Gold Still Leads Commodities in Risk-Reward, Says Adrian Day
Release Date: 03/11/2026
In it to Win it
In this weekβs Monday Market Moves, I break down what just happened across the markets and what I expect next as I walk you through equities commodities and crypto. π© π© - Discount Code βGOLDENEGGβ π© π© π Recorded on 4-4-2026. I highlight how the S&P 500 bounced 3.4% and is now pushing into major resistance near the 20 day and 200 day moving averages. I also point out the sharp 23.1% drop in volatility and explain why despite that move the broader trend in the VIX still favors higher levels. I dive into the U.S. dollar sitting at a critical level near...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
John Polomny, a veteran resource investor and publisher of Actionable Intelligence Alert on Substack, brings over 30 years of experience uncovering overlooked opportunities in commodities and global markets. π π π© π© - Discount Code βGOLDENEGGβ π© π© π Recording Date 3-30-2026. In this episode, he lays out a stark and urgent macro view shaped by geopolitical escalation and energy supply disruptions. He argues that the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea dynamics now dominate global markets, warning that the loss of critical oil flows could destabilize the...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
In this weekβs Monday Market Moves, I break down what I am seeing across the markets after another rough week for equities and a growing list of important setups in commodities. π© π© - Discount Code βGOLDENEGGβ π© π© π Recorded on 3-27-2026. I explain why I believe the S&P 500 is breaking down technically after falling 2.1 percent and why I think we could still see a move toward $6,100 or even $6,000 in the near term. I also cover the 16 percent jump in the VIX, the move in the dollar, and the steady rise in the 10-year yield as signals that fear and...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
David Skarica, a veteran contrarian investor and author known for his macro market insights, returns to break down the current state of global markets amid rising geopolitical tensions and shifting monetary expectations. π π π© π Recording Date 3-24-2026. In this episode, David explains how recent moves in gold, silver, and oil reflect deeper structural changes rather than short-term noise. Drawing from decades of experience studying market cycles and investor psychology, Skarica highlights why he moved heavily into cash and defensive positioning. He also shares how...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
In this weekβs Monday Market Moves, I walked through a broad breakdown of the markets, starting with the S&P 500, which fell 1.9% and confirmed a continued downtrend after failing at the 200-day moving average. π© π© π Recorded on 3-20-2026. I explained why I expect further downside toward the 6,000β6,100 range as volatility remains elevated and yields move higher. I also highlighted weakness in the dollar and how macro factors like global tensions and liquidity pressures are influencing market direction. Overall, my outlook for equities in the near term remains bearish,...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
Doomberg joins the discussion to break down the surprising stability in oil markets amid the Iran conflict and the disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, revealing why prices remain anchored near $95 WTI despite one of the most significant geopolitical shocks in decades. π π© π Recording Date 3-16-2026. In this interview, Doomberg explains how the global oil market is absorbing a potential multi-million barrel per day supply disruption through a combination of excess global capacity, strategic petroleum reserve releases, and rapid production responses from regions such as U.S. shale,...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
In this weekβs Monday Market Moves, I review the biggest developments across global markets and explain the key signals Iβm watching as we head into the next trading week. π© π© π Recorded on 3-13-2026. I begin with the S&P 500, which moved lower during the week and is starting to show signs of technical weakness as volatility rises and the U.S. dollar strengthens. With bond yields climbing and investors becoming more cautious, I discuss why the short-term outlook for equities may remain pressured and where the next potential support zones could emerge if selling...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
Don Durrett of GoldStockData.com joins the discussion to break down the macro forces driving the precious metals market. π π© π Recording Date 3-11-2026. Drawing on decades of research into gold and silver miners, Durrett explains why structural debt growth, global liquidity policy, and limits on Federal Reserve intervention could push investors toward precious metals during the next phase of the economic cycle. Durrett traces the macro story from post-World War II U.S. economic dominance through the abandonment of the gold standard and the rise of globalism, deficits,...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
Adrian Day, founder of Adrian Day Asset Management, joins the discussion to share his outlook on global markets, commodities, and the macro forces shaping resource investing. π π© π Recording Date 3-10-2026. The conversation covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, how markets typically react to conflict, and why commodities such as gold and oil often move ahead of major geopolitical events through a βbuy the rumor, sell the newsβ dynamic. Day also discusses the current positioning of energy markets, explaining why oil stocks had already rallied prior to recent...
info_outlineIn it to Win it
Joe Mazumdar of Exploration Insights joins the discussion to explain how his research process identifies high-quality opportunities in the junior mining sector. π π© π Recording Date 3-9-2026. With a background in exploration geology, mining finance, and corporate development, Mazumdar focuses on combining technical analysis with on-the-ground due diligence to evaluate whether exploration projects and development companies have the potential to succeed. Mazumdar describes how his work involves reviewing companies, meeting management teams, and conducting site visits to...
info_outlineAdrian Day, founder of Adrian Day Asset Management, joins the discussion to share his outlook on global markets, commodities, and the macro forces shaping resource investing.
π Adrian Day
π© Substack
π Technical Analysis Video Series
Recording Date 3-10-2026. The conversation covers geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, how markets typically react to conflict, and why commodities such as gold and oil often move ahead of major geopolitical events through a βbuy the rumor, sell the newsβ dynamic. Day also discusses the current positioning of energy markets, explaining why oil stocks had already rallied prior to recent conflict risks and how supply disruptions, shipping routes, and global liquidity needs can influence commodity prices.
Adrian also explores the outlook for major commodities including gold, silver, copper, uranium, and agricultural markets. Day explains why he believes gold offers the strongest risk-reward profile due to central bank buying and limited retail participation, while copper remains attractive because of long-term supply shortages tied to electrification and infrastructure demand. Additional topics include mining costs driven by energy prices, the impact of commodity currencies such as the Canadian and Australian dollar, farmland and agriculture investments, and the broader outlook for commodity markets heading into 2026.
Key Insights in this episode
β
Geopolitical events often push gold and oil prices higher before the actual conflict occurs.
β
Goldβs recent moves are driven more by the U.S. dollar and liquidity than by war itself.
β
Oil stocks had already risen before tensions because companies were buying back shares and paying strong dividends.
β
Diesel and energy prices are the biggest cost factors for mining companies.
β
Gold remains attractive due to strong central bank demand and limited retail participation.
β
Copper is bullish long term because global supply may not meet future demand.
β
Uranium is still a long-term opportunity but may need pullbacks before new entries.
Tools for Success that I Love and find Helpful / Affiliates:
Rule Classroom Plus (2 Free Months)
Chapters
00:40 Adrian Day is Back on the show!
01:23 Global Markets and Geopolitical Outlook
04:49 Gold Reaction: Buy the Rumor, Sell the News
07:41 Gold Liquidity and Oil Stock Moves
10:35 Oil Stock Strategy and Covered Calls
11:57 Oil ETF (XLE) and Market Positioning
15:23 Outlook for Agricultural Commodities
19:15 Energy Costs and Mining Profitability
23:13 Commodity Currencies and Mining Costs
23:59 B2Gold Company Outlook
26:39 Top Commodity Picks for 2026
30:07 Gold Price Floor Analysis
31:10 Silver Outlook and Demand Drivers
32:04 China Demand and Precious Metals Flows
33:09 Copper Price Floor Outlook
34:00 Uranium Long-Term Investment Case
34:23 Closing Remarks & Where to Follow Adrian Day
DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial advisor. This is not financial advice. I only express my opinion based on my experience, and your experience may be different. These videos are for educational and motivational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Do your own due diligence. Every investment and bet comes with the risk that your capital could go to zero.
WHAT I DO: I spread out my investments. It's not all on one thing. For every bet that I make, I devote one hour of study per month to that investment. I keep the number of bets to what I can feasibly study.
AFFILIATE DISCLOSURE: Some of the links on this channel are affiliate links, meaning, at NO additional cost to you, the show may earn a commission if you click through and make a purchase and/or subscribe. However, this does not impact my opinion. I recommend them because they are helpful and useful, not because I am looking for the small commission. Thank you for using the links.
##Gold #Silver #Copper #Uranium #Oil #NaturalGas #Commodities #MiningStocks #ResourceInvesting #MacroEconomics #GoldMarket #CopperDemand #EnergyMarkets #Inflation #CentralBanks #PreciousMetals #CommodityInvesting #MiningSector #MarketOutlook #Investing #SteveBarton #InItToWinIt