunking the Fear Porn- Economic Cycles and Housing Stability 11/27/2023

330: Debunking the Fear Porn- Economic Cycles and Housing Stability Michael Zuber talks to Jason about the housing market and the potential for a housing crash. Jason provides insights into why a housing crash hasn’t occurred so far, emphasizing the need for millions of distressed sellers as a key ingredient for a crash. He also mentions that people who predict crashes often lack a comprehensive understanding of economic cycles and are influenced by past traumatic events like the 2007-2008 housing crash. Additionally, the conversation touches on unemployment and its potential impact on the housing market, with Jason arguing that banks are more likely to work with homeowners than rush to foreclose, especially if they have substantial equity in their properties. The discussion also briefly mentions the role of technology companies in the economy and the concept of leveraging in real estate. Overall, the conversation focuses on the factors affecting the housing market’s stability and the likelihood of a housing crash, with a critical view of those who sensationalize such predictions for personal gain. #HousingTrends #Economy #HousingMarket #EconomicCycles Key Takeaways: 1:29 Packaged Commodities Investments are doing very well 3:00 Why the housing market hasn’t crashed just yet 5:56 The ONE ingredient one MUST have for a housing crash and profiles of a Crash bro 8:21 Don’t be lazy; study more than one recession 10:16 Very low inventory plus unemployment and it’s insurance 15:45 Median monthly mortgage payment & number of mortgages by interest rate and foreclosure timelines 19:39 Altos Research inventory numbers 23:38 Drop in activity- not north of 6M homes for a decade 25:58 The FED looks like it’s forcing a recession 32:43 A crystal ball on rate cuts and book recommendation 35:49 Jobs growth and some thoughts on the future of the economy Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/28890593

329: Inflation-Induced Debt Destruction: How Real Estate Trumps Traditional Investments 10/28/2023

329: Inflation-Induced Debt Destruction: How Real Estate Trumps Traditional Investments Jason joins Robert Helms and Russell Gray of The Real Estate Guys as they discuss the investment opportunities in single family housing in the real estate market, highlighting its flexibility, universality, and government backing. Jason suggested that investors should follow the US government’s business plan, and emphasized the resilience of the real estate market despite economic challenges. The group also talks about the advantages of negotiating the price and financing of properties, and discussed the importance of understanding the full range of benefits that come with real estate investment. Towards the end, they announced the merger with The Real Estate Guys of a new initiative called “The Collective Inner Circle”, a mastermind group associated with Jason, Ken McElroy, and George Gammon. Jason concludes that investors invest in income property for yield, not appreciation. #RealEstate #Investing #JasonHartman #SingleFamilyHomes #Financing #HousingAffordability #Inflation #Treasury #LeveragedBuyouts #AssetClass #InvestmentStrategy #InterestRates #PositiveCashFlow Key Takeaways: 0:46 A bit of Jason’s background 3:27 Why Single Family Homes 6:55 It’s all in the numbers and a huge blindspot 14:06 Housing affordability 16:18 Treasuries versus income property 20:46 The Real Estate Guys Joining forces with The Collective Inner Circle 22:41 Invest for yield- not appreciation Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/28449671

328: Geopolitical Instability and Real Estate: How the U.S. Stands Out with Joe Brown 09/25/2023

328: Geopolitical Instability and Real Estate: How the U.S. Stands Out with Joe Brown Jason welcomes back to the show Joseph Brown of Heresy financial as they discuss the global conflicts, the emotional detachment of Americans from these events, and the potential dangers of policymakers’ decisions. They highlighted the role of profit in perpetuating war and concluded with a cautionary note about the potential for ongoing conflict if war remains profitable. They also discussed the philosophy of ‘packaged commodities’ investment, arguing that investing in real estate with subsidized financing and tax benefits can be more profitable than investing in commodities directly. They noted the potential for increased capital flow and immigration into the US due to economic devastation and war around the world. Additionally, they advised investing in scarce resources, with a preference for those at the end product stage. Joseph expressed his long-standing optimism on residential real estate and predicted that prices would continue to rise. Jason emphasized the need to consider the housing market in a global context, noting that American real estate remains relatively affordable compared to many other countries. They concluded that the key factor in the housing market is the balance between the number of people needing housing and the number of available places to live. #RealEstateInvestment #GlobalInstability #RealEstateMarket #Inflation #CapitalFlight #USRealEstate #WealthPreservation” Key Takeaways: 0:47 Extreme profits in a world in chaos 5:11 Pushing the prices of resources higher 8:34 Packaged commodities investing and wealth creation and destruction 12:00 Action steps and the great American real estate market 16:39 Bullish on residential real estate with data to prove it 21:55 Chart on mortgage currently on property 24:16 Chart: Housing production, units available vs. population 26:28 The 6 year millennial lag and shadow demand 29:31 Stepping into the housing market vs staying out of it 33:46 The Reverse Repo Facility 38:35 The inverted yield curve and the housing market 41:20 The jobs market and the gig economy Follow Jason on TWITTER, INSTAGRAM & LINKEDIN Call our Investment Counselors at: 1-800-HARTMAN (US) or visit: Free Class: Easily get up to $250,000 in funding for real estate, business or anything else: CYA Protect Your Assets, Save Taxes & Estate Planning: Get wholesale real estate deals for investment or build a great business – Free Course: Special Offer from Ron LeGrand: Free Mini-Book on Pandemic Investing: /episode/index/show/commercialinvestingcenter/id/28419983

The Commercial Investing Show

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