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Exodus Trend 2024

Hotspotting

Release Date: 08/29/2024

Regional NSW on the Rise as Buyer Demand Picks Up Pace show art Regional NSW on the Rise as Buyer Demand Picks Up Pace

Hotspotting

Is Regional NSW Australia’s next property hotspot? 🏡 Our latest Price Predictor Index reveals a quiet surge in buyer demand across key regional centres — with standout growth in places like Wollongong, Wagga Wagga and Port Macquarie. In this episode, we unpack what’s driving this rising momentum, why some areas are outperforming, and what it means for investors, homeowners and first-time buyers. From lifestyle appeal to affordability advantages, discover which regional markets are heating up — and which are falling flat. 🎧 Tune in to find out where the smart money’s...

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Winter 2025 Price Predictor Index: Australia’s Surprising New Hotspots show art Winter 2025 Price Predictor Index: Australia’s Surprising New Hotspots

Hotspotting

Which property markets are heating up—and which are cooling down? In this episode of The Property Playbook, Tim Graham sits down with Australia’s leading independent property analyst, Terry Ryder of Hotspotting, to unpack the insights from the Winter 2025 edition of the Price Predictor Index. Discover which capital cities and regional areas are showing the strongest buyer demand right now, which markets are entering a second growth wave, and why Sydney has fallen to last place. 🧠 Key Takeaways: How sales activity is a leading indicator of future price growth  Why Darwin has surged...

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Australia’s Land Supply Crisis Intensifies Amid Rising Prices show art Australia’s Land Supply Crisis Intensifies Amid Rising Prices

Hotspotting

Australia’s housing crisis is deepening — but why are land prices still soaring even as sales hit a 25-year low? In this episode, we unpack the latest Residential Land Report, exposing the growing mismatch between demand and supply of shovel-ready land. From skyrocketing prices in Perth to policy inertia in Canberra, we explore what’s fuelling the bottleneck, why the government’s 1.2 million homes target may be wishful thinking, and what it all means for affordability, construction, and first-home buyers. Curious about the real roadblocks to housing in Australia? Tune in. ...

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Why Steady Markets Could Be Your Smartest Investment Yet show art Why Steady Markets Could Be Your Smartest Investment Yet

Hotspotting

Everyone wants growth — but what about consistency? In this episode, we explore a different kind of opportunity: Australia’s most consistent property markets, where buyer demand remains steady quarter after quarter. These are the quiet achievers — suburbs and regions that may not always make headlines but have delivered impressive long-term growth. We highlight: ✅ The top 50 most consistent locations across Australia 📍 Why Kingaroy is now a national standout 📊 How Brisbane, Melbourne, and Regional Queensland are showing strong signs of stability 🏡 The LGAs where demand is...

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Hidden Hotspots Fueling Australia’s Housing Market Growth show art Hidden Hotspots Fueling Australia’s Housing Market Growth

Hotspotting

Think Sydney and Melbourne lead the property market? Think again. In this episode, we reveal the surprising frontrunners from the Winter edition of The Price Predictor Index — and it’s the smaller capitals and regional markets stealing the spotlight. 📍 Darwin tops the list as Australia's hottest market 📈 Hobart is making a powerful comeback 🏡 Regional South Australia and Regional Victoria are quietly outperforming 📉 Meanwhile, Sydney is now the weakest market nationwide We dig into why these shifts are happening, what’s driving demand in unexpected places, and where...

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Why Darwin Is Now the Hottest Property Market in Australia show art Why Darwin Is Now the Hottest Property Market in Australia

Hotspotting

What’s really happening in Australia’s property markets? In this episode, we break down the new Winter edition of the Price Predictor Index — and the results are anything but expected. 🏆 Darwin has skyrocketed to become the hottest market in the country, with sales activity going ballistic. 📈 Hobart is making a strong comeback after a quiet spell. 📉 And Sydney? It's the only capital we’ve labelled a Loser this quarter. We reveal the cities and regions where buyer demand is surging — and where it's slipping — plus the Top 50 Supercharged Suburbs that are primed for growth....

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What’s Really Stopping Homeowners from Downsizing or Upgrading? show art What’s Really Stopping Homeowners from Downsizing or Upgrading?

Hotspotting

Why Moving House Costs More Than You Think Thinking of moving home? It’s not just about finding the right property anymore — the real hurdle is the staggering cost of moving. In cities like Sydney and Melbourne, transaction costs for selling, buying, and relocating now average over $100,000. For many, this financial burden is a major reason they stay put, even when their current home no longer suits their needs. The biggest single cost? Stamp duty — a tax often called the silent killer of housing mobility. Why is this outdated tax still strangling the market, and how could reform unlock...

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Behind the Curtain of Affordable Housing Promises show art Behind the Curtain of Affordable Housing Promises

Hotspotting

Affordable Housing: The Great Political Mirage Politicians love to promise “affordable housing” — but where are the numbers? Behind the headlines and media events, affordable homes remain an elusive dream, buried under soaring land prices, construction costs, and government taxes. From Brisbane’s zoning reforms to Sydney’s grand plans, we unpack why these announcements often fall short of reality. Why is genuine affordability missing from the conversation? And what’s really stopping new homes from becoming truly affordable? Tune in as we cut through the spin and reveal the hard...

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Factors Behind Rising Property Prices show art Factors Behind Rising Property Prices

Hotspotting

Is Australia really heading into the “grandaddy of all property booms” just because of a couple of interest rate cuts? If you believe the headlines, that’s exactly what’s happening. But here’s the problem: those headlines are mostly rubbish. In this episode, we cut through the media hype and take a hard look at what’s really driving property prices – and it’s not interest rates. From shallow journalism to economist echo chambers, we expose the flawed logic behind the property boom narrative and explain why it doesn’t stack up against real data or historical precedent. Join us...

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From Wall Street to Toorak: Luxury Real Estate with Nicholas Brooks | Marshall White Stonnington show art From Wall Street to Toorak: Luxury Real Estate with Nicholas Brooks | Marshall White Stonnington

Hotspotting

How does someone go from trading commodities in New York City to selling some of Melbourne’s most luxurious homes? In this episode of The Property Playbook, host Tim Graham sits down with Nicholas Brooks, Director of Marshall White Stonnington, to explore his unique journey into real estate and what it takes to thrive in the top end of Melbourne’s property market. 🔑 What you'll learn in this episode: Nick’s transition from finance in New York to high-end real estate in Melbourne What makes Stonnington one of Melbourne’s most desirable property regions  The current trends in...

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The trend we call the Exodus to Affordable Lifestyle is among the most powerful forces impacting real estate markets across Australia.

It’s a trend that been around for at least the past 10 years, with more and more residents of the biggest cities relocating to smaller cities or regional areas in search of a different and more affordable lifestyle, empowered by technology which allows many people to work remotely.

It was NOT created by the Covid lockdowns. It was under way long before Covid appeared in 2020 and it continues to have considerable momentum now that we are well beyond the pandemic restrictions.

But media continues to perpetuate the fiction that this was a Covid thing – and to express surprise that, now that we no longer have lockdowns and border restrictions, people are not all moving back to the big cities.

The latest quarterly edition of the Regional Movers Index confirms that this trend is as strong as ever – and it has generated more shock/horror/amazement from journalists who think it was all about the Covid lockdowns.

One article in major media expressed surprise that “Australia is not going back to the pre-pandemic way of life”.

And there’s a very good reason for that: this trend has very little to do with the pandemic.

The Regional Movers Index – which is a collaboration between the Regional Australia Institute (RAI) and the Commonwealth Bank - has once again reported that there are far more people relocating to regional areas than making a move in the opposite direction to major cities, with a 27 per cent difference in the June 2024 Quarter.

What the latest figures confirm, according to RAI chief executive Liz Ritchie, is that “the population movement we’re seeing is a sustained trend”.

Ritchie says: “Regional Australia has become the nation’s new frontier.”

The latest data highlighted a number of specific hotspots that are reaping the benefits of Australia’s romance with the regions.

Lake Macquarie, which sits beside Newcastle in NSW, has emerged as one of Australia’s most popular destinations for movers, securing an almost 5 per cent share of net internal migration over the past year.

Neighbouring local government areas on the NSW south coast such as the Bega Valley and Eurobodalla both experienced strong annual and quarterly surges in movement, according to the report.

Large centres within a few hours’ drive of capitals remain popular with many movers, however the regions that experienced the biggest population changes over the past 12 months were generally further afield, including Townsville (Qld), Mid-West Regional (NSW), Strathbogie (Vic), Murray Bridge (SA), Greater Geraldton (WA) and George Town (Tas).

Approximately three-quarters of the city dwellers who made the move to the regions in the past three months found new homes in either regional NSW or Victoria, confirming that Sydney continues to shed the highest number of residents, followed by Melbourne.

But that’s not to say that Queensland’s appeal has waned entirely, with regional Queensland’s share of net city outflows sitting at 19 per cent, even though it was as high as 41 per cent this time last year.

Indeed, the Sunshine Coast has retained its title as the nation’s most popular destination for relocators, accounting for a 14 per cent share of net internal migration. The Gold Coast has slipped down in the rankings, however, with the city experiencing a net outflow of people to other regional areas.

Western Australia also proved attractive for relocators, with Albany, Bunbury, Busselton, Capel and Northam all seeing an inflow of new residents.

The overall picture is that the trend of people moving from Sydney and Melbourne to regional areas continues strongly, with large numbers of big city dwellers still seeking a different and more affordable lifestyle.