5-12-25 How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally
The Real Investment Show Podcast
It's Lance Roberts' 60th birthday, and the birthday faery made an early visit to the studio. Markets will be boosted today by news of an agreement between the US and China over tariffs. Is the recent market rebound a sign of recovery—or just a classic bear market trap? Lance Roberts breaks down what defines a bear market rally, why investors often get whipsawed by false hope, and how to position your portfolio amid short-term optimism and long-term uncertainty. With earnings season in full swing and rate cuts still in question, we'll explore whether this bounce has legs or is setting...
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5-12-25 Do You Want to Make Some Money?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The market driver today will be news of a workout between the US and China over tariffs. The markets' technical support line, going back to the begining of the tariff negotiations, is emerging as a conglomeration of resistance turning to support at the 100- and 200-DMA's. These are the last lines of defense beyond which markets can move higher. The key is for markets to move above those resistance levels, and hold. Markets are over bought on a few fronts, momentum and relative strength are also quite elevated. This is the challenge to set emotions aside and read what the markets are...
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5-9-25 Hour-Two: Financial Advice for Single Mom's on Mother's Day
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Being a single mom means wearing every hat—and that includes the CFO of the household. In this special Mother’s Day edition of Financial Fitness Friday, Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle offer tailored financial planning advice for single moms, covering essential strategies for budgeting, building an emergency fund, managing debt, and long-term investing. Rich and Matt also cover market trends, tariff news, and Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies. SEG-5: Will the Tax Bill Pass - How to Prepare SEG-6: Memory Care & Tax Changes Coming SEG-7: Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies...
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5-9-25 HOUR-1: Will Tax Reform Stall?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
With a new administration in Washington and control of Congress shifting, tax reform is once again a high-stakes issue for investors and business owners. Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle analyze what’s on the table—proposals to adjust capital gains rates, reduce or expand corporate tax burdens, and modify personal income brackets. We’ll break down where negotiations stand, what’s likely to change, and how gridlock could delay progress. This episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to position their portfolio ahead of potential tax legislation. SEG-1: Why It's Never "Really Different...
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5-8-25 The Fed Stays Hawkish
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed’s latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell’s comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed’s outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing"...
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5-8-25 Can the Market Continue to Build?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets initially responded with disappointment to the Fed holding firm on interest rates, but did pull out a positive day by the end of Wednesday's session. Markets again bounced off support at the 50-DMA, testing and holding that level twice in the past few days. Markets are building support at the same time the 20-DMA is catching up to the 50-DMA, building a double layer of support just below where stocks are trading. Professional traders are currently under-weight or equally-weighted exposure to equities, which gives a lot of potential buying power entering the market. Markets are now...
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5-7-25 China Blinks
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting concludes this afternoon; expect some volatility. As the U.S. pushes forward with new tariffs and a tougher trade stance, China appears to blink — signaling potential cracks in its economic armor. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff dive into the latest developments in the U.S.–China trade conflict, why China is making strategic concessions, and what it means for global markets, supply chains, and future negotiations. Danny reviews his trip to South Africa, and they discuss the possible impact of AI on employment; market dynamics are being...
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5-7-25 Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets sold off again on Tuesday, re-testing the 50-DMA. If markets can bounce and hold today, the 50-DMA will shift from resistance back into support. If markets fail there, the 20-DMA at 5,400 will be the next level of support. There are about 150-points of downside presently, and upside will be limited to about 5,730. Markets are performing well for now; retail investors bought heavily into the dip. The question is whether they right, or is this part of a bigger, corrective cycle? (Professional investors have already sold-out of this rally, being on the wrong side of the trade.) The...
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5-6-25 No Free Lunch: The Hidden Costs of 'Free' Investment Advice
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Think you're getting "free" investment advice? Think again. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn uncover the hidden costs behind so-called "free" financial services. Lance reveals the toughest jobs in America, and a look at the end of markets' winning string. Learn how mutual fund share classes — A shares vs. B shares — reveal how advisors get paid, and why front-end and back-end loads can quietly erode your returns. If you're not sure who's paying the fees, it's probably you. Lance and Jonathan take on the great AI debate: Whose jobs will be eliminated? Why Target Date Mutual Funds...
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5-6-25 Markets Sell Off
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets sold off Monday after 9-striaght days of gains, as anticipated. Palantir announced earnings and outlook: The future for AI is very strong; the stock will open lower this morning simply because it has been trading at all-time highs. Diamondback Energy says they're back to peak oil production against a backdrop of very low oil prices; recently drilled wells are not profitable at current oil prices, which will be a challenge for the "drill-baby-drill' narrative. Meanwhile, markets are still sitting on a death cross between the 50- and 200-DMA; the 20-DMA is slopping upwards, providing...
info_outlineMarkets generated a rather disappointing rally on Monday, giving up about half of its gains by the end of the day. The good news: Markets closed positive, bounced off the 100-DMA, and were over-sold on a relative strength basis. That initial bounce off support indicated markets are clearly not out of the woods yet, still on a sell signal, indicating weaker prices are still ahead. This will suppress any positive action until the sell signal can be worked off. Markets initially failed at resistance at the 50-DMA. If markets cannot hold support at the 100-DMA, the next level downward will be at the August lows at the 200-DMA. We are currently in the mode of managing risk rather than trying to gain exposure in the markets. Unfortunately, no decent set up in Bonds has yet occurred, and those issues remain extremely over-bought; there's no opportunity now to increase exposure in bonds: It's difficult to add bonds to a portfolio now. If you own them, hang onto them.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the video version of this podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4RnurWaljp8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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