5-13-24 Will Over Bought Markets Pull Back
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 05/13/2024
6-10-24 Rising Unemployment Rate: A Possible Recession Indicator?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Employment Report Headlines are stronger than the underlying data shows; economic activity is slowing, but markets remain upbeat. Markets have been quiet; complacency can lead to unexpected things. Markets tested 20-DMA and rallied; will re-test that level today...again. FOMC Meeting this week + CPI Inflation data could trigger a change: Markets' performance has been predicated on Fed rate cuts. How we get the employment numbers: Data vs surveys. The gap between households and BLS is growing; something is wrong with the adjustments. Why $20/hr minimum wage isn't working. Look at wages vs total...
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6-10-24 Will the Fed Reverse Quantitative Tightening?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Futures are pointing lower this morning, which is no surprise. After a multi-weeks' long run in the markets, investors today will likely re-test the 20-DMA in a repeat performance of market activity we saw back in November thru February. The current environment could run from July through August, migrating higher without any catalyst. This week's FOMC Meeting and CPI Inflation data could turn markets sharply lower, because the market is predicated on the Fed cutting rates. We're expecting the Fed to maintain the status quo of staying on track to cut rates later in the year, and a reversal of...
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6-7-24 How to Maximize Your Severance Package
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The D stands for Donuts: It's International Donut Day; Buc-Cee's Donuts & Jerky; Can a Texas Stock Exchange survive? JR weighs in. NYC's economic suicide; the Roaring Kitty live-stream; Candid Coffee returns (6/29); AI stocks & narrative economics: Will AI not be the savior we'd hoped? How to maximize your severance package; when a layoff is a blessing in disguise. Goldfish & dietary habits; Severance package strategies: Maximizing HSA's; lumps-sum or annutize? Model it out. SEG-1: National Donut Day, Nvidia Split, Jobs Report Preview SEG-2: NYSE vs Texas Stock Exchange & Civil...
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6-6-24 Small Caps and Mid Caps: Timing Your Investments Post-Economic Slowdown
The Real Investment Show Podcast
D-Day commemorations top the day; ISM report shows a big jump, but input prices and employment weakened. The data does not (yet) support thesis for Recession. Nvidia topped $3-Trillion in market capitalization, surpassing Apple for #2 slot in the S&P. Nvidia is now 3x over its 50-DAM. The coming power grid expansion will offer investing opportunities; how viable are alternative energy investment propositions? What are the implications of government subsidies required by alternative energy companies? Political realities to be considered. The next Fed meeting: will they cut rates; how many...
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6-6-24 Nvidia Overtakes Apple at $3 Trillion Market Cap
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Big day for Nvidia on Wednesday, crossing the $3-Trillion market cap threshold to become the second-biggest company in the S&P...and surpassing Apple in market capitalization. Nvidia is now trading well beyond three standard deviations above its 50-DMA. The last time Nvidia was this extended, back in March, it spent quite a bit of time afterward declining as it worked off the overbought positions. We look at the technical analysis behind this stock. Everyone that is AI-related is where the money is going for now, but at some point this is all going to have to be worked off. [DISCLOSURE: We...
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6-5-24 Could Roaring Kitty's Wealth Top $1-Billion?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
More weak economic data from the Atlanta Fed; semiconductors are outperforming software stocks, 3:1; look for consolidation in that sector. Domestic stocks are outperforming all other markets. A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. Curious about Roaring Kitty's extraordinary journey in the stock market? Discover how his wealth skyrocketed from $53,000 to nearly $300 million; Roaring Kitty's rise to fame in...
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6-5-24 How High Will Crude Prices Rally?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
A fairly big correction in Oil Prices over the past few days is now setting up for an opportunity for investors to take profits and rebalance energy portfolios, which are by necessity tied to the price of their underlying commodity. OPEC's decision to allow more production to come online has pushed oil prices down. Oil prices are sitting on support that goes back to February of this year. A bounce in prices will allow you the opportunity to rebalance energy exposure. We're looking for a rally in oil prices to between $76 to $77/share. However--a continuation of slower rates of economic growth...
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6-4-24 Dangers of Market Timing: Why You Might Lose Out
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Launching June market trading and looking ahead; the continuing saga of E*Trade and Roaring Kitty, GameStop. Economic data continues to weaken; expectations for Fed rate cuts this year are now back up to two. Markets' morning selloff, afternoon rally back into the green pattern continues, thanks to EOD institutional buying; all activity against the backdrop of a sell signal. Why Berkshire went to zero; markets' extreme deviation continues. Should you wait until after the Presidential Election to invest? Are you considering market timing as a strategy? Lance Roberts breaks down the pitfalls and...
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6-4-24 The 50-DMA is the Line in the Sand
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets opened weakly on Monday but rallied at the end of the day to close in the green. Markets continue to bounce along the 20-DMA, and the question will be whether the late-session buying by institutions will continue. Late day rallies are encouraging, as they're occurring against the backdrop of a sell signal, but that's also keeping markets from going anywhere. Markets continue to move sideways as overbought conditions are worked off. The 50-DMA is the line in the sand: as long as we remain above there, there's not much to worry about. For now. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist,...
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6-3-24 The Momentum Chase is On: What Happens Next?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets start the month with support sustained at the 20-DMA, although consumer spending is weakening, with retrenchment in Restaurants. Inventories are high while spending is slackening. The cure for inflation is high prices. Markets break thru 20-DMA on Friday, but rally before the close. Sell signal is restricting upside. The market momentum chase is on...which is fine until the music stops. Noting investing cycles vs market cycles and the problem with dividend investing strategy. Public Debt: Productive vs non productive: Can the AI boom bail us out? Why James Grant is wrong about debt and...
info_outlineMarkets' April correction has created a bounce off support at the 100-DMA, and now markets are retesting March's highs. Markets have been up for eight days straight, and on a solid buy signal, are now back up to "overbought." Markets are likely to struggle for a few days, unable to make much headway higher. The months of June and July should be fairly decent months, given that this is an Election Year. If you're looking to add exposure, we're suggesting waiting until markets provide some kind of a pullback.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the video version of this podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2-0-l1HDXmg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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