6-27-24 Why Is Wall Street Selling off Nvidia?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 06/27/2024
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What is the impact of the recently-passed Big Beautiful Bill on your money and retirement plans? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty plumb the depths of the legislation to find the good--and the bad--effects it will have. Richard review the latest round of tariffs on Canada (markets don't care), and AI is promising to be a game changer in the middle management job market. The Big Beautiful Bill has benefits and drawbacks: there are caps and limitations, as well as enhancements for charitable giving; there is no "no taxes" on Social Security; changes in SS for future generations will likely be...
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As inflation remains elevated and the Federal Reserve begins to shift its tone, markets are asking: Will lower interest rates actually bring prices down — or make them worse? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz unpack the delicate balance between monetary policy, consumer behavior, and price pressures: * The historical relationship between rate cuts and inflation * Why inflation may be more “sticky” than expected * How consumer demand and debt loads are reshaped by lower rates * The unintended consequences of looser policy on asset prices * What this means for investors and retirees going...
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Economists are expecting a sharp pick up in economic growth before the end of the year, despite earlier, pre-tariff weaknesses. News about more threatened tariffs notwithstanding, economists are looking past all that. Interestingly, that's the needed premise to support expectations for much stronger earnings growth from analysts into the end of the year. So future expectations are seeming to support where valuations are trading. 6,900 is now a realistic target by the end of the year for analysts. This elevated sentiment and sheer exuberance should be taken as a caution sign because markets are...
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More Tariff trouble on the horizon, but markets have seen this movie before (The Stick & Carrot Show). Market risk remains, as markets are highly deviated. Sentiment remains positive; there's a large gap between market performance and economic data, however. Deviations tend to resolve themselves to the downside. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff reveal how to shield your retirement savings from decades of inflation: The necessity of Inflation and how to deal with it (inflation is a function of economic growth); the mistake of being too conservative, fear of The Black Swan that never...
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The big divergences between markets and their moving averages typically resolve themselves to the downside. There is now risk down to about 6,000 on the S&P, which would bring us back to the breakout prior to the all-time high. A correction would help reset the market's over bought condition. Volatility is down; that's a function of options trading, and no one seems to want to hedge portfolios against a downsized market. There is no risk control in portfolios presently because investors would rather chase the upside in markets. That's always a danger. A correction could come at any time....
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Earnings season is upon us; will volatility pick up? A bigger question will be how tariffs may affect corporate earnings. Employment numbers are dipping into contraction zone as the economy slows. Markets sell off on renewed tariff news. Crude oil prices are creeping back up. No one is expecting correction...which is when they usually appear. Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have exploded in popularity—driving a massive shift from active to passive investing. But is this trend distorting markets and concentrating risk? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn explore how ETF growth may be reshaping price...
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Markets sold off on the announcement of new tariffs to be imposed in August, not surprisingly, in a start to working off markets' over sold condition. We're expecting more sloppiness for the next week or so. Markets are pretty deviated from the 20-, 50-, and 200-DMA's, and the "gravitational pull" of averages is likely to draw down stock prices at some point. 10-year Treasury yields have been on the rise the last few days. Why? Treasury Auctions are this week, and traders want to short the market to drive up yields, drive prices down ahead of that action. Crude oil has also been one of The Big...
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Lance is back from vacation, and the markets did not crash in his absence! On the contrary, they're doing very well. President Donald Trump's Big Beautiful Bill has been signed into law; still to be seen: its impact on earnings. We express our sentiments for the families and friends of loved ones lost in the Central Texas Flash Floods over the July 4th Weekend. Investor greed is a record levels, along with technical indicators, meaning markets are primed for a correction or consolidation; all that's needed is a catalyst. There's nothing wrong with the markets; how to properly prognosticate:...
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Markets did NOT crash while we were on vacation! Investor greed, however, is at extreme levels, along with over bought levels in the market, and the 13 composite technical indicators we track. There is lots of retail speculation afoot, and whenever you see things at this high level, this is where you're set up for some type of event to cause a short term correction or consolidation. What that event might be, nobody knows. Tariffs could play a role here. This is not a great place to chase markets; instead, this could be an opportunity to re-balance risk in portfolios and take some profits if...
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Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today’s episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way. Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father, and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor...
info_outlineTonight's "great debate" doesn't mean much from a market perspective. However, with three months to go before the Presidential election, options markets have begun (already!) pricing-out the outcomes. Yes, Virginia, Wall Street bets on the election...just like they bet on everything else! Markets are fairly elevated, deviated way above long-term trends. There is nothing to suggest a bigger correction is in the offing...but, behind the scenes we see the correction in XLK, primarily due to the selloff in Nvidia. The trend for technologies may be fine for now, but hedge funds and Wall Street have been selling technology shares at a record clip. Money inflows have been chasing Nvidia by investors thinking it's going to go to the moon; it's not. There will eventually be a very significant reversal in Nvidia at some point.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the video version of this podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_zv7LpVACk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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