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BIGGEST RISK with Bill Danko

Commercial Real Estate Pro Network

Release Date: 07/28/2020

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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, Rob Finlay, what is the BIGGEST RISK?   Rob Finlay: So not sure if there's one specific one and just so you know, hopefully, I I can give you one right now, that is top of mind for me, right? Because insurances. Property Insurance is property insurance that has been spoken about and and fortunately, we have people like you that help us, real estate owners get through that through that mess. The one thing that that property insurance people aren't going to help us with is what I see as this great risk is compliance and corporate risk. There is this...

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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Neal Bawa, what is the BIGGST RISK?   Neal Bawa So I'll give you two risks that affect insurance prices, and all other forms of prices in the United States. So one is a bigger, sort of more, you know, overarching risk. The second one is, is well known to us this. So the first one is climate change, we are continuing to see devastating impacts of climate change in many markets. It is a political, you know, issue where, you know, half of America doesn't want to acknowledge what is happening in markets like Florida and Texas and many other markets, like...

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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, DJ McClure. What is the BIGGEST RISK?   DJ McClure: I think right now, one of the BIGGEST RISK that I see among many is the number of properties that are, you know, approaching a debt restructure, you know, there's a lot of short term bridge that for a lot of properties that's coming due. And so one or two things are going to happen, obviously, they're going to be able to, if they're able to put together the funds to structure a refinance, you know, it's likely going to be into a different loan structure or excuse me a loan program, predominantly, your...

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J Darrin Gross:  I'd like to ask you, Joey Klein, what is the biggest risk?    Joe Kline: Sure. I don't have an insurance related answer. So that's, that's good. I have to say, I do think that your industry is a very fascinating one. And I think if we had more time, I'd love to throw some of these back at you. Because insurance is a very rapidly changing industry over the past couple of years as well. I look, I think that any Anyone, anyone who makes their money solely via Commission has to constantly be thinking about risk. And if you're not, you probably won't be doing it for...

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J Darrin Gross  0:00   And I'd like to ask you, Jeremy Friedman, what is the BIGGEST RISK?    Jeremy Friedman  0:05   But as we discussed before the call, that's actually the one largest risk item that we that does keep us up at night and that we're working diligently on at the moment is our insurance. And I think it's so this is not to be clear to your listeners, you did not prompt me for that at all this is this is our biggest risk at the moment, as we see it. We being located on the coast, the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and we have several coastal...

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Darrin:

I'd like to ask you, Bill Danko. What is the BIGGEST RISK?

 

Bill Danko  

Yeah, I think when people are just so blind to well, for example, in Miami Beach right now. There are a lot of people with very beautiful houses on a flood plain or a rising ocean. And one of the things that they're doing in Miami is raising the roadways and creating culverts to drain off the water. What seemed like a good idea at the time to build a house next to the ocean is, in retrospect, not a very good idea. So sometimes we bring this on ourselves. And, you know, I remember reading a book from the 1950s, how to build your dream house for $3,500. And it was kind of a classic and chapter one talks about first select the building site on a hill as opposed to on a floodplain. Okay. People walk into these problems, I think in a, in a naive way, saying, oh, there's land available on the build. Okay, so that's one thing being just not being prudent, okay. But also in minimizing risks. If you do have some pretty good assets, you know, one thing that I have seen with some high net worth individuals and one thing that I use myself is that for example, my timber, my rental property and a lakeside property, I have not my primary house, they're all individual limited liability companies freestanding, then all three of them are held in a limited partnership. So my physical assets are divorced from my my might, my liquid assets and so having some good legal structure is certainly very good in terms of minimizing the risk as well as having your umbrella policy from your insurance company, but having the ability to separate your assets through like the LLC s and then that limited partnership. That is something that is Well, one thing I use And I endorse. And it works for me. My accountant likes it because he gets to do all these extra tax forms every year. Right? I don't. But but but it's okay. It gives me peace of mind. And then in terms of, there's a societal risk. You know, we talked about a lot of lessons here you know about frugality and the 20% and living below your means and all that stuff. And that's all important. Those are good, solid lessons. But at the end of Franklin's essay on the way to wealth, he really summarizes it so well. The people heard the message, agreed with it, and then practice the contrary. The problem is change is hard. People are going to walk into traps. They don't understand the risk they're getting into. What we have to do is be better students. And let's take on some personal responsibility and don't expect the government to bail us out. But build, don't build in a floodplain. You know, don't drive recklessly. You know, a lot of things depend on how our society behaves. And that's going to be the thing that minimizes risk. So I think risk is all the stuff that we take on ourselves. Because we just don't do the homework.