9/3/25 10 Reasons You Shouldn't Retire (but what to do if you do)...
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Thinking about retirement? Think again. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff present 10 powerful reasons you shouldn’t retire too soon—from financial stability to maintaining purpose and health. But if you do decide to retire, they’ll also show you exactly what steps to take to protect your money, lifestyle, and long-term security. SEG-1a: How ChatGPT Saved Google in Anti-trust Court SEG-1b: Why the 50-DMA is Key SEG-2a: Looking Ahead to Employment Revisions SEG-2b: Portfolio Risk Management Amid Investor Complacency SEG-2c: Traders' Performance & Baseball Greats SEG-2d: Honor Thy...
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9-3-25 Is Tuesday's Market Drop the Start of Correction? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets sold off, as expected, for the first trading day of September. Market action has been very compressed, with not a lot of volatility. Markets ARE moving, but not in big moves in one direction or the other. This tends to lend to a lot of complacency in the market. Markets DID break through the 20-DMA, but a break is only valid if it holds through the end of the week. IF that occurs, the 50-DMA is the next level of key support, and below that, it's a long way down before reaching any significant levels of support. Still, the market is continuing its low-volatility rise. The negative...
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9/2/25 DIY Investing & Why Swing Trading Isn't Long-Term Wealth
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Think you can outsmart the market? Many DIY investors fall into the same traps: chasing hype, trying to time the market, concentrating in one hot sector, or lacking patience. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down five of the biggest mistakes DIY investors make — and why they can derail your financial future. They'll also explore swing trading vs. long-term investing: * How short-term trading chases quick wins with high risk. * Why long-term investing builds wealth through discipline, diversification, and compounding. * The bottom-line difference: Are you surfing market waves or...
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9-2-25 Be Cautious With Allocations | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets closed down a bit on Friday ahead of a long, holiday weekend, but still maintained its bullish trend. The 20-DMA is continuing to act as running trend support, and bullishly-speaking, the market is doing just fine. The trend line support is very important because trading algorithms and systematic traders have all moved their stops up to that 20-DMA; if we DO get a confirmed violation of the 20-Day, we could see more selling pressure come into play. Just below that is the 50-DMA, which will become much more critical for support: If the market takes out the 50-DMA, a LOT of programmatic...
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9-1-25 Labor Day Special
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today’s digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance? Lance and Danny discuss why you should be cautious about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance describes his personal annuity and insurance plans. Why you should never put all your money into anything. If you...
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8/29/25 Why Do Investors Hate to Sell?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Why do investors struggle when it comes to selling stocks? Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle look at the psychology of investing—exploring concepts like loss aversion, behavioral finance traps, and the emotional biases that make it so hard to hit the sell button. Whether you’re a DIY investor or managing money professionally, understanding why we hold on too long is critical to protecting and growing your wealth. * Why fear and regret drive poor sell decisions * The role of loss aversion in behavioral finance * Strategies for setting disciplined sell rules * How the best investors...
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8/28/25 Nvidia Falls Short
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Nvidia reported earnings with strong overall results, but Wall Street was not impressed. Despite solid forward guidance, a data center revenue miss rattled investors and sent the stock lower. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down Nvidia’s earnings highlights, why guidance failed to wow the bulls, and what this means for tech stocks going forward; the ongoing soap opera that is the Federal Reserve: Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, and dovish vs hawkish monetary policy stances; a discussion of the evolution of markets and investing as "entertainment." * Nvidia’s Q2 2025 earnings breakdown...
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8-28-25 Gold is Liquidity Source for Stocks | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are doing fine, sitting right at all time highs, and money flows have been improving. Relative strength has improved, but still has a negative divergence. Nvidia was also sitting at all time highs, but will not be surprised to see it open lower. From a fundamental perspective, Nvidia is operating on "all cylinders," only the ultra-optimistic observers were disappointed in the company's earnings report. The Small-cap/Mid-cap space (IWM) has been performing better, but here's the concern: About 40% of these companies have NO profits, and are zombie companies, surviving on debt...
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8/27/25 Is the Taylor Swift Engagement a Market Event?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Taylor Swift’s engagement has captured global attention—but does it matter for investors? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff examine why celebrity headlines dominate financial chatter, what it says about investor psychology, and why distraction often shows up near the peak of speculative markets. ✅ How celebrity news becomes a market “story” ✅ Why investors chase hype instead of fundamentals ✅ The risks of distraction during late-stage bull markets ✅ What Taylor Swift’s engagement says about sentiment-driven investing Markets move on emotion as much as data—and when Wall...
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8-27-25 Low Volatility Begets High Volatility | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets rallied Tuesday, still in a tight trading range. Negative divergence continues, and market breadth remains low, with a lot of stocks NOT participating in this action. There is no market concern; this level of complacency is what sets up for an eventual correction. And while a 5% might be expected (and normal), it will be painful following this elongated period of gains. Low volatility begets high volatility; all markets need is a catalyst. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the Video...
info_outlineEconomic Reports affected by Hurricanes Beryl & Debbie; market sell off continues. Inflationary data is still there; unwinding of Yen Carry Trade continues w/volatility. Lance recites a brief history of market crashes, causes & effects. The market correction actually started in July at peak; trapped-longs sold into market rally as exuberance reverses. Earnings Season has delivered a mixed back; 92% of companies have reported, opening buy back windows for business. Consumer sentiment feedback loop affects Fed decision-making; what the Yen Carry Trade does for market moods. The differential in interest rates between the Yen & the Dollar is shrinking. The Fed is reactive...and trapped. Lance & Michael discuss the Sahm Rule recession indicator: This time may be different. Recessions are back-dated by as much as 12-months. Is the economy weakening or normalizing? Indicators are often at odds with one another. YouTube Chat Q&A: Estate Tax Exemptions & Bonds; Is it too soon to short TLT? Eli Lilly & Yen Carry Trade: Where did all the "fast" money go? Liquidity Indicators in conflict: How to accurately measure? Fear dries-up liquidity.
SEG-1: A Brief History of Market Crashes; the Correction Started in July
SEG-2: The Feedback Effect of Consumer Sentiment
SEG-3: The Sahm Rule: Maybe Not This Time
SEG-4: YouTube Chat Q&A: Shorting TLT, Liquidity Indicators
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HHVg-HJq5Gs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Confidence Is The Underappreciated Economic Engine"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/confidence-is-the-underappreciated-economic-engine/
"The Sahm Rule, Employment, And Recession Indicators"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-sahm-rule-employment-and-recession-indicators/
"Yen Carry Trade Blows Up Sparking Global Sell-Off"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/yen-carry-trade-blows-up-sparking-global-sell-off/
"Inversion Of Yield Curve Finally Reversing"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Exuberance Reverses" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NhhxNaLDDaA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-
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Our previous show is here: "Is the Crisis Over?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rZWdk9bCH5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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