Hotspotting

Prepare to embark on an exciting journey into the realm of hot property markets with Terry Ryder and Tim Graham! Terry & Tim from Hotspotting, are dedicated to providing the most accurate and unbiased research to help investors make informed decisions on where to buy. The Hotspotting Podcast brings you the latest data, trends, and market statistics, along with in-depth discussions on growth areas and the larger factors impacting Australia's property landscape. Terry & Tim regularly feature special guests from around Australia to share their industry insights and expertise to help investors cut through the noise. Whether you're a seasoned investor or a first-time buyer, this show is a must-listen for anyone looking to build their knowledge and make smarter investment choices. Terry Ryder, with over 35 years of experience as a specialist researcher and writer in residential property, offers expert insights that are completely independent and free from outside influences. Tim Graham has been a buyers agent and mortgage broker for over 13 years along with working in real estate all over the world. Join us on the Hotspotting Podcast and discover the hottest opportunities in the Australian property market today!

Regional NSW on the Rise as Buyer Demand Picks Up Pace 06/27/2025

Winter 2025 Price Predictor Index: Australia’s Surprising New Hotspots 06/25/2025

Australia’s Land Supply Crisis Intensifies Amid Rising Prices 06/25/2025

Why Steady Markets Could Be Your Smartest Investment Yet 06/23/2025

Hidden Hotspots Fueling Australia’s Housing Market Growth 06/19/2025

Why Darwin Is Now the Hottest Property Market in Australia 06/19/2025

What’s Really Stopping Homeowners from Downsizing or Upgrading? 06/11/2025

Behind the Curtain of Affordable Housing Promises 06/09/2025

Factors Behind Rising Property Prices 06/06/2025

From Wall Street to Toorak: Luxury Real Estate with Nicholas Brooks | Marshall White Stonnington 06/03/2025

Australia’s Fastest Growing Cities and What It Means for Property 05/30/2025

The High Yield Towns We DON’T Recommend - 20 No-Go Zones With The Allure of High Rental Returns 05/28/2025

The Hidden Costs Driving Up Australian House Prices 05/27/2025

The Election Is Over but Housing Policy Is Still a Mess 05/22/2025

🏅 Brisbane 2032 Olympics – What It Means for Property Investors - Webinar Replay 05/22/2025

What the Real Data Says About the State of the Perth Market 05/21/2025

Where to Find the Best Cashflow Deals According to Our Top 10 Report 05/18/2025

Debunking the Link Between First-Home Buyer Support and Price Surges 05/13/2025

Perth Slows Down but WA Still Holds Promise 05/12/2025

Blaming NIMBYs Won’t Fix Broken Housing Policy 05/09/2025

The Housing Crisis Scapegoat No One Should Believe 05/02/2025

The Surprising City Outperforming Australia’s Major Markets 04/30/2025

Beyond the Hype: Terry Ryder’s National Top 10 Best Buys | The Property Playbook 04/28/2025

Political Smoke & Mirrors: The Truth Behind the Housing Crisis Debate 04/25/2025

Election Promises vs. Housing Reality | Tim Graham on TickerNews 04/24/2025

Landlords Aren’t Winning — They’re Bleeding Cash 04/24/2025

Changing of the Guard: Perth’s Peak and the New Property Leaders 04/15/2025

Changing of the Guard: Perth’s Peak and the New Property Leaders Perth's Property Market at its Peak: Tim Graham discusses the shift in Perth's property market as it reaches its peak. He shares insights from Hotspotting's Price Predictor Index, explaining how rising sales activity often leads to price growth, and how Perth's market is now experiencing a slowdown due to decreasing sales. Why Perth Was Doing Well: The strength of Perth's recent growth can be attributed to a proactive state government, affordability, and a resurgence after many years of stagnant prices. Tim highlights how the state's openness to investors has played a key role in this boom. The Emergence of New Market Leaders: With Perth cooling down, other markets are emerging as leaders. Tim explains that Melbourne, despite economic challenges, is showing positive rankings in many suburbs. With a correction in its market and its relative affordability compared to Sydney, Melbourne is attracting new investment. The Impact of Affordability on Investment: Tim shares his thoughts on why people are moving to more affordable areas, not just due to COVID, but as part of a broader trend of seeking better lifestyle options. The ongoing affordability factor in Melbourne and other markets is a key driver of growth. Infrastructure Projects and Market Impact: Tim discusses how infrastructure developments, like the Westgate Tunnel project in Melbourne, are expected to influence property prices, particularly in the city's west. However, he questions whether these infrastructure projects will be a game changer for the market. Interest Rates and Housing Affordability: The conversation touches on the possible future of interest rates in Australia. Tim explains that the biggest challenge in real estate isn't interest rates but the lack of housing, which continues to drive prices up despite rate changes. overnment Policy and the Housing Shortage: The interview wraps up with a discussion about the Victorian government's efforts to alleviate housing affordability, including stamp duty discounts. Tim points out the unintended consequences of these policies, suggesting that the focus should be on helping developers to start new projects. /episode/index/show/hotspotting/id/36140605

📈 Australia’s Property Market Is Moving – Here’s Where the Growth Is Happening Now! 04/15/2025

$1 Million Homes: Australia’s Housing Crisis 02/21/2025

$1 Million Homes: Australia’s Housing Crisis One of the most significant housing stories in the past year has slipped under the radar of news media, with very little commentary. The latest official data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that it now costs over $500,000 to build the average house in this country. That’s the cost of construction of the dwelling and doesn’t include the land price. Given that the price of residential land is also escalating to record price levels, the reality is that the typical house and land package in a capital city is beyond the reach of most young buyers. This, in simple terms, is the essence of the housing affordability problem that has created a national crisis. Australia needs to build more homes – a lot more than the industry is currently able to build – but the obscenely high cost of building both houses and apartments is the largest single barrier to achieving it. The latest ABS figures tell a very sad story. They show that the nation, in 2024, fell 70,000 home approvals short of the target set to fix the housing crisis – AND that home building costs have hit a grim new record high. Latest Australian Bureau of Statistics figures show there were 170,719 homes approved in 2024, the second worst annual figure since 2012, with experts warning government efforts to address the housing crisis so far have failed to make a difference. And affordability is getting worse, with the average cost of building a new house in Australia surpassing $500,000 for the first time in December, according to the ABS data, made worse by new requirements for sustainable builds. Making a bad situation considerably worse is the soaring cost of home sites. The Housing Industry Association says that surging land values are problematic for the struggling development sector, which is already battling soaring labour and materials costs. Extreme housing block costs have also coincided with falling prices for established houses – making the significant premium on brand new homes a hard sell for builders. Housing Industry Association figures showed the median price of land across Greater Sydney now stands at $2,000 per square metre. That means that even a tiny 300 square metre block of land costs $600,000. Land prices are less – but still very expensive – in Melbourne, where that small block costs $320,000, and it’s similar in both Perth and Brisbane. But that 300 square metre block is below the normal block size. In Sydney the median lot price is $710,000 compared to around $400,000 in both Melbourne and Brisbane. Add on that typical cost for building a home – and it makes a new house on land over $900,000 in Brisbane and Melbourne – and around $1.2 million in Sydney. Housing Industry Association economist Maurice Tapang said the dramatic extra costs of buying land and building, versus buying established homes, could squash demand for new homes. Tapang said the price of land was now the biggest constraint on new housing construction in Australia’s capital cities. PropTrack economist Paul Ryan said: “It’s becoming increasingly hard to make new housing equations stack up. There’s lots of choice for established homes and the prices have gotten relatively more attractive compared to new homes, and that’s something we’ve heard a lot of from developers”. The HIA-CoreLogic Residential Land Report showed that the median price of a capital city lot increased by 9.2% in the September quarter to $408,160 compared to a year earlier. Tapang said: “Land prices have risen three times faster than the rate of growth in the ABS Consumer Price Index (CPI) and five times faster than growth in the cost of home building materials as measured by the Producer Price Index for the September quarter 2024.” At the same time, the cost of building a house now averages $537,000 nationally, according to the ABS, following the hyperinflation of construction costs since the pandemic. Add those two figures together – the median lot price and the average cost of building a house – and you have $945,160. And that, in one sentence, is the affordability issue. But I haven’t heard a single politician in Australia, at any level, suggest a policy to deal with this ridiculously high cost for new homes. And it begs the question: are politicians in government around Australia even aware that the cost of a new house on land is getting scarily close to $1 million? /episode/index/show/hotspotting/id/35373395

Sydney’s Boom Suburbs Revealed! 02/14/2025

Sydney’s Boom Suburbs Revealed! Price data for Sydney provides a striking example of why it’s so important not to generalise about property markets. According to the big-name research sources, Sydney prices grew only a few percent overall in the past 12 months, but individual precincts within Greater Sydney have recorded price growth at boom levels. Unfortunately for people trying to make informed real estate decisions, economists and journalists like to speak about “the Australian property market” and forecast what will happen with “Australian house prices” in the year ahead. This is not only worthless information for Australians consumers, but it shouts very loudly that the economists and journalists making those generalisations know very little about residential real estate. Even data on “Sydney house prices” is misleading and next to useless, because it tells us nothing about what’s happening in the Northern Beaches suburbs or in the many locations within the Canterbury-Bankstown LGA or out at Blacktown or further west at Penrith. Because some of the individual precincts within the Greater Sydney metropolitan area have booming property markets. According to PropTrack data, Sydney’s median house price grew just 2.5% in the past 12 months, but Hotspotting analysis shows that most of the suburbs in the City of Canterbury-Bankstown rose by 12-15% and some suburbs increased more than 20%. Several of the unit markets in this LGA have also recorded double-digit growth in their median prices. It’s because this precinct is an out-performer within the Greater Sydney area that we have been featuring it as one of our main recommendations for Sydney over the past 12 months or so. In the Bayside LGA, another market we have recommended in our Top 5 Sydney Hotspots report recently, many suburbs have recorded median price growth well above 10% in the past year – and this includes both house and unit markets. It’s worth remembering that more than half of all sales across Greater Sydney now are attached dwellings – units, townhouses, apartments. The market share of houses on land has been falling steadily over the past 12-18 months and now attached dwellings dominate. Several of the unit markets in the Bayside LGA, including some that have median prices in the $700,000s, have recorded double-digit annual price growth in defiance of the average results for Greater Sydney. It's true also of the Inner West LGA, which is increasingly dominated by attached dwelling sales. The median house price in most suburbs is well above $2 million, but many suburbs have median unit prices in the $800,000s and $900,000s – and some of those have recorded median price growth in the 7% to 12% range in the past year. Again, this is well above Sydney averages – and it highlights the key message, that real estate is local in nature and that buyers should be focusing on the areas that are likely to perform city norms. And 2025 will be no different. /episode/index/show/hotspotting/id/35218170

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