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BIGGEST RISK with Tenni Tolofari

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Release Date: 06/30/2020

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For my company, even though we have good managing directors, I think the BIGGEST RISK is myself, you know, I'm driving forward a ton of the new content. You know, when I when I hang up here, we're doing a 1000 person webinar. And I've got someone on my team that could do a webinar on many different topics, but not the same topics I could, you know, fluidly and so it's kind of like a key man risk.

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I think when people are just so blind to well, for example, in Miami Beach right now. There are a lot of people with very beautiful houses on a flood plain or a rising ocean. And one of the things that they're doing in Miami is raising the roadways and creating culverts to drain off the water. What seemed like a good idea at the time to build a house next to the ocean is, in retrospect, not a very good idea. So sometimes we bring this on ourselves.

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the BIGGEST RISK is to me it's always on the buy. So you have to always buy right you have to always run your numbers. You To run a sensitivity analysis, you have to understand, you know, if downside base case and upside, and if the downside scenario still makes sense, then it's a good deal. So the BIGGEST RISK is people not buying right? You know, we always not running these analysis because markets change, and right now they're changing every day.

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'd say the BIGGEST RISK is the unforeseen risks without a doubt, which obviously is manifest in the COVID-19 Black Swan event or the S&P debt downgrade of the US government in 2011. The unforeseen risks is always always the worst risk, but it's very, it's very hard to worry about risk, you know, because there's, it's almost a it's really endless.

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Not having enough liquidity.  You could have the greatest asset in the world, if you don't have enough liquidity, none of it, you can survive. A lot of times when you're in trouble. All you need to do is run down the clock and survive. And liquidity offers you that, that comfort, or another word, a lot of times, you know, we are humans, when we're put under undue stress, we tend to do things that we would not do when we weren't under stress.

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Darrin:

I'd like to ask you Tenny Tolofari, what is the BIGGEST RISK?

 

Tenny:

Well, one of the BIGGEST RISK's for individual investor houses is one is not getting in the game is seen on the on the on the sidelines, right? Because if at the end of the day you you're thinking about getting ahead, and you are dependent on just one asset class to get ahead. You're going to be disappointed from what we're seeing right now. Right. The risk is depending on one particular asset class, like the stock market, to be huge wealth or for retirement purposes or for generational wealth, or for your family in general, because your family is dependent on You or you and your spouse are dependent on each other for the future. Right. So I think that's one big risk. Another risk is speculation, right? Where people think that the market is going to perform at a particular rate. And people don't not educating themselves about how if x Class A class work, you know, so I think that is one big risk I would think not gets in the game is one big risk outcome people are not taking.