8-11-25 US GDP Shows Cracks - Why You Should Pay Attention
The Real Investment Show Podcast
August may be a seasonally-weaker month for markets, but for Summer Weather in Texas, it's hot! Lance shares weekend wedding events, and previews this week's economic data reports: Will inflation stoked by tariffs appear in the numbers? The only question that matters to investors his how the news will affect forward earnings estimates. There is now a 90% probability of a Fed rate cut by September; much will hinge on this week's CPI, PPI, and Retail Sales data. Lance reviews the similarities and differences between the Dot Com bubble and the AI boom. (Lance's ADD is triggered by a story on a TV...
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8-11-25 Markets are Set Up for Correction | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are doing okay despite their correction a week ago, which revealed a pullback in relative strength. Markets subsequently stair-stepped their way back up to tease new, all-time highs. Do not rule out the presence of seasonality, however. The thing to watch is the deterioration of money flows; even though markets are going up, the underlying money flows are continuing to weaken. Are money flows about to turn positive? It's the wrong time of the year for that. Market is actually set up more for correction. Buyers are sitting a good bit lower than where sellers are. Hosted by...
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8-8-25 What Would a 20% Social Security Reduction Mean for Your Retirement?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Could your Social Security check be slashed by 20%? With trust fund depletion looming, many retirees could face harsh income cuts sooner than expected. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down what a 20% Social Security reduction would mean for your retirement lifestyle, how to prepare now, and smart income strategies to fill the gap. Whether you're already retired or nearing retirement, this is a must-watch. 1: Social Security should be considered a stipend 2: Social Security Shores-up Your Financial Plan 3: The Myth of Breaking-even 4: Family Dynamics & Spousal...
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8-7-25 The Low Beta Boom: Sidestepping The Dot-Com Bust
The Real Investment Show Podcast
How can low beta stocks help savvy investors sidestep the pain of the Dot-Com Bust? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz reveal why that lesson matters today...what low beta investing means, how it works in bear markets, and how it can protect your portfolio from bubbles and volatility. Lance reviews market reaction to tariffs coming completely online, and Apple's commitment to re-shore manufacturing to the US; the multiplier effect of domestic manufacturing. A look at Eli Lilly's successful completion of trials for its GLP pill; markets continue to hover along the 20-DMA. Lance and Michael...
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8-7-25 Is the Correction Over? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets continue to hover around the 20-DMA. There is a negative divergence between momentum and the market rally, with buying participation and money flows being very weak. Retail "dip-buyers" continue to step in to nibble at every dip in the market. Markets will again provide clearance above the 20-DMA, which will validate the test of that level. Relative strength is beginning to recover from Friday's sell off. Just because we had a one-day sell off does not necessarily mean the correction is over; be cautious in your risk taking. There is no sign of concern for a correction; portfolio...
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8-6-25 How to Build a Winning Investment Portfolio | What to Buy & What to Avoid in 2025
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Are you building an investment portfolio but unsure what assets belong—and which ones to avoid? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff demonstrate how to build a diversified portfolio, the critical assets every investor should consider (stocks, bonds, ETFs), and the common portfolio mistakes that could hurt your long-term returns. How to know the correct investment tool to use; the good and bad sides of mutual funds; why you should be caustius about private equity and alternative investment opportunities. Annuities: Three questions to ask about yourself; can you "Be Your Own Bank?" Lance...
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8-6-25 Be Careful with Technical Analysis | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Technical Analysis is a good way of seeing what the herd is thinking; it's a representation of market psychology. Those who characterize technical analysis as "voodoo" actually take the rules a little too literally. We suggest using stop loss levels as a measure, and when those stops are triggered, either pay attention to find a bounce to sell into, or that stock will confirm support from a previous level. Why is this relevant? We violated the 20-DMA this week. That does not necessarily mean we're going into a bigger correction; the violation WAS a warning sign that markets COULD work their...
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8-5-25 Where Do Millennials Get Financial Advice? | Two Dads on Money Talk Smart Money Moves
The Real Investment Show Podcast
In this episode of Two Dads on Money, Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn dive into how Millennials find financial advice in today’s digital world. From TikTok influencers to YouTube financial experts, and from Reddit forums to traditional financial planners, where should Millennials really turn for smart money guidance? Lance reviews Monday's Market action, Eurozone vs U.S. economic growth expectations, and Palantir's earnings report. Millennials are getting a lot of financial information from AI, which is nothing more than GroupThink. Why the F.I.R.E. movement failed; retirement is...
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8-5-25 Markets Regain Footing at 20-DMA | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Palantir knocked the cover off the ball with last night's earnings report, but since the company is not as large as, say, Apple, Google, or Meta, that's not going to provide quite as much lift to the markets. Following two sell-offs Thursday and Friday, markets on Monday executed a nice one-percent move to the upside, making for TWO one-percent moves in two days to reclaim the 20-DMA. The issue now is whether markets can hold onto the gains and stay above that level for the remainder of the week. Such would also remove the risk of markets further dipping to the 50-DMA. Relative Strength also...
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8-4-25 Bull Streak Ends as August Begins
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The historic stock market bull streak has finally come to an end as August kicks off, raising concerns about seasonal weakness, rising volatility, and technical breakdowns. Lance Roberts breaks down what triggered the reversal, how meme stock speculation is adding risk, and what the August-September period historically means for investors. Lance Roberts discusses the latest earnings reports, and provide insights on how to navigate the market correction risks, why investors should be wary of excessively high valuations; managing portfolios for risks today. Lance also covers the aspect of time...
info_outlineMarkets are having a rough start for September; Will the be a correction before the election? Lance examines the buyer/seller dynamic. Markets will probably bound this week. Look for a moderate rally, which will provide opportunity to trim portfolio risk. September/October stock market volatility is expected, with markets de-risking going into the election. Will there be an economic slowdown in September? Lance answers a question from YouTube chat," Who receives the difference in profits/losses when a company sells stock? Why stock buybacks are a scam; a dividend is a return of value to stock holder, while a buyback is a share redemption. The next, great undoing of the markets has not yet been thought of. The Friday Jobs Report: Not to hot, not too cold, but definitely not just right. Lance reviews events that have led to slower job growth. Has Technology really made our lives better? In the book, "The Age of Spiritual Machines," by futurist Ray Kurzwell, written in the late '90's, 78% of predictions have come true.
SEG-1: September Stock Market Volatility
SEG-2: Why Stock Buybacks Are a Scam
SEG-3: What Do the Jobs Reports Really Tell Us?
SEG-4: Does Technology Really Make Things Better?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L4xLdTctnLk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=9s
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Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Bounce this Week?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSVpIA3cI6Q&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "How to Plan for Trump Tax Cut Expiration"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RtRVT0cqwNg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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